W1

P1
P2
P3
demand

W2
20
10
12
200

W1
P1
P2
P3

Min

W3
16
10
18
400

W2
0
200
0
200
200
10400

supply
24
8
10
300

300
500
100

W3
300
100
0
400
400

0 <=
200 <=
100 <=
300
300

300
500
100

300
500
100

706303 Supply 0 0 0 0 35 10 7 0 35 10 20 .Source Baker Tiney Arena Demand Busi Source Baker Tiney Arena Busi Demand Min Edu 10 12 15 12 pear 9 11 14 20 Edu 12 0 0 12 12 Homste 5 1 7 10 pear 20 0 0 20 20 Dummy 2 6 6 10 Homste 0 10 0 10 10 Supply 0 0 0 0 35 10 20 Dummy 3 0 7 10 10 358 0.761148 0.

D1 Cliftton Danville Dummy D2 32 34 0 2000 D1 Cliftton Danville Dummy Max D3 34 30 0 5000 D2 0 2000 0 2000 2000 282000 D4 32 28 0 3000 D3 4000 0 1000 5000 5000 40 38 0 2000 5000 3000 4000 D4 0 0 3000 3000 3000 1000 1000 0 2000 2000 5000 3000 4000 5000 3000 4000 .

3 Phd 3.2 3 3.6 3.8 3.Prof a b c d UG Prof a b c d UG max MBA 2.2 MS 2.8 MBA 0 0 0 1 1 13.5 2.2 3.3 3.6 3.5 0 Phd 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 .5 MS 0 0 1 0 1 3 3.2 2.3 3.

78 3255.4121 1080.44 -373.34783 18.44648 profit -9292.166667 .786 13121.01 -1381.918 685.69074 20.249 vc 16.492 134 0.83719 20.6456 1247.0715 722.52 mean loss prob of risk 5993.06 1200 300 7801.3134 -8582.717 16702.34251 20.268 0 0.879 24504.525 1844.36276 23.74 2050.896 980.461 4339.FC SP 30000 50 VC Small Large Mean SD 16 24 Trials 1 2 3 498 499 500 demand 624.

0.333333 .166667 0.

24 0.96 Sales 0.96 0.8745 0.2 0.4627 0.2 0.04 1 Random Sales 0.72 0.8435 0.1338 0.86 0.48 0.19 0.6712 0.08 0.Sales 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Trials 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Probab cum prob LL 0.4557 0.14 0.28 0.47 0.08 0.4479 0.12 0.1699 0.07 0.2278 2 5 2 3 2 4 2 1 1 2 UL 0 0.95 0.2162 0.08 0.48 0.72 0.86 0.1 0.71 0.99 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 .85 0.

05 -1 0.8 3 0.04 0.9 38 42 45 Stock p 0.6 0.2 0.15 0.Stock price Prob Cum prob LL -2 0.89 0.05 0.8083 3 UL 0 0.39 0.4 1 0.1 0.4 0.14 0.99 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 .15 0 0.1091 -1 0.6 2 0.9 4 0.9407 4 0.2 0.1941 0 0.79 0.1 0.59 0.1 1 Trial 1 2 3 4 random Stock price CSP 0.25 0.8 0.05 0.

83 35188.19 33904.76 51239.54 42255.9 35256.88 41061.75 32669.32 44495.92 Exceed 40000 126 0.252 .05 37811.8 35842.13 41836.Mean SD 36500 5000 Simulation Trials 1 2 3 4 5 497 498 499 500 Mileage 40215.15 37619.31 37227.66 22234.46 46721.64 38376.72 46814.

1 611340.7 719322 668000.4 600009 793646.6 785245.8 770466.1 723896 675488.Contractor a Small Large Simulation Trials 1 2 3 4 5 999 1000 600000 800000 Ca 780021.3 a ps 743547.9 785476.3 650441.7 622607 b ps 637209.6 611340.2 741702.8 746078.7 800778.7 724458.9 801068 744726.6 701741.8 742839.8 719322 668000.3 657814.7 622607 952 .1 799522.4 785476.6 613716.3 650441.7 Contractor b Mean SD Cb 633706.2 min bid 637209.3 832729.

700000 50000 .

H SG NG B 20 15 15 18 400 200 300 H SG NG min z C 10 12 B 200 200 400 400 11900 500 400 SG NG 500 400 SG NG C 0 200 200 200 300 0 300 300 500 400 min z .

H B C 10 12 20 15 15 18 400 300 300 H B 300 100 400 400 13200 600 500 C 0 300 300 300 300 0 300 300 600 400 600 500 .