CVOTER International : US 2012 : Projections

Vote Share
% Last Polls
Current Vote Projection
SWING

Turnout
57
57
0

Dem Ticket
53
49
-4

Rep Ticket
46
47
1

OBAMA
ROMNEY

285
253

Electoral College
Stronghold
Leaning
Total

OBAMA
223
62
285

ROMNEY
180
73
253

Carried States
States Carried in 2008
States Lead in 2012
CHANGE

Dem Ticket
29
25
-4

Rep Ticket
22
26
4

TOTAL
50+1
50+1

OBAMA
ROMNEY

49%
47%

Average Swing
Rep Strongholds
Dem Strongholds
Toss-Up States

OBAMA
2
-5
-3

ROMNEY
-2
4
3

MULTIPLE_psephometer@oct_24

CVOTER International : US 2012 : Republican Strongholds
No
1
2
3
4
11
13
17
18
19
25
26
27
28
35
37
41
42
43
44
45
49
51

State
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
Georgia
Idaho
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
West Virginia
Wyoming
Grand Total

MULTIPLE_psephometer@oct_24

Obama_08
39
38
45
39
47
36
42
41
40
43
49
47
42
45
34
45
45
42
44
34
43
33

McCain_08
60
59
53
59
52
61
56
57
59
56
49
49
57
53
66
54
53
57
55
62
56
65

Obama_12
41
40
46
42
47
39
43
43
42
44
48
46
43
44
39
45
45
43
45
39
44
37

Romney_12
58
57
52
55
52
58
55
56
57
55
51
51
55
53
61
53
53
55
53
57
54
60

Obama-Swing
2
2
1
3
0
3
1
2
2
1
-2
-1
1
0
5
0
0
2
2
5
2
4
2

Romney-Swing
-3
-2
-1
-3
0
-3
-1
-2
-2
-1
1
1
-1
0
-5
-1
0
-2
-2
-5
-2
-4
-2

Obama_ECV
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Romney_ECV
9
3
11
6
16
4
6
8
8
6
10
3
5
3
7
9
3
11
38
6
5
3
180

Total_ECV
9
3
11
6
16
4
6
8
8
6
10
3
5
3
7
9
3
11
38
6
5
3
180

CVOTER International : US 2012 : Democrat Strongholds
No
5
7
8
9
12
14
20
21
22
23
29
31
32
33
38
40
46
48
50

State
California
Connecticut
Delaware
D. C.
Hawaii
Illinois
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Nevada
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
Oregon
Rhode Island
Vermont
Washington
Wisconsin
Grand Total

MULTIPLE_psephometer@oct_24

Obama_08
61
61
62
92
72
62
58
62
62
57
55
57
57
63
57
63
67
57
56

McCain_08
37
38
37
7
27
37
40
36
36
41
43
42
42
36
40
35
30
40
42

Obama_12
55
55
56
90
70
56
54
56
56
54
52
53
53
57
53
57
60
53
53

Romney_12
43
43
43
9
28
42
44
42
42
44
46
45
46
42
44
41
37
45
46

Obama-Swing
-6
-5
-6
-2
-2
-5
-4
-6
-6
-4
-4
-4
-4
-6
-4
-6
-7
-4
-4
-5

Romney-Swing
6
5
6
2
1
5
4
6
6
4
3
4
4
6
4
6
7
4
4
4

Obama_ECV
55
7
3
3
4
20
4
10
11
16
6
14
5
29
7
4
3
12
10
223

Romney_ECV
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Total_ECV
55
7
3
3
4
20
4
10
11
16
6
14
5
29
7
4
3
12
10
223

CVOTER International : US 2012 : Toss-Up States
No
6
10
15
16
24
30
34
36
39
47

State
Colorado
Florida
Indiana
Iowa
Minnesota
New Hampshire
North Carolina
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Grand Total

MULTIPLE_psephometer@oct_24

Obama_08
54
51
50
54
54
54
50
51
54
53

McCain_08
45
48
49
44
44
45
49
47
44
46

Obama_12
50
49
48
51
51
51
48
49
51
50

Romney_12
48
50
50
48
47
48
51
49
47
49

Obama-Swing
-3
-2
-1
-3
-3
-3
-2
-3
-3
-3
-3

Romney-Swing
3
2
1
3
3
3
2
2
3
3
3

Obama_ECV
9
0
0
6
10
4
0
0
20
13
62

Romney_ECV
0
29
11
0
0
0
15
18
0
0
73

Total_ECV
9
29
11
6
10
4
15
18
20
13
135