This action might not be possible to undo. Are you sure you want to continue?
SUNDAY, JUNE 6, 2010
BY AGHA H AMIN US STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES SET UP BY THE DOD/PENTAGON/STATE DEPARTMENT/CIA/DIA
NOTE THAT OBAMA IS JUST A CLEVER SOCIAL CLIMBER MIXED BREED KICKED UPWARDS WITH NO CONTROL OVER ANYTHING 1. THE OBJECTIVE IS NOT AL QAEDA , TALIBAN OR BIN LADEN. 2. THE OBJECTIVE IS TO ATTACK IRAN , RUSSIAS SOFT CENTRAL ASIAN STATE OIL RICH BELLY 3. THE OBJECTIVE IS TO DESTANBILISE CHINESE SINGKIANG WITH AN ISLAMIST INSURRECTION 4. THE OBJECTIVE IS TO DENUCLEARISE PAKISTAN 5. THE OBJECTIVE IS TO CONSOLIDATE THE US INDIA BASE AGAINST CHINA AFTER PAKISTAN IS BALKANISED ON GROUND SITUATION 1. THE OBJECTIVE IS NOT AL QAEDA , TALIBAN OR BIN LADEN----DRONING OF RANDOM TARGETS GOES ON TO CONVINCE PUBLIC OPINION AND TO GIVE RICH FRIENDS IN DEFENCE INDUSTRY MORE AMMUNITION AND EQUIPMENT CONTRACTS,US TROOPS CONSOLIDATE THE OIL TRANMISSION ROUTE ON HERAT KANDAHAR ROAD---NO REAL OFFENSIVE IS LAUNCHED AGAINST ANY TALIBAN,THEY ARE THE GOOD REASON WHY THE USA IS IN AFGHANISTAN SO WHY ELIMINATETHEM.US THIRD PARTY LOGISTICS CONTRACT IS A MAJOR STEP IN CONSOLIDATING US PROXIES
IN PAKISTAN.US POLICY IN PRESSURISING PAKISTAN BY DRONE ATTACKS AND FORCING PAKISTAN TO TAKE MILITARY ACTION IN FATA IS DESIGNED TO DESTABILISE PAKISTAN SO THAT FINAL GROUNDS FOR PAKISTANS DENUCLEARISTAION ARE SET IN PLACE.US TOOLS IN THIS EXERCISE ARE US CONTRACTORS IN PAKISTAN AND AFGHANISTAN,US BRITISH SECURITY COMPANIES IN PAKISTAN,US OR EX US BANKERS AND CORPORATE EXECUTIVES IN PAKISTAN SUBVERTING THE PAKISTANI CIVIL AND MILITARY BRASS. 2. THROUGH THE 2008 ELECTIONS THE US HAS ALREADY ACHIEVED A POLITICAL REGIME CHANGE IN PAKISTAN WHILE THE PAKISTANI MILITARY SAFEGUARDING PAKISTAANS NUCLEAR ASSETS IS NEXT US TARGET. 3. THE OBJECTIVE IS TO ATTACK IRAN , RUSSIAS SOFT CENTRAL ASIAN STATE OIL RICH BELLY---SO FAR A MISERABLE FAILURE WITH US PROXIES BEING CHECKED IN CENTRAL ASIA , IRAN AND CHINA . HOWEVER SECRET TRAINING OF PROXIES GOES IN US BASES IN AFGHANISTAN 4. THE OBJECTIVE IS TO DESTANBILISE CHINESE SINGKIANG WITH AN ISLAMIST INSURRECTION---A LOGICAL OBJECTIVE BUT THEN THERE IS THE INDEPENDENT WILL OF THE ENEMY BACKED WITH WMDS,CHINA IS NO IRAQ 5. THE OBJECTIVE IS TO DENUCLEARISE PAKISTAN---PROCEEDING AT GOOD PACE ALTHOGH NO MAJOR SUCCESS HAS BEEN ACHIEVED--THE PAKISTANI CIVILIAN GOVERNMENT IS FULLY ON US PAYROLL WHILE THE PAKISTANI MILITARY MAY TAKE 2 TO 5 YEARS TO BECOME A FULL TIME US CHATTEL 6. THE OBJECTIVE IS TO CONSOLIDATE THE US INDIA BASE AGAINST CHINA AFTER PAKISTAN IS BALKANISED-----THE PROGRAM IS BALKANISE PAKISTAN WITH AN INDEPENDENT BALOCH STATE , PASHTUNISTAN,CITY STATE OF KARACHI , SINDHU DESH , A DENUCLEARISED PAKISTAN WITH ONLY PUNJAB , A NORTHERN AREAS CONTROLLED BY CHINA ---THIS IS TO TAKE FIVE TO TEN YEARS----WITH PAKISTAN BALKANISED US AND INDIA WILL HAVE COMPLETE CONTIGUOUS BASE AGAINST CHINA AND RUSSIA. ANALYSIS 1. PRESENT US STRATEGIC POSITION IS SILENT REGISTRATION OF TARGETS IN PAKISTAN , IRAN, CHINESE SINGKIANG AND RUSSIAN DOMINATED CENTRAL ASIA.BY TRYING TO BASE ITS LOGISTICS ON RUSSIAN EX SOVIET CENTRAL ASIAN STATES THE USA IS TRYING TO BRING ECONOMIC BENEFITS TO CENTRAL ASIA SO THAT RUSSIAN HOLD CAN BE WEAKENED.HOWEVER RUSSIA IS CONVINCED THAT US MUST FAIL IN AFGHANISTAN AND HAS MADE CONSIDERABLE EFFORTS TO AID ANTI US FORCES IN AFGHANISTAN THROUGH IRAN AND THROUGH CENTRAL ASIAN REPUBLICS. 2. US FORCES WILL NOT BE ABLE TO CONTROL AFGHANISTAN UNLESS PAKISTAN IS BALKANISED AND THIS WOULD TAKE AT LEAST 3 TO 5 YEARS.THE FIRST STATE TO SECEDE WITH US SUPPORT WOULD BE BALOCHISTAN.THIS IS SO BECAUSE THE BASE OF ANTI US FORCES IN
AFGHANISTAN IS PAKISTANI BALOCHISTAN AND RUSSIA , IRAN AND CHINA HAVE A COMBINED INTEREST IN MAKING THE USA BLEED IN AFGHANISTAN THROUGH PAKISTANI PROXIES KNOWN AS TALIBAN.WHEN PAKISTAN AIDS TALIBAN IN AFGHANISTAN IT IS ACTUALLY DEFENDING PAKISTAN 3. THE FIXING MANOEUVRE WOULD BE A US MANIPULATED INDIA PAKISTAN WAR LEAVING PAKISTAN SEVERELY DAMAGED AND AN INDIA LESS DAMAGED FOLLOWED BY PAKISTANS DENUCLEARISATION. 4. CHINA RUSSIA AND IRAN ARE THE US OPPONENTS .THEY HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO THROW A SPANNER IN US PLANS. 5. THEN THERE IS THE UNFORESEEN FACTOR X . -Man would indeed be in a poor way if he had to be restrained by fear of punishment and hope of reward after death." -Albert Einstein !!!
IRREGULAR WARFARE-TRAINING PROXIES FOR SYRIAN STYLE WAR IN AF PAK -THE SECRET WAR IN AF PAK ,INDIA AND CHINA
THE BELOW SECRET CONTRACT WAS ADVERTISED BY MISTAKE. MORE THAN 35 SUCH CONTRACTS HAVE BEEN AWARDED SECRETLY.LATEST BEING BLACKWATERS 22 MILLION USD NO BID CONTRACT FOR SPECIAL FORCES NEAR KABUL THIS IS LIBYAN AND SYRIAN STYLE IRREGULAR WARFARE REGARDS AGHA
Buyers: Login | Register Vendors: Login | Register
B--Irregular Warfare Analysis (IWAS) support
Solicitation Number: W911W5-IWAS Agency: Department of the Army Office: U.S. Army Intelligence and Security Command Location: National Ground Intelligence Center
Copy or Bookmark this Page Copy the url below for a direct link to this page.
https://w w w .fbo
Bookmark this page by right-clicking here and choosing "Add Link to Bookmarks"
Notice Details Packages Interested Vendors List
Original Synopsis Apr 16, 2010 4:51 pm
Solicitation Number: W911W5-IWAS Notice Type: Sources Sought Synopsis: Added: Apr 16, 2010 4:51 pm THIS IS A SOURCES SOUGHT NOTICE ONLY. This sources sought is issued by National Ground Intelligence Center (NGIC) solely for information and planning pur it does not constitute a formal solicitation, Request for Proposal (RFP) or a promise t a formal solicitation, RFP or Broad Area Announcement (BAA). Responders are adv that the U.S. Government will not pay any cost incurred in response to this sources s and all costs associated with responding will be solely at the interested party's expen responding to this sources sought does not preclude participation in any future and po solicitation or RFP. It is the intent of NGIC to use this for market research purposes
a formal solicitation is released, it will be issued via the Federal Business Opportunit (http: //www.fbo.gov). It is the responsibility of the potential offerors to monitor this website for any information that may pertain to this sources sought. The information provided in this sources sought is subject to change and is not binding on the Govern
1) Description: NGIC is seeking to identify qualified companies capable of performing the requirem Irregular Warfare Analysis (IWAS) to include Regional, Counter Threat Finance, Cy Chemical/Biological, and Weapons analysis. The contractor must be able to support following requirements:
a. Develop, coordinate, facilitate, and perform specialized intelligence analysis activi based on NGIC IWAS Requirements.
b. Research, review, interpret, evaluate, and integrate all-source data to contribute to produce draft assessments on IWAS. Provide analytical support to regional analysts, counter-threat finance analysts, cyber analysts, chemical/biological analysts, and coll managers.
c. Research, review, evaluate, and integrate available signals intelligence (SIGINT) d support the IWAS mission through the SIGINT element.
d. Draft SIGINT related portions of assessments as well as provide assistance to all-s analysts related to the interpretation, fusion, and collection of related SIGINT data.
Sources must be able to work at the TOP SECRET//Sensitive Compartmented Inform level, must comply with security requirements as set forth in the Contract Security Classification Specification (DD Form 254), and all SIGINT analysts must comply w national security agency (NSA) security certification.
2) Prospective sources, possessing the qualifications, capability, and experience to re to this source's sought are invited to submit documentation (no more than 10 pages a inclusive) in response to items above.
3) Submission Instructions: a. Interested parties are requested to respond to this sources sought inclusive of answ the requested information listed above. The associated North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) code is 541990 (All Other Professional, Scientific an Technical Services). b. Responses shall be limited to 10 pages all-inclusive and submitted via email ONL Jessica Winn, Contracting Officer at email@example.com. NGIC reserves the r review late submissions but makes no guarantee to the order of or possibility for revi late submissions. c. Respondents shall provide responses in softcopy form (electronically) in Microsof
Contracting Officer. Proprietary information.g. Be advised that no submissions will be returne e. Responses to this sources sought may be evaluated by Government technical expe The program office has contracted for various non-government. if any. 2010. 434-951-1653 National Ground Intelligence Center . 3) phone/fax/email NAICS Codes. Any proprietary information should be so marked. All nongovernment contractor support personnel have signed and are bound by the appropria non-disclosure agreements and organizational conflict of interest statements. f. 2) point of contact.mil before 3:00 PM (local Eastern Time) on Thursday. The Government does not intend to award a contract based on responses under this announcement nor otherwise pay for preparing any information sent for the Governm use. This is not a request for proposal. This notice is for market research and planning purpose only and does not commit Government to any contractual agreement. 4) Questions: Submit questions to Jessica Winn. at jessica. 2055 Boulders Charlottesville.winn@us. 2055 Boulders R Charlottesville VA 22911-8318 US Point of Contact(s): Jessica Winn. some of which require contractor obtain access to proprietary information submitted by other contractors. 8 women-owned. engineerin technical and administrative staff support services. 5) business size and status. The Government may also use these selected support contractor personnel as technical ad in the evaluation of submissions. ATTN: IANG-CS-LO/MS204.army. HUB Zone Small Business. 2010. April 22. VA 22911-8318 Place of Performance: National Ground Intelligence Center ATTN: IANG-CS-LO/MS204. Non-government staff support personnel will not ha access to RFI that may be labeled by the offerors as Government Access Only. type of small business if applicable (e. Contracting Office Address: National Ground Intelligence Center. should be minimized and MUST BE CLEARLY MARKED and completely separated. April 22. scientific.compatible format ONLY and are due no later than 3:00 PM (local Eastern Time) on Thursday. Interested sources should pro the following: 1) company name and address. d. etc.) and 6) capability information in res to the requirement.
WHAT BRASSTACKS IS STATING NOW WAS ASSESSED BY THIS SCRIBE SINCE 2001. This axis is already totally exposed and collapsing now and Pak army has no control over this aspect of threat. Political Chaos. Patriots have mounted their own responses on social media and in higher . Pakistan army has not developed any response to this axis also which is rapidly collapsing.BELOW IS AN ASSESSMENT AS RECEIVED FROM RIZWAN WARRAICH. Information War and media axis: Pak army has again no control over this threat axis which is extremely hostile to the state and the nation. Af-Pak and Cold start. Under the 4GW. Af-Pak and Cold start doctrines. Pak army has no solution to this axis of threat. 4. We will analyze each and every axis of threat for the nation to understand how critical the crisis has become. MY OWN ASSESSMENTS ARE ATTACHED BELOW THOSE OF BRASSTACKS ASSESSMENT AGHA H AMIN BrassTacks has done a simplified but comprehensive threat analysis here for the nation to understand the entire spectrum of threat matrix being faced by Pakistan today under combined 4GW. 2. 3. there are multiple attacks against the nation and the country on various axis: 1. Judicial axis: The recent actions of the judiciary are most severely hurting Pakistan and supporting the enemies to bring about an internal collapse. This is the harsh and brutal reality this compromised media and treacherous politicians and the judiciary fail to see or is paid to hide. POSTING THIS DOES NOT MEAN ENDORSEMENT OR DISAGREEMENT . Economic collapse.
no military response can be built. 8. 5. Most violent and chaotic threat axis which have so far claimed over a 100. Urban War in Karachi which is on the verge of explosion with no response strategy from the army. . This axis is the most brutal war and now it is exposed that it is being directed by global Satanists using the TTP as proxies. media and governmental support. total victory remains elusive.judiciary which have to some extent responded to the hostile information war. 7. To the above threats. Black waters and through direct attacks on Pakistan's military outposts on the border. Af-Pak: This flank is totally exposed as well with NATO/US waging a ruthless war through drones. In the presence of treacherous and corrupt government in Sindh. media or judicial support. But this remains one of the weakest link in the overall responce strategy. Pak army and FC only have partial success in containing this axis of threat but only temporarily in the absence of any political. 9. conventional and nonconventional conflict. add the chaos of elections as well and we have a time bomb in our hands. 6.000 in limbs and lives. As the Baluchistan government has collapsed. There cannot be any total national security response in the presence of this democracy. As such. BLA insurgency. Insurgencies of TTP: Pak army has achieved partial success on this axis of threat but in the absence of judicial. The city is a ticking time bomb. Indian Cold start: Pak army has done reasonable preparations for this axis of threat which would be high intensity. there is no recovery process taking place in any of the exposed flanks and it is imminent that a total national collapse is inevitable within few months. Indian Divisions are waiting just across the border to roll in once the internal collapse reaches the red line.
we have no hope of winning this war now. Wake up now rise or be ready to be buried! Now you know the full threat spectrum and cannot claim ignorance in dunya and akhira! Pakistan -. Now you tell us what should be the response of the army and the patriots??? Unless army moves decisively and bring in patriotic government NOW. Army is totally surrounded from outside and from within and is building responses to the military axis only NOT on all other economic. it would be game over for us as well. patriotic and competent government in Islamabad. May Allah have mercy upon this Ummah. it would be game over soon ! . judicial and political fronts. But there is NO government in Islamabad and those who are there have been placed to bring about this total collapse and have been paid in advance for it. just as it already has for Iraq...Unless there is a solid.Unless we have a government in Islamabad.The entire spectrum of threat -.. Army cannot do that itself and needs the support of the government. media.. Libya and Syria.
blogspot.pk www.com/syedzaidzamanhamid --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------http://low-intensity-conflict-review.www.facebook.com/2011/08/us-attack-plan-on-pakistani-nukes.com/ https://twitter.zaidhamid.pk http://takbeeremusalsal.html .brasstacks.blogspot.com/#!/zaidzamanhamid https://www.
even before the September 11 terrorist attacks. And earlier Pentagon reports also outline scenarios in which US forces would intervene to secure nuclear weapons that were in danger of falling into the wrong hands. current and former US officials say that ensuring the security of Pakistan's nuclear weapons has long been a high national security priority. and emboldening those in Washington who believe an orchestrated campaign of lightning raids to secure Pakistan's nukes could succeed. officials have simultaneously tried to tone down the rhetoric by stressing progress . former president and army chief Pervez Musharraf told NBC News. The greatest success of the US war on terrorism – the military operation that killed Osama bin Laden in his safehouse in May – has fueled the concerns about Pakistan's nuclear arsenal. the specter of a showdown between the increasingly antagonistic allies is garnering more attention. But out of fear of further antagonising an important ally. It's no secret that the United States has a plan to try to grab Pakistan's nuclear weapons . 2011 Share this story! US prepares for worst-case scenario with Pakistan nukes * Musharraf warns snatch-and-grab operation will lead to all-out war Daily Times Monitor As US-Pakistani relations spiral downward. August 07. 2011 US Attack Plan on Pakistani Nukes-Assessments from 2007 till 2009 Sunday. saying that such an incursion would lead to "total confrontation" between the United States and Pakistan Privately.if and when the president believes they are a threat to either the US or US interests. increasing suspicions among US officials that he had support within the ISI. In the aftermath of the bin Laden raid. That would be a disastrous miscalculation. including the worst-case scenario of the US attempting to "snatch" Pakistan's 100-plus nuclear weapons if it feared they were about to fall into the wrong hands. US military officials have testified before Congress about the security of Pakistan's nuclear weapons and the threat posed by "loose nukes" – nuclear weapons or materials outside the government's control.06 August. and that plans have been drawn up for dealing with worst-case scenarios in Pakistan. Pakistan's intelligence service.
" Despite such comments. Pakistan's best known nuclear physicist and a human rights advocate. as well as regular air force and army bases. Adm Mike Mullen. Publicly." he said. says a US attempt to take control of Pakistan's nukes would be foolhardy. scenarios. Obama quickly cut him off.H AMIN FROM 2007 TO 2009 ." said Roger Cressey. war games and possibly even military exercises by US intelligence and special operations forces regarding so-called "snatch-and-grab" operations. and the White House. told Congress two weeks ago that Pakistan's atomic arsenal has become "physically more secure" and the US has seen "training improve" for personnel charged with securing the weapons. chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. This is an army." said a combative Musharraf. interviews with current and former US officials. I feel confident that nuclear arsenal will remain out of militant hands. "They are said to be hidden in tunnels under mountains.." Mindful of the growing distrust and suspicions between Washington and Islamabad. OK?" ASSESSMENTS BY A. assets which are dispersed and very secure in very secure places. which doesn't know how to fight. in cities. calling it "total confrontation by the whole nation against whoever comes in. former deputy director of counterterrorism in the Clinton and Bush White House and an NBC News consultant. US officials don't want to embarrass or infuriate Pakistani officials by suggesting such an operation would be possible. which has fought three wars. "I'm not going to engage in hypotheticals of that sort.. a point brought home in a White House press conference on April 29. NBC News' Chuck Todd began to ask if the US military would step in and seize weapons that were at risk. Such discussions of Pakistan's nuclear arsenal. 2009. now believed to consist of as many as 115 nuclear bombs and missile warheads. rarely agrees with the former president. "This issue remains one of the highest priorities of the US intelligence community .made by Islamabad on the security front. But he. military reports and even congressional testimony indicate that Pakistan's weaponry has been the subject of continuing discussions. who led Pakistan for nearly a decade and is again running for president. it should never be attempted." Pervez Hoodboy." "These are assets which are the pride of Pakistan. have gotten the attention of current and former Pakistani officials.000 soldiers. US officials have publicly tried to defuse concerns that Pakistan's nuclear arsenal could be compromised. "… (This) is not an army. In an interview with NBC News early this month. Musharraf warned that a snatch-andgrab operation would lead to all-out war between the countries. too. "A US snatch operation could trigger war. After President Barack Obama spoke of the confidence he had in the Pakistani Army's ability to secure the nuclear weapons. guarded by a corps of 18. Please understand that. "It's safe to assume that planning for the worst-case scenario regarding Pakistan nukes has ready taken place inside the US government.
H Amin 26 September.countercurrents.After 2001 it was adopted as a policy and concrete albeit top secret planning was started to deal with Pakistan which at the ulterior level was seen as part of the problem rather than a solution.org There appears to be a strong evolving consensus in the USA as well as its NATO allies that Pakistan is the centre of gravity of the Islamists in the ongoing so called war on terror.htm 5 Minutes Over Islamabad By A. 2007 Countercurrents.org/amin260907.e logistic support and air bases the USA was able to occupy Afghanistan very cheaply and with minimum casualties ! This was no mean strategic achievement as it placed the USA right below the soft .FIVE MINUTES OVER ISLAMABAD-OCTOBER 2007 http://www.This idea gained currency in various high US policy making circles as well as think tanks around 1987-89 and then assumed a solid shape in the decade 1990-2000. When the Spaniards landed in Mexico their main collaborators were indigenous Mexicans themselves ! In Pakistan thus the USA made use of indigenous collaborators ! Generals whose sons had a US passport ! Bankers who were US nationals but also dual Pakistani citizens ! Thus these leaders justified collaboration with the USA after 9/11 on the grounds that what they did was the only guarantee for the survival of Pakistan ! The Pakistani military junta in 2001 was isolated internationally so it was very easy for the USA to overawe it with one telephone call ! The typical career army officers life consists of aiming to get a good annual report from his boss ! Pakistan's military leadership grasped this opportunity to get a good pat from their geopolitical strategic boss the US president and with open hands provided airbases and all logistic support to the USA ! This was a short term measure so that Pakistani military junta's survival in power was ensured ! It had no connection with survival of Pakistan as a state ! Compare how Iran is surviving as a state despite defying the USA since 1979 ! Later on a fiction that USA threatened Pakistan with bombing it to the stone age was invented ! Thus irresolution was rationalized as supreme strategic brilliance ! Ironically some so called media men who are also running private businesses were in the forefront in praising this strategic timidity as strategic brilliance ! What happened in " Real Strategic Terms" was that with Pakistani military junta's active collaboration i.
not the tinpot Pakistani military junta .The USSR had faced the challenge and developed a fine nuclear arsenal to counter US aspirations to control the world. the Invasion and capture of Iraq of 2003 and the invasion of capture of Afghanistan in 2001. strategically speaking the US military targets were the littoral states of the Indian Ocean . not the ISI .Later China also emerged as another challenger of USA ! Thanks to USSR help many South Asian countries as well as African countries fought and won wars of liberation ! The Arabs were able to confront Israel only because of Soviet aid till the collaborator Sadaat sold his soul to the USA and Israel ! The USA was all set to reduce Pakistan to size in 1977 when it financed the anti Bhutto agitation in 1977 ! This plan was delayed because of the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan from 1979 till 1989 when the USA had but no option other than using Pakistan as a base for assisting the anti Soviet War in Afghanistan. but the sentiments of the vast bulk of the Pakistani populace and its arsenal of nuclear warheads and missiles ! Thus Afghanistan was seen as a potential US base to carry out a 5 minutes over Islamabad or Kahuta just like the Israelis with US cooperation destroyed Iraq's nuclear reactor in 5 minutes over Baghdad in 1981.This was basically a war of nerves the decisive point of which was one telephone call which made Pakistan's tinpot military junta take the so called " brilliant strategic decision" of collaborating with the USA ! After the disintegration of the USSR .Close proximity to Pakistan also enabled the USA to conduct intelligence operations inside Pakistan in a far more optimum manner than ever before.underbelly of China as well as Russia ! More significantly it reduced the flying as well as striking time to the Pakistani nuclear as well as missile installation.Thus the Iraq War of 1990 . Pakistan with its sympathetic pro Islamist populace and nuclear and missile assets was at least a provisional centre of gravity of the Islamists.This was only Phase One ! Phase . In 1945 the USA had bombed Hiroshima and Nagasaki not for any direct military purpose but to overawe the USSR that no one could match US military might. Interestingly Iraq and Afghanistan were not ultimate objectives of US onslaught but merely initial bridgeheads.Note that US feared . It was theorized in secret sessions of the highest level US decision making circles that although the Islamists fighting the USA had no fixed centre of gravity which could be attacked and eliminated. Change of posture came very quickly when after 1990 the USA started talking that Pakistan is a terrorist state or was on the brink of being a terrorist state.
This is not a pessimistic view of things but a hard strategic reality ! The writing is clear on the wall ! The war which USA is fighting is not against the . no missiles . Pakistan is in a strange strategic situation ! It is led by a military dictator whose sole aim is to stay in power ! Its number two the so called prime minister is a US citizen and in case he dies naturally or unnaturally his successor i. an independent Kashmir and Northern Areas with US bases for future operations against Singkiang on the Deosai Plateau and only Punjab left as Pakistan ! No nukes . the USA will bomb some parts of Pakistan to the stone age in order to denuclearize Pakistan.Two may include Pakistan and Phase Three may include Iran ! Phase Four being Chinese Singkiang and/or Central Asian Republics ! Somewhere the Americans call it Orange Revolution whose first good example was the anti Bhutto agitation that they financed in 1977 in Pakistan ! Sometimes they call it a war on terror or war against weapons of mass destruction ! History has proved that generals fail as statesmen ! In 1936 all of Hitlers generals opposed his decision to march into Rhineland ! This is so because generals think only in tangible terms ! They do not appreciate the value of intangible factors like resolution etc ! Thus after 9/11 when Pakistan's tinpot junta wargamed being invaded by USA it only thought in military terms ! It failed to appreciate that the USA was humbled in Vietnam and in Iran in 1979 ! In the process they allowed and facilitated the USA to occupy Afghanistan in very cheap military terms ! Pakistan shall pay a heavy price for this ! Whether Armitage said it or not . no resolve ! Just like the Christians reduced the Muslims to Granada in Spain and finally eliminated even Granada in 1492.e the Chairman Senate is also a US citizen ! So politically the USA is dominant in Pakistan ! But this does not make the Americans happy ! Their aim is denuclearization and complete submission of Pakistan ! Imagine the following scenario ! Pakistan's military dictator is killed in a mysterious air crash or assassinated by a common soldier on duty like Indita Gandhi ! The USA immediately issues an ultimatum that it fears that Pakistan's nuclear arsenal may fall in the hands of extremists ! A surgical nuclear strike is launched on Kahuta and Islamabad !Another general takes over power in Pakistan and capitulates to all US demands dismantling the Pakistani nuclear arsenal and its missiles ! Rationalising this on the ground that if he did not do so the USA would bomb Pakistan to stone age ! In next ten years Pakistan is Balkanised with an independent US supported Baluchistan and an independent puppet Pashtun state in NWFP and Northern Pashtun majority districts of Baluchistan ! An independent Sindh in the South .
All infrastructure of Afghanistan was destroyed as well as all its institutions between 1979 and 1992 . provided the USA with an active base to destabilize and destroy Afghanistan's defacto government . but the motivation was the same ! Someone may skeptically view the above presented scenario ! The following arguments support the presented scenario ! If Saddam was destroyed on the mere suspicion that Iraq possessed Weapons of Mass Destruction why is Pakistan not a perfectly legitimate target for USA . Al Qaeda and terrorism are merely hollow slogans ! The Pakistan Army is being forced into Waziristan by the USA not to attack the Al Qaeda but to create an internal divide in Pakistan ! There have been many cases of desertion of soldiers in units in Waziristan as well as cases of refusal of officers for carrying out duties seen as against their conscience ! What kind of liberalism does Musharraf want us to practice when the enemy is at the gates and even inside the Pakistani citadel of power ! What can be expected from leaders whose sons are US citizens or who consider USA safer for their families to live than Pakistan ! What can be expected from US citizens now enjoying high political office in Pakistan after having a good time in Bank of .Jalalabad and Kandahar airfields are being developed not against the Taliban or against the Al Qaeda but for 5 minutes over Islamabad ! In strategy everything moves very slowly and it is the greatness of a statesman and military commander to assess what will happen in next 5 or ten years ! Here in Pakistan we have a situation where our military leaders are overawed by just one phone call ! From leaders of such a caliber little resolution or strategic insight can be expected ! From 1979 to 1988 Pakistan's military junta after seizing power through the backdoor .Pashtun tribes of Waziristan but against all Muslims ! Bagram . Khost. because it is a Muslim country and posseses WMD without any doubt ! Saddam was more secular than any Muslim leader in modern history yet his country and he himself were targeted and destroyed ! What is the aim of this so called enlightened Islam espoused by Musharraf ! To act as anesthesia for USA and destroy all resistance power of the Pakistani nation ! If not strategic brilliance at least we have good anesthetists at the top ! In war surprise is the key so the USA will not politely announce its intentions before it reduces Pakistan to size ! Musharraf . Benazir and any other general that may emerge are merely pawns in the game which can be removed by air crashes or assassinations ! Waziristan .Now if the Afghan state allows the USA to do so it should not be a surprise ! And why did Pakistan's military junta of 1977-88 support the so called Afghan Jihad ! So that General Zia stays in power ! The characters were different in 1979 and 2001 .
2008 A BRIEF STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT OF US PRESENCE IN AFGHANISTAN MADE IN SEPTEMBER 2005-USA CHINA STRATEGYUSA AND CHINESE MUSLIMS-KURDISTAN-BALOCHISTAN . PTCL or the Steel Mill ! 5 Minutes over Islamabad is a distinct possibility ! This is the irony of a nation who supplied many pilots who were blood brothers of Syrian. Amman and Iraq ! Today the Pakistani leaders are practicing sycophancy with Israel to gain a good pat from USA ! The conclusion is that Pakistan is led by collaborators who will go to any extent to survive while its nuclear and military assets would be destroyed with partial or active cooperation of its own leaders ! Fear made men believe in the worst but here in Pakistan we have a scenario in which Pakistan's leaders are trying to sell the idea that timid strategic collaboration is strategic brilliance ! A secret clause of Vision 2030 propaganda of Pakistani sitting leadership is that by 2030 Pakistan would be a Balkanised state with no nuclear and missile assets and kicked by all its neighbours ! Good luck to vision 2030 ! 12 December.America or CITI Bank ! What respect will the army jawans have for leaders more distinguished for deciding not to fight a battle after one telephone call or more interested in privatizing the PSO .Iraqis and Jordanians in downing many Israeli aircrafts over Golan .
Widen the front to phase two. Afghanistan may prove to be an area of strategic convergence for Islamists. USA's choices Deal with Afghanistan alone and consolidate.Pakistan and Iran. It is naieve to think that the USA came to Afghanistan to deal with the Talibs.Authors father commanding an Independent Brigade Group with peak cap receiving very senior Chinese official on a mysterious visit to Pakistan in the centre with the Chinese official A BRIEF STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT OF US PRESENCE IN AFGHANISTAN MADE IN SEPTEMBER 2005 BY AGHA AMIN The distinction between Islamist and non Islamists is being fast transformed into US versus Anti US Forces.Russia and even Pakistan and Iran which are logically phase two US targets.The author on extreme right.Phase three may be Chinese Singkiang and Phase Four Central Asian Republics.The investment it has made is too big.This would not be cost effective for USA.China. .
Main bases of non state actors are in Pakistan.Possibly an independent Baloch state carved out of Iran and Pakistan or Iran alone at first and Pakistani Baluchistan later. China and Russia's Choices Allow USA an uncontested stay and risk a Muslim rising in Singkiang in the next ten years and US domination of Central Asian republics. Strengthen alliances with Iranian and Pakistani states. Strengthen alliances with China and Russia. anti US forces can wait for ten years but every second USA is losing money . Realisation in both China and Russia that the strategic salvation of both lies in aiding anti US groups . USA has to achieve a tangible strat objective. USA seems strategically clueless and is playing a waiting game. Key Strategic trends Realisation in Pakistan that Pakistani WMD apparatus is a future target of USA with Afghanistan as base. The Pakistani and Iranian states are the forward states having direct borders with Afghanistan and are involved in the Afghan game via state and non state actors. Major Actors The anti US forces are divided in two parts . In order to deal with non state actors USA at some stage will have to deal with both Pakistan and Iran. . Aid anti US forces using non state actors in Pakistan and state actors in other areas. particularly in Afghanistan. Pakistan as the best base area of anti US groups operating in Afghanistan more because of non state actors. state and non state actors. Pakistan and Iran's choices Accept US domination and scrap WMD programmes.Iran and Middle East. Time is the key . Aid anti US forces in Afghanistan with Chinese and Russian blessings. Withdraw from Afghanistan while retaining a central position to strike at any target in the area.
Anti US forces in Afghanistan Pakistan and Iran are intact and can change the strat balance. Militarily an anti US war in Afghanistan aided by China and Russia can prove to be USA's Spanish ulcer. US strategic options are:- To create alternate drug mafia which is non Pahtun and create new states which are US allies like Balochistan. And possibly a non Pashtun state in North Afghanistan. The drug mafia is a major US opponent and can sustain anti US forces in Afghanistan. 2009 USA's FUTURE STRATEGIC TARGETS IN WEST ASIA IN CASE USA DECIDES TO PURSUE AN AGGRESSIVE POLICY-CLICK ON MAPS TO ENLARGE .US hold in Afghanistan is confined to key cities. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 January. Both China and Russia will use the Islamic card like USA used it in Afghanistyan from 1979 till 1989. Thus the convergence of interest. Islamists have realised that they must have China and Russia as allies. The same realisation is taking place in China and Rusia.Kurdistan .
CLICK ON MAPS TO ENLARGE .
Pakistan Army. Pakistan.. You have hit the most dangerous hypothesis.. SINGKIANG-CHINESE SINGKIANG-US STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES 2 comments: Brigadier (retired) Samson Simon Sharaf said. .Posted by Agha H Amin at 12:37 AM Labels: LOW INTENSITY WAR.
the most dangerous and one which cannot be ruled out.the jews as late as 1939 believed that hitler would not kill them remember neither americans nor europeans are anything near christians ... . 2009 US PLAN TO DESTABILISE AND DENUCLEARISE PAKISTAN FROM TINPOT MUSHARRAF TO 2009 IN STRATEGY EVERYTHING MOVES VERY SLOWLY SO THE GREATNESS OF A GENERAL OR A STATESMAN IS TO SEE THESE SLOW BUT CERTAIN MOVEMENTS.. 2009 08:24 pavocavalry said.THESE IDEAS WERE ADVANCED IN MY ARTCLES IN PRAVDA..tailpiece:-.i am referring to their leaders..IT HAS BEEN MY STRATEGIC CONVICTION SINCE 2001 THAT USA CAME TO AFGHANISTAN TO DENUCLEARISE PAKISTAN AND TO START A PHASE TWO AND THREE AGAINST CHINA AND RUSSIA.ORBAT...COM ETC SINCE 2001. 2009 09:19 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 22 May....15 January.the average american has a golden heart but he is a sheep manipulated by pagans with christian names and crafty zionists 15 January.these are the stone age barbarians and huns at heart ...UNFORTUNATELY PAKISTAN WAS BETRAYED FROM INSIDE BY TINPOT MUSHARRAF.democracy is a farce .NATION...
imperceptibly. somewhat mysteriously and sometimes invisibly.H. subtly.H Amin-Published Daily Nation . a quantum. a modus operandi. AminEvery movement in history has a direction. According to the father of the philosophy of war Carl Von Clausewitz everything in strategy moves slowly. 2009 A.28 May 2009 Home » Opinions » US-strategic-plan US strategic planPublished: May 28.The USA inherited a historical situation in the shape of 9/11.At this point in time it was not making history .Posted by Agha H Amin at 1:08 AM --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- US strategic plan for Pakistan-A. The greatness of a military commander or statesman lies in assessing these strategic movements.
The unstated objective was the de-nuclearisation of Pakistan. These may be assessed as following :-- .2005 and till 2009. * Establishing and consolidating US military bases near the Afghan Pakistan border. The US strategic plan followed the following distinct phases:-* An initial manoeuvre occupying Afghanistan in 2001.if we agree that 9/11 was the work of Al Qaeda for which so far the USA has failed to furnish any solid evidence.Now it appears that the strategic plan is entering its final stage of launching a strategic coup de grace to Pakistan.2004. Some military bases like Dasht I Margo in Nimroz and three other bases in Kandahar. The stated objectives of these plan were the elimination of Al Qaeda. * Cultivating various tribes in ethnic groups on the Pakistan Afghan border by awarding them lucrative construction and logistic sub contracts.US leaders and key military commanders were making history. Swat and Balochistan.all through 2002. Sharan and Kunar US bases. Jalalabad.* Forcing the Pakistani military to act against the FATA tribes thus destabilising Pakistan's North West area close to the strategic heartland of Peshawar-IslamabadLahore where Pakistan's political and military nucleus is located. Even in case of sensitive areas the contracts were awarded to the US Government owned Shaw Inc and the CIA proxy operated Dyncorps Corporation. * Creating a situation where mysterious insurgencies erupted in various parts of Pakistan including FATA. Similarly many patriotic Afghan officers trained in USSR were removed from the Afghan military establishment. This scribe has continuously held this position held consistently in articles published in Nation from September 2001. Most prominent being the Khost. After 9/11 when the USA attacked Afghanistan .2003. Badakhshan and\ Logar were so secret that their construction was not even advertised. * Carrying forward urban terrorism into Punjab through various proxies. They had a certain plan in mind. Patriotic Afghans trained in USSR were removed from Afghan Intelligence because they would not agree to be a party to USA's dirty game in between 2001 and 2007.
* The covert nuclear operation could have a civilian and a military part. What is the answer to this: * An immediate clean break with USA/NATO and closing all NATO/US supply lines to Afghanistan. Once this type of attack is done the USA with its NATO lackeys like Britain. * A military alliance with China with a Chinese Naval base at Gwadar. The civilian part may involve an attack on Pakistan's non-military nuclear reactors like Chashma and KANUPP. The military covert operation could involve an attack on any of Pakistan's strategic nuclear groups anywhere in Pakistan. It appears that in 2009 it has sufficient data to launch a covert operation. . kicked and bullied by India. France and Germany would go the UN and manoeuvre an international resolution demanding denuclearization of Pakistan. a city state of MQM in Karachi. A Northern Area republic which is a US lackey unless China decides to call the US bluff by occupying the Northern Area. Infiltrators and fifth columnists being a heavy promiscuous mixture of this movement.* A rapprochement with Russia and offering the Russians free port facilities at Gwadar. * Mining and barbed wiring the Afghan Pakistan Border.* US military buildup in Afghanistan and launching of an offensive against Taliban with an aim of pushing them into Pakistan. * Once Pakistan is de-nuclearisaed the USA would encourage Pakistan's Balkanisation into a Baloch US satellite . The international opinion may be so strong that Pakistan's government may capitulate. * Creation of a maritime province in Gwadar and Lasbela districts insulating these areas from the Baloch Sardars on payroll of US intelligence. * Creation of a Pashtun Province in the Pashtun districts of Balochistan with Quetta as its capital. Thus Pakistan Army gets severely bogged down and hundreds of thousands of refugees enter Pakistans NWFP and Balochistan provinces. a Pakhtunistan badly bombed and in tatters and a Punjab stripped of nuclear potential . * Since 2001 the USA has spent a great fortune collecting information on Pakistan's strategic nuclear assets. * Allowing the FATA agencies to import goods for Afghanistan duty free and scrapping the old Afghan Transit Trade Accord thus economically boosting the FATA. * Simultaneously pressurising the Pakistan Army into launching an operation in Waziristan.
com/mellenpress. Osinski. Pakistan needs strategic and political vision. Everything is not inevitable in history. It may be necessary to have a military government to do all this in case the civilians prove inept. Paul Andre http://mellenpress.cfm?bookid=8028&pc=9 . February 2010 Amin. Agha . & DeGeorges.* Cancelling all mineral concessions to all European/Australian/American companies in Balochistan and grant all mineral concessions to Chinese companies. Posted by Omnibus Dubitandum at 5:02 PM No comments: Posted by Omnibus Dubitandum at 1:01 AM The Development of Taliban Factions in Afghanistan and Pakistan: A Geographical Account. The ablest navigators can defeat the worst sea storms. David J. .
uk/Books-Pakistan-Reviewed-AghaHumayun/dp/1480086193/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1354666967& sr=1-1 .co.BOOKS ON PAKISTAN REVIEWED-AMAZON UK http://www.amazon.
amazon.com/Military-Leadership-Decision-MakingHumayun/dp/1480086649/ref=sr_1_4?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1354667524& sr=1-4 .Military Leadership http://www.
Taliban war in Afghanistan http://www.amazon.com/Taliban-Afghanistan--Writers-TransformedPerceptions/dp/1480085863/ref=sr_1_5?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1354667721 &sr=1-5 .
com/Atlas-Military-History-IndiaPakistan/dp/1480102016/ref=sr_1_7?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1354667783&sr =1-7 .Atlas and History of Wars http://www.amazon.
com/Essential-Clausewitz-Agha-HumayunAmin/dp/1480199826/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1354667218&sr=11&keywords=AGHA+HUMAYUN+AMIN .THE ESSENTIAL CLAUSEWITZ http://www.amazon.
amazon.AL QAEDA and TALIBAN-Setting Straight Bruce Riedels Strategic Narrative http://www.USA.ISI.com/TALIBAN-Setting-Straight-Riedels-StrategicNarrative/dp/1481007645/ref=sr_1_17?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1354667320& sr=1-17 .
amazon.1971 War http://www.com/Pakistan-Army-1971-Indiaafter/dp/1480109770/ref=sr_1_8?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1354667962&sr=18 .
Mans Role in History http://www.com/Mans-Role-History-AghaHumayun/dp/1480233536/ref=sr_1_9?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1354667993& sr=1-9 .amazon.
amazon.How a private English Company conquered a sub continent http://www.com/English-East-India-CompanyConquered/dp/1480234834/ref=sr_1_10?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=135466802 8&sr=1-10 .
com/Atlas-Battle-Chawinda-AghaHumayun/dp/1480242284/ref=sr_1_11?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1354668289 &sr=1-11 .amazon.Atlas of a great tank battle http://www.
amazon.Atlas of a bloody Indian Pakistan battle http://www.com/Atlas-Battle-Chamb-1971Humayun/dp/1480247529/ref=sr_1_12?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1354668583 &sr=1-12 .
amazon.com/Atlas-Battle-Chillianwallah-13-January1849/dp/1480253081/ref=sr_1_13?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1354668621&sr= 1-13 .A forgotten and Bloody British Failure http://www.
The Pakistani Tank Divisions Failure in 1965 http://www.amazon.com/Atlas-Battles-Assal-Uttar-Lahore1965/dp/1480253634/ref=sr_1_14?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1354668655&sr= 1-14 .
Second World Wars Forgotten History http://www.amazon.com/Indian-Army-Second-WorldWar/dp/1480269107/ref=sr_1_15?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1354668691&sr=115 .
amazon.com/Indian-Army-First-WorldWar/dp/1480274488/ref=sr_1_16?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1354668753&sr=116 .How Indian Army saved France and Suez Canal http://www.
Sepoy Rebellion of 1857-59 Reinterpreted http://www.com/Sepoy-Rebellion-1857-59-ReinterpretedHumayun/dp/1480085707/ref=sr_1_2?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1354667451& sr=1-2 .amazon.
Pakistan Army through eyes of Pakistani Generals http://www.com/Pakistan-Army-through-PakistaniGenerals/dp/1480085960/ref=sr_1_3?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1354667488&s r=1-3 .amazon.
This action might not be possible to undo. Are you sure you want to continue?
We've moved you to where you read on your other device.
Get the full title to continue listening from where you left off, or restart the preview.