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For 9.220, Term 1, 2002/03 02_Lecture8.ppt

Outline

Introduction Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Techniques

Net Present Value (NPV) Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Profitability Index (PI)

Summary and Conclusions

Recall the Flows of funds and decisions important to the financial manager Investment Decision Reinvestment Real Assets Financial Manager Financing Decision Refinancing Financial Markets Returns from Investment Returns to Security Holders Capital Budgeting is used to make the Investment Decision .

To evaluate capital budgeting processes. .Introduction Capital Budgeting is the process of determining which real investment projects should be accepted and given an allocation of funds from the firm. their consistency with the goal of shareholder wealth maximization is of utmost importance.

Internal Rate of Return (IRR). . Each requires an estimate of the project’s risk so that an appropriate discount rate (opportunity cost of capital) can be determined. For now. Including cash outflows (costs) and inflows (revenues or savings) – normally tax effects are also considered.Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Techniques The main DCF techniques for capital budgeting include: Net Present Value (NPV). and Profitability Index (PI) Each requires estimates of expected cash flows (and their timing) for the project. Sometimes the above data is difficult to obtain – this is the main weakness of all DCF techniques. The discussion of risk will be deferred until later. we will assume we know the relevant opportunity cost of capital or discount rate.

otherwise reject the project.Net Present Value (NPV) Method: NPV = PVinflows – PVoutflows If NPV ≥ 0. . then accept the project.

000 Opportunity cost of capital: 15% The NPV is … Year Cash Revenues less Expenses after tax 1 2-9 $20.000 $40.Example Project Initial investment required: $100.000 10 $10.000 .

Use the NPV function to compute NPV Note: before starting the evaluation of a new project. clear previous data and ensure the calculator is set to 1 P/Yr. .NPV using the Calculator Use CFj key to enter the cash flows. Use Nj key to enter the number of times a cash flow repeats. Enter the opportunity cost of capital in the I/YR key.

. An improper NPV analysis may lead to the wrong choices of projects when the firm has capital rationing – this will be discussed later.NPV: Strengths and Weaknesses Strengths Resulting number is easy to interpret: shows how wealth will change if the project is accepted. Acceptance criteria is consistent with shareholder wealth maximization. Relatively straightforward to calculate Weaknesses Requires knowledge of finance to use.

then accept the project. IRR can be determined by setting up an NPV equation and solving for a discount rate that makes the NPV = 0. Method: Use your financial calculator or a spreadsheet. Equivalently. otherwise reject it. .Internal Rate of Return (IRR) IRR is the rate of return that a project generates. IRR usually cannot be solved manually. Algebraically. If IRR ≥ opportunity cost of capital (or hurdle rate). IRR is solved by determining the rate that equates the PV of cash inflows to the PV of cash outflows.

000 10 $10.Example Project Initial investment required: $100.000 $40.000 Opportunity cost of capital: 15% The IRR is … Year Cash Revenues less Expenses after tax 1 2-9 $20.000 .

however. Note 2: You do not need to input the opportunity cost of capital to calculate the IRR.IRR using the Calculator Use CFj key to enter the cash flows. . you need the opportunity cost to make your accept/reject decision. Use Nj key to enter the number of times a cash flow repeats. you do not need to reenter them – they are in your calculator already and can be used for the IRR calculation. Use the IRR function to compute IRR Note 1: before starting the evaluation of a new project. if you have already entered the cash flows for an NPV analysis. clear previous data and ensure the calculator is set to 1 P/Yr. however.

000 $150.NPV Profile and the Solution for IRR $300.000 $200.000 Discount Rate -$100.000 $50.000 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% .000 $250.000 $0 10% -$50.000 NPV $100.

Difficult to calculate – need financial calculator. Acceptance criteria is generally consistent with shareholder wealth maximization.IRR: Strengths and Weaknesses Strengths IRR number is easy to interpret: shows the return the project generates. Weaknesses Requires knowledge of finance to use. It is possible that there exists no IRR or multiple IRRs for a project and there are several special cases when the IRR analysis needs to be adjusted in order to make a correct decision (these problems will be addressed later). .

.Profitability Index (PI) Method: PVCash flows after theinitial investment PI Initial Investment Note: PI should always be expressed as a positive number. reject it. otherwise. If PI ≥ 1. then accept the real investment project.

Example Project Initial investment required: $100.000 .000 $40.000 Opportunity cost of capital: 15% The PI is … Year Cash Revenues less Expenses after tax 1 2-9 $20.000 10 $10.

Take the NPV result. if you have already entered the cash flows for an NPV analysis. Use Nj key to enter the number of times a cash flow repeats. you do not need to reenter them – they are in your calculator already and can be used for the IRR calculation. however. then follow the steps below: Use CFj key to enter ALL of the cash flows.PI using the Calculator If you also need to calculate NPV and IRR. Note: before starting the evaluation of a new project. Use the NPV function to compute NPV. Enter the opportunity cost of capital in the I/YR key. add back the initial investment and then divide the new result by the initial investment to get the PI. . clear previous data and ensure the calculator is set to 1 P/Yr.

Use Nj key to enter the number of times a cash flow repeats.PI using the Calculator If you just need to calculate PI. Enter the opportunity cost of capital in the I/YR key. Use the NPV function to compute NPV – gives the PV of the cash flows after the initial investment. Take the NPV result and divide by the initial investment to get the PI. . Use CFj key to enter the cash flows that follow the initial investment. then follow the steps below: Enter 0 for CF0.

Method needs to be adjusted when there are mutually exclusive projects (to be discussed later). Useful when there is capital rationing (to be discussed later). Weaknesses Requires knowledge of finance to use. Relatively straightforward to calculate. Acceptance criteria is generally consistent with shareholder wealth maximization. It is possible that PI cannot be used if the initial cash flow is an inflow.PI: Strengths and Weaknesses Strengths PI number is easy to interpret: shows how many $ (in PV terms) you get back per $ invested. .

are all good techniques for capital budgeting and allow us to accept or reject investment projects consistent with the goal of shareholder wealth maximization. IRR. Beware. and PI. however.Summary and Conclusion The DCF techniques. . there are times when one technique’s output is better for some decisions or when a technique has to be modified given certain circumstances – these cases will be discussed in the next lecture. NPV.

Midterm Exam 1 – Coverage and Grading Covers: All material from lectures including self-study parts plus chapters 1. .e.1.123456%). 2 decimal places. Full credit will be given for correct answers. 6.. etc. $1. Final $ answers may be rounded to the cent (i. remainder is problems (4-8 questions). 3. No credit will be given for indicating which calculator buttons you pushed. other answers such as %. 6.. Incorrect answers with no work will receive no credit.g..g.. 4. Format: 40-60% multiple choice (15-25 questions). years.8. store them in your calculator. and the following sections of Chapter 6: 6.5-5.7. The rest of chapter 6 will be covered after the midterm. 34. 5 Appendix.56). 6.253. may be rounded to 6 decimal places (e. Do not round intermediate results.5. e.8). Work to be shown for partial credit should be the numbers in the equations. 5 (not 5.

Midterm Exam 1 – Advice If in doubt of a question’s wording. . assignments. don’t waste time on questions – do easier ones first if think you are going too slowly. Don’t forget your formula sheet – double sided 8.5 by 11 inches. ask for clarification! Some questions will be similar to lecture examples. Time management is important. any hand-written content can be included. and text questions. BUT. no word-processed or photocopied info is allowed. beware some questions will be quite different from those you have seen previously – to test whether you really understand the concepts and can apply them to new situations.

Tu/Th 2:30 p.m.m.m. L01 Tu/Th 10 a.m. L03.220 Midterm Exam 1 – Locations If you are registered in Stangeland’s class. If you are registered in Zheng’s class. to 9 p. Remember. Oct. you will write in Room 107.9. you will write in Room 122. 7... .. the exam is Monday.m. from 7 p. Tu/Th 1 p. you will write in Room 105. If you are registered in Eisenberg’s class. L02.

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