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NV-Sen Mellman Group for Shelley Berkley (Oct. 2012)

NV-Sen Mellman Group for Shelley Berkley (Oct. 2012)

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Published by: Daily Kos Elections on Oct 18, 2012
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01/25/2013

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1023 31

st
Street, NW • •• • Fifth Floor • •• • Washington, DC 20007
ph 202-625-0370 • •• • fx 202-625-0371 • •• • www.mellmangroup.com

     





1o: 1he 8erk|ey Campa|gn
Irom: 1he Me||man Group, Inc.
ke: Update Cn 1he Nevada Senate kace
Date: Cctober 18, 2012

This analysis represents the findings of a statewide survey of the likely November 2012 electorate in Nevada using a registration-
based sample including cell phones and landlines. Six hundred interviews were conducted by telephone between October 15-17,
2012. The margin of error for each question is +/-4% at a 95% level of confidence.

As you know, every publlc poll ln Lhe 2010 SenaLe race proved Lo be far off Lhe mark. So lL ls wlLh
Lhe 2012 polllng. Cur resulLs reveal LhaL Congresswoman Shelley 8erkley conLlnues Lo hold a
narrow lead ln nevada's 2012 SenaLe race. 8erkley malnLalns a 3-polnL lead over uean Peller, wlLh
8erkley aL 41° compared Lo Peller's 38° - vlrLually unchanged from Lhe 3-polnL margln 8erkley
held lasL week. vander8eek conLlnues Lo malnLaln 3° of Lhe voLe share, whlle 4° of Lhe
elecLoraLe would choose ºnone of Lhe above".

1he fundamenLals of Lhe
race remaln sLeady. 8oLh
8erkley and Peller have
consolldaLed Lhelr bases,
whlle lndependenLs are
sLlll dlvlded (33° for each
candldaLe). uemocraLs'
90,000 person
reglsLraLlon advanLage
over 8epubllcans and a
superlor LurnouL
operaLlon also work Lo
8erkley's advanLage.

1hls remalns a close race
buL one ln whlch 8erkley
now en[oys a sllghL
advanLage.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Berkley Heller Vander Beek None of Above Undecided
41%
38%
5%
4%
11%
Berkley Maintains A Narrow Lead Over Heller
Senate Vote

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