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Bi tp chng D Bo Nhu Cu

Bi 1: Ti mt phng khm a khoa, s bnh nhn n khm trong 6 tun va qua nh


sau:
Tun

1
2
3
4
5
6

S bnh
nhn n
khm bnh
(ngi)
360
389
410
381
368
374

a) Hy d bo s bnh nhn n khm bnh trong


tun th 7 theo phng php bnh qun di ng 3
tun.
b) Hy d bo s bnh nhn n khm bnh trong
tun th 7 theo phng php bnh qun di ng 3
tun c trng s, vi cc trng s 0,1, 0,3, v 0,6.
c) Hy d bo s bnh nhn n khm bnh trong
cc tun th 2 n tun th 7 theo phng php
san bng s m bc 1 da vo h s m = 0,2.
Bit rng s d bo ca tun u tin l 360

ngi.
Bi 2: Mot ca hang bach hoa a thong ke so lng san
pham xa bong giat Hong ha ban ra trong thi gian qua nh
sau:
Thi ky
6
7
8
9
10 11 12
Nhu cau thc 52
65
48 58 62 64 56
te (kg)
Yeu cau: Dung phng phap san bang so mu lan 2 e d
bao nhu cau san pham thi ky ti trong 2 trng hp:
1 = 0,4
1 = 0.2
2 = 0,4
2 = 0.8
Theo ban nen chon ket qua d bao cua trng hp nao? V
sao?
Biet rang:
F 6 = 56 kg; T 6 = 0
F t = F t-1 + (A t-1 F t-1);
Tt = T t-1 + (F t F t-1)
Bi 3: Tai mot cong ty, tnh hnh tieu thu san pham A c
thong ke theo bang sau:
Tuan
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8 9 1
0
So san pham A
22
21 25
27 35 29 33 3 4 3
(1000)
7 1 7
Hay dung phng phap bnh phng be nhat e d bao nhu
cau san pham A cho tuan th 11,12,13,14,15,16.
Bi 4: Tai mot ca hang ban vn phng phm co so lieu thong
ke ve so lng mt mt hng c ban ra trong 3 nam qua (theo
tng quy) nh sau:
n v tnh: sn
phm
Quy
Nam
2007
2008
2009
1
90
130
190
_______________________________________________________________________
_
Th.S T Th Bch Thy

Bi tp chng D Bo Nhu Cu

2
130
190
200
3
200
250
300
4
170
220
320
Yeu cau: Hay dung phng phap bnh phng be nhat e
d bao so sn phm c ban ra trong nam 2010 (theo tng
quy) co ieu chnh theo mua.
Bi 5: Gia s anh (ch) la ngi chu trach nhiem ve lap ke
hoach san xuat cho cong ty. Giam oc cong ty yeu cau anh
(ch) phai chuan b d bao ve nhu cau mot loai san pham
e len ke hoach ve so lng san pham can phai san xuat
cho phu hp. Trong mot buoi hop vi ban giam oc cong ty,
ong trng phong marketing a cung cap cho anh (ch) thong
tin ve chi ph quang cao danh cho loai san pham o nh sau:
So lng san
Chi ph quang cao
Than
pham
(trieu ong)
g
(1000 v)
1
314
40
2
170
28
3
220
32
4
150
25
5
260
35
Ong trng phong marketing noi rang thang ti cong ty se
chi 32,50 trieu ong cho quang cao loai san pham noi tren.
Yeu cau:
a) Hay xay dng phng trnh hoi qui d bao nhu cau san
pham nay trong thang 6.
b) Gia s lng ton kho trc thang 6 la 6500 san pham.
So lng san pham can phai san xuat trong thang 6 la bao
nhieu?

_______________________________________________________________________
_
Th.S T Th Bch Thy