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NJ CC Poll Topline Results July 23

NJ CC Poll Topline Results July 23

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July 2012 Omnibus Week 3 Princeton Survey Research Associates International Final Topline July 23, 2012 Total: 1,001

adults age 18 and older Margin of error: Plus or minus 3.8 percentage points Interviewing dates: July 19-22, 2012 Notes: Due to rounding, percentages may not add to 100. An asterisk (*) indicates values less than 0.5%.

Princeton Survey Research Associates International July 2012 Omnibus Week 1

Page 2

READ TO ALL: On another subject… ASK ALL CC1. This year, have Republicans and Democrats in Washington been working together more to solve problems OR have they been bickering and opposing one another more than usual? Working together more to solve problems 8 8 6 9 8 25 50 13 30 21 21 44 53 30 34 41 21 20 27 Bickering and opposing one another more than usual 80 79 80 82 77 53 39 64 59 60 55 31 39 46 41 50 54 68 51

July 19-22, 2012 Apr 12-15, 2012 Dec 8-11, 20111 Jul 28-31, 2011 Sep 30-Oct 3, 20102 Mar 31-Apr 6, 2009 Jan 7-11, 20093 May 11-15, 2005 Jan 5-9, 2005 Jun 3-13, 2004 Oct 15-19, 2003 May 6-16, 2002 Jan 9-13, 2002 Jul 2-12, 2001 May 15-20, 2001 Jan 3-7, 2001 Jul 19-23, 2000 Jul 14-Sept 9, 1999 Jul 29-Aug 2, 1998

Same as in the past (VOL.) 5 4 4 3 4 8 6 8 4 7 10 8 5 10 9 4 10 4 8

Don’t know/ Refused (VOL.) 8 10 10 6 11 14 5 15 7 12 14 17 3 14 16 5 15 8 14

1
2

National Journal Congressional Connection Poll trend Pew Research Center for the People & the Press trend – Sept 30-Oct 3, 2010 and earlier 3 Pew wording in January of all years: “This coming year, do you think Republicans and Democrats in Washington will work together more to solve problems OR do you think they will bicker and oppose one another more than usual?”

Princeton Survey Research Associates International July 2012 Omnibus Week 3

Page 3

ASK ALL CC2. Compared to recent Congresses, would you say THIS Congress has accomplished more, accomplished less, or accomplished about the same amount? Don’t know/ Refused More Less Same (VOL.) July 19-22, 2012 8 47 40 4 Apr 12-15, 2012 8 46 40 6 Dec 8-11, 20114 7 51 34 7 Sept 30-Oct 3, 2010 20 36 37 7 Jun 16-20, 2010 18 33 44 6 October, 2007 5 43 42 10 October, 2006 6 39 47 8 Early September, 2006 7 37 49 7 June, 2006 7 43 42 8 April, 2006 8 38 48 6 Early November, 2002 RV 11 27 54 8 June, 2002 16 22 56 6 July, 2000 21 15 55 9 August, 1999 15 20 60 5 Early October, 1998 RV 24 23 49 4 Early September, 1998 25 15 55 5 Early August, 1998 18 15 60 7 ASK ALL CC3. Over the past few years, Washington leaders have tried to address the problem of high unemployment, without much success. Which ONE of the following do you think is the MAIN reason unemployment remains high? (READ 1-3 IN ORDER) July 19-22 2012 17 Oct 13-16 2011 16

Neither Democrats nor Republicans in Washington have come up with any good ideas to reduce unemployment so far; There have been good ideas, but fighting between Democrats and Republicans has blocked needed government action, OR There is not much Washington leaders can do to reduce unemployment through policy or legislation? Don’t know/Refused (VOL.)

52 24 8

54 21 9

4

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press/National Journal Congressional Connection poll. All other trends are Pew Research Center for the People & the Press.

Princeton Survey Research Associates International July 2012 Omnibus Week 3

Page 4
ASK ALL: CC4 Now thinking about political leaders… All things considered, which do you admire most? [READ AND RANDOMIZE] July 19-22 2012 52 Nov 4-7 20105 42 Sep 16-19 2010 42 Jan 10-15 20076 51

Political leaders who make compromises with people they disagree with Political leaders who stick to their positions without compromising (DO NOT READ) Don't know/Refused

38

45

49

40

10

13

9

9

ASK ALL CC5. Regardless of which party controls Congress and the White House, which do you think is more likely to happen after the 2012 election? [READ AND RANDOMIZE]. July 19-22 2012 27 63 9

The two parties will come together more than they have in recent years to try to solve the most important problems facing the nation (or) The two parties will mostly disagree and reach stalemate on the most important problems facing the nation, as they often have in the past few years (or) (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

ASK ALL CC6. If elected president in 2012, who do you think would do a better job of reaching agreement with members of Congress from the other party? [READ AND RANDOMIZE]. July 19-22 2012 43 33 10 14
5 6

Barack Obama (or) Mitt Romney (or) (VOL- DO NOT READ) Neither/Other (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

Trend by Pew Weekly News Interest Index Poll Trend by Pew News Interest Index Poll

Princeton Survey Research Associates International July 2012 Omnibus Week 3

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ASK ALL CC7. Thinking about the elections for Congress this year, please tell me whether you would be more likely or less likely to vote for a candidate with each of the following characteristics, or whether it would make no difference in your vote either way. First, [INSERT ITEM; RANDOMIZE]? Next, what about [NEXT ITEM]? [IF NECESSARY: would you be more likely, less likely, or would it make no difference in your vote either way?] More likely to vote for a. If a candidate is an incumbent running for re-election   July 19-22, 2012 Apr 19-22, 2012 Sept 30-Oct 3, 2010 May 20-23, 20107 b. If a candidate has never held elective office   July 19-22, 2012 Apr 19-22, 2012 Sept 30-Oct 3, 2010 May 20-23, 2010 c. If a candidate would make compromises with people he or she disagrees with   July 19-22, 2012 May 20-23, 2010 d. If a candidate would vote most of the time IN CONGRESS to support Barack Obama July 19-22, 2012 Apr 19-22, 20128 e. If a candidate would vote most of the time IN CONGRESS to support Mitt Romney July 19-22, 2012 Apr 19-22, 20129 14 14 12 15 19 23 21 24 43 30 Less likely to vote for 20 21 26 27 27 21 27 28 20 35 No difference either way 62 56 53 51 51 50 47 43 34 31 (VOL.) Don’t know/ Refused 4 9 9 8 3 5 5 6 3 3

28 30

27 35

42 31

3 3

18 23

30 34

47 38

5 5

7

In May 2010, the question asked about “a candidate who…” and the wording of items matched the question wording. 8 In April 2012 worded as “If a candidate would vote most of the time to support Barack Obama” 9 In April 2012 worded as “If a candidate would vote most of the time to support Mitt Romney” Princeton Survey Research Associates International July 2012 Omnibus Week 3

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DEMOGRAPHICS I have one last set of questions to help us better understand the people who took part in our survey. SEX Respondent’s Sex 49 51 Male Female

EMPLOY Are you now employed full-time, part-time, or not employed? 46 11 40 4 PAR Employed full-time Employed part-time Not employed (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/ Refused

Are you the parent or guardian of any children under 18 years of age? 30 66 4 Yes No (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

AGE

What is your age? 19 33 24 16 7 18 to 29 30 to 49 50 to 64 65 and older (DO NOT READ) Refused

EDUC What is the highest level of school you have completed or the highest degree you have received? 1 9 30 16 12 15 2 11 3 Less than high school (Grade 1-8 or no formal schooling) High school incomplete (Grades 9-11 or Grade 12 with NO diploma) High school graduate (Grade 12 with diploma or GED certificate) Some college, no degree (includes some community college) Two year associate degree from a college/university Four year college or university degree/Bachelor’s degree Some postgraduate or professional schooling, no postgraduate degree Postgraduate or professional degree, including master’s, doctorate, medical or law degree (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused
Princeton Survey Research Associates International July 2012 Omnibus Week 3

Page 7
HISP Are you of Hispanic or Latino background, such as Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban or other Spanish background? 12 84 4 Yes No (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

RACE What is your race? Are you white, black, Asian, or some other race? [IF R SAYS HISPANIC OR LATINO, PROBE: Do you consider yourself a WHITE (Hispanic/Latino) or a BLACK (Hispanic/Latino)? 66 29 11 12 2 4 5 INC INC1 INC2 INC3 White non-Hispanic Total non-White Black non-Hispanic Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander Other non-Hispanic (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

Last year, that is in 2011, approximately what was your total family income before taxes – just tell me when I get to the right category. (IF “DON’T KNOW” OR “REFUSED”) Keeping in mind that this is a completely confidential survey, can you please tell me if your total household income BEFORE taxes last year was over or under $75,000? (IF UNDER $75,000) Was it over or under $50,000? (IF UNDER $50,000) Was it over or under $30,000? 22 12 20 32 13 $75,000 or more $50,000 to under $75,000 $30,000 to under $50,000 Under $30,000 Undesignated

REG

Which of these statements best describes you? 72 4 18 6 Are you ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN that you are registered to vote at your current address Are you PROBABLY registered, but there is a chance your registration has lapsed [OR] Are you NOT registered to vote at your current address? (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

Princeton Survey Research Associates International July 2012 Omnibus Week 3

Page 8
PARTY In politics TODAY, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or Independent? 21 29 40 4 * 6 Republican Democrat Independent No preference (VOL.) Other party (VOL.) Don't know/Refused (VOL.)

That completes the interview. Thank you very much for your time and cooperation. Have a nice day/evening.

Princeton Survey Research Associates International July 2012 Omnibus Week 3

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