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Research Methods

Research Methods

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Published by: Megan Horswood Morrow on Sep 15, 2012
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04/05/2014

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Predict what grade you will get on your next quiz or test.

Rate on a scale 1-10, how confident you are about your prediction.

WHAT KIND OF SCIENTIST WOULD ANSWER THESE
QUESTIONS?

What parts of our brain do we use to feel happy?

How do we see color?

What happens in the brain when we dream?

In what ways does background noise affect our ability to pay attention?

WHAT KIND OF SCIENTIST WOULD ANSWER THESE
QUESTIONS?

Psychologists!!!!

OVERCONFIDENCE

We tend to be overconfident and think we know more than we do

Consider these three anagrams people were asked to unscramble:

WREAT = WATER
ETRYN = ENTRY
GRABE = BARGE

How many seconds do you think it would have taken you to unscramble

them?

OVERCONFIDENCE

Knowing the answer, hindsight makes it seem obvious, and people think it
would only take about 10 seconds, when in reality, people spend about
3 minutes to solve the problem.

OVERCONFIDENCE

OCHSA

OVERCONFIDENCE

CHAOS

Hindsight bias and overconfidence often lead us to overestimate our
intuition. But scientific inquiry can help us sift reality from illusion.

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