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NY-25 GBA Strategies for DCCC (Oct. 2012)

NY-25 GBA Strategies for DCCC (Oct. 2012)

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Published by: Daily Kos Elections on Oct 23, 2012
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10/31/2012

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From: GBA Strategies Date: October 19, 2012

NY-25: Slaughter Widens Her Lead
A new survey1 in New York’s new 25th Congressional District shows that despite the onslaught of attack ads from outside special interests, Democratic Congresswoman Louise Slaughter has increased her lead over Republican challenger Maggie Brooks and remains the favorite to win reelection next month. Slaughter now holds a 10-point lead, 53 – 43 percent, up from a 6-point lead in August when she led 52 – 46 percent. Furthermore, 39 percent say they are very certain to vote for Slaughter, compared to 27 percent for Brooks. Slaughter continues to earn high marks from voters, holding a favorable to unfavorable ratio of 48 – 36 percent. By contrast, as voters have learned more about Brook’s record as Monroe County Executive, her standing has taken a steep downturn. She now holds a 40 – 41 percent favorability ratio, down from 57 – 31 percent two months ago.
Congressional Vote

60
50 40 30 20 10 0

53 43

Slaughter

Brooks

Slaughter also continues to be praised on her job performance as Congresswoman, with 53 percent giving her an excellent or good job approval rating. Meanwhile, Brooks’ excellent/good rating as Monroe County Executive has dropped from 57 percent in August to now just 48 percent. Furthermore, the district continues to be poor terrain for Republicans, with President Obama maintaining a 14-point lead over Mitt Romney, 54 – 40 percent. With the election less than three weeks away, and Slaughter widening her lead, this district increasingly looks to be a hold for Democrats in November.

1

This survey of NY-25 was conducted by GBA Strategies from October 17–18, 2012. It interviewed 400 likely voters for the November elections on both landlines and cell phones. Results are subject to a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percent at the 95 percent confidence interval.

1901 L Street, NW Suite 702, Washington, DC 20036

| Tel: 202-621-1411

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gbastrategies.com

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