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iVoteIsrael 2012 Exit Poll

iVoteIsrael 2012 Exit Poll

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Published by: IsraelMatzav on Nov 01, 2012
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06/14/2015

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End  of  Campaign  Press   Conference  

Elie  Pieprz,  Na-onal  Director  

20-­‐25%  of  all  overseas  votes  globally     will  come  from  Israel  !  

500  lbs  of  ballots  delivered  to  the   U.S.  Embassy  in  the  last  week  of   October  

Impact:  Swing  States     •  Ohio            3500  ballots   •  Pennsylvania    3500  ballots   •  Florida          7500  ballots  

Impact:  Congressional  Races   •  Senate  –  OH,  FL,  MA,  CT,  WI,  PA,  MO,  VA   •  House  –  South  FL,  NY,  Chicago,  LA  metro    

2012  Exit  Poll  
Aron  Shaviv   Shaviv  Strategy  and  Campaigns  

Methodological  notes:   •  Sample  1,572   •  Margin  of  error    +/-­‐  2.5%   •  Actual  voters   •  Conducted  between  October  22-­‐24   •  Demographics  (2  slides):  

Demographics  
50.0%   45.0%   40.0%   35.0%   30.0%   25.0%   20.0%   15.0%   10.0%   5.0%   0.0%   How  long  ago  did  you  make   aliyah/move  to  Israel?   42.2%  

How  would  you  describe   your  religious  status?   47.3%  

21.9%   16.8%   15.4%   9.4%  
In  the  last  10   years   In  the  last  20   years   Over  20  years   ago   Non  religious   (chiloni)   Tradi-onal   (masor-)   Na-onal   Ultra  Orthodox   Religious  (Da-   (Haredi)   Leumi)  

15.2%  

Demographics  
60.0%   50.0%   40.0%   30.0%   20.0%   10.0%   0.0%   18-­‐30   31-­‐50   51-­‐60   60  or  older   Female   Male   20.7%   22.4%   23%   33.8%  

Age  

Gender  
50.4%   49.6%  

What  was  the  most  important  issue  for  you  in  these   elec6ons?  
70%   60%   50%   40%   30%   20%   10%   0%   61.3%  

11.2%  
Jobs  and   Economy  

2.7%  
Healthcare  

11.2%  
Iran  

0.9%  
Taxa-on   Israel-­‐related   issues  such  as   the  status  of   Jerusalem  and   Pales-nian  

10.0%  
Other  

Congressional  Vote  2012    –  House  of  Representa6ves  
70%   60%   50%   40%   30%   20%   10%   0%  
A  Republican  candidate   A  Democrat  candidate  

62.0%  

28.2%  

1.4%  
An  independent  candidate  

Congressional  Vote  2012  -­‐  Senate  
70.0%   60.0%   50.0%   40.0%   30.0%   20.0%   10.0%   0.0%  
A  Republican  candidate   A  Democrat  candidate  

63.0%  

27.8%  

1.0%  
An  independent  candidate  

Presiden6al  Vote  2012  
90.0%   80.0%   70.0%   60.0%   50.0%   40.0%   30.0%   20.0%   10.0%   0.0%   Mia  Romney   Barack  Obama   14.3%   0.6%   Write  In  candidate   85.0%  

100%   90%   80%   70%   60%   50%   40%   30%   20%   10%   0%  

Presiden-al  Vote  2012  on  the  Issues   85.8%   59.3%   28.7%   5.3%  
Jobs  and   Economy   Iran  

75.6%  

84.6%  

88.8%   Mia   Romney   Barack   Obama  

19.5%  
Healthcare  

0.0%  
Taxa-on  

3.5%  
Israel-­‐related   issues  such  as   the  status  of   Jerusalem  and   Pales-nians  

100.0%   90.0%   80.0%   70.0%   60.0%   50.0%   40.0%   30.0%   20.0%   10.0%   0.0%  

Presiden-al  Vote  2012  in  Baaleground  States     84.8%   85.8%  

Mia  Romney   Barack  Obama   15.1%   18.1%  

Florida  

Ohio  

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