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Supply chain error analysis problems

1)
Let error, ei = xi - yi
Let w1, w2, w3 represent weights for each quarter.
By solving with x4 and y4 we are getting unbounded solution.
So, we consider x4 = x4-g4, y4=y4-h4
Our objective function becomes,
Minimize x4 + g4 + x5 + x6 + x7 + x8 + x9 + x10 + x11 + x12 + y4 + h4 + y5 + y6 + y7 + y8 + y9 + y10 + y11 +
y12 + 0w1 + 0w2 + 0w3
Subject To
5325w1 + 5405w2 + 5200w3 - x4 + g4 + y4 - h4>=5510
5325w1 + 5405w2 + 5200w3 - x4 + g4 + y4 - h4<=5510
5405w1 + 5200w2 + 5510w3 - x5 + y5>=5765
5405w1 + 5200w2 + 5510w3 - x5 + y5<=5765
5200w1 + 5510w2 + 5765w3 - x6 + y6>=5210
5200w1 + 5510w2 + 5765w3 - x6 + y6<=5210
5510w1 + 5765w2 + 5210w3 - x7 + y7>=5375
5510w1 + 5765w2 + 5210w3 - x7 + y7<=5375
5765w1 + 5210w2 + 5375w3 - x8 + y8>=5585
5765w1 + 5210w2 + 5375w3 - x8 + y8<=5585
5210w1 + 5375w2 + 5585w3 - x9 + y9>=5460
5210w1 + 5375w2 + 5585w3 - x9 + y9<=5460
5375w1 + 5585w2 + 5460w3 - x10 + y10>=4905
5375w1 + 5585w2 + 5460w3 - x10 + y10<=4905

5585w1 + 5460w2 + 4905w3 - x11 + y11>=5755


5585w1 + 5460w2 + 4905w3 - x11 + y11<=5755
5460w1 + 4905w2 + 5755w3 - x12 + y12>=6320
5460w1 + 4905w2 + 5755w3 - x12 + y12<=6320
w1 + w2 + w3 >=1
w1 + w2 + w3 <=1
w3 - w1>=0
w2 - w1>=0
w3 - w2>=0

OBJECTIVE FUNCTION VALUE


1)

3101.880

VARIABLE

VALUE

REDUCED COST

X4

0.000000

2.000000

G4

0.000000

0.000000

X5

0.000000

2.000000

X6

379.786316

0.000000

X7

17.692308

0.000000

X8

0.000000

2.000000

X9

0.000000

1.264957

X10

563.546997

X11

0.000000

2.000000

X12

0.000000

2.000000

Y4

239.487183

0.000000

H4

0.000000

0.000000

2.000000

Y5

343.675201

0.000000

Y6

0.000000

2.000000

Y7

0.000000

2.000000

Y8

161.923080

Y9

0.000000

0.735043

Y10

0.000000

2.000000

Y11

586.111084

0.000000

Y12

809.658142

0.000000

W1

0.213675

0.000000

W2

0.213675

0.000000

W3

0.572650

0.000000

0.000000

ROW SLACK OR SURPLUS

DUAL PRICES

2)

0.000000

-1.000000

3)

0.000000

0.000000

4)

0.000000

-1.000000

5)

0.000000

0.000000

6)

0.000000

0.000000

7)

0.000000

1.000000

8)

0.000000

0.000000

9)

0.000000

1.000000

10)

0.000000

-1.000000

11)

0.000000

0.000000

12)

0.000000

-0.264957

13)

0.000000

0.000000

14)

0.000000

0.000000

15)

0.000000

1.000000

16)

0.000000

-1.000000

17)

0.000000

0.000000

18)

0.000000

-1.000000

19)

0.000000

0.000000

20)

0.000000

0.000000

21)

0.000000

11789.786133

22)

0.358974

0.000000

23)

0.000000

-1045.640991

24)

0.358974

0.000000

NO. ITERATIONS=

26

Hence, the weights are


W1= .214, W2 =.214, W3= .572
Hence, forecast for month 13 is 4905(.214) + 5755(.214) + 6320(.572) = 5896.3