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NYPIRG General Election Analysis

NYPIRG General Election Analysis

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Published by Casey Seiler

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Published by: Casey Seiler on Nov 07, 2012
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12/04/2012

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For immediate release: Wednesday, November 07, 2012

For more information: Bill Mahoney (518) 817-3738

NYPIRG ANALYSIS OF THE 2012 GENERAL ELECTION AND THE 2013 NEW YORK STATE LEGISLATURE
INCUMBENTS DEFEATED IN THE GENERAL ELECTION BY YEAR This examines incumbents who were defeated in the general election despite running on a major party line.1 YEAR 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Total NUMBERS OF INCUMBENTS WHO LOST IN THE GENERAL ELECTION 3 6 1 3 3 2 4 2 0 1 5 4 1 3 11 3-62 53-56

1

A few incumbents, such as Senator McDonald this year, have run on a third-party line in the general election. Their defeats were not included, since the heaviest factor in their losses was usually their primary elections, which have different dynamics than the generals. 2 Based off of results appearing at 9:30 AM at http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/results/states/new-york/legislature . Senator Storobin and Assemblymembers Castelli and Miller appear to have lost. Senators Saland and Assemblymembers Murray and Ceretto are in races that have not yet been called.

PREVIOUS SERVICE OF MEMBERS OF THE NEW YORK STATE LEGISLATURE3 Despite the election of a large number of new legislators in recent years, the institutional longevity of both houses remains close to historic highs. Median Previous Experience of Assemblymembers 2013 2003 1993 1983 1973 1963 1953 1943 1933 1923 6 9 8 6 4 5 6 4 3 1 Average Previous Assemblymembers Experience of with 20 or More Assemblymembers Years Experience 9.91-9.95 29 9.59 24 8.45 13 5.65 2 4.34 4 7.01 6 6.19 2 4.99 2 3.96 0 2.15 0

2013 2003 1993 1983 1973 1963 1953 1943 1933 1923

Median Previous Experience of Senators4 8 9.5 10 8 6 6 4 4 4 2

Average Previous Experience of Senators 9.40 - 9.75 11.77 11.30 9.25 5.77 7.17 5.66 5.84 5.49 2.80

Senators with 20 or More Years Experience 10 or 11 12 13 5 2 3 2 2 1 0

3

The experience of members was determined by a database incorporating records obtained from the Board of Elections, various newspaper reports, and the New York State Red Book. 4 Numbers for the Senate do not include experience in the Assembly.

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