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Scripps Florida Senate Poll

Scripps Florida Senate Poll

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Published by ABCActionNews
The result of a Scripps/Public Policy poll on the U.S. Senate race in Florida.
The result of a Scripps/Public Policy poll on the U.S. Senate race in Florida.

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Published by: ABCActionNews on Oct 23, 2012
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October 17-18, 2012

Survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
Survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Florida Survey Results
Q1 The candidates for President are Democrat
Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. If
the election was today, who would you vote
for?
47%
Barack Obama................................................
48%
Mitt Romney....................................................
4%
Undecided.......................................................
Q2 (Asked of Obama and Romney voters:) Would
you say you strongly support your candidate,
somewhat support your candidate, or do you
think you might change your mind before
Election Day?
93%
Strongly support..............................................
6%
Somewhat support ..........................................
2%
Might change your mind..................................
Q3 Which candidate do you think will do a better
job handling the economy?
46%
Barack Obama................................................
49%
Mitt Romney....................................................
4%
Not sure..........................................................
Q4 Thinking about the presidential election, would
you say you are very enthusiastic, somewhat
enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not
enthusiastic at all about voting?
80%
Very enthusiastic.............................................
13%
Somewhat enthusiastic...................................
5%
Not too enthusiastic ........................................
2%
Not enthusiastic at all .....................................
Q5 In determining how you will vote in November,
what issue is most important for you:
government ethics and corruption, jobs and the
economy, energy policy, education, health
care, immigration, national security and the war
on terror, social security, taxes, or something
else?
14%
Government ethics and corruption..................
51%
Jobs and the economy....................................
4%
Energy policy ..................................................
6%
Education........................................................
13%
Health care .....................................................
2%
Immigration.....................................................
3%
National security and the War on Terror..........
3%
Social Security................................................
2%
Taxes ..............................................................
3%
Something else/Not sure.................................
Q6 Did you watch the Presidential debate on
Tuesday night, or not?
91%
Watched the debate........................................
9%
Did not watch the debate ................................
Q7 Regardless of who you plan to vote for, who do
you think won the debate Tuesday?
50%
Barack Obama................................................
42%
Mitt Romney....................................................
9%
Not sure..........................................................
Q8 Did Tuesday's debate make you more likely to
vote for Barack Obama than you were before,
more likely to vote for Mitt Romney than you
were before, or did it not make a difference?
31%
More likely to vote for Obama.........................
34%
More likely to vote for Romney .......................
35%
Made no difference.........................................
October 17-18, 2012
Survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
Survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Q9 What has been the most influential factor in
deciding who you’ll vote for President this year:
political advertising, the conventions, the
debates, something else, you knew all along
who you’d vote for, or you still don’t know who
you’ll vote for?
3%
Political advertising.........................................
7%
The conventions .............................................
19%
The debates....................................................
28%
Something else...............................................
42%
Known all along who I'll vote for......................
2%
Still don't know who I'll vote for ......................
Q10 The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat
Bill Nelson and Republican Connie Mack IV. If
the election were today, who would you vote
for?
45%
Bill Nelson.......................................................
41%
Connie Mack IV ..............................................
14%
Undecided.......................................................
Q11 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick
Scott is handling his job as Governor?
36%
Approve ..........................................................
46%
Disapprove......................................................
19%
Not sure..........................................................
Q12 Do you support or oppose the creation of
casinos in Florida, similar to those in Atlantic
City and Las Vegas?
45%
Support ...........................................................
41%
Oppose...........................................................
14%
Not sure..........................................................
Q13 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
55%
Woman ...........................................................
45%
Man.................................................................
Q14 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
43%
Democrat ........................................................
38%
Republican......................................................
20%
Independent/Other ..........................................
Q15 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If
African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.
16%
Hispanic..........................................................
65%
White ..............................................................
14%
African-American ............................................
5%
Other...............................................................
Q16 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older
than 65, press 4.
15%
18 to 29...........................................................
27%
30 to 45...........................................................
34%
46 to 65...........................................................
24%
Older than 65..................................................
Q17 What area of Florida do you live in: North
Florida or the Panhandle, Orlando area or the
Central Atlantic Coast, the Tampa Bay area,
South Central Florida, or Miami and South
Florida?
26%
North Florida or the Panhandle.......................
22%
Orlando area or Central Atlantic Coast ...........
19%
Tampa Bay area..............................................
11%
South Central Florida......................................
22%
Miami or South Florida....................................
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Gender
Woman Man
Obama/Romney
Bar ack Obama
Mit t Romney
Undecided

47% 50% 44%
48% 45% 52%
4% 5% 3%

Base
Gender
Woman Man
St r ongly/Somewhat
Suppor t Candidat e
or Might Change
Mind?
St r ongly suppor t
Somewhat suppor t
Might change your
mind

93% 93% 92%
6% 5% 6%
2% 2% 2%

Base
Gender
Woman Man
Bet t er on Econ.
Bar ack Obama
Mit t Romney
Not sur e

46% 48% 44%
49% 47% 52%
4% 5% 4%

Base
Gender
Woman Man
Vot er Ent husiasm
Ver y ent husiast ic
Somewhat
ent husiast ic
Not t oo ent husiast ic
Not ent husiast ic at
all

80% 81% 78%
13% 11% 15%
5% 5% 5%
2% 3% 1%
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Gender
Woman Man
Most Impor t ant
Issue
Gover nment et hics
and cor r upt ion
Jobs and t he
economy
Ener gy policy
Educat ion
Healt h car e
Immigr at ion
Nat ional secur it y and
t he War on Ter r or
Social Secur it y
Taxes
Somet hing else/Not
sur e

14% 13% 15%
51% 51% 52%
4% 1% 7%
6% 7% 5%
13% 13% 12%
2% 2% 1%
3% 3% 3%
3% 4% 2%
2% 1% 2%
3% 4% 2%

Base
Gender
Woman Man
Wat ched Tues.
Debat e?
Wat ched t he debat e
Did not wat ch t he
debat e

91% 89% 93%
9% 11% 7%

Base
Gender
Woman Man
Who Won?
Bar ack Obama
Mit t Romney
Not sur e

50% 50% 49%
42% 42% 42%
9% 8% 9%

Base
Gender
Woman Man
Mor e Likely t o Vot e
f or Obama or
Romney Af t er
Debat e?
Mor e likely t o vot e
f or Obama
Mor e likely t o vot e
f or Romney
Made no dif f er ence

31% 32% 30%
34% 34% 34%
35% 34% 36%
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Gender
Woman Man
Most Inf luent ial
Fact or in
Pr esident ial Choice
Polit ical adver t ising
The convent ions
The debat es
Somet hing else
Known all along who
I' ll vot e f or
St ill don' t know who
I' ll vot e f or

3% 3% 3%
7% 8% 5%
19% 19% 20%
28% 24% 33%
42% 44% 39%
2% 2% 1%

Base
Gender
Woman Man
Nelson/Mack
Bill Nelson
Connie Mack IV
Undecided

45% 47% 43%
41% 37% 46%
14% 16% 11%

Base
Gender
Woman Man
Scot t Appr oval
Appr ove
Disappr ove
Not sur e

36% 33% 39%
46% 46% 45%
19% 21% 15%

Base
Gender
Woman Man
Suppor t /Oppose
Casinos in FL
Suppor t
Oppose
Not sur e

45% 40% 52%
41% 42% 39%
14% 18% 9%
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican Independent/Other
Obama/Romney
Bar ack Obama
Mit t Romney
Undecided

47% 81% 9% 47%
48% 15% 87% 46%
4% 4% 4% 7%

Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican Independent/Other
St r ongly/Somewhat
Suppor t Candidate
or Might Change
Mind?
St r ongly suppor t
Somewhat suppor t
Might change your
mind

93% 96% 94% 82%
6% 4% 5% 12%
2% 0% 1% 5%

Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican Independent/Other
Bet t er on Econ.
Bar ack Obama
Mit t Romney
Not sur e

46% 79% 12% 39%
49% 17% 84% 54%
4% 4% 4% 7%

Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican Independent/Other
Vot er Ent husiasm
Ver y ent husiast ic
Somewhat
ent husiast ic
Not t oo ent husiast ic
Not ent husiast ic at
all

80% 81% 83% 70%
13% 10% 14% 19%
5% 5% 3% 9%
2% 4% 0% 2%
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican Independent/Other
Most Impor t ant
Issue
Gover nment et hics
and cor r uption
Jobs and the
economy
Ener gy policy
Educat ion
Healt h car e
Immigr at ion
Nat ional secur it y and
the War on Ter r or
Social Secur it y
Taxes
Somet hing else/Not
sur e

14% 12% 13% 23%
51% 45% 65% 38%
4% 4% 4% 3%
6% 8% 2% 11%
13% 20% 6% 10%
2% 2% 1% 2%
3% 2% 3% 4%
3% 5% 1% 3%
2% 1% 2% 2%
3% 3% 2% 5%

Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican Independent/Other
Wat ched Tues.
Debat e?
Wat ched t he debat e
Did not wat ch t he
debat e

91% 90% 92% 91%
9% 10% 8% 9%

Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican Independent/Other
Who Won?
Bar ack Obama
Mit t Romney
Not sur e

50% 83% 16% 44%
42% 14% 72% 43%
9% 4% 12% 12%

Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican Independent/Other
Mor e Likely t o Vot e
f or Obama or
Romney Af t er
Debat e?
Mor e likely t o vot e
f or Obama
Mor e likely t o vot e
f or Romney
Made no dif f er ence

31% 53% 9% 27%
34% 12% 56% 38%
35% 35% 35% 35%
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican Independent/Other
Most Inf luent ial
Fact or in
Pr esidential Choice
Polit ical adver t ising
The conventions
The debates
Somet hing else
Known all along who
I' ll vot e f or
St ill don' t know who
I' ll vot e f or

3% 4% 2% 3%
7% 7% 5% 8%
19% 15% 22% 25%
28% 20% 30% 39%
42% 51% 41% 22%
2% 3% 0% 2%

Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican Independent/Other
Nelson/Mack
Bill Nelson
Connie Mack IV
Undecided

45% 75% 16% 37%
41% 11% 75% 41%
14% 14% 9% 22%

Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican Independent/Other
Scot t Appr oval
Appr ove
Disappr ove
Not sur e

36% 16% 57% 38%
46% 69% 25% 36%
19% 15% 19% 26%

Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican Independent/Other
Suppor t /Oppose
Casinos in FL
Suppor t
Oppose
Not sur e

45% 45% 46% 44%
41% 40% 40% 43%
14% 15% 13% 13%
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e
Af r ican-
Amer ican Ot her
Obama/Romney
Bar ack Obama
Mit t Romney
Undecided

47% 46% 38% 89% 50%
48% 49% 57% 10% 40%
4% 5% 5% 1% 10%

Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e
Af r ican-
Amer ican Ot her
St r ongly/Somewhat
Suppor t Candidat e
or Might Change
Mind?
St r ongly suppor t
Somewhat suppor t
Might change your
mind

93% 96% 93% 89% 85%
6% 4% 5% 8% 11%
2% 0% 2% 3% 4%

Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e
Af r ican-
Amer ican Ot her
Bet t er on Econ.
Bar ack Obama
Mit t Romney
Not sur e

46% 46% 38% 82% 45%
49% 47% 58% 13% 48%
4% 8% 3% 5% 7%

Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e
Af r ican-
Amer ican Ot her
Vot er Ent husiasm
Ver y ent husiast ic
Somewhat
ent husiast ic
Not t oo ent husiast ic
Not ent husiast ic at
all

80% 82% 79% 82% 80%
13% 12% 14% 13% 4%
5% 2% 5% 5% 12%
2% 5% 2% - 3%
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e
Af r ican-
Amer ican Ot her
Most Impor t ant
Issue
Gover nment et hics
and cor r upt ion
Jobs and t he
economy
Ener gy policy
Educat ion
Healt h car e
Immigr at ion
Nat ional secur it y and
t he War on Ter r or
Social Secur it y
Taxes
Somet hing else/Not
sur e

14% 16% 13% 16% 18%
51% 50% 53% 48% 42%
4% 3% 4% 3% 4%
6% 6% 4% 18% 2%
13% 7% 14% 12% 21%
2% 7% 1% - -
3% 2% 4% 0% -
3% 0% 4% 1% 3%
2% 2% 1% - 7%
3% 8% 2% 2% 2%

Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e
Af r ican-
Amer ican Ot her
Wat ched Tues.
Debat e?
Wat ched t he debat e
Did not wat ch t he
debat e

91% 92% 90% 92% 97%
9% 8% 10% 8% 3%

Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e
Af r ican-
Amer ican Ot her
Who Won?
Bar ack Obama
Mit t Romney
Not sur e

50% 50% 40% 89% 54%
42% 42% 49% 11% 38%
9% 8% 11% - 8%

Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e
Af r ican-
Amer ican Ot her
Mor e Likely t o Vot e
f or Obama or
Romney Af t er
Debat e?
Mor e likely t o vot e
f or Obama
Mor e likely t o vot e
f or Romney
Made no dif f er ence

31% 39% 21% 62% 40%
34% 42% 38% 10% 31%
35% 19% 41% 28% 30%
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e
Af r ican-
Amer ican Ot her
Most Inf luent ial
Fact or in
Pr esident ial Choice
Polit ical adver t ising
The convent ions
The debat es
Somet hing else
Known all along who
I' ll vot e f or
St ill don' t know who
I' ll vot e f or

3% 7% 1% 8% 8%
7% 6% 6% 12% 1%
19% 28% 17% 20% 24%
28% 24% 30% 21% 23%
42% 32% 44% 39% 43%
2% 2% 2% - 1%

Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e
Af r ican-
Amer ican Ot her
Nelson/Mack
Bill Nelson
Connie Mack IV
Undecided

45% 45% 40% 67% 50%
41% 40% 48% 14% 35%
14% 16% 12% 19% 15%

Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e
Af r ican-
Amer ican Ot her
Scot t Appr oval
Appr ove
Disappr ove
Not sur e

36% 35% 41% 18% 26%
46% 37% 44% 67% 40%
19% 27% 16% 16% 34%

Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e
Af r ican-
Amer ican Ot her
Suppor t /Oppose
Casinos in FL
Suppor t
Oppose
Not sur e

45% 45% 46% 48% 32%
41% 43% 42% 30% 44%
14% 13% 12% 23% 24%
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Age
18 t o
29
30 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Obama/Romney
Bar ack Obama
Mit t Romney
Undecided

47% 62% 47% 43% 45%
48% 29% 49% 54% 51%
4% 10% 4% 3% 4%

Base
Age
18 t o
29
30 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
St r ongly/Somewhat
Suppor t Candidat e
or Might Change
Mind?
St r ongly suppor t
Somewhat suppor t
Might change your
mind

93% 92% 90% 93% 95%
6% 8% 6% 6% 4%
2% - 4% 1% 1%

Base
Age
18 t o
29
30 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Bet t er on Econ.
Bar ack Obama
Mit t Romney
Not sur e

46% 60% 45% 43% 43%
49% 31% 49% 55% 53%
4% 10% 5% 2% 3%

Base
Age
18 t o
29
30 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Vot er Ent husiasm
Ver y ent husiast ic
Somewhat
ent husiast ic
Not t oo ent husiast ic
Not ent husiast ic at
all

80% 71% 83% 79% 83%
13% 12% 12% 14% 13%
5% 5% 5% 6% 3%
2% 12% - 1% 1%
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Age
18 t o
29
30 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Most Impor t ant
Issue
Gover nment et hics
and cor r upt ion
Jobs and t he
economy
Ener gy policy
Educat ion
Healt h car e
Immigr at ion
Nat ional secur it y and
t he War on Ter r or
Social Secur it y
Taxes
Somet hing else/Not
sur e

14% 19% 15% 11% 15%
51% 43% 56% 56% 45%
4% 2% 4% 4% 4%
6% 7% 9% 4% 4%
13% 10% 7% 15% 19%
2% 7% - 1% 1%
3% 2% 3% 2% 4%
3% 5% 1% 2% 5%
2% - 4% 1% 1%
3% 5% 1% 4% 3%

Base
Age
18 t o
29
30 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Wat ched Tues.
Debat e?
Wat ched t he debat e
Did not wat ch t he
debat e

91% 93% 93% 89% 91%
9% 7% 7% 11% 9%

Base
Age
18 t o
29
30 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Who Won?
Bar ack Obama
Mit t Romney
Not sur e

50% 59% 51% 46% 47%
42% 33% 42% 45% 43%
9% 8% 7% 9% 10%

Base
Age
18 t o
29
30 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Mor e Likely t o Vot e
f or Obama or
Romney Af t er
Debat e?
Mor e likely t o vot e
f or Obama
Mor e likely t o vot e
f or Romney
Made no dif f er ence

31% 46% 34% 21% 31%
34% 31% 34% 34% 36%
35% 23% 31% 45% 34%
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Age
18 t o
29
30 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Most Inf luent ial
Fact or in
Pr esident ial Choice
Polit ical adver t ising
The convent ions
The debat es
Somet hing else
Known all along who
I' ll vot e f or
St ill don' t know who
I' ll vot e f or

3% 5% 3% 2% 4%
7% 14% 5% 5% 5%
19% 24% 27% 14% 17%
28% 19% 24% 35% 27%
42% 33% 40% 43% 46%
2% 5% 1% 1% 1%

Base
Age
18 t o
29
30 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Nelson/Mack
Bill Nelson
Connie Mack IV
Undecided

45% 48% 43% 44% 49%
41% 24% 41% 46% 44%
14% 29% 16% 10% 7%

Base
Age
18 t o
29
30 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Scot t Appr oval
Appr ove
Disappr ove
Not sur e

36% 31% 29% 40% 40%
46% 45% 45% 47% 44%
19% 24% 25% 13% 17%

Base
Age
18 t o
29
30 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Suppor t /Oppose
Casinos in FL
Suppor t
Oppose
Not sur e

45% 36% 61% 43% 36%
41% 45% 31% 41% 48%
14% 19% 8% 16% 16%
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Location
Nor t h Flor ida or
t he Panhandle
Or lando ar ea or
Centr al Atlantic Coast
Tampa
Bay ar ea
South Cent r al
Flor ida
Miami or
South Flor ida
Obama/Romney
Bar ack Obama
Mit t Romney
Undecided

47% 51% 45% 47% 35% 51%
48% 48% 48% 49% 55% 44%
4% 1% 6% 4% 9% 5%

Base
Location
Nor t h Flor ida or
t he Panhandle
Or lando ar ea or
Centr al Atlantic Coast
Tampa
Bay ar ea
South Cent r al
Flor ida
Miami or
South Flor ida
St r ongly/Somewhat
Suppor t Candidat e
or Might Change
Mind?
Str ongly suppor t
Somewhat suppor t
Might change your
mind

93% 97% 93% 89% 93% 90%
6% 2% 4% 9% 7% 9%
2% 2% 3% 2% - 1%

Base
Location
Nor t h Flor ida or
t he Panhandle
Or lando ar ea or
Centr al Atlantic Coast
Tampa
Bay ar ea
South Cent r al
Flor ida
Miami or
South Flor ida
Bet ter on Econ.
Bar ack Obama
Mit t Romney
Not sur e

46% 50% 46% 45% 37% 47%
49% 48% 49% 52% 52% 48%
4% 2% 5% 3% 11% 5%

Base
Location
Nor t h Flor ida or
t he Panhandle
Or lando ar ea or
Centr al Atlantic Coast
Tampa
Bay ar ea
South Cent r al
Flor ida
Miami or
South Flor ida
Vot er Enthusiasm
Ver y ent husiastic
Somewhat
ent husiastic
Not t oo enthusiast ic
Not ent husiastic at
all

80% 84% 82% 72% 80% 78%
13% 10% 12% 21% 13% 11%
5% 5% 3% 7% 3% 7%
2% 1% 2% 1% 4% 4%
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Location
Nor t h Flor ida or
t he Panhandle
Or lando ar ea or
Centr al Atlantic Coast
Tampa
Bay ar ea
South Cent r al
Flor ida
Miami or
South Flor ida
Most Impor t ant
Issue
Gover nment et hics
and cor r upt ion
Jobs and t he
economy
Ener gy policy
Educat ion
Healt h car e
Immigr ation
Nat ional secur it y and
the War on Ter r or
Social Secur it y
Taxes
Somet hing else/Not
sur e

14% 15% 16% 14% 16% 11%
51% 49% 47% 48% 54% 60%
4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 2%
6% 10% 6% 2% 7% 3%
13% 9% 14% 20% 9% 11%
2% - 3% 1% - 4%
3% 3% 1% 4% 3% 3%
3% 2% 4% 3% 5% 2%
2% 3% 2% 1% 1% -
3% 3% 4% 3% - 3%

Base
Location
Nor t h Flor ida or
t he Panhandle
Or lando ar ea or
Centr al Atlantic Coast
Tampa
Bay ar ea
South Cent r al
Flor ida
Miami or
South Flor ida
Wat ched Tues.
Debate?
Wat ched t he debat e
Did not watch the
debate

91% 91% 91% 88% 94% 93%
9% 9% 9% 12% 6% 7%

Base
Location
Nor t h Flor ida or
t he Panhandle
Or lando ar ea or
Centr al Atlantic Coast
Tampa
Bay ar ea
South Cent r al
Flor ida
Miami or
South Flor ida
Who Won?
Bar ack Obama
Mit t Romney
Not sur e

50% 53% 48% 48% 44% 51%
42% 43% 42% 43% 50% 35%
9% 4% 10% 9% 5% 13%

Base
Location
Nor t h Flor ida or
t he Panhandle
Or lando ar ea or
Centr al Atlantic Coast
Tampa
Bay ar ea
South Cent r al
Flor ida
Miami or
South Flor ida
Mor e Likely to Vot e
for Obama or
Romney Aft er
Debate?
Mor e likely to vot e
for Obama
Mor e likely to vot e
for Romney
Made no dif fer ence

31% 32% 33% 25% 21% 36%
34% 36% 33% 29% 38% 34%
35% 31% 33% 46% 41% 30%
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
October 17-18, 2012
survey of 800 likely voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Location
Nor t h Flor ida or
t he Panhandle
Or lando ar ea or
Centr al Atlantic Coast
Tampa
Bay ar ea
South Cent r al
Flor ida
Miami or
South Flor ida
Most Inf luent ial
Factor in
Pr esident ial Choice
Political adver tising
The conventions
The debat es
Somet hing else
Known all along who
I' ll vote f or
Still don' t know who
I' ll vote f or

3% 4% - 3% 6% 3%
7% 10% 6% 7% 6% 3%
19% 13% 24% 17% 22% 23%
28% 26% 24% 32% 27% 29%
42% 47% 45% 39% 35% 38%
2% - 1% 2% 4% 3%

Base
Location
Nor t h Flor ida or
t he Panhandle
Or lando ar ea or
Centr al Atlantic Coast
Tampa
Bay ar ea
South Cent r al
Flor ida
Miami or
South Flor ida
Nelson/Mack
Bill Nelson
Connie Mack IV
Undecided

45% 44% 47% 52% 34% 45%
41% 41% 44% 37% 49% 37%
14% 15% 9% 11% 17% 18%

Base
Location
Nor t h Flor ida or
t he Panhandle
Or lando ar ea or
Centr al Atlantic Coast
Tampa
Bay ar ea
South Cent r al
Flor ida
Miami or
South Flor ida
Scott Appr oval
Appr ove
Disappr ove
Not sur e

36% 46% 34% 30% 38% 29%
46% 41% 50% 52% 36% 46%
19% 13% 16% 18% 26% 25%

Base
Location
Nor t h Flor ida or
t he Panhandle
Or lando ar ea or
Centr al Atlantic Coast
Tampa
Bay ar ea
South Cent r al
Flor ida
Miami or
South Flor ida
Suppor t /Oppose
Casinos in FL
Suppor t
Oppose
Not sur e

45% 44% 45% 36% 48% 54%
41% 39% 45% 46% 35% 36%
14% 17% 10% 18% 17% 10%

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