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2012 Election Briefing Book_FINAL R2

2012 Election Briefing Book_FINAL R2

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Published by Peggy Satterfield

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Published by: Peggy Satterfield on Nov 04, 2012
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11/05/2012

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CALIFORNIA

Governor: No election. Gov. Jerry Brown (D) is up in 2014.
Senate: Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D) shouldn’t have much trouble winning a fourth Senate term over
challenger Elizabeth Emken (R), a former candidate for U.S. House and former executive at the
autism advocacy group, Autism Speaks. Cook Political Rating: SOLID D
House: 8 races to watch out of 53.
o CA-7: Redistricting slightly hurt incumbent Rep. Dan Lungren (R), who faces a rematch against
his 2010 opponent, well-funded Democratic physician Ami Bera (D). Cook Political Rating: TOSS
UP

o CA-9: Despite being in a strong blue district, Rep. Jerry McNerney (D) is facing a strong
campaign run by his 25-year-old opponent, Ricky Gill (R). Cook Political Rating: LEAN D
o CA-10: Rep. Jeff Denham (R) is running a tough campaign against opponent Jose Hernandez
(D)
, a former migrant worker turned engineer and NASA astronaut who has received lots of
national press. Denham grabbed headlines this year for a report that he swam naked in the Sea of
Galilee during a Republican congressional trip to Israel. Cook Political Rating: TOSS UP
o CA-24: Though still favored, Rep. Lois Capps (D) is facing her first tough challenge in more than
a decade from fmr. Lt. Gov. Abel Maldonado (R). Cook Political Rating: LEAN D
o CA-26: The 26th District is an open seat with Rep. Elton Gallegly (R) retiring. State Sen. Tony
Strickland (R)
goes up against state Assemblywoman Julia Brownley (D). Cook Political Rating:
TOSS UP

o CA-36: Rep. Mary Bono Mack (R) faces a challenge from emergency room physician Paul Ruiz
(D)
. Cook Political Rating: TOSS UP
o CA-41: In a new district that includes some of the most Democratic areas of Riverside County,
Riverside College Trustee Mark Takano (D) goes up against GOP Riverside Supervisor John
Tavaglione (R).
Cook Political Rating: LEAN D
o CA-52: Rep. Brian Bilbray (R) faces a challenge from self-funding centrist San Diego Port
Commissioner Scott Peters (D). Cook Political Rating: TOSS UP

HAWAII

Governor: No election. Gov. Neil Abercrombie (D) is up in 2014.
Senate: Despite Hawaii’s solidly blue leanings, the retirement of three-term Sen. Daniel Akaka (D)
has left an open seat with a race turning out to be surprisingly competitive. The Republican nominee
is fmr. Gov. Linda Lingle (R), who faces U.S. Rep. Mazie Hirono (D). Cook Political Rating: LEAN D
House: 0 races to watch out of 2.

IDAHO

Governor: No election. Gov. Butch Otter (R) is up in 2014.
Senate: No election. Sen. Jim Risch (R) is up in 2014. Sen. Mike Crapo (R) is up in 2016.
House: 0 races to watch out of 2.

38

Oregon, Washington, Alaska

10:00 PM/1:00 AM ET

OREGON

Governor: No election. Gov. John Kitzhaber (D) is up in 2014.
Senate: No election. Sen. Jeff Merkley (D) is up in 2014. Sen. Ron Wyden (D) is up in 2016.
House: 0 races to watch out of 5.

WASHINGTON

Governor: Polls are tight in the race for this gubernatorial seat left open by the retirement of
Washington Gov. Christine Gregoire (D). Fmr. Rep. Jay Inslee (D) left the U.S. House to focus on the
race against state Attorney General Rob McKenna (R). Cook Political Rating: TOSS UP
Senate: Sen. Maria Cantwell (D) is not expected to have too much trouble beating state Sen.
Michael Baumgartner (R) for re-election for a third term. Cook Political Rating: SOLID D
House: 1 race to watch out of 10.
o WA-1: Rep. Jay Inslee (D) is leaving this seat to run for governor. Self-funding former Microsoft
executive Suzan DelBene (D) faces off against fmr. state Rep. John Koster (R). Cook Political
Rating: LEAN D

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