P. 1
Jamaica, OUR, Generation Expansion Plan, 8-2010

Jamaica, OUR, Generation Expansion Plan, 8-2010

|Views: 6|Likes:
Published by Detlef Loy

More info:

Published by: Detlef Loy on Oct 17, 2012
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

Availability:

Read on Scribd mobile: iPhone, iPad and Android.
download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
See more
See less

05/13/2014

pdf

text

original

Table 3.4-1: High Forecast – Net Generation and Net Peak Forecast (2010 – 2029)

Year

Net
Generation
(MWh)

Net Gen
Growth
Rate (%)

Load
Factor
(%)

Net
Peak
(MW)

Peak Growth
Rate
(%)

2009

4,213,983

2.2%

78%

619.9

2.7%

2010

4,321,214

2.5%

78%

635.7

2.5%

2011

4,503,073

4.2%

78%

659.4

3.7%

2012

4,728,639

5.0%

78%

689.5

4.6%

2013

4,971,610

5.1%

79%

722.3

4.7%

2014

5,254,511

5.7%

79%

760.9

5.3%

2015

5,606,396

6.7%

79%

809.4

6.4%

2016

5,979,749

6.7%

79%

861.0

6.4%

2017

6,372,128

6.6%

79%

915.3

6.3%

2018

6,786,523

6.5%

80%

972.7

6.3%

2019

7,222,889

6.4%

80%

1,033.3

6.2%

2020

7,683,046

6.4%

80%

1,097.2

6.2%

2021

8,167,861

6.3%

80%

1,164.7

6.1%

2022

8,678,883

6.3%

80%

1,235.8

6.1%

2023

9,217,413

6.2%

80%

1,310.9

6.1%

2024

9,785,047

6.2%

80%

1,390.1

6.0%

2025

10,383,376

6.1%

80%

1,473.6

6.0%

2026

11,014,170

6.1%

81%

1,561.8

6.0%

2027

11,679,284

6.0%

81%

1,654.8

6.0%

2028

12,380,722

6.0%

81%

1,752.9

5.9%

2029

13,120,615

6.0%

81%

1,856.5

5.9%

Under the high demand forecast, peak demand is projected to grow at an average rate of 5.6 %
per annum over the twenty year (20) year planning horizon (2010 to 2029). Net peak demand
expected for 2010 is 636 MW with the peak occurring during the summer period.

Net generation for 2010 is forecasted at 4,321.2 GWh. It is also projected to grow at an average
rate of 5.8 % per annum over the period 2010 to 2029.

Page | 31

Office of Utilities Regulation
Generation Expansion Plan 2010
ELE2010007_REP001

You're Reading a Free Preview

Download
scribd
/*********** DO NOT ALTER ANYTHING BELOW THIS LINE ! ************/ var s_code=s.t();if(s_code)document.write(s_code)//-->