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11-2

Chapter Outline

1) Overview 2) Sample or Census 3) The Sampling Design Process i. ii. Define the Target Population Determine the Sampling Frame

iv. Determine the Sample Size v. Execute the Sampling Process

11-3

Chapter Outline

4) A Classification of Sampling Techniques i. Nonprobability Sampling Techniques a. Convenience Sampling

b.

c. d. ii. a. b. c.

Judgmental Sampling

Quota Sampling Snowball Sampling Simple Random Sampling Systematic Sampling Stratified Sampling

d.

e.

Cluster Sampling

Other Probability Sampling Techniques

11-4

Chapter Outline

5. Choosing Nonprobability versus Probability Sampling 6. Uses of Nonprobability versus Probability Sampling 7. International Marketing Research 8. Ethics in Marketing Research 9. Internet and Computer Applications 10. Focus On Burke 11. Summary

11-5

Table 11.1

Conditions Favoring the Use of Sample Census Small Short Large Small Low High Destructive Yes Large Long Small Large High Low Nondestructive No Type of Study 1. Budget 2. Time available 3. Population size 4. Variance in the characteristic 5. Cost of sampling errors 6. Cost of nonsampling errors 7. Nature of measurement 8. Attention to individual cases

11-6

Fig. 11.1

Determine the Sample Size

11-7

The target population is the collection of elements or objects that possess the information sought by the researcher and about which inferences are to be made. The target population should be defined in terms of elements, sampling units, extent, and time.

An element is the object about which or from which the information is desired, e.g., the respondent. A sampling unit is an element, or a unit containing the element, that is available for selection at some stage of the sampling process. Extent refers to the geographical boundaries. Time is the time period under consideration.

11-8

Important qualitative factors in determining the sample size

the importance of the decision the nature of the research the number of variables the nature of the analysis sample sizes used in similar studies incidence rates completion rates resource constraints

Table 11.2

Type of Study Problem identification research (e.g. market potential) Problem-solving research (e.g. pricing) Product tests Test marketing studies TV, radio, or print advertising (per commercial or ad tested) Test-market audits Focus groups Minimum Size Typical Range 500 200 200 200 150 10 stores 2 groups 1,000-2,500 300-500 300-500 300-500 200-300 10-20 stores 4-12 groups

11-9

11-10

Fig. 11.2

Convenience Sampling

Judgmental Sampling

Quota Sampling

Snowball Sampling

Systematic Sampling

Stratified Sampling

Cluster Sampling

11-11

Convenience Sampling

Convenience sampling attempts to obtain a sample of convenient elements. Often, respondents are selected because they happen to be in the right place at the right time.

use of students, and members of social organizations mall intercept interviews without qualifying the respondents department stores using charge account lists people on the street interviews

11-12

Judgmental Sampling

Judgmental sampling is a form of convenience sampling in which the population elements are selected based on the judgment of the researcher.

test markets purchase engineers selected in industrial marketing research bellwether precincts selected in voting behavior research expert witnesses used in court

11-13

Quota Sampling

Quota sampling may be viewed as two-stage restricted judgmental sampling. The first stage consists of developing control categories, or quotas, of population elements. In the second stage, sample elements are selected based on convenience or judgment. Population composition Percentage 48 52 ____ 100 Sample composition Percentage 48 52 ____ 100 Number 480 520 ____ 1000

11-14

Snowball Sampling

In snowball sampling, an initial group of respondents is selected, usually at random.

After being interviewed, these respondents are asked to identify others who belong to the target population of interest. Subsequent respondents are selected based on the referrals.

11-15

Each element in the population has a known and equal probability of selection. Each possible sample of a given size (n) has a known and equal probability of being the sample actually selected. This implies that every element is selected independently of every other element.

11-16

Systematic Sampling

The sample is chosen by selecting a random starting point and then picking every ith element in succession from the sampling frame. The sampling interval, i, is determined by dividing the population size N by the sample size n and rounding to the nearest integer. When the ordering of the elements is related to the characteristic of interest, systematic sampling increases the representativeness of the sample. If the ordering of the elements produces a cyclical pattern, systematic sampling may decrease the representativeness of the sample. For example, there are 100,000 elements in the population and a sample of 1,000 is desired. In this case the sampling interval, i, is 100. A random number between 1 and 100 is selected. If, for example, this number is 23, the sample consists of elements 23, 123, 223, 323, 423, 523, and so on.

11-17

Stratified Sampling

A two-step process in which the population is partitioned into subpopulations, or strata. The strata should be mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive in that every population element should be assigned to one and only one stratum and no population elements should be omitted. Next, elements are selected from each stratum by a random procedure, usually SRS. A major objective of stratified sampling is to increase precision without increasing cost.

11-18

Stratified Sampling

The elements within a stratum should be as homogeneous as possible, but the elements in different strata should be as heterogeneous as possible. The stratification variables should also be closely related to the characteristic of interest. Finally, the variables should decrease the cost of the stratification process by being easy to measure and apply. In proportionate stratified sampling, the size of the sample drawn from each stratum is proportionate to the relative size of that stratum in the total population. In disproportionate stratified sampling, the size of the sample from each stratum is proportionate to the relative size of that stratum and to the standard deviation of the distribution of the characteristic of interest among all the elements in that stratum.

11-19

Cluster Sampling

The target population is first divided into mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive subpopulations, or clusters. Then a random sample of clusters is selected, based on a probability sampling technique such as SRS. For each selected cluster, either all the elements are included in the sample (one-stage) or a sample of elements is drawn probabilistically (two-stage). Elements within a cluster should be as heterogeneous as possible, but clusters themselves should be as homogeneous as possible. Ideally, each cluster should be a small-scale representation of the population. In probability proportionate to size sampling, the clusters are sampled with probability proportional to size. In the second stage, the probability of selecting a sampling unit in a selected cluster varies inversely with the size of the cluster.

11-20

Fig. 11.3 Cluster Sampling

One-Stage Sampling

Two-Stage Sampling

Multistage Sampling

Table 11.3

Technique

Nonprobability Sampling Convenience sampling Judgmental sampling Quota sampling Snowball sampling

11-21

Strengths

Least expensive, least time-consuming, most convenient Low cost, convenient, not time-consuming Sample can be controlled for certain characteristics Can estimate rare characteristics

Weaknesses

Selection bias, sample not representative, not recommended for descriptive or causal research Does not allow generalization, subjective Selection bias, no assurance of representativeness Time-consuming

Can increase representativeness, easier to implement than SRS, sampling frame not necessary Include all important subpopulations, precision Easy to implement, cost effective

Difficult to construct sampling frame, expensive, lower precision, no assurance of representativeness. Can decrease representativeness

Stratified sampling

Cluster sampling

Difficult to select relevant stratification variables, not feasible to stratify on many variables, expensive Imprecise, difficult to compute and interpret results

11-22

Fig. 11.4

Simple Random Sampling

3. Generate n (sample size) different random numbers between 1 and N 4. The numbers generated denote the elements that should be included in the sample

Fig. 11.4 cont. Systematic Sampling

11-23

1. Select a suitable sampling frame 2. Each element is assigned a number from 1 to N (pop. size)

3. Determine the sampling interval i:i=N/n. If i is a fraction, round to the nearest integer

4. Select a random number, r, between 1 and i, as explained in simple random sampling 5. The elements with the following numbers will comprise the systematic random sample: r, r+i,r+2i,r+3i,r+4i,...,r+(n-1)i

Fig. 11.4 cont. Stratified Sampling

11-24

2. Select the stratification variable(s) and the number of strata, H 3. Divide the entire population into H strata. Based on the classification variable, each element of the population is assigned to one of the H strata 4. In each stratum, number the elements from 1 to Nh (the pop. size of stratum h) 5. Determine the sample size of each stratum, nh, based on proportionate or disproportionate stratified sampling, where

H h=1

nh = n

Fig. 11.4 cont.

11-25

Cluster Sampling

1. Assign a number from 1 to N to each element in the population 2. Divide the population into C clusters of which c will be included in the sample 3. Calculate the sampling interval i, i=N/c (round to nearest integer) 4. Select a random number r between 1 and i, as explained in simple random sampling 5. Identify elements with the following numbers: r,r+i,r+2i,... r+(c-1)i 6. Select the clusters that contain the identified elements 7. Select sampling units within each selected cluster based on SRS or systematic sampling 8. Remove clusters exceeding sampling interval i. Calculate new population size N*, number of clusters to be selected C*= C-1, and new sampling interval i*.

11-26

Fig. 11.4 cont. Cluster Sampling

Repeat the process until each of the remaining clusters has a population less than the sampling interval. If b clusters have been selected with certainty, select the remaining cb clusters according to steps 1 through 7. The fraction of units to be sampled with certainty is the overall sampling fraction = n/N. Thus, for clusters selected with certainty, we would select ns=(n/N)(N1+N2+...+Nb) units. The units selected from clusters selected under PPS sampling will therefore be n*=n- ns.

Table 11.4 cont.

Factors Nature of research Relative magnitude of sampling and nonsampling errors Variability in the population Statistical considerations Operational considerations Conditions Favoring the Use of Nonprobability Probability sampling sampling Exploratory Nonsampling errors are larger Homogeneous (low) Unfavorable Favorable Conclusive Sampling errors are larger Heterogeneous (high) Favorable Unfavorable

11-27

11-28

Tennis magazine conducted a mail survey of its subscribers to gain a better understanding of its market. Systematic sampling was employed to select a sample of 1,472 subscribers from the publication's domestic circulation list. If we assume that the subscriber list had 1,472,000 names, the sampling interval would be 1,000 (1,472,000/1,472). A number from 1 to 1,000 was drawn at random. Beginning with that number, every 1,000th subscriber was selected. A brand-new dollar bill was included with the questionnaire as an incentive to respondents. An alert postcard was mailed one week before the survey. A second, follow-up, questionnaire was sent to the whole sample ten days after the initial questionnaire. There were 76 post office returns, so the net effective mailing was 1,396. Six weeks after the first mailing, 778 completed questionnaires were returned, yielding a response rate of 56%.

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