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MEMORANDUM

TO: FROM: SUBJECT: DATE: BILL JOHNSON FOR CONGRESS / NRCC ROBERT BLIZZARD / NEIL NEWHOUSE RECENT POLLING DATA IN OHIO CD-6 OCTOBER 10, 2012

As you know, Public Opinion Strategies recently conducted a survey of 400 likely voters in Ohio Congressional District 6 on behalf of the Bill Johnson for Congress Campaign and the National Republican Congressional Committee. The poll was conducted September 26-27, 2012 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.9% in 95 out of 100 cases. KEY DATA Bill Johnson has a wide lead over Charlie Wilson. Freshman Congressman Bill Johnson has a wide 47%-39% lead over former Democratic Congressman Charlie Wilson. Wilson has significantly higher negatives than Johnson. While Johnson has a positive image (31%-21%), Wilsons negatives are ten points higher at this point the race giving the former Congressman a one-to-one favorable to unfavorable ratio (33%-31%). Make no mistake this district is voting for Mitt Romney by a large margin. Just 42% of voters in Ohios sixth district approve of the job President Obama is doing, with a strong majority saying they disapprove (54%). Further, Romney leads Obama by a 53%-39% margin on the presidential ballot. Clearly John McCains 53% in this district in 2008 will be just the floor of what Romneys support will be this November in the sixth district. BOTTOM LINE With less than four weeks to go, Bill Johnson has a wide lead and a more positive image in a district that will support Governor Romney by a significant margin on Election Day. Bottom line Bill Johnson is well-positioned to beat Charlie Wilson for a second time and return to Congress in January.
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