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GCE Maths – Statistics S1 (6683/01)

Alternatively. you can speak directly to the subject team at Pearson. Their contact details can be found on this link: www.com/uk January 2013 Publications Code UA034849 All the material in this publication is copyright © Pearson Education Ltd 2013 . you can get in touch with us using the details on our contact us page at www. For further information visit our qualifications websites at www.edexcel.Edexcel and BTEC Qualifications Edexcel and BTEC qualifications come from Pearson. occupational and specific programmes for employers. You can also use our online Ask the Expert service at www. in 100 languages.com/contactus.com/teachingservices.edexcel.uk for our BTEC qualifications.btec. Find out more about how we can help you and your students at: www. We provide a wide range of qualifications including academic. for all kinds of people. Pearson: helping people progress. We’ve been involved in education for over 150 years. we have built an international reputation for our commitment to high standards and raising achievement through innovation in education. wherever they are in the world.pearson.co. You will need an Edexcel username and password to access this service.edexcel. the world’s leading learning company.com or www.com/ask. vocational. and by working across 70 countries.edexcel. We believe in every kind of learning. everywhere Our aim is to help everyone progress in their lives through education. If you have any subject specific questions about this specification that require the help of a subject specialist.

e. Mark schemes should be applied positively. mark schemes will provide the principles by which marks will be awarded and exemplification may be limited. Unless indicated in the mark scheme a correct answer with no working should gain full marks for that part of the question. Where some judgement is required. Examiners should mark according to the mark scheme not according to their perception of where the grade boundaries may lie. Examiners must mark the first candidate in exactly the same way as they mark the last.General Marking Guidance • All candidates must receive the same treatment. Crossed out work should be marked UNLESS the candidate has replaced it with an alternative response. the team leader must be consulted. • • • • • • • • . All marks on the mark scheme should be used appropriately. . Examiners should always award full marks if deserved. Examiners should also be prepared to award zero marks if the candidate’s response is not worthy of credit according to the mark scheme. Candidates must be rewarded for what they have shown they can do rather than penalised for omissions. i. There is no ceiling on achievement. if the answer matches the mark scheme. All the marks on the mark scheme are designed to be awarded. When examiners are in doubt regarding the application of the mark scheme to a candidate’s response.

unless otherwise indicated. 3. The Edexcel Mathematics mark schemes use the following types of marks: • • • • M marks: method marks are awarded for ‘knowing a method and attempting to apply it’. . B marks are unconditional accuracy marks (independent of M marks) Marks should not be subdivided. but incorrect answers should never be awarded A marks. unless shown.).correct solution only. 2. in that part of the question affected.EDEXCEL GCE MATHEMATICS General Instructions for Marking 1. All A marks are ‘correct answer only’ (cao. for example. the mark distributions (e.g. A marks: Accuracy marks can only be awarded if the relevant method (M) marks have been earned. In some instances. the subsequent A marks affected are treated as A ft. After a misread however. B1 and A1) printed on the candidate’s response may differ from the final mark scheme. M1. For misreading which does not alter the character of a question or materially simplify it. The total number of marks for the paper is 75. Abbreviations These are some of the traditional marking abbreviations that will appear in the mark schemes and can be used. 5. There must be no errors in this part of the question to obtain this mark isw – ignore subsequent working awrt – answers which round to SC: special case oe – or equivalent (and appropriate) dep – dependent indep – independent dp decimal places sf significant figures ¿ The answer is printed on the paper The second mark is dependent on gaining the first mark 4. deduct two from any A or B marks gained. • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • bod – benefit of doubt ft – follow through the symbol will be used for correct ft cao – correct answer only cso . as A1 ft to indicate that previous wrong working is to be followed through.

• If either all attempts are crossed out or none are crossed out.6. If a candidate makes more than one attempt at any question: • If all but one attempt is crossed out. 7. Ignore wrong working or incorrect statements following a correct answer. mark all the attempts and score the highest single attempt. or “trait”. 8. as shown: 0 1 ● ● ● ● ● ● ● aM aA bM1 bA1 bB bM2 bA2 . The maximum mark allocation for each question/part question(item) is set out in the marking grid and you should allocate a score of ‘0’ or ‘1’ for each mark. mark the attempt which is NOT crossed out.

g.g.g. Sg t and given S gg in the correct places.January 2013 6683 Statistics S1 Mark Scheme Question Number 1. high v corresponds to low t and low t corresponds to high g so expect high v to corresponds to high g or expect more revision to result in a better grade Notes for at least one correct expression (a) M1 1st A1 for Stt = awrt 2046 (Condone S xx =… or even S yy =…) 2nd A1 for Sgt = awrt − 90.6 × 7. (Stt ) = 8702 − M1 awrt – 90.6 . “the less revision done the lower the grade” is B1 “should do better with more revision” is B0 since does not mention grades “both coefficients are similar” or two sketches of negative correlation with labelled axes is B1 since v.68 r= = −0. t and g are implied Allow use of letters v and g Allow equivalent terms e. A1 (3) (b) −90. (Sgt = ) − 90.7 (Condone S xy =… ) B1 B1 (2) 7 (b) M1 for attempt at correct formula.7 A1.. Must have their Stt .714956.71 with no expression seen M0 for 1550. (a) Scheme Marks 2582 258 × 63.68 awrt (2046). e. Ignore mention of skew. “study” instead of “revision” or “score” instead of “grade” . Condone missing “ − ” Award M1A0 for awrt − 0.2 8702 × 7. 2045.2 − 10 10 ( Stt = ) 2045.6 or ( Sgt ) = 1550.864 awrt − 0. 2nd B1 for suitable reason that mentions at least v and g and supports positive correlation.864 Correct answer only is 2/2 (c) 1st B1 for saying "positive".715 M1 A1 (2) (c) Positive e..

. (a) F(3) = 1 gives Scheme Marks 33 + k =1 40 So k = 13 or 0.) from F(x) M1 can be implied if either P(X = 2) or P(X =3) is correct 7 or 0.475 or exact equivalent 2nd A1 for P(X = 3) = 40 1st A1 for P(X = 2) = (c) M1 A1 for correct use of the variance formula (42Var(X) alone secures M1) A value for Var(X) is not required for this M1 for any exact equivalent to 12. P(X = 1) or p(x) and 40 associated with x = 1 or given in a table but must have a label. for clear method showing how to obtain P(X =. 40 (c) Var(4X – 5) = 42 Var(X) 19 P(X = 3) = or 0.Question Number 2. Ignore labels on 2nd row 1 2 3 (b) 7 20 or 0.475 40 So Var(4X – 5) = 259 or 12. Verify 33 + 13 = 1 but the A1 requires an explicit comment such as “so k = 13” Allow M1 for 40 If a table such as this is seen then award B1M1A1A1.) or P(X = 3) = F(3) – F(2) M1 A1cso (2) B1 M1 A1. A1 (4) M1 (b) P(X = 1) = 14 40 Use of P(X = 2) = F(2) – F(1) 7 P(X = 2) = or 0.175 or exact equivalent 40 19 or 0.475 Otherwise apply the following: B1 M1 for 14 or 0.175 19 40 or 0.175 .e. Can be labelled F(1).95 Correct answer only is 2/2 .95 20 A1 (2) 8 Notes (a) M1 for use of F(3) = 1 Attempt at 33 + k = 1 must be seen 40 27+k = 40 without reference to F(3) = 1 is M0 A1cso for no incorrect working seen and M1 scored.35 7 40 or 0.35 (o..35 or any exact equivalent.

+. use of x or y scores A0 here.”) 4480 used correctly is B1B1 M1 for attempting a correct expression.5 A1cso (4) M1 (b) S −90.5) and "140"× "32" 8 ∑ m = 32 (or m = 4) B1 B1 M1 ( Stm ) = 469.g.256 ×10 = ) 5.9 within range of times” is B1 since irrelevant . Follow through their Stm .255649.9 Accept 6 if the correct expression ( awrt 8. (allow 181 708 ) − 0. (allow a fully correct expression – not “.256t So equation of the line is 181 (allow m = 11999 1416 − 708 t ) A1 (4) (c) (8..+. Follow through their 140 and their 32 You may see attempt at ( t − t )( m − m ) .47 – 0. awrt 5...9 B1 B1 (1) (1) 10 (d) Should be reliable since 10 is in the range (of the data ) Notes (a) 1st B1 for 140 seen in correct context or correctly labelled 2nd B1 for 32 seen in correct context or correctly labelled.. (a) Scheme Marks ∑ t = 140 (or t = 17. for awrt 5. Follow through their sums from part (a) and their value of b for a correct equation for m and t with a = awrt 8.5 st (b) 1 M1 1st A1 2nd M1 2nd A1 ∑ for a correct expression for b. e..5 − (Stm =) − 90.Question Number 3.26 A1 M1 a= "32" "140" − b× 8 8 m = 8.25 for a correct method for a. Condone missing “ − ” for awrt − 0.25 or awrt − 0.. A1cso requires a correct expression seen and no incorrect working leading to −90.256 ) is seen (c) B1 (d) B1 for suggesting it is reliable and mentioning 10 within the range (of the data.256 Must be an equation in m and t. “near the extreme so not reliable but not extrapolated so reliable” is B0 since contradicts “reliable since 10 is within the range (of temps) and 5.47 and b = awrt − 0.47 − 10 × awrt 0..) or suggesting it is reliable since interpolating or not extrapolating NB “it is reliable since it is in the range” is B0 since “it” is not explicit enough Condone extra non-relevant comments but penalise contradictory comments. This must have all the products seen.47 − 0...26 or condone − 0.9..5 b = tm = Stt 354 b = − 0.

Allow a diagram but must have 1.20). (a) Scheme Marks 127 − 100 15 So P(L > 127) = P(Z > 1. = 1 – 0.0359) M1 A1 A1 (3) M1.8) o.776 (Calculator gives − 1..39.Question Number 4. 100 and 15 . gives 0.8 and correct area indicated.0139 or better seen coming from P(Z > 2.2815515…) (awrt 80.9861 ⎤ 0. Must have the Z so P(L > 127) with or without a diagram is insufficient.28 but then they get M1B0A1) The 80..0359] = 0.8) (c) Require P(L > 133 | L > 127) ⎡ P(L > 133) ⎤ P( Z > 2.776(72…) or better seen] for awrt 80.9641 ⎥ ⎦ [ 0.8 and awrt 80.0359 2nd A1 for awrt 0. An attempt at P(L < 133| L > 127) that leads to awrt 0.0] + P(L > 127).3871.8) or 1 − P( Z < 1. (b) M1 B1 A1 Calc for an attempt to standardise with 100 and 15 and set = + any z value (|z| > 1) for z = + 1.0139 =⎢ = ⎣1 − 0. Dependent on both Ms 2nd A1 for awrt 0.0139(4/4) An answer of 0. Both Ms required ALT If they assume Alice did not check that the phone was working you may see: [P(L< 127).2816 (or better) seen anywhere [May be implied by 80. .035930266…).2) =⎢ ⎥= ⎣ P( L > 127) ⎦ P( L > 127) ⎡1 − 0.776… or better seen then award M1B1A1 If answer is awrt 80.0359 (calc.8 or 80.61 (M0M1A0A0) 10 Notes for attempting to standardise with 127. Allow + (a) M1 st 1 A1 for Z > 1.e.8 (can be scored for using 1.2816 is seen) for clear indication of correct conditional probability or attempt at correct ratio So clear attempt at (c) 1st M1 P(L > 133) is sufficient for the 1st M1 P( L > 127) 2nd dM1 dependent on 1st M1 for P(L > 133) leading to P(Z > 2. May be implied by 0. B1 A1 (3) M1 (b) d − 100 = −1.2).8 must follow from correct working. Correct ans only 3/3.77 then award M1B0A1 (unless of course z = 1.2816 15 d = 80.39 dM1 A1 A1 (4) S. 1st A1 for 0. If answer is awrt 80.0359 (awrt 0.C. M1A0A1 not poss. = awrt 0.P(L > 133| L > 127) Provided the conditional probability is seen as part of this calculation the 1st M1 can be scored and their final answer will be 0.777 or 80.0139 without sight of the conditional probability is 0/4.9641 = 0.8.

)..Question Number 5..4038. Need ∑ fy correct but 2 condone a minor transcription error e.53) A1 for answer in range [0. (d) 1st B1 for awrt 0.75) [If n+1 used in (b) and m = £278 accept awrt 0. calculator 0.41] (tables gives 0. (a) Width = 4 (cm) 2 Scheme B1 M1 A1 Marks Area of 14 cm represents frequency 28 and area of 4h represents 18 4h 14 = Or (o... 12458200.40 .41 (f) (e) suggests a reasonable fit for this range BUT (d) since skew it will not be a good fit overall (a) B1 M1 (b) M1 A1 Notes for width (ignore units) for clear method using area and frequency or their width × their height = 9 e. 0.) 22 = 276..) h = 2.225 (may see fd in the table) [Must use correct interval] for 10 10...75 for m = £276 or awrt 0. (awrt 0. (d) Skewness = 0. (correlation is B0) (e) M1 for an attempt to standardise using the 320 and 150 and either 240 or 400 (implied by 0.40619.36.73 or 0. seeing both fd of 0. Follow through y .25 (cm) 18 28 (b) (3) m = ( 240 ) + 10 × 80 (o.18. ( 3040 11 ) ( (£)276 < m < (£)276. Allow use of (n + 1) leading to £278 . The other it is since matches range in (e) 1st B1 for one relevant comment nd 2 B1 for both comments NB Do not use B0B1 . (awrt 157) Allow s = 157.73/0.76 or 0..g. 278. that rounds to 30 000 (to 1 sf) &/100 for correct expression including .40 ~ 0..76/0...5) M1 A1 (2) M1A1 M1A1 (4) B1 B1ft (2) M1 A1 (2) B2/1/0 (2) 15 (c) ∑ fy = 31600 σy = leading to y = 316 12452800 − y 100 ( ) 2 = 157 .764.e.5) 22 22 Do not award if incorrect end-point seen but answer only is 2/2 st (c) 1 M1 attempt at 2nd M1 ∑ fy with at least 3 correct products or ans..e. or [278.e.86.) Ans only 2/2 (f) For B2 we need 2 comments that make reference to each of part (e) and part (d) One comment should suggest it is not good since skew.7 and 0.5 × 80 or × 80 (o.72] Positive skew (e) 80 z=± 150 P(240< X < 400) = 0.72 for m = £278 2nd B1ft for a correct description of their skew based on their measure or if no measure given based on their values of mean and median.g.07.

Do not use B0B1[e. if choose RB ( 6 ) NB 5 12 as answer scores M1A1. . Both words required. NB 2. 1 M1 for evaluating correct probabilities i.3 or better.5.3.3. always red or RR is B1B0] NB Allow other descriptions of the die e.g. NB Var(R) = E( R 2 ) − [ E( R ) ] = " 34 3 "− "3" is M1M0A0 since do not use their [ E( R ) ] 2 2 (f) B2/1/0 Both correct B1B1. (a) P(B = b) (b) Discrete Uniform {distribution} (c) [E(B) =] 3 (by symmetry) 2 1 1 (d) [E(R) = ] 2 × + 4 × + 6 × 3 6 6 =3 2 2 1 2 1 ⎡ 34 ⎤ 2 2 = (e) [E( R ) =] 2 × + 4 × + 6 × ⎢ 3 6 6 3 ⎥ ⎣ ⎦ 34 2 7 [Var( R) =] −3 = .5. 2 2nd dM1 Dep. if choose BB ( 3 ). Correct answer only scores both marks.g.3.1. If later divide by n( ≠ 1) M0 A1 for an answer of 3.e. At least 2 correct products seen. Accept E(X) = 3 (d) M1 for an attempt at correct formula. 1st or fair for blue.5 1 2nd B1 for probabilities all = 1 3 or exact equivalent (or of course 6 cases of 6 ) Any correct probability distribution or probability function is 2/2. (or any exact equivalent. At least 2 correct products seen.Question Number b Scheme 1 1 3 3 1 3 5 1 3 Also allow b values 1. 5 or 1. choose blue die. Must be in part (a) for "Discrete Uniform" . 3. 12 seen or if incorrect choice made: 1 1 M1 for an answer of : if choose RR ( 1 4 ).33 is A0) 3 3 (f) Coin lands on 2.1.5 and probabilities all 1 6 Marks B1 B1 (2) B1 (1) B1 (1) M1 A1 (2) M1 dM1. A1 (3) B2/1/0 M1 6. Need to see choices of die stated for B marks. one correct B1B0.e. Condone Var(R) = etc May be implied by sight of 34 3 or 11. (e) 1st M1 2 for a correct attempt at E( R ) . 2nd for red if they are clear. (b) B1 (c) B1 for answer of 3 o. coin lands on 5 choose red die P(Avisha wins) = 1 ⎛1 1⎞ 1 1 ×⎜ + ⎟ + × 2 ⎝3 3⎠ 2 6 = 5 12 (allow awrt 0. only 1 3 .3.417) A1 (4) 13 Notes (a) 1st B1 for correctly identifying values of b as 1. on 1st M1 for clear attempt at E( R 2 ) − [ E( R ) ] Must see their values used.

0. Correct answer only is 2/2 A1 (c) M1 A1 (d) No labels A. = 0.Question Number 7. [ft P(B ∩ C ) from (c)] B1 for any 2 of 0.09 Allow 1st B1 for 3 intersecting circles in a box with zeros in the regions for (d) A∩C Do not accept “blank” for zero B1 B1ft B1 B1 (4) M1 A1 (2) 12 (e) P( B ∪ C )′ = 0. Correct answer only is 2/2 .e.67 P( A′ | B′) = P( A′ ∩ B′) 0.23 correct B1 for all 4 values correct (e) M1 for a correct expression or follow through from their Venn diagram NB P(B′) × P(C ′) = 0.2 = 0.22. (a) Scheme Marks M1 A1 (2) M1 A1 (2) M1 A1 (2) P( A ∪ B) = 0.e. for correct expression.22 or 1 − [0.13 and their 0.11 and 0. P( A′∩ B′ ) ×0. Correct substitution i. correct expression seen A1 for 0. No ft from an incorrect diagram for M marks.8 is OK. (a) M1 for attempt to use the addition rule.22.e.22 + 0.67 only.55 for 3/5 or any exact equivalent. for 0.45 × 0.33 but not for correct ratio case.55 3 or 0.32 = 0.09 + 0. B. A1 for 0.13 + 0.6 = 5 (b) (c) P(B ∩ C ) = 0.13 or 0.22 + 0. 0.65 0.13 + 0. M0 if num>denom Do not award for assuming independence i.23 + 0.45 − 0. Do not ft “blank” for zero and M0 for negative probs.35 + 0.09 in correct places.56] or 1 − [0. No box is B0 B1ft for 0.55 × 0.44 only.44 Notes NB May see Venn diagram for A and B only used for (a) and (b) but M marks are awarded for correct expressions only.09 or any exact equivalent. C in (d) loses 1st B1 but can score the other 3 by implication B1 for box with B intersecting A and C but C not intersecting A. Correct answer only scores 2/2 (b) M1 for a correct ratio of probabilities or a correct formula and at least one correct prob For a correct formula allow “1 − their (a)” instead of 0.55 is M0.33 or P( B′) 0.11] o. P( B′) = 0. Need correct values for P(B) and P(C) seen.

com Pearson Education Limited. Adamsway.orders@edexcel. please visit our website www. Mansfield.Further copies of this publication are available from Edexcel Publications. Essex CM20 2JE .com Order Code UA034849 January 2013 For more information on Edexcel qualifications. Harlow. Notts.edexcel. NG18 4FN Telephone 01623 467467 Fax 01623 450481 Email publication. Registered company number 872828 with its registered office at Edinburgh Gate.

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