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TO: FROM: RE: DATE: Interested Parties Jefrey Pollock & Joe Hickerson MN 08 Survey Results October 8, 2012
The results of our survey of likely voters in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District show a tied race between Democrat Rick Nolan and Republican Congressman Chip Cravaack.
P O LL RE S ULTS
If the election for Congress was today, 42% of likely voters say they would vote for Rick Nolan, and 42% would vote for Chip Cravaack. Though the specific race is tied, a generic Democratic candidate for Congress leads a generic Republican candidate by three points, 43% to 40%. The race for U.S. Senate continues to show the potential for a Democrat in the district, as Democrat Amy Klobuchar leads Republican Kurt Bills here by 27 points, 58%-31%.
ME THO DO LO G Y
This memorandum summarizes results from a live telephone poll of 405 randomly selected likely voters in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District conducted August 21-23, 2012. The estimation error associated with a sample of 400 is 4.9% at the 95% confidence interval. This means that in 95 of 100 cases, the results of this poll are within plus or minus 4.9 points of the results that would have been obtained if all likely voters had been interviewed. Note that special care was taken to ensure the geographic and demographic divisions of the actual electorate are properly represented.
NEW YORK WASHINGTON, D.C. HARTFORD LOS ANGELES