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FL-18 FrederickPolls for Patrick Murphy (Oct. 2012)

FL-18 FrederickPolls for Patrick Murphy (Oct. 2012)

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Published by: Daily Kos Elections on Oct 24, 2012
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08/30/2014

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FREDERICKpolls

TO: FROM: DATE: RE:

Patrick Murphy Campaign Keith Frederick FrederickPolls, LLC October 23, 2012 Track Poll Results. Florida 18th CD. n=333; October 16-17, 2012. Margin of Error: 5.3%

Congressional Vote. Patrick Murphy (D) Allen West (R) Undecided 47% 47% 6%

The Florida 18th Congressional District race is a dead heat heading into the final stretch. Some internals: • Murphy leads the Independent vote by a 10-point margin. This cancels out the District’s +3 Republican registration advantage and blunts West’s ability to build a lead. • In fact, consistent with previous polls, the “generic ballot” has a +4 Democratic over Republican (34% to 30%) advantage. • Allen West (93% name recognition) is better known than Patrick Murphy (80% name recognition) but West -- as the incumbent -- fails to hit the 50% threshold. Ballot Vote. • • Presidential Vote: Obama 48%, Romney, 48%, Undecided 4%. U.S. Senate Vote: Nelson 50%, Mack 37%, Undecided 13%.

2101 Wilson Blvd., Suite 104 Arlington, VA 22201 (703) 528-3031 (p) (703) 528-1204 (f) Keith@FrederickPolls.com www.FrederickPolls.com

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