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ValuEngine Weekly: AMR Corp,Health Care,Sterling Financial,Valuations,and Suttmeier

ValuEngine Weekly: AMR Corp,Health Care,Sterling Financial,Valuations,and Suttmeier

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This week, we provide top-five ranked VE data for our health care stocks. We get the latest on technical levels for Treasuries,Gold,Oil,the euro,Sterling Financial,and major indices from our Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier. We re-iterate our Valuation Warning. We also provide a link to download a free copy of our detailed valuation report on AMR Corp--and we have changed our free download link so it works direct to your desktop.
This week, we provide top-five ranked VE data for our health care stocks. We get the latest on technical levels for Treasuries,Gold,Oil,the euro,Sterling Financial,and major indices from our Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier. We re-iterate our Valuation Warning. We also provide a link to download a free copy of our detailed valuation report on AMR Corp--and we have changed our free download link so it works direct to your desktop.

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Published by: ValuEngine.com on Mar 15, 2013
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03/15/2013

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March 15, 2013

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The ValuEngine Weekly is an Investor Education newsletter focused on the quantitative approach to investing and the tools available from In today's fast-moving and globalized financial markets, it is easy to get overloaded with information. The winners will adopt an objective, scientific, independent and unemotional approach to investing. If you are not yet a member of ValuEngine's stock analysis service, sign up now for a two-week free trial at www.valuengine.com! ValuEngine.com.

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up almost 67% of our universe and almost 30% of the universe is calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. 15 of 16 sectors are calculated to be overvalued--14 out of 16 by double digits. MARKET OVERVIEW

Index
DJIA NASDAQ RUSSELL 2000 S&P 500

Week Open
14397.07 3237.74 940.43 1551.15

Thurs Close
14539.14 3258.93 953.07 1563.23

Change
142.07 21.19 12.64 12.08

% Change
0.99% 0.65% 1.34% 0.78%

YTD
10.67% 7.74% 12.24% 9.46%

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued Stocks Overvalued Stocks Undervalued by 20% Stocks Overvalued by 20% 33.08% 66.92% 14.16% 29.55%

SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector
Aerospace Auto-Tires-Trucks Basic Materials Business Services Computer and Technology Construction Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Finance Industrial Products Medical Multi-Sector Conglomerates Oils-Energy Retail-Wholesale Transportation Utilities

Change
0.94% -0.07% 0.45% 0.57% 0.53% 1.13% 0.61% 0.17% 0.52% 0.74% 0.33% 0.20% 0.50% 0.67% 0.73% 0.40%

MTD
4.55% 2.73% 4.06% 4.30% 2.95% 3.75% 4.71% 2.92% 2.97% 4.37% 3.79% 0.90% 1.89% 4.16% 4.63% 2.45%

YTD
10.92% 8.49% 6.19% 11.98% 11.37% 12.61% 13.64% 9.84% 12.04% 13.42% 12.04% 4.90% 8.81% 14.85% 19.60% 6.72%

Valuation
11.48% overvalued 18.88% overvalued 3.59% undervalued 15.99% overvalued 17.23% overvalued 24.19% overvalued 12.45% overvalued 24.65% overvalued 19.27% overvalued 18.78% overvalued 11.62% overvalued 11.25% overvalued 7.83% overvalued 18.00% overvalued 22.66% overvalued 13.67% overvalued

Last 12MReturn
6.44% 3.39% -27.68% 14.32% 1.39% 22.51% 6.38% 9.03% 12.53% 4.65% 8.70% 5.11% -13.62% 13.04% 5.12% 3.37%

P/E Ratio
14.16 16.03 18.52 21.24 26.01 25.95 22.69 19.52 17.77 18.81 23.8 15.6 24.52 20.28 20.58 17.89

Sector Talk—Health Care
Below, we present the latest data on leading Health Care Sector stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

Top-Five Health Care Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns
Ticker
AFFY RPRX AKRX QGEN SPPI

Name
AFFYMAX INC REPROS THERAPEU AKORN INC QIAGEN NV SPECTRUM PHARMA

Mkt Price
3.06 9.75 13.96 20.91 7.81

Valuation(%)
-75 -75 -75 -75 -34.76

Last 12-M Retn(%)
-72.46 150.64 16.92 43.42 -39.27

Top-Five Health Care Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns
Ticker
AFFY RPRX AKRX QGEN SPPI

Name
AFFYMAX INC REPROS THERAPEU AKORN INC QIAGEN NV SPECTRUM PHARMA

Mkt Price
3.06 9.75 13.96 20.91 7.81

Valuation(%)
-75 -75 -75 -75 -34.76

Last 12-M Retn(%)
-72.46 150.64 16.92 43.42 -39.27

Top-Five Health Care Sector Stocks--Composite Score
Ticker
BSX CELG QGEN ACT AZN

Name
BOSTON SCIENTIF CELGENE CORP QIAGEN NV ACTAVIS INC ASTRAZENECA PLC

Mkt Price
7.52 114.28 20.91 91.08 46.52

Valuation(%)
-23.57 -75 -75 0.28 -2.92

Last 12-M Retn(%)
27.89 50.35 43.42 53.83 3.52

Top-Five Health Care Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued
Ticker
INFI SRPT LGND SGYP EBS

Name
INFINITY PHARMA SAREPTA THERAP LIGAND PHARMA-B SYNERGY PHARMAC EMERGENT BIOSOL

Mkt Price
48.66 33.44 23.1 6.01 14.85

Valuation(%)
300 300 300 300 300

Last 12-M Retn(%)
382.74 322.31 43.12 51.39 -5.59

Find out what Wall Street Investment and Media Professionals already know, ValuEngine offers sophisticated stock valuation and forecast research as well as a variety of portfolio screening and creation tools. If you are reading this you should sign up for ValuEngine's award-winning To Sign Up for a stock valuation and forecast FREE TRIAL, service Please Click HERE NO OBLIGATION, 30 DAY FREE TRIAL!

Free Download for Readers
As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers, we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Detailed Stock Valuation Reports--this report is normally $25.00
This week's free download is our report on AMR Corp. (AAMRQ). AMR Corporation operations fall almost entirely in the airline industry. AMR's principal subsidiary is American Airlines, Inc. American is one of the largest scheduled passenger airlines in the world and provides scheduled jet service to more than 169 destinations throughout North America, the Caribbean, Latin America, Europe and the Pacific. American is also one of the largest scheduled air freight carriers in the world, providing a full range of freight and mail services to shippers throughout its system. AMR--after much speculation and rumour-- finally announced plans for a merger with US Airways last month and since then the stock has been on a nice run. We selected it for our VE View Newsletter and in just three-and-a-half weeks the stock is up more than 47%. The stock has impressive valuation, forecast, P/E, and momentum. Watch it closely however, some analysts caution that when the deal with US Air goes down, shareholders will not be the ultimate beneficiaries of the sale.

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on AMR Corp HERE (LINK IS WORKING/NEW LINK SYSTEM DIRECT DOWNLOAD)

What's Hot--ValuEngine Re-Issues Market Valuation
Warning
ValuEngine has re-issued a market valuation warning as of March 11th. Our overall market overvaluation and overvalued by 20% or more figures have reached levels which have been correlated with market pull backs in the past. Strong market performance drives these calculations right now., We first issued a Valuation Watch back in January. High valuations continued through February and declined just slightly at the end of that month. We had a respite from February 26th until March 6th. We track market valuation figures and use them as a metric for making calls about the overall state of the market. Whenever we see levels in overvaluation levels in excess of @ 65% for the overall universe and/or 27% for the overvalued by 20% or more categories, we issue a valuation warning. As of yesterday's close, we now calculate that 66.92% of stocks are overvalued and 29.55% of stocks are overvalued by 20% or more. The chart below tracks the valuation metrics from January 2013 until today.

This is a time for investors to keep a close eye on the market and to consider booking some profits

Suttmeier Says
--Commentary and Analysis from Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier
If you have any comments or questions, send them to Rsuttmeier@Gmail.com Treasury Yields 10-Year--(2.031) Daily, annual, and semiannual value levels are 2.132, 2.476 and 3.063 with annual and weekly pivots at 1.981 and 2.058, and monthly and semiannual risky levels at 1.796 and 1.413. Commodities and Forex Comex Gold –(($1588.1) Weekly and annual pivots are $1580.4 and $1599.9 with a daily pivot at $1592.9, and semiannual, monthly, quarterly and annual risky levels at $1719.2, $1737.6, $1802.9 and $1852.1. Nymex Crude Oil – ($93.12) No value levels with daily, weekly, quarterly, monthly and annual risky levels at $93.94, $95.01, $95.84, $98.23 and $115.23. The Euro – (1.3002) My semiannual value level is 1.2797 with a daily pivot at 1.3019, and weekly, monthly, annual and quarterly risky levels at 1.3185, 1.3249, 1.3257 and 1.3334.

Major Indices Daily DOW (14,539) Monthly, quarterly and annual value levels are 13,949, 13,668, 12,696 and 12,509 with a semiannual pivot at 14,323 and weekly and risky levels at 14,604 and 14,696. Set a new intraday all time high at 14,539.29 on March 14, 2013 and a new all time closing high at 14,539.14 on March 14, 2013. S&P 500 – (1563.2) Quarterly and annual value levels are 1431.1 and 1348.3 with semiannual, weekly and daily risky levels at 1566.9, 1567.1 and 1578.4. The October 2007 high is 1576.09.

NASDAQ – (3259) Quarterly and annual value levels are 3071, 2806 and 2790 with monthly and weekly pivots at 3197 and 3245 and daily and semiannual risky levels at 3303 and 3583. NASDAQ 100 (NDX) – (2807) Annual value levels are 2463 and 2385 with weekly, quarterly and monthly pivots at 2780, 2798 and 2809 and daily risky level at 2845. Dow Transports – (6281) Semiannual and annual pivots are 5955 and 5925 with daily and weekly risky levels at 6300 and 6315. Monthly and annual value levels are 5522 and 5469. Set a new all time intra-day high at 6238.34 on March 13, 2013 and a new all time closing high at 6232.59 on March 13, 2013. Russell 2000 – (953.07) Monthly and annual value levels are 901.68 and 860.25 with daily, weekly and semiannual risky levels at 964.93, 955.21 and 965.51. Set a new all time intra-day high at 944.61 on March 13, 2013. The SOX – (441.53) Monthly and quarterly value levels are 404.22 and 371.62 with daily and weekly risky levels at 449.55 and 446.15. My semiannual risky level is 520.17 with the July 2007 high at 549.39.

With Richard Suttmeier's Morning Briefing, you get daily analysis of US Treasury Yields, Gold, Crude Oil, and Currency Exchange Rates--Dollar, Yen, Pound, and Euro--as well as key technical indicators for the major equity averages.

Click HERE to Sign Up for Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier's Morning Briefing!

ValuEngine.com Tools and Services
We provide a variety of means for accessing ValuEngine market analysis and other content. You can find us on some of the leading financial media websites as well as the more popular social media services. While our own website ValuEngine.com provides access to lots of analysis--and you can always sign up to receive email daily and weekly bulletins HERE, some users prefer to download PDF reports of content while others prefer to garner info while browsing the web. Our Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier is a prolific market observer and you can find his content in a variety of places. His weekly column on Forbes provides insights into his "Buy and Trade" strategy while his daily market analysis can be followed and accessed at Scribd, Twitter, and Minyanville. Senior Editor Steve Hach re-posts PDFs and web-accessible copies of Daily and Weekly ValuEngine bulletins at Seeking Alpha and Scribd. In most cases, you can receive notification of VE content posting by Suttmeier and Hach by following the ValuEngine feed on twitter @ValuEngine. Links for this content are provided below, you may also find these links on our website HERE Intelligent Investing with Richard Suttmeier Articles by Richard Suttmeier | Articles by Steve Hach Newsletters, Articles and Other Research Pieces Articles by Richard Suttmeier | Articles by Steve Hach Get short, timely messages from ValuEngine Inc Daily Bulletin PDFs, Weekly Newsletter PDFs, and PDF Research Reports

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