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12: We don’t know the cause, we only know effect. Without experience we can’t tell what will LIKELY happen Feed bromide to cat -> cat dies ^ not certain. A2+b2=c2 is certain Probabilities We can’t be certain that patterns that have occurred in the past will happen in the future. Knowledge is based on these past patterns. e.g sun could die tomorrow We assume things are and will be like what they were, when in fact they are not. 13: Whats is the logical gap between the assumed “uniformity of nature” and “past experience having proven laws of nature” “All observed/experienced swans are white” -> does not mean all swans are white just because of past/current experience. Hypothesis-> verify/modify/falsify 14: According to Hume we have no good reason to believe in the existence of an external world, or that an external world has any effect on what we perceive in the mind