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2012 BMO Housing Confidence Report

2012 BMO Housing Confidence Report

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Published by: Anonymous kBhcD3BHX on Oct 23, 2012
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12/04/2012

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2012 BMO Housing Confidence Report

A Tale of Three Cities Intentions to buy in the Greater Toronto Area 57%, Calgary 62% and Vancouver 53% within five years are significantly outpacing the national average 46% Intent by Sensitivity However, buying intentions drops significantly from 46% to 36% in the event of a 5% increase in house prices Downsizing Of those intending to buy, one in five, 18%, plan to either downsize to a smaller home or sell their home and 10% plan to move into a rental property, retirement community, or move in with family in the same time period Real Estate Investment One-in-five, 21%, plan to purchase an addition property for income, investment, or recreation “Given that Vancouver is one of
the priciest markets in the world, it’s not surprising that many people expect at least some correction,” said Sal Guatieri, Senior Economist, BMO Capital Markets.

+ 0.2% + 2.1% + 2.0% + 3.0% + 2.3% + 2.5% + 1.7%

494,213

355,127

256,363

379,900

277,423

12-Month Price Expectations

355,777

NATIONAL

BC

AB

MB/SK

ON

QC

Homeowners in the GTA expect prices to rise by 2%, while those in Calgary expect a larger increase of 2.4%. However, 27% of Vancouver residents expect prices to decrease in the next year.

Mortgage Affordability

• Over half, 55%, of all mortgage holders have made cutbacks to spending, while 17% have dipped into savings over the past year to make mortgage payments • However, while homeowners are nearly unanimous in their view that debt is a serious problem facing Canada, just 19% feel household debt is a serious problem for them

194,388
ATL

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