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DJL_AG&S_Chart-Feb2009-printable.pdf

DJL_AG&S_Chart-Feb2009-printable.pdf

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Strauss and Howe Generations and Turnings Diagram
Strauss and Howe Generations and Turnings Diagram

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Published by: Daniel Luedtke on Feb 12, 2009
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05/10/2014

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Between Awakening Peaks ????

yr Between Crisis Peaks 103 yr Between Crisis Peaks 101 yr Crisis Regenarcy 106 yr Between Crisis Regenarcy 105 yr C Catalyst 110 yr Between Crisis Catalyst 107 yr
Page 1 of 4 © Copyright 2007--Mon Feb 09 2009 by DJL

Between Awakening Peaks 10

1594

Historical Saeculum Turnings and Turning Tendancies: Blue: Build Order Green: Demolish Order

Reformation Saeculum 107 yr 4th-Crisis

Saeculum Turning Point Range Labels - Horizontal ranges that show the elapsed years between Saeculums, Awakening Peaks, Crisis Catalysts, Crisis Regenarcys, and the Crisis Peaks for each Saeculum. Note the shortening trend of Saeculum's over time and the Civil War era's large shortening (90 to 71 years) then back to 81years for the next era. Did our shortest Crisis, the Civil War, also arrive 10-16 years too early? Is this another indicator of the Civil War's importance?

1st-High

New World Saeculum 110 yr 2nd-Awakening 3rd-Low

4th-Crisis

Armada Crisis
1569-1594 25yr C:1569 R:1573

Merrie England
1594-1621 27yr

Puritan Awakening
1621-1649 28yr

Reaction & Restoration
1649-1675 26yr

Glorious Revolution
1675-1704 29yr C:1676 R:1678

P:1588

P:1640

P:1689

max min
ax m
ing en ak d Aw 2n

NOW Entering 4th Turning Crisis...
M

in

X min max

-NOW
m m in ax
s isi Cr th 4

Anglo-Spanish (Spanish Armada) War 1585-1604 19yr

Bacon's Rebellion 1675-76 1yr

L

King William's War 1689-97 8yr

ax m in m ow L rd 3

m

Saeculum Turning Types and Turning Outlooks: Black: Positive Outlook Red: Negative Outlook

Page 1 of 4 © Copyright 2007--Mon Feb 09 2009 by DJL

Generation Name & Year Ranges at Birth

The Gen alignment region. On this generation time-line, time flows 35 degrees to the right and down at a 7:10 ratio (down:right). Comparing across generations vertically, it shows alignments between multiple Generations and the ages of Generation members. Generation Names & Year Ranges at 110!!

1 Arthurian 1433 - 60 28yr

Page 1 of 4 © Copyright 2007--Mon Feb 09 2009 by DJL

Reformation Saeculum 107 yr

Hi g 1s h t

min max

L

King Phillip's War 1675-76 1.2yr

in m x a m

min max

SOCIAL FUTURE SENSE PERSONAL ORDER: OUTLOOK: OF RISK: PREFERENCES: Blue: Build Red: Negative Wine: Perilous Gray: Teamwork/Secular Green:Demolish Black: Positive Pink: Safe Orange: Personal/Spiritual
Late Medieval Great War Peace 1498-1584 or 86 years

Note: These four Glorio Revolution Crisis Conflict

together roughly equivale an X (xtra-large) Great W

New World's Great War Peace 1605-1675 or 70 years

4th-Crisis 1570 1580 1590

1st-High 1600 1610 1620

2nd-Awakening 1630 1640 1650

3rd-Low 1660 1670 1680

4th-Crisis 1690

1560

1

6 Parliamentary
1566-87 22 yr
Child

7 Puritan
1588-1617 30 yr

8 Cavalier
1618-47 30 yr

9 Glorious
1648-73 26 yr

10 Enlightenmen
1674-1700 27 yr

1st

0-21

2nd
Young

22-43

3rd
Middle

44-65

4th
Elder

66-87

5th Old 88-109

Appoximate Generation Parent Ranges
Same as set just below ruler for Generations at life's end.

2 Humanist
1461-82 22 yr

3 Reformation
1483-1511 29 yr

4 Reprisal
1512-40 29 yr

5 Elizabethan 6 Parliamentary
1541-65 25 yr

1566-87 22 yr

New World Saeculum 110 yr

ks 101 yr Between Crisis Peaks 92 yr Between Crisis Regenarcy 110 yr Between Crisis Catalyst 98 yr
Page 2 of 4 © Copyright 2007--Mon Feb 09 2009 by DJL

Between Awakening Peaks

90 yr

Between Awaken Between Crisis Peaks 82 yr Between Crisis Regenarcy 85 yr Between Crisis Catalyst 86 yr

ums, nd of id our e?

1704

1794

is

1st-High
1704-1727 23yr

Revolutionary Saeculum 90 yr 2nd-Awakening 3rd-Low

4th-Crisis

1st-High

Civil War Saeculum 71 yr 2nd-Awakening 3rd-Low
1822-1844 22 yr

us ion

Augustian Age of Empire

Great Awakening
1727-1746 19yr

French & Indian
Wars
1746-1773 27yr

American Revolution
1773-1794 21y C:1774 R:1776

Era of Good

Feelings

Transcendental Mexican W Awakening & Sectionali
P: 1831

9yr 678

1794-1822 28 yr

1844-1860 16

P:1741

P:1781

S
S Queen Anne's War pt 2 1704-13 9yr M Yamasee War M

1715-17 2yr

r
L

King George's War L French 1740-48 8 yr & Indian War 1755-63 9 yr

S The War of

Regulation 1764-71 7yr

X

M

Queen Anne's War pt 1 1702-04 2yr

Great American Conflicts
D - darker blue colored disastrous and X light blue colored xtra-large intensity wars that made lasting changes to America (1585-now), the shadowed square edged rectangles show duration graphically by position & width. The two colors indicate intensity. The dark blue inset rectangles label the war with lettering in the intensity colors. The start and end of a great war is marked below on the time lines by a red rectangle with a graduated light red fill.

M Pontiac's

Rebellion 1763-66 3yr

American Revolutionary War 1775-83 8.4yr

Indian War 1785-95 10yr

The NW M

War 1811-12 1yr

S Tecumseh's

M
L

M

Glorious

onflicts are uivalent to Great War.

S - reddish orange small,M - light orange medium and L - yellow green large intensity wars (1585-now), The shadowed square edged rectangles show duration graphically by position & width. Color indicates intensity. The very dark blue inset rectangles label the conflict with lettering also in the intensity colors.

1846-48 2 yr 2nd Sem S 3rd Sem 1832-32 0.5yr S 1st Sem W 1817-18 1yr War 1855-58 3 1835-42 7yr S Shay's Rebellion 1786-87 0.4yr S Dako S Creek War 1813-15 2yr 1862-62 M Texas Rev S Colora 1835-36 1yr Lessor American Conflicts 1863-6
S Whiskey Rebellion 1794-95 2yr S Black Hawk War M

War of 1812 1812-15 3yr

Rebellion 1831-31 0.3 yr

S Nat T's

S

Bleedin Kansas 1854-59 5

X

L Mexican War

4th-Crisis Civil War 1860-1865 5yr C:1860 R:1861 P:1863 Greatest US Crisis/War

S

Re 1

Revolutionary's Great War Peace 1705-1774 or 69 years

Civil War's Great War Peace 1784-1860 or 76 years

sis 1700

1st-High 1710 1720

2nd-Awakening 1730 1740 1750

3rd-Low 1760 1770

4th-Crisis 1780 1790 1800

1st-High 1810 1820

2nd-Awakening 1830 1840

3rd-Low 1850

0

Approximate Generation Parent Ranges
Shows probable birth range of a given generation's parents, the left side I-Beam denotes that range (note that in earlier generations, that were longer, parents would often be from the first of a generation. This doesn't happen as much now. Actual genealogical data should someday replace this approach.

90% 80% 70% 60% 50%

Transcenden Compromise Republican
DWHH
GW GW JA TJ TJ JMa JMa JMo JMo JQA AJa AJa MVB JT JKP

Liberty

40% 30% 20%

DZT
MF FP

10% Awakening

Presidential Generational Handoff Timeline - A horizontal bar of U Presidential terms aligned by date, Colored by Generation Types (Profit, Nomad, Ar Hero) (1789-now). Terms are 4 years unless shortened by Death, Assassination o Resignation. Now ending 55th term. Black Up-Arrows mean positive conclusion of te Red Down-Arrows show a negative ending, WIne Ovals are neutral.

ment 11 Awakening 12 Liberty 13 Republican 14 Compromise 15 Transcendental
1701-23 23 yr
Child

16 Gilded
1822-42 21 yr

17 Progressiv

7 yr

1724-41 18 yr

1742-66 25 yr

1767-91 25 yr

1792-1821 30 yr 1st

1843-59 17

1st

Child

0-21

0-21

Emphasized generation configuration for the 2nd Young, 3rd Middle and 4th Elder Ages for a given Saeculum Start/End, Awakening Peak, Crisis Catalyst, Crisis Regenarcy and Crisis Peak. Called TpGenBars.

American Turning Generation Bars

2nd
Young

2nd
Young

22-43

22-43

3rd
Middle

3rd
Middle

44-65

44-65

4th
Elder

4th
Elder

66-87

66-87

5th Old 88-109

5th Old 88-109

American Turning Points
Vertical lines that denote the Saeculum Start/End, the Awakening Peak and the Crisis Catalyst, Crisis Regenarcy, and Crisis Peak for each Saeculum.

ary yr

7 Puritan
1588-1617 30 yr

8 Cavalier
1618-47 30 yr

9 Glorious
1648-73 26 yr

10 Enlightenment 11 Awakening 12 Liberty 13
1674-1700 27 yr 1701-23 23 yr
1724-41 18 yr

1

Page 2 of 4 © Copyright 2007--Mon Feb 09 2009 by DJL

Revolutionary Saeculum 90 yr

Civil War Saeculum 71 yr

wakening

Peaks 65 yr Between Crisis Peaks 81 yr Between Crisis Regenarcy 72 yr Between Crisis Catalyst 69 yr
1865
Page 3 of 4 © Copyright 2007--Mon Feb 09 2009 by DJL

Between Awakening

Peaks 78 yr Between Crisis Peaks 76? yr Between Crisis Regenarcy 83? yr Between Crisis Catalyst 81? yr

Between Awakening

NOW

1946

-Low

4th

1st-High

Great Power Saeculum 81 yr 2nd-Awakening 3rd-Low

an War Civil Reconstruction War

onalism

& Gilded Age
1865-1886 21yr

Third Great Awakening
1886-1908 22yr

Millennial Saeculum 79?? yr 2nd-Awakening 4th-Crisis 1st-High 3rd-Low WWI & Great Depres- American Consciousness Culture Prohibition sion & WWII High Revolution Wars
1908-1929 21yr 1929-1946 17yr C:1929 R:1933 1946-1964 18yr 1964-1984 20yr 1984-2009? 25yr?

4th

Mill C

860 16 yr 18601865 5yr

P: 1896

P: 1944

P: 1974

2009-2 C:201 L

P:

P:'63

S

SS
S

S

S
100,000

S M X M
L World War I

S L
L Korean 100,000

leeding Kansas 54-59 5yr

Black Hills War 1874-75 1yr
S Sioux Wars

War yr

L

War 1950-53 3.1yr

M

L Vietnam Vietnam War War L 1959-75

S S
S Inv of Grenada
1983-83 0.1yr

SSS S M

In 200

S Inv of Panama 1989-90 0.1yr

M LL X

100,00

D Civil War
1861-65 4yr
S S

X

1890-91 1yr

M

d Sem W 55-58 3yr

Spanish 10,000 American War 1890-91 0.3yr
1,000

X

(US) 1917-18 1.4 yr

X World War II (US)

15.8yr

X

M The Gulf War

M Afghanistan

War 20

1941-45 3.9 yr 10,000

1990-91 0.5yr

D
1927-29-32 to 1937-42: A monster series of US & World events!

Dakota War 862-62 0.4yr

Comanche War 1867-75 8yr Modoc War 1872-72 1yr
S

DJIA, 1900-2008, Log 10 Scale Green Line is highest Closing High in Year. Red Line is lowest Closing Low in Year. Blue Line is average of Closings for year.

10,00

1,400

1,000

1,00

Colorado War 1863-65 2yr

Nez Perce War 1877-77 0.5yr

100

100

S

Red Cloud's War 1866-68 2yr
10 10

CPI Adjusted DJIA, 1913-2008, Log 10 Scale Unity set for 1929. Eq: AdjCPI(v) = v/CPI(yr)*CPI(1929)
Green Dashed Line is highest CPI Adjusted Closing High in Year. Red Dashed Line is lowest CPI Adjusted Closing Low in Year. Blue Dashed Line is CPI Adjusted Average of Closings for year.

10

1

Great Power's Great War Peace 1866-1941 or 75 years

Min/Max. Est. Millennial's Great War Peace 1946-2014/2028 o

-Low

4th 1860

1st-High 1870 1880

2nd-Awakening 1890 1900 1910

3rd-Low 1920

4th-Crisis 1930 1940

1st-High 1950 1960

2nd-Awakening 1970 1980

3rd-Low 1990 2000

4th 2010

50

90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40%
FP JB AL

90% 80% 70%

90% 80% 70% NOW

endental Missionary Progressive
AJAG AAL
AJo USG USG RBH CAA GC BH GC WM JCC

Gilded

60% 50% Lost 40%

G.I.

Silent

60% 50%

Boom
GWB GWB BHO

30%

AWM

TR

TR

WHT

WW

WW

WGH

DWGH

JCC

HCH

FDR

FDR

FDR

30% 20% 10%

D FDR

HST

HST

DDE

DDE

LBJ JFK

RRMN
LBJ RMN
GRF

40%
JEC RWR RWR JHB WJC WJC

AJFK

30% 20% 10%

ar of US mad, Artist, 20% nation or on of term, 10% l.

The Four Colored Peaks of National Leadership - Thirteen charts display per
cent of leadership from the thirteen mature U.S. Generations (1775-2005).

X'er

ressive

18 Missionary
1860-82

19 Lost

20 G.I.
1901-24 24 yr
Child

21 Silent

22 Boom

23 X'er
1961-81 21 yr
Child

24 Millennial

9 17 yr

23 yr 1883-1900 18 yr

1925-1942 18 yr 1943-60 18 yr

1982-20?? 24? yr 20??-??

25 Qu

Expected Hero Generation Evolves Into Progressive Artists. Some Hero Atributes Attach To Gilded Nomads - The Only Missing Generation in US History.

1st

1st

0-21

0-21

2nd
Young

2nd
Young

22-43

22-43

PROPHET DISASTER HERE!!

3rd
Middle

3rd
Middle

44-65

44-65

4th
Elder

4th
Elder

66-87
American Panic Generation Bars Emphasized generation configuration for the
2nd Young, 3rd Middle and 4th Elder Ages of a given Panic. Called PanicGenBars.

66-87

5th Old 88-109

DJL's American Ge 5th Info gratefully drawn from Howe and Strauss's books: Old chart. The motivation was to validate Howe and Straus 88-109 Personal Uses (including reproduction and sharing cop 18 Missionary
1860-82

13 Republican 14 Compromise 15 Transcendental
1742-66 25 yr 1767-91 25 yr 1792-1821 30 yr

16 Gilded
1822-42 21 yr

17 Progressive

1843-59 17 yr

19 Lost

23 yr 1883-1900 18 yr

1

Page 3 of 4 © Copyright 2007--Mon Feb 09 2009 by DJL

Great Power Saeculum 81 yr

Millennial Saeculum 79?? yr
NOW

ening Peaks 76? yr Between Crisis Peaks ?? yr Between Crisis Regenarcy ?? yr Between Crisis Catalyst ?? yr
Page 4 of 4 © Copyright 2007--Mon Feb 09 2009 by DJL

Between Awakening Peaks ?? yr

agf tpl ba at pgb tpg tps gw gp pa hz lw ts nl

W

Page 4 of 4 © Copyright 2007--Mon Feb 09 2009 by DJL

2025?

2104?

4th-Crisis

1st-High
2025?-2043? 18yr?

?? Saeculum ?? yr 2nd-Awakening 3rd-Low

4th-Crisis

1st-High

Millennial Millennial Crisis High
P:2020?

Millennial Revolt
2043?-2063? 20yr?

Millennial Meltdown
2063?-2084? 21yr?

Cyber Crisis
2084?-2104? 20yr? C:2096? R:2100? SOCIAL ORDER: Blue: Build P:2102? Green: Demolish

Cyber High
2104?-2132? 28yr?

2009-2025? 16yr? C:2010? R:2016 Inv/Occ of Iraq 2003-?? ??yr

Historical Saeculum Turnings and Turning Tendancies: Blue: Build Order Green: Demolish Order

P:2050?
max min
ax
ax m in m ow L rd 3

L

U.S. Panics and Recessions
32 Sized red arrows of S -Small, M -Medium, L -Large, X -Xtra-Large and D -Disastrous downturns (1794-now). Panics are numerous and widely distributed (but never during a Great Conflict). Only one Panic, so far, is designated Disastrous– the 1929 Depression (note the 2008 crash is now approaching Disastrous. I expect to change this X Panic to a D - Disastrous Panic any day now. Doing so would make 2008 a new Crisis Catalyst, and signal the start of our Era's Fourth Turning.
Level to Match Great Depression Losses: 1400

100,000 War 2001-?? ??yr 10,000

NEAR FUTURE: OUTLOOK Red: Negative Black: Positive

NOW Entering 4th Turning Crisis...
m ax m

m

Start 2014-28 & Length 3-6 yr

100 Start
2017 Leng. 4 yr

Est. Range of Next Great War: Starts are 2014 to 2028 and of 3-6 years length, 68-82 years since WWII - Red Shade. My best guess is a 2017 war start of 4 years duration, 71 years since WWII ended - Blue Shade.

min max Saeculum Turning Types and Turning Outlooks: Black: Positive Outlook Red: Negative Outlook

10

028 or 68/82?? years

4th-Crisis 2020

1st-High 2030 2040

2nd-Awakening 2050 2060

3rd-Low 2070 2080

4th-Crisis 2090 2100 2110

1st-High 2120 2130

10

W
Page 4 of 4 © Copyright 2007--Mon Feb 09 2009 by DJL

BHO

5 Quiet?

26 Bust?
20??-?? 18? yr

27 Risk'er?
20??-?? 21? yr

28 Cyborg?

29 ??

30 ??
21??-18? yr

??-?? 18? yr

Ou

20??-?? 24? yr 20?- 21? 18? yr

31 ??
21??-???? yr

rU

Th 1st 0-21 nd e F isc utu o2nd re ve r 22-43 ed Co un 3rd
Child Young
Middle

Child

1st

0-21

2nd
Young gion. On this generation time-line, time flows 35 degrees to the right and 3rd down at a 7:10 ratio Middle (down:right).

22-43 The Gen alignment re-

44-65

try

44-65

4th
Elder

4th
Elder

66-87

66-87

books: Generations (1991) and The Fourth Turning (1997)–the latter is where most chart terminology originated. Please read and use both to understand this Generation Old Old Strauss's alignments of generations and saeculum turnings–which it did very well. © Copyright 2007-09 by Daniel James Luedtke. All Free, Non-Commercial Names & 88-109 88-109 Year Ranges ring copies) granted by DJL with the inclusion of this statement. Chart version: 2009.02-DJL, modified: Mon Feb 09 2009. A private effort of DJL only!

n Generations & Saeculums Chart - A map to our past and portal into our future. 5th

5th

20 G.I.
1901-24 24 yr

21 Silent

22 Boom

23 X'er
1961-81 21 yr

24 Millennial

25 Quiet?

1925-1942 18 yr 1943-60 18 yr

1982-20?? 24? yr 20??-?? 18? yr

?? Saeculum ?? yr
Page 4 of 4 © Copyright 2007--Mon Feb 09 2009 by DJL

Page 4 of 4 © Copyright 2007--Mon Feb 09 2009 by DJL

W

ax

PERSONAL PREFERENCES: Gray: Teamwork/ Secular Orange: Personal/ Spiritual

Generation Names & Year Ranges at Birth

Comparing across generations vertically, it shows alignments between multiple Generations and the ages of Generation members.

at 110!!

m

in

1,000

m m in ax

m

1,400

s isi Cr th 4

Hi g 1s h t

SENSE OF RISK: Wine: Perilous Pink: Safe

max

-NOW

min max

in en ak d Aw 2n

m

g

in

in

min max

in m x a m

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