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1996 - 2006
The Indian Telecom Industry
The Indian Telecom Industry
Structural Reforms to Accelerate Economic Growth The Indian economy is on the path of resurgence. The gradual opening up of the economy ensured steady growth even at a time when other countries were in the grip of a massive slowdown. Progressive reforms such as the removal of restrictions on foreign investment and industrial delicensing are responsible for this growth. Tailoring the EXIM policy to promote exports and aligning the import duties to meet WTO commitments further contributed to this development. This trend is expected to continue in the next five years, driven by a favorable business policy environment in terms of tax cuts, broadening tax base, and reduced interest rates on borrowings. Such structural changes have had a positive impact on the telecommunications sector and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.42 per cent is estimated for 2002-2006. The future of the industry lies in the mainline and cellular segments and constant technological innovations such as Internet Protocol (IP)-based services. Revenues from voice services
Report # 4504 - 90 Available as part of CIF Telecom Subscription #9907-H1 Country Industry Forecast (CIF) your tool to gauge how a countrys economic, political, and regulatory environment impacts the industry. In a dynamic environment, for effective global business knowledge of
will experience sustained growth even as those from data services are expected to increase sharply due to a surge in usage. The telecommunications industry in India is likely to see consolidation among major operators and privatization of many Government companies. The Country Industry Forecast for the Indian telecom industry studies the country-specific factors such as politics, business policy, and macroeconomic indicators that have an impact on this sector and its main segments. This report provides incisive analysis of the industry for 1996-2001 as well as forecasts for 2002-2006. Proactive Policies: Key to Future Growth Indias move toward globalization, especially in the telecom sector, has to be driven by transparent policies and better market conditions to attract foreign investments. According to this report, The recent policy stance of opening of the international long distance (ILD) segment and legalization of Internet telephony should result in huge investment in the industry. However, the Government, on its part, should ensure an environment conducive to foreign participation by increasing the FDI limit and following transparent policies. Cellular Subscribers and Revenues for Robust Growth The entry of new operators and the introduction of novel services coupled with the increasing importance of wireless communication are factors that are likely to contribute to the growth in the number of subscribers in the cellular segment. As the report says, In the last quarter of 2001, the number of subscribers had reached the 5 million mark due to the continuous fall in airtime rates, achieving 0.5 percent mobile penetration in India. Revenues from cellular phones are expected to grow at a CAGR of 37.29 percent during the forecast period with higher data usage and multimedia services.
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Methodology for the Industry Progression Index A. Industry Structure and Key Parameters 3. Government Policies and Agendas A. Segments and Parameters A. Industry Acts and Multilateral Agreements B. Radio Paging Segment 7. Regional and Country Overviews A. Exchange Rate Interest Rate and Capital Market 6. International Mainline Segment D. Parameters 3. Weights Assigned to the Key Parameters of the Industry . Industry Definition B. Economic Analysis and its Implications on the Telecommunications Industry 6. Domestic Mainline Segment C. Trends and Forecasts for the Economic Indicators : External Markets and Foreign Investment A. Investment 6. Trends and Forecasts for the Economic Indicators : Labor Markets A. Country Overview 7.2. Regional Overview B. Telecommunication Policies 8.1. Summary of Political Implications on the Economy and the Industry 6. Political System B. Introduction B. Growth Determinants and Country-Industry Linkage A. Trends and Forecasts for the Economic Indicators : Consumption and Investment A. Labor Laws and Regulations E.1. Telecommunications Services Segment B.3. Current Account Deficit and Foreign Exchange Reserve C. Cellular Segment 18.104.22.168. Introduction and Segment Analysis A.3. Global Overview 2.4.2.Table of Contents 1. India Political System A.2.1. Country Trends and Forecasts B. Prices B.1. Government Agenda B. Overview of the Telecommunications Industry 2. Growth Determinants B. Industry Trends and Forecasts D. Political Analysis and its Implication for the Telecommunications Industry 4. Summary of Implications of the Business Policy on the Economy and the Industry 6. Foreign Policies and International Relations C. Trends and Forecasts for the Telecommunication Equipment Segment A. Telecommunication Prices B. Industry Acts and Multilateral Agreements A.1.1. Index Methodology B.1.Trends and Forecasts for the Telecommunications Industry 7. Summary of the Implications on the Telecommunications Industry A. Political Parties 4. Population Employment and Earnings B. Total Telecommunications Services and Equipment Segments A. Production Exports and Imports 7. Industry Segments B.2. Executive Summary 1. Mainline Subscribers B.5. Introduction B. Consumption B. Country-Industry Linkage 4. Summary of Major Findings A. Segment Analysis 1. Trends and Forecasts for Telecommunication Services A. Exports and Imports B. Trends and Forecasts for the Economic Indicators : Prices and GDP A. Foreign Investment D. Domestic and External Policies A. Industry Definition and Global Overview A. Business Policy Analysis and its Implications for the Telecommunications Industry 5. Investment 2.1. Industry Progression Index 8. External Policies 5. GDP 5. Telecommunications Equipment Segment 3. Domestic Policies B.
1996-2006 Sector-Wise Share of Foreign Direct Investment Approved (India).2. Geography Demography and Infrastructure B. 1996-2000 Trends and Forecasts for the Number of Subscribers in the Mainline Segment (India).8. 1996-2006 Generated by Various Categories (India). Fiscal Year 1996-97 2001-02 Central Plan Expenditure for Various Sectors by the Government (India). 1996-2001 Population and Unemployment Rate (India). Fiscal Year 1996-97 -2001-02 General Peak Tariff Rate (India). 2000 Contribution of the Telecommunications Industry to the GDP (India). 1996-2006 Indian Rupee Against the Dollar. 1996-2006 its Components and Household Savings Rates (India). 2001 1996-2006 Call Rates for the Subscribers in the Rural List of Figures Appendix Trends and Forecasts for the Key Economic Indicators (India). India: Telecom Industry Fact Sheet Total Revenues and Expenditure for the Government (India). 1996-2006 Trend and Forecasts for Exports and Imports (India). Asia Pacific: Regional Fact Sheet B. August 1. 1996-2006 Trends and Forecasts for the Telecommunications Industry (India). 1996-2006 Wholesale Price Index. 1996-2000 Trends for the Telecommunications Industry as a Percentage of its Segments (India). Economic Indicators 2. 1996-2000 Trends and Forecasts for Current Account Deficit and Foreign Exchange Reserves (India). 1991-2001 Trends and Forecasts for Foreign Direct Trends and Forecasts for Gross Domestic Investment and its Components (India). 1990-2001 Trends and Forecasts for Foreign Direct Investment and Foreign Portfolio Investment (India). Status of Foreign Direct Investment Policy in Selected Sectors (India). 1996-2000 Trends for the Telecommunications Market (Asia Pacific). and Inflation (India). Consumer Price Fact Sheet 1. Country Fact Sheet A. 1991-2001 and Urban Areas (India) Composition of Subscribers and Revenue Trends and Forecasts for Consumption Expenditure and its Components (India). 1998 Index. 2000 Segment-Wise Cumulative Foreign Direct Trends and Forecasts for Gross Savings and Trends for the Telecommunications Markets (World). 1996-2001 Investment Inflow in the Telecommunications Industry (India). 1996-2001. 1996-2006 Summary of Impact of Important Macroeconomic Indicators on the Future Course of the Economy (India). 1996-2006 Waiting List for Mainline Connections (India). 1996-2006 Investment in the Telecommunications Industry (India). Progression Index for the Segments of the Industry B. 1996-2000 Share of the Telecommunications Industry in Total Exports and Imports (India). Bank Rate of the Reserve Bank (India). 2002 Chronology of Governments (India). Regional and Industry Fact Sheets A. Progression Index for the Telecommunications Industry in India A. Industry Progression Index Summary of the Key Features of the Parliament (India) Position of the Political Parties in the Parliament (India). 1996-2001 . 2002-2006 Trends and Forecasts for GDP (India). 1996-2006 Trends for the Number of Internet Subscribers of the Internet (India).
Trends and Forecasts for Capital Expenditure in the Domestic Mainline Segment (India). Making in-depth micro research on various industries. Learning how the non-market forces affect your companys present performance in a country. 1996-2006 Trends and Forecasts for Paid Minutes in the International Mainline Segment (India). mergers. C a t e g o r y o f u s e r. 1996-2006 Trends and Forecasts for Average Revenue per User in the International Mainline Segment (India). 1996-2006 Trends and Forecasts for Revenues from the Domestic Mainline Segment (India). 1996-2006 Trends and Forecasts for Capital Expenditure in the International Mainline Segment (India). 1996-2006 Trends and Forecasts for the Telecommunications Equipment Segment (India).g ro u p s CIF is beneficial for companies: Telecom Equipment Manufacturers Senior Executives COO s and CEOs Presidents and Vice Presidents Trade and Business Associations Industry and Manufacturers Associations Banks and Multi-National Corporations Trans-National Corporations Financial Institutions Asset Management Companies Venture Capitalists Analysts Industry Observers Planning Boards Business Development Managers Country Managers Forecasters and Economic Trackers Merchant Bankers • • • Entering a new geographical market Making strategic decisions on alliances. 1996-2006 Trends and Forecasts for Production in the Telecommunications Equipment Segment (India). 1996-2006 Weights Assigned to the Key Parameters and Segments of the Telecommunications Industry (India) Progression Index for the Telecommunications Industry and its Segments (India). and acquisitions. • Judging the extent of competition faced by various industries in a country. 1996-2006 The CIF Advantage CIF is an indispensable tool for the following groups: • Senior level decision-makers and planners who formulate company strategies for various industries. . 1996-2006 Trends and Forecasts for Revenues of the Telecommunications Services Segment (India). • Industry analysts and industry observers who look for countryspecific industry intelligence. 1996-2006 Trends and Forecasts for Revenues in the International Mainline Segment (India). 1996-2006 Trends and Forecasts for the Number of Subscribers and Revenues of the Cellular Segment (India). • • Preparing contingency plans based on the likely scenarios. 1996-2006 Trends and Forecasts for the Number of Subscribers and Revenues of the Radio Paging Segment (India). • Shaping and fine-tuning future strategies based on new market opportunities. • Marketing professionals who want to know the lay of the land and the pulse of the market. 1996-2006 Trends and Forecasts for Exports and Imports of the Telecommunications Equipment Segment (India).
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