P. 1
NJ CC Poll Topline Results October 29

NJ CC Poll Topline Results October 29

|Views: 1,446|Likes:
Published by nationaljournal

More info:

Published by: nationaljournal on Oct 31, 2012
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

Availability:

Read on Scribd mobile: iPhone, iPad and Android.
download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
See more
See less

11/01/2012

pdf

text

original

October 2012 Omnibus Week 4 Princeton Survey Research Associates International for National Journal Final Topline Results

October 29, 2012 Total: LV: RV: 1,010 adults age 18 and older Margin of error: Plus or minus 3.7 percentage points 713 adults age 18 and older Margin of error: Plus or minus 4.4 percentage points 869 adults age 18 and older Margin of error: Plus or minus 4.0 percentage points

Interviewing dates: October 25-28, 2012 LANDLINE INTRO: Hello, my name is ________ and I'm calling for Princeton Survey Research. We’re conducting a study about some important issues today, and would like to include your household. RANDOMIZE RESPONDENT SELECTION - DO NOT RANDOMIZE BY FORM: “May I please speak with the YOUNGEST ADULT MALE, age 18 or older, who is now at home?” AND “May I please speak with the YOUNGEST ADULT FEMALE, age 18 or older, who is now at home?” IF NO MALE/FEMALE ASK: May I please speak with the YOUNGEST ADULT FEMALE/MALE, age 18 or older, who is now at home? CELL PHONE INTRO: Hello, I am ___ calling for Princeton Survey Research. We are conducting a national study of cell phone users. I know I am calling you on a cell phone. This is not a sales call. (IF R SAYS DRIVING/UNABLE TO TAKE CALL: Thank you. We will try you another time...) CELL PHONE SCREENING INTERVIEW: S1. Are you under 18 years old, OR are you 18 or older? 1 Under 18 2 18 or older 9 Don’t know/Refused IF S1=2, CONTINUE WITH MAIN INTERVIEW IF S1=1,9, THANK AND TERMINATE: This study is limited to adults age 18 and over. I won’t take any more of your time... READ TO ALL CELL PHONE - INTRODUCTION TO MAIN INTERVIEW: We’re interested in learning more about people with cell phones. If you are now driving a car or doing any activity requiring your full attention, I need to call you back later. The first question is... Notes: Due to rounding, percentages may not add to 100. An asterisk (*) indicates values less than 0.5%.
Princeton Survey Research Associates International October 2012 Omnibus Week 4

Page 2
ASK ALL Vote03 Now, suppose the 2012 presidential election were being held TODAY. If you had to choose between [READ AND RANDOMIZE] who would you vote for? ASK IF OTHER OR DK (Vote03=3,8,9): Vote03b As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [READ IN SAME ORDER AS Vote03]? Likely Voters Oct 25-28 2012 50 45 1 4 n=713 Oct 25-28 2012 51 42 1 5 n=869 Sep 27-30 2012 47 47 1 5 n=789 Sep 27-30 2012 49 44 1 6 n=828

Obama and Biden/ Lean Obama and Biden Romney and Ryan/ Lean Romney and Ryan Other/ Refused to lean Don't know / Refused to lean Registered Voters

Obama and Biden/ Lean Obama and Biden Romney and Ryan/ Lean Romney and Ryan Other/ Refused to lean Don't know / Refused to lean

ASK ALL: CC1. As you may know, Republicans currently control a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives and Democrats control a majority in the U.S. Senate. After the 2012 elections, which of the following outcomes would you prefer? First/Next, [READ ITEMS IN ORDER]. a. Would you rather see the Republicans keep control of the U.S. House of Representatives, OR the Democrats win enough seats to take over control of the House? Likely Voters Oct 25-28 2012 47 44 2 7 n=713 Sep 27-30 2012 43 45 4 8 n=789

Republicans keep control of the U.S. House Democrats win enough seats to take over control of the House Neither/Other [VOL. DO NOT READ] Don’t know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ]

Princeton Survey Research Associates International October 2012 Omnibus Week 4

Page 3

Registered Voters Oct 25-28 2012 43 44 4 8 n=869 Sep 27-30 2012 41 45 5 9 n=828 Apr 19-22 2012 43 46 6 6 n=799 Oct 27-30 20111 41 43 6 9 n=770

Republicans keep control of the U.S. House Democrats win enough seats to take over control of the House Neither/Other [VOL. DO NOT READ] Don’t know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ]

b. Would you rather see the Democrats keep control of the U.S. Senate, OR the Republicans win enough seats to take over control of the Senate? Likely Voters Oct 25-28 2012 50 40 4 6 N=713 Sep 27-30 2012 47 42 3 8 n=789

Democrats keep control of the U.S. Senate Republicans win enough seats to take over control of the Senate Neither/Other [VOL. DO NOT READ] Don’t know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ]

Registered Voters Oct 25-28 2012 50 38 5 8 n=869 Sep 27-30 2012 47 40 3 9 n=828 Apr 19-22 2012 50 39 5 6 n=799

Democrats keep control of the U.S. Senate Republicans win enough seats to take over control of the Senate Neither/Other [VOL. DO NOT READ] Don’t know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ]

1

From PSRAI/CC Omnibus Oct11 Wk4. Question stem was “Thinking about the 2012 elections, which of the following outcomes would you prefer…”

Princeton Survey Research Associates International October 2012 Omnibus Week 4

Page 4

CC2.

If President Obama wins reelection, which of the following possible outcomes would you prefer: [READ AND RANDOMIZE] Oct 25-28 2012 36 58 6 n=713 Oct 25-28 2012 36 57 8 n=869 Sep 27-30 2012 38 55 7 n=789 Sep 27-30 2012 38 54 8 n=828

Likely Voters

The Democrats win both the House and Senate so they can implement his agenda The Republicans control at least one chamber of Congress so they can act as a check on President Obama’s agenda [VOL. DO NOT READ] Don’t Know/Refused Registered Voters

The Democrats win both the House and Senate so they can implement his agenda The Republicans control at least one chamber of Congress so they can act as a check on President Obama’s agenda [VOL. DO NOT READ] Don’t Know/Refused

CC3.

If Mitt Romney wins the White House, which of the following possible outcomes would you prefer: [READ AND RANDOMIZE] Oct 25-28 2012 34 60 6 n=713 Sep 27-30 2012 32 62 6 n=789

Likely Voters

The Republicans win both the House and Senate so they can implement his agenda The Democrats control at least one chamber of Congress so they can act as a check on Mitt Romney’s agenda Don’t Know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ]

Princeton Survey Research Associates International October 2012 Omnibus Week 4

Page 5

Registered Voters Oct 25-28 2012 32 61 7 n=869 Sep 27-30 2012 30 63 7 n=828

The Republicans win both the House and Senate so they can implement his agenda The Democrats control at least one chamber of Congress so they can act as a check on Mitt Romney’s agenda Don’t Know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ]

CC2/CC3 Combined Table Likely Voters Oct 25-28 2012 32 35 26 8 n=713 Oct 25-28 2012 29 34 27 10 n=869 Sep 27-30 2012 29 36 26 9 n=789 Sep 27-30 2012 27 36 26 10 n=828

Check Check Check Check

on on on on

only President Obama’s agenda only Mitt Romney’s agenda both agendas neither agendas

Registered Voters

Check Check Check Check

on on on on

only President Obama’s agenda only Mitt Romney’s agenda both agenda neither agendas

Princeton Survey Research Associates International October 2012 Omnibus Week 4

Page 6

CC4.

After the November election, who do you think is more likely to genuinely seek compromise with a president from the other party? [READ AND RANDOMIZE] Oct 25-28 2012 47 33 6 2 12 Sep 27-30 2012 45 31 8 1 15

Based On Total

Democratic leaders in Congress Republican leaders in Congress Neither [VOL. DO NOT READ] Both equally likely [VOL. DO NOT READ] Don’t Know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ] CC5.

Over the past few years, Washington leaders have tried to address the problem of high unemployment, without much success. Which ONE of the following do you think is the MAIN reason unemployment remains high? (READ 1-3 IN ORDER)

Based On Total Oct 25-28 2012 13 Sep 27-30 2012 16 July 19-22 2012 17 Oct 13-16 2011 16

Neither Democrats nor Republicans in Washington have come up with any good ideas to reduce unemployment so far; There have been good ideas, but fighting between Democrats and Republicans has blocked needed government action, OR There is not much Washington leaders can do to reduce unemployment through policy or legislation? Don’t know/Refused (VOL.)

52 22 13

53 19 11

52 24 8

54 21 9

Princeton Survey Research Associates International October 2012 Omnibus Week 4

Page 7

DEMOGRAPHICS I have one last set of questions to help us better understand the people who took part in our survey. SEX Respondent’s Sex Total 49 51 LV 47 53 RV 50 50

Male Female

EMPLOY Are you now employed full-time, part-time, or not employed? Total 45 14 41 1 PAR LV 46 14 40 * RV 46 13 41 * Employed full-time Employed part-time Not employed (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/ Refused

Are you the parent or guardian of any children under 18 years of age? Total 30 69 1 LV 29 70 1 RV 29 69 2

Yes No (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

AGE

What is your age? Total 20 32 27 17 3 LV 13 29 31 22 4 RV 17 30 30 20 3 18 to 29 30 to 49 50 to 64 65 and older (DO NOT READ) Refused

EDUC What is the highest level of school you have completed or the highest degree you have
Princeton Survey Research Associates International October 2012 Omnibus Week 4

Page 8
received? Total 3 8 31 17 12 15 2 12 1 HISP LV 1 5 27 17 13 19 2 15 1 RV 2 7 29 18 12 17 1 13 1 Less than high school (Grade 1-8 or no formal schooling) High school incomplete (Grades 9-11 or Grade 12 with NO diploma) High school graduate (Grade 12 with diploma or GED certificate) Some college, no degree (includes community college) Two year associate degree from a college/university Four year college or university degree/Bachelor’s degree Some postgraduate or professional schooling, no postgraduate degree Postgraduate or professional degree, including master’s, doctorate, medical or law degree (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

Are you of Hispanic or Latino background, such as Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban or other Spanish background? Total 12 86 2 LV 9 89 2 RV 11 87 2 Yes No (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

RACE What is your race? Are you white, black, Asian, or some other race? Total 75 11 3 3 2 3 3 LV 79 10 2 2 2 1 5 RV 77 11 3 3 2 2 4 White Black or African-American Asian or Pacific Islander Mixed Race Native American/American Indian Other (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

RACE/ETHNICITY What is your race? Are you white, black, Asian, or some other race? [IF R SAYS HISPANIC OR LATINO, PROBE: Do you consider yourself a WHITE (Hispanic/Latino) or a BLACK (Hispanic/Latino)? Total LV RV

Princeton Survey Research Associates International October 2012 Omnibus Week 4

Page 9
68 29 10 12 3 4 3 INC INC1 INC2 INC3 4 73 23 10 9 1 3 3 70 27 10 11 2 3 White non-Hispanic Total non-White Black non-Hispanic Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander Other non-Hispanic (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

Last year, that is in 2011, approximately what was your total family income before taxes – just tell me when I get to the right category. (IF “DON’T KNOW” OR “REFUSED”) Keeping in mind that this is a completely confidential survey, can you please tell me if your total household income BEFORE taxes last year was over or under $75,000? (IF UNDER $75,000) Was it over or under $50,000? (IF UNDER $50,000) Was it over or under $30,000? Total 28 13 18 33 7 LV 36 15 17 25 7 RV 32 15 18 29 6

$75,000 or more $50,000 to under $75,000 $30,000 to under $50,000 Under $30,000 Undesignated

REG

Which of these statements best describes you? Total 80 6 13 1 LV 100 0 0 0 RV 100 0 0 0

Are you ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN that you are registered to vote at your current address Are you PROBABLY registered, but there is a chance your registration has lapsed [OR] Are you NOT registered to vote at your current address? (DO NOT READ) Don’t know/Refused

PARTY In politics TODAY, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or Independent? Total 23 34 36 LV 28 36 31 RV 26 35 34

Republican Democrat Independent

Princeton Survey Research Associates International October 2012 Omnibus Week 4

Page 10
3 1 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 No preference (VOL.) Other party (VOL.) Don't know/Refused (VOL.)

That completes the interview. Thank you very much for your time and cooperation. Have a nice day/evening.

Princeton Survey Research Associates International October 2012 Omnibus Week 4

You're Reading a Free Preview

Download
scribd
/*********** DO NOT ALTER ANYTHING BELOW THIS LINE ! ************/ var s_code=s.t();if(s_code)document.write(s_code)//-->