UNIVERSITY OF MUMBAI 2008-2010 PROJECT ON “EQUITY ANALYSIS”

Submitted By

VISHAL S NABDE Roll. No. 18

Summer Internship for Academic Year 2009-2010

Specialization: FINANCE

Submitted in fulfilment of requirement of Masters in Management Studies (MMS)

GUIDED BY PROF: DR. A.R.PHOPALEY

TO IBSAR INSTITUTE OF MANGEMENT KARJAT

IBSAR Institute of Management Studies Dahivali, Karjat. (Affiliated to Mumbai University) Summer Internship Project Academic Year 2009-2010

CERTIFICATE

This is to certify that the project work titled “EQUITY ANALYSIS ” “is a Bonafide work carried out by VISHAL S. NABDE, a candidate for the MMS Examination direction. of UNIVERSITY OF MUMBAI, under my guidance and

Date:

Dr. A.R.Phopaley

Advisor Place: IBSAR, Karjat Karjat

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT At the outset I take opportunity to place on record my sincere obligation towards our respected Lt. Col. J. L. Ram, Dr. Phopaley, whose dedicated initiative and encouragement were source of inspiration and prime focus in the successful completion of my project work. I take this opportunity to thank all those who have been instrumental in bringing out this Report and who have made it possible to finish my Summer Training successfully at RELIGARE SECURITIES LIMITED(RSL), LATUR. I am thankful to respected BRANCH MANAGER MR. VINOD PANDHARE & finance dept. of RSL for giving there valuable and precious suggestions and guidelines and encouragement extended to me for successful completion of this project. I would also like to thank the library staff for providing me with the required books It gives me immense pleasure in thanking Mr. Amol Kulkarni for giving me this opportunity to take up Summer Placement in the esteemed Organization and also for giving me the opportunity to associate myself with the Company. It was a pleasure to be associated with the Organization and the people in various other Departments of the Organization.

DECLARATION

I Mr. Vishal Nabde student of master in management studies II nd year (3rd sem) at “IBSAR” hereby declare that I have completed my research project titled “equity analysis” as partial fulfilment of the requirement of the course curriculum for the academic year 2009-10 under the guidance of Branch Manager Mr. Vinod Pandhare & members of finance dept. The data that has been collected by me is truly authentic and is not borrowed or copied from any dissertation report. The project contains true and complete information

Signature of student Vishal nabde

INDEX
S.NO. Chapter 1. Chapter 2. Chapter 3. PARTICULARS
Introduction Company Profile Equity Analysis

PAGE NO.

Analysis of Indian Automobile Industry • Fundamental Analysis
a. Economy b. Industry c. Company

• Technical Analysis
a. b. c. d. e.

- Financial & Non-Financial

Share Price Analysis Moving Average Moving Average Crossover Bollinger Band M.A.C.D

Chapter 4. Chapter 5.

Conclusion Bibliography

ICICI Can bank MF. Ex-CMD of Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd. Besides the reach of RELIGARE. RELIGARE was founded with the vision of providing integrated financial care driven by the relationship of trust. BOI-MF. (RSL) is a wholly owned subsidiary of RELIGARE Financial Services Ltd. Prudential ICICI. Punjab & Sind Bank. IDBI. the clients of the company greatly benefit by its strong research capability. IFCI. Depository Participant Service. . The primary focus of Religare Securities Ltd. RELIGARE is a pioneer in the concept of partnership to reach multiple Locations in order to effectively service its large base of individual clients. UTI-Offshore. a Company promoted by the late Dr. Advisory on Mutual Fund Investments and Portfolio Management Services. As on date the Company is empanelled with UTI. SUN F&C. is to cater to services in Capital Market Operations to Institutional Investors. which encompasses fundamentals as well as technical knowledge. The growing list of financial institutions with whom RSL is empanelled as approved Broker is a reflection of the high levels of services maintained by the Company. The Company is a member of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and OTCEI. SBI. Punjab National Bank. Pioneer ITI. ING Baring and J M Mutual Fund. The bouquet of services offered by RELIGARE includes Broking (Stocks and Commodities).INTRODUCTION :COMPANY PROFILE RELIGARE Securities Ltd. GIC. Oriental Insurance. PNB-MF. IDBI Principal. Parvinder Singh. (RFSL).

RSL provides platform to all segments of the investor to leverage the immense opportunity offered by equity investing in India either on their own or through managed funds in Portfolio Management. Member of National Stock Exchange of India and Bombay Stock Exchange of India. is 33764. of the Religare Securities Ltd. Depository Participant with National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) and Central Depository Services Limited (CDSL). The ARN No. portfolio management services. RELIGARE financial services group comprises of Religare Securities Limited.GROUP : RELIGARE in recent years has expanded its reach in health care and financial services wherein it has multiple specialty hospital and labs which provide health care services and multiple financial services such as secondary market equity services. A SEBI approved Portfolio Manager. The ARN No. 2. Commodity and Financial Services business & Religare Insurance Advisory Ltd. . RELIGARE SECURITIES LIMITED 1. RELIGARE Comdex Limited and RELIGARE Finvest Limited which provide services in Equity. is required by to be available with the broker who deals on behalf of investors or sell the mutual funds of the different companies present in the market. depository services etc. 3.

Religare Enterprises Limited .

. Harpal Singh Mr. Vinay Kumar Kaul Mr. Malvinder Mohan Singh Mr.DIRECTORS OF RELIGARE SECURITIES LIMITED Chairman : Managing Director : Director : Director : Director : Mr. Sunil Godhwani Mr. Shivinder Mohan Singh MISSION To be India's first Multinational providing complete financial services solution across the globe VISION Providing integrated financial care driven by the relationship of trust and confidence.

3 paisa (.03%) (NEGOTIABLE) Competititors of Religare :There are several financial security companies playing their roles in Indian equity market.          ICICI Direct.3%) (NEGOTIABLE) DELIVERY:.com Share Khan (SSKI) Kotak Securities. But Religare faces competitions from these few companies.com Motital Oswal IL&FS Karvy .BROKERAGE :INTRADAY:.com India Bulls HDFC Securities 5paisa.30 paisa (.

e. ruler. . covering many aspect from the calculating various FINANCIAL RATIOS. Technical analysis refers to the study of market generated data like prices & volume to determine the future direction of prices movements. i. Greed must be avoided patience may be a virtue. leverage. i. watchful attention. profitability & financial health was checked & analysis with the help of ratio analysis for the purpose of long term successful investment. liquidity. In Fundamental analysis a company s goodwill. Their head eliminate all emotions for decision making. but with low reliability. it also works in abnormal share-market conditions. It is the oldest approach to equity investment dating back to the late 19th century. 1. The focus of technical analysis is mainly on the internal market data. Technical analysis mainly seeks to predict the short term price travels. calculations are based on considered FACTS & not on HOPE. Assumptions for the Equity Analysis. but does discuss a method which enables the investor to arrive at buying & selling decision. this equity analysis does not discuss how to buy & sell shares. prices & volume data. The financial analysts always need yardsticks to evaluate the efficiency & performances of any business unit at the time of investment.WHAT’S THIS EQUITY ANALYSIS? Professional investor will make more money & less loss than. It appeals mainly to short term traders. chart paper & your cautious mind. In Equity Analysis anticipated growth.e. pencil. Be ruthless & calculating. who let their heart rule. you are out to make money. Works only in normal share-market conditions with great reliability. its performances. A general investor can apply the principles by using the simplest of tools: pocket calculator. Fundamental analysis is useful in long term investment decision. but impatience can frequently be profitable. turnover. Equity analysis is basically a combination of two independent analyses. plotting of CHARTS to extremely sophisticated indicators. The subject of Equity analysis. It should be pointed out that. the attempt to determine future share price movement & its reliability by references to historical data is a vast one. namely fundamental analysis & Technical analysis. Decision should be based on actual movement of share price measured both in money & percentage term & nothing else.

7. With comparatively higher rate of economic growth rate index against that of great global powers. perceptions. Company 2). risk management was up to the investor s knowledge. ENVIRONMENT & ECONOMICAL ANALYSIS. Capital market has a typical market psychology along with other issues like. tradition s & trust. because the scenario of equity analysis is revolving around the term money 4. 8.I. 10. India has become a hub of domestic and exports business. Capital market trend is always a friend. so don t be curious or panic to do postmortem of companies performances. ANALYSIS OF AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY Over a period of more than two decades the Indian Automobile industry has been driving its own growth through phases. 9. Fundamental Analysis (E. To understand this industry for the purpose of investment we need to analyze it by following two approaches: 1). 6. whether it is short run or long run.C Approach) a. Portfolio management.Technical Analysis EQUITY ANALYSIS. Although the equity analysis is art as well as sciences so. An individual perceptions about the investment return & associated risk may differ from individual to individual.2. Economy b. 3. . Equity analysis is purely based on the INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY . it also has some exceptions. You are buying stock & not companies. The automobile sector has been contributing its share to the shining economic performance of India in the recent years. 5. so the investment object has vital importance associated to return along with risk. the crowd Vc the individual. Industry c. History repeats: investors & speculators react the same way to the same types of events homogeneously. Cash management gets the magnitude role.

. The service sector is growing rapidly in the past few years. automobile sector in India is one of the key sectors of the economy in terms of the employment. ECONOMY Economic analysis is the analysis of forces operating the overall economy a country. 4 Determine the value of the company s stock a). 2 Determine the condition of the industry. Economic analysis is a process whereby strengths and weaknesses of an economy are analyzed. The per capita Income is near about Rs38.000 reflecting improvement in the living standards of an average Indian. Most fundamental information focuses on economic. Directly and indirectly it employs more than 10 million people and if we add the number of people employed in the auto-component and auto ancillary industry then the number goes even higher. industry and company statistics. the GDP growth has downgraded it to 7. The typical approach to analyzing a company involves four basic steps : 1 Determine the condition of the general economy.FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS Fundamental Analysis. This is the pie. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Fundamental analysis is the study of economic. Economic analysis is important in order to understand exact condition of an economy. GDP and Automobile Industry In absolute terms. As the world economy slips into recession hitting the demand hard and the banking sector takes conservative approach towards lending to corporate sector.5 per cent for FY 2009-10 Mr. Today. Montek Singh (Planning Commission of India).chart showing contributions of different sectors in Indian economy. Following is the graph showing a trend of Indian GDP trend in past 3 years. Fundamental analysis typically focuses on key statistics in company s financial statements to determine if the stock price is correctly valued. India is 16th in the world in terms of nominal factory output. industry and company conditions in an effort to determine the value of a company s stock. 3 Determine the condition of the company.1 per cent for 2008-09 and predicted it to be 6.

Recession All the major auto companies enjoyed the high growth ride till the mid 2008. the Reserve Bank of India said few week back.83 million while two-wheelers increased from 8.7% with passenger car sales shows 1.21% on 22-Aug-09) we saw an increasing trend of sales in auto sector. Passenger Vehicles segment registered negative growth. Passenger vehicles increased marginally from 1.41 million. commercial vehicles.65 million in 2007-08.7%.31% growth while Commercial Vehicles segment slumped 21. One of its supporting facts is that the sales in December 2008 for passenger vehicles fell by 13. higher interest rates. Indian automobile Industry was not as much affected and experts think that Indian automobile industry will continue to grow this year despite all obstacles. industry had to face the hard truth and witnessed the fall in sales compared to last year. However. Global recession has hit the Indian auto industry. In last FY despite of skyrocketing oil prices (crude oil price has already up to $130 compared to $20 per barrel five years back). overall production (passenger vehicles. The increase in the price of fuel and the steel due to inflation has led to a slower growth rate of the car industry in India. But at the end of the year. but growth rate in last FY2008-09 was only 0. Two Wheelers sales recorded 15. The fall in wholesale prices from a year earlier is mainly due to a statistical base effect and doesn’t suggest contraction in demand. However.5 percent over the past five years.85 % during April – December 2008. the effect of inflation has affected every sector which is related to car manufacturing and production. and Contribution in Indian GDP is near about 5% and will be double by 2016. The automotive industry in India grew at a computed annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.77 million to 1. A moderate amount of inflation is important for the proper growth of an economy like India because it attracts more private investment.72 million as compared to 9.17 million vehicles in 2008-09.02 million to 8. while revising its inflation forecast for the FY through March to around 5% from 4%. India is strong and growing industry but the impact of recession is evident now on industry as sales & growth of automobile companies have declined.oil price hike. Total number of vehicles sold including passenger vehicles. two-wheelers and threewheelers in 2008-09 was 9.43 percent fall in December 2008 over the same month last year. Inflation Despite of negative inflation these days (-. In December 2008. The effect of inflation has taken the rise in the price rate of the cars by 3-4% which in turn suffices the need to . overall production fell by 22 % over the same month last year.Source :India Central Statistical Organization The market value of Automobile Industry is more than US$8 bl.85 million vehicles in 2007-08 to 11. Although the sector was hit by economic slowdown. two wheelers and three wheelers) increased from 10.86% over December 2007 Two Wheelers registered minor growth of 1. commercial vehicles.

23 million units in 2007-08.5 per cent by 2015. In 2009. while in April-May 2009 it was around Rs. FDI’s In India FDI up to 100 percent. There is a continuous increase in the export of automobiles since the financial year 200203.212 Cr an increase of 47.FDI Statistics Govt. The car market and the car industry witnessed a fall of 8-9%.401 in 2007-08 to 335. FDI inflows in Automobile Industry 2008-09 was Rs.25% compare to 200708. automobile sales (including passenger r vehicles. estimated rate of growth of India Auto industry is going to be 9% . Despite recession.The Indian automobile sector is far from being saturated. has been permitted under automatic route to this sector. commercial vehicles.53 million units in 2008-09 from 1. India enjoys a cost advantage with respect to casting and forging as manufacturing costs in India are 25 to 30 per cent lower than their western counterparts the Investment Commission has set a target of attracting foreign investment worth US$ 5 billion for the next seven years to increase India's share in the global auto components market from the existing 0.) INDUSTRY ANALYSIS (AUTOMOBILE) The current trends of the global automobile industry reveal that in the developed countries the automobile industries are stagnating as a result of drooping markets. have been consistently registering higher growth rates every passing year for their domestic flourishing domestic automobile markets. leaving ample opportunity for volume growth.497 Cr. more and more MNC’s coming in India to setup their ventures which clearly shows the scope of expansion. The industry is at the crossroads with global mergers and relocation of production centers to emerging developing countries. which may be attributed to the global economic recession. Export of passenger vehicles increased from 218. whereas the automobile industry in the developing nations. . of India Export Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM).739 units in 2008-09. except for the decline in the export of commercial vehichles in the financial year 200809. which has led to a turnover of USD 12 billion in the Indian auto industry and USD 3 billion in the auto parts industry. Product Life Cycle and consumer demand. b. the Indian automobile market continues to perform better than most of the other industries in the economy in coming future.9 per cent to 2.meet the rise in price of the raw materials to build a car. Source. Being one of the fastest growing sectors in the world its dynamic growth phases are explained by the nature of competition.5. two-wheelers and three-wheelers) in the overseas markets increased to 1.

79 percent.57 percent and Multi Purpose Vehicles by 21.39 percent in this period. While Medium & Heavy Commercial Vehicles declined by 1. tempos. The cumulative growth of the Passenger Vehicles segment during April 2007 – March 2008 was 12. successful companies can grow at extraordinary rates.17 percent. the product has not been widely accepted or adopted. growth. and there is high risk of failure.07 percent. the product market has been established and there is at least some historical guide to ground demand estimates. Passenger Cars grew by 11. The Commercial Vehicles segment grew marginally at 4. Business strategies are developing. Indian Automotive Industry is booming with a growth rate of around 15 % annually. maturity and decline. Industrial Analysis of any industry can be done based on the following headings: 1. Two-wheelers. Industry Specific Index 1. Utility Vehicles by 10.) Industrial Life Cycle The industrial life cycle is a term used for classifying industry vitality over time. Industrial Life Cycle 2. The Indian automobile sector has passed this stage quite successfully.Segmentation of Automobile Industry The automobile industry comprises of Heavy vehicles (trucks. However. passenger cars. Commercial Vehicles. Light . Following is the segmentation that how much each sector comprises of whole Indian Automobile Industry. SWOT Analysis 3.66 percent. tractors). In the pioneer phase. buses. often at an accelerating rate of sales and earnings growth. and Three-wheelers. Industry life cycle classification generally groups industries into one of four stages: pioneer. In the growth phase. The industry is growing rapidly.

63% respect. Such an analysis of the strategic environment is referred to as a SWOT analysis. The growth rate of the automobile industry in India is greater than the GDP growth rate of the economy.64% and 16.) SWOT Analysis A scan of the internal and external environment is an important part of the strategic planning process. SWOT analysis of the Indian automobile sector gives the following points: Strengths • Large domestic market • Sustainable labor cost advantage • Competitive auto component vendor base • Government incentives for manufacturing plants • Strong engineering skills in design etc Weaknesses • Low labor productivity • High interest costs and high overheads make the production uncompetitive • • • Various forms of taxes push up the cost of production Low investment in Research and Development Infrastructure bottleneck Opportunities • Commercial vehicles: SC ban on overloading .49 percent and Passenger Carriers declined by 2. Scooters and Mopeds segment grew by 11. However.March 2008 compared to the last year. and those external to the firm can be classified as opportunities (O) or threats (T). Three Wheelers sales fell by 9.92 % during this period.13 percent during April. but the scope of growth of the automobile sector is very much possible in India due to the increasing income of the middle class and their income as well as standard of living. so the automobile sector can be very well be said to be in the growth phase.29 percent. Environmental factors internal to the firm usually can be classified as strengths (S) or weaknesses (W). As the product matures. Two Wheelers registered a negative growth rate of 7. growth slows as penetration reaches practical limits.93% respect. with motorcycles and electric two wheelers segments declining by 11. Industry demand tends to follow the overall economy. 2. Companies began to focus on market share rather than growth.90 percent and 44.71 percent with sales of Goods Carriers declining drastically by 20.Commercial Vehicles recorded a growth of 12.

BSE AUTO Index 5 Year Chart . Sectoral Indices are very useful in tracking the movement and performance of particular sector.• • • • Heavy thrust on mining and construction activity Increase in the income level Cut in excise duties Rising rural demand Threats • Rising input costs • Rising interest rates • Cut throat competition 3. Hence an index like the BSE auto index is made of auto stocks.) Industry Specific Index Industry specific index also called as sectoral index are those indices. BSE Auto Index comprises all the major auto stocks in the BSE 500 Index. which represent a specific industry sector. All stocks in a sectoral index belong to that sector only.

We have also saw a fall in FDI’s in automobile Industry. indian auto industry start picking up growth slowly in the first end of 1st quarter index reaches to its highest in his history. But in the beginning of 2009 right from 1 st quarter auto industry again start regaining and we saw a tremondous growth in auto industry which never seen before not in india but all over the world. etc.• Automobile Industry Index at BSE for 5 Year COMPANY Source:Google finance.) COMPANY ANALYSIS (Maruti Suzuki & TATA Motors) The company analysis shows the longterm strenght of the company that what is the financial Position of the company in the market where it stand among its competitors and . so there is a lot of scope to growth in this industry. production came down because of less demand in the economy. Also no further launches were made in mid or late 2008 and postponed to next year. Most of the company even shut down their manufacturing units for more than a week. Maruti Suzuki. c. Than we saw a steady fall in the index and in the mid 2006 reaches to years lowest point it again start booming and than year on year we saw a up and down movement in the index as lots of new players came in Indian market with foreign colaboration but when 2008 came with global slowdown it brings the demand of automobile so low that index reaches to its lowest in past 5year . The demand of 2 and 4 Wheelers start increasing rapidly which also force auto industry to employ more workers to meet demand and with in the 2nd quarter of FY2009-10 Auto index reaches to its highest ever crossed mark of 6000.com Above is the Indian Auto Industry Index(BSE) shows the up’s and down’s over the period of 5 years. And this growth of industry will be carry further as festive season still to come. Intially in 2003 when major giants got listed on stock exchange TATA Motors.

92 crores.41 crores in 2007-08.2028.28739. The Profit before Tax was Rs.47 crores in 2007-08. and the world’s second largest bus manufacturer.93 crores) in 2008-09. a decline of 60.1001. The turnover for the fiscal 2008-09 stood at Rs.6%. Govt. compared to 59. Until recently.7%. Profile of Maruti Suzuki Maruti Suzuki is one of India's leading automobile manufacturers and the market leader in the car segment.79 crores compared to Rs. The Profit after Tax for the year was Rs. reported gross revenue (stand-alone) of Rs.961 vehicles. what are the policies of government towards the company and how the stake of the company divested among different groups of people. and among the top three in passenger vehicles with winning products in the compact.27 crores (2007-08: Rs. Fundamental Analysis consist of following Study of Balance sheet Study of Profit and Loss a/c Study of Ratios Balance Sheet : . The company is the world’s fourth largest truck manufacturer. 203.1013. compared to 54. Revenues (net of excise) for the year were Rs.187ml.2576.who are the key drivers of the company.908 vehicles in the same period of 2008.26 crores compared to Rs. a decline of 50. has sold a total of 84.847 units. 18.28599.7%. Profile of Tata Motors Tata Motors Limited is India’s largest automobile company.351 units in August 2008 The company's exports increased 156. what is the future plans of the company. 25660. an increase of 41. Total passenger car sales in August 2009 increased 30.76 crores compared to Rs.583 Million & Profit After Tax at Rs. both in terms of volume of vehicles sold and revenue earned. compared to 53. With this. compared to 5.808 vehicles in August 2009. 2007.2% by Suzuki of Japan.33093. It is the leader in commercial vehicles in each segment.3% to 69. a decline of 10. a year marked by severe demand contraction in the automobile industry. 12.2% to 14. As of May 10.28% of the company was owned by the Indian government.795 units in August 2008. of India no longer has stake in Maruti Udyog. of India sold its complete share to Indian financial institutions. midsize car and utility vehicle segments. and 54. The company's domestic sales in August 2009 increased 29.629 units.Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. Govt.113 vehicles in August 2008.7%.5% to 69.

shows how much revenue and profit a company has generated over a certain period.A financial statement that summarizes a company's assets. liabilities and shareholders' equity at a specific point in time. the financial statements are built to be used together to present a complete picture of a company's finances. Neither statement is better than the other rather. on the other hand. represent what the firm owes others. inventory and property are on the asset side of the balance sheet. loans & advances Miscellaneous expenditure Liabilities Liabilities. as there is no one set template that accurately accommodates for the differences between different types of businesses. in turn. The balance sheet is one of the most important pieces of financial information issued by a company. Equity capital represents the contribution of equity shareholders who are the owners of the firm. The balance sheet shows the financial condition of a business at a given point of time. This makes sense: a company has to pay for all the things it has (assets) by either borrowing money (liabilities) or getting it from shareholders (shareholders' equity). . It is a snapshot of what a company owns and owes at that point in time. the balance sheet of a company shall be in either the account form or the report form. as well as the amount invested by the shareholders. Accounts such as cash. It's called a balance sheet because the two sides balance out. while on the liability side there are accounts such as accounts payable or long-term debt. Liabilities Share Capital Reserves and Surplus Secured loans UnSecured loans Current liabilities and provisions Assets Fixed Assets investments Current assets . defined very broadly. The exact accounts on a balance sheet will differ by company and by industry. promises to pay cash or provide goods and services in future. The income statement. As per the Companies Act. The balance sheet must follow the following formula: Assets = Liabilities + Shareholders' Equity Each of the three segments of the balance sheet will have many accounts within it that document the value of each. These three balance sheet segments give investors an idea as to what the company owns and owes. The format prescribed in the Companies Act classifies liabilities as follows : Share Capital: Share capital includes equity capital and preference capital. A liability arises when a firm receives benefits or services and .

Equity capital. by way of higher cash inflows or lower outflows. sundry creditors. other current assets and loans and advances. Tangible fixed assets include items such as land. during the operating cycle of the firm. Intangible assets include goodwill. dividend. The charge may be created in the form of pledge or hypothecation of movable assets such as inventories and debtors and or in the form of mortgage of immovable assets such as land. and other exp. unsecured loans are loans which are not secured by a charge on the assets of the firm. Unsecured loans: in contrast to secured loans. cash and bank balances. Reserve and Surplus: Reserve and Surplus comprise retained earnings as well as non earnings items like share premium and capital subsidy. Current Assets: this category consists of cash and other assets which get converted into cash or which result in cash savings. and provisions include items such as provision for taxes. interest accrued etc. This process is called appropriation. Current liabilities and Provisions: current liabilities and provisions represent obligations that are expected to mature within a year. These assets may be tangible or intangible. loans and advances are: inventories. patents. Assets Assets are resources which are expected to provide a firm with future economic benefits. In common practice for companies to transfer from the profit and loss account to various reserve accounts. are assets that are expected to produce benefits for more that one year. Secured loan: Secured loan are loans that are secured by a charge on the assets of the firm. furniture. discount allowed on issue of securities. and copyrights. Preference capital represents the contribution of preference shareholders and the dividend rate payable on it is general fixed. They are divided into two categories. debtors. plant and machinery. Investment: investments represent financial securities owned by the firm. building. . interest paid out of capital during construction. also called non current assets. and plant and machinery. carries no fixed rate of dividend. long term investment and current investment. and development expenditure to the extent not written off or adjusted. being the risk capital. Assets are classified as follows under the Companies Act: Fixed Assets: fixed assets. Current liabilities include items such as bills payable. buildings. The major components of current assets. Miscellaneous Exp : this comprise of items such as preliminary exp.

but none for the profit loss account. instead of showing only the final profit measure. the profit after tax figure. The income statement is the most analyzed portion of the financial statements. a multi step profit and loss account provides disaggregated information. Also known as the "profit and loss statement" or "statement of revenue and expense". the companies act does require that the information provided should be adequate to reflect a true and fair picture of the operations of the company for the accounting period.by summarizing revenues and expenses. it presents proft measures at intermediate stages as well.depicts a business entity s financial performance due to operations as well as other activities rendering gains or losses. • Financial Analysis a. Structure of Profit and Loss a/c Income Sales Expenditure Material and other expenditure Interest Depreciation Profit before tax Provision for tax Profit after tax While a single step profit and loss account aggregates all revenues and expenses.Profit and Loss a/c : A financial report that .) Motors Balance Sheets Maruti Suzuki TATA . However. It displays how well the company can assure success for both itself and its shareholders through the earnings from operations. Further. and showing the net profit or loss in a specified accounting period . Following is the financial and Non-Financial analysis of Maruti Suzuki & TATA Motors. The companies act has prescribed a standard form for the balance sheet.

b.) Income Statements Maruti Suzuki TATA Motors .

that is. Till 2008 both the companies had a rising EPS but in 2009 both of them fall and the effect more on Tata motors as they bought two brands Ford Motors and fall in sales results in low EPS. EPS = Net income.RATIO ANALYSIS OF TATA MOTORS AND MARUTI SUZUKI EPS measures the profit available to the equity shareholders per share.Dividends onPreferredStock . the amount that they can get on every share held. But as trend shows TATA motors have potential so an shareholder expect better in future.

Moreover increased demand in foreign market also seems to be a positive signal for better future.77 in 2009. But the future prospect for both the company’s profit is higher. A general rule of thumb suggests that the quick ratio should be around 1. Net profit Ratio = (Net profit) × 100 (Net sales) Both giants of Automobile industry shows positive trend in Sales Revenue over the past 5year. but the performance decreased from . The quick ratio is a very stringent measure of solvency. While the net profit of India’s no. Profit margins come down as recession hits economy badly hence sales get reduced and cost get increased very much. Maruti is always showing a positive trend as its ratio is always greater than 1 except in 2008.1 car manufacturer Maruti Suzuki shows a negative trend from 2007 onwards. However recession brought hurdles but both companies have potential to grow in future as lots of products are still to add in their portfolio.Average Outstanding shares The trend shows that Tata’s net profit margin is quite stable until it falls to 3. while TATA motors was doing good till 2007.

Both the companies possess a good ratio but the ratio which is close to 2 is desirable. Maruti is going very swiftly in this field. The ratio acts as an indication that the firm is able to generate funds to make all needed payments in the future. It means that a lot of debt is used by TATA’s to finance its increased operations. the ratio indicates whether the firm is likely to be a going concern. Sometimes the cost of the debt financing may outweigh the return that the company generates on the debt through investment and business activities and can lead to bankruptcy. We see that the debt –equity ratio of TATA motors is very high compared to that of Maruti. thus. . Expansion plans of TATA brought down its cash & Bank Balance and increase of outside liabilities. A high debt to equity ratio suggests that a company has financed its growth mostly via debt. Maruti is more successful in paying off its liabilities. Tata motors and Maruti Suzuki both the companies showed a positive trend in paying dividends till 2008. so we see in graph that Maruti has more strong liquidity than TATA Motors as its current ratio is always greater than 1.2008 onwards as shortage of cash was there and current liabilities and provision increased by Rs800Cr. Debt-Equity Ratio= Total Debt Total Equity The current ratio is a convenient and reliable tool for measuring a company's level of liquidity.

even though the fall in dividend in 2009. it always provided dividend of above 10 per share to its shareholders while maruti stick to below 5 per share. Dividend Per Share = Total amount of Dividend Share Outstanding • Financial Analysis 1. According to graph TATA’s dividend was much higher than that of Maruti. Share Holding Pattern for Quarter Ended 30-June-09 .but the scenario changed in 2009 as both the company’s dividend per share fell. still both the companies are earning good profit.

towards neighboring Myanmar to boost its sales by setting up a truck manufacturing plant. As Maruti Suzuki eyes one million sales by 2010. To take it a step further Tata has also initialized plans for the manufacture of a hybrid car which it will market with Chryster in the U. Tata Motors is looking east. As part of its expansion plans in Southeast Asia.7 lakhs unit per annum from January 2009. They have also been coming with . 2. 8. markets.000 one tone pickup trucks a year over the next 3-5 years.Above is the updated share holding pattern of TATA motors which shows that Indian promoter share in the company is 41% that means if they are not in the position to raise further money from general public. Tata also apparently has its eye on the European and U. The company hopes to have a version for Europe by 2011 and one for the U. TATA Motors Tata Motors is try to be in a position to dominate the Indian Auto industry. they have firmed up a massive expansion plan of its service network and plans to expand it to 1700 towns and cities from the current of about 1200. Tata Motors had inked a joint venture with Thailand’s Thonburi Auto Assembly’s to manufacture up to 35. The expansion is estimated to cost $ 3.S perhaps by 2012. Suzuki Motors plan to increase their dealership in India. The company plans to increase the number of service stations and workshops to over 3800 from about 2800 currently. After the launch of Nano. After launching the world’s cheapest car. at least in fourwheeler segment. Tata Motors. General Public also have quite large stake in the company compare to its competitors.S. This is a step to increase their sales to one million units as well as for a better position in the Indian auto market. out of which a quarter will be assigned for amplifying leadership network to 1000 in number. By the year 2010.000 cr. is searching options to pump approximately Rs. Company already raised huge money by selling their large stake to institutional investors about 27%. Maruti Suzuki Maruti Suzuki has expanded the capacity at its Manesar plant to 1.Ventures & Products Being a venture of Japanese company Suzuki big stake of the company is held by foreign promoters which shows that they can divest their part(small part) to raise money in future.5 billion. Tata Motors have announced that they are interested in the idea of designing electric cars. is now aiming to launch its cars in Indonesia and is also planning to sell Nano in South America with the help of Fiat. Tata Motors.S. Nano. During the next 3-4 years on capital expenditure and product development. However institutional investors also held 39% major stake in the company but general public have very small part which shows that less presence of share in the secondary market hence low volume trading in stock market.

• The Proposal by the Govt. Government Policies Towards Indian Automobile Industry Automobile industry in India also received an unintended boost from stringent government auto emission regulations over the past few years. to 1. thanks to low costs and government policies it soon faces stiff competition from it multinational competitors all eyeing for a share in the ever growing Indian auto sector. This ensured that vehicles produced in India conformed to the standards of the developed world.500 cr.000 cr. • . • Specific component of excise duty applicable to large cars and utility vehicles will be reduced to 15. among them is the “Mera Sapna Meri Maruti: New Panchayati Scheme”. Though it has an advantage in India. While the development of the allotted land and construction of the test tracks will be completed in the first phase by 2012.specific sales promotion programmes targeted at interior regions. whom will make India as a production hub and export to nearest market. The move is aimed at helping India emerge as a hub for global manufacturing and sourcing for auto parts.000 rupees earlier. . • • • Bring in a minimum foreign equity of US $ 50 Million if a joint venture involved majority foreign equity ownership Automatic approval for foreign equity investment upto 100% of manufacture of automobiles and component is permitted FIIs including overseas corporate bodies (OCBs) and NRIs are permitted to invest up to 49 per cent of the paid-up equity capital of the investee company. to set up an expert group to advise on a viable and sustainable system of pricing petroleum products. The upcoming facility. And will introduce world class R&D facilities into India. 1. will see an investment in the range of Rs. Investments in making auto parts by a foreign vehicle maker will also be considered a part of the minimum foreign investment made by it in an auto-making subsidiary in India. 2. The Haryana government has allotted 700 acres of land to Maruti Suzuki for hi – tech Research & Development complex at Rohtak. The policies adopted by Government will increase competition in domestic market.000 rupees per vehicle from 20. the overall R&D facilities will be progressively completed by 2015. The announced reduction on the basic customs on bio-diesel is great news for all companies working on environmental saving technologies. subject to approval of the board of directors and of the members by way of a special resolution. as this will surely had an impact on the Automobile Industry. motivate many foreign commercial vehicle manufactures to set up shops in India.

Technical analysis mainly .Technical analysis Technical analysis refers to the study of market generated data like prices & volume to determine the future direction of prices movements.

3. This shift s can be detected with the help of charts of manual & computerized action.seeks to predict the short term price travels. employ it the value of such analysis trends to reduce. 2. These include fundamental factors as well as psychological factors. It is the tool of financial analysis. Drawbacks / limitations of technical analysis: 1 Technical analysis does not able to explain the rezones behind the employment or selection of specific tool of Technical analysis. For that matter a verity of tools was consider. It is the oldest approach to equity investment dating back to the late 19th century. Technical analysis involves the use of various methods for charting. Usually the following tools & instruments are used to do the technical analysis: . 2 The technical analysis failed to signal an uptrend or downtrend in time. It appeals mainly to short term traders. i. 3 The technical analysis must be a self defeating proposition. Barring minor deviations stock prices tend to move in fairly persistent trends. Market prices are determined by the interaction of supply & demand forces. The one of the most frequently used yardstick to check & analyze underlying price progress. The focus of technical analysis is mainly on the internal market data. Supply & demand are influenced by variety of supply & demand affiliated factors both rational & irrational. It provides important & vital information regarding the current price position of the company. 6. 5. As more & more people use. because of the persistence of trends & patterns analysis of past market data can be used to predict future prices behaviors. 4. It is important criteria for selecting the company to invest. which not only studies but also reflecting the numerical & graphical relationship between the important financial factors. prices & volume data. This Technical analysis is helpful to general investor in many ways. It also provides the base for decision-making in investment. Basic premises of technical analysis: 1.e. Shifts in demand & supply bring about change in trends. calculating & interpreting graph & chart to assess the performances & status of the price.

. Japanese Candlestick: A candlestick is black if the closing price is lower than the . and candlestick. mutual funds or that is even with the equity in case of base price. Bar: It gives the detailed information about every aspect. line. This type of chart is ideal for securities with no high or low price data i.e. Line: A line chart simply connects the closing prices from one period to the next.Price Styles Price in a chart can be displayed in three styles: bar.

opening price. . A candlestick is white if the closing price is higher than the opening price.

If prices are then unable to rise . Confirmation of a new down-trend occurs when the "neckline" is penetrated. INTC). the longer a pattern takes to form. the more dramatic the ensuing prices move. Generally speaking. but are unable to do so. . The changing of expectations often causes price patterns to emerge. The trend is broken when this upward climb ends. it is very common for prices to return to the neckline in a last effort to continue the up-trend. they rarely do so on a dime. Predictable price behavior often follows these price patterns. volume decreases on the head and is especially light on the right shoulder. The reason this reversal pattern is so common is due to the manner in which trends typically reverse. . their price patterns are often very similar. pause. the "left shoulder" and the "head" are the last two higher-highs. Following the penetration of the neckline. A sign that the trend is weakening occurs when the volume accompanying rallies is less than the volume accompanying the preceding rally. They eventually change direction and when they do. This signifies the end of the up-trend. In a typical Head-and-Shoulders pattern. Although no two markets are identical. and then reverse. An up-trend is formed as prices make higher-highs and higher-lows in a stair-step fashion. volume should increase during each rally. Head and Shoulders: The Head-and-Shoulders price pattern is the most reliable and well-known chart pattern. As you can see in the illustration (Intel. During a healthy up-trend. Instead. The right shoulder is created as the bulls try to push prices higher. prices typically decelerate. Chart patterns can last from a few days to many months or even years. These phases occur as investors form new expectations and by doing so. shift the security's supply/demand.Price Patterns: Overview: A basic principle of technical analysis is that security prices move in trends. We also know that trends do not last forever. It gets its name from the resemblance of a head with two shoulders on either side.

and subsequently return to the resistance level on decreased volume. Rounding bottoms occur as expectations gradually shift from bearish to bullish. retreat. volume usually decreases as the pattern is formed and then increases as prices rise above the neckline Rounding Tops and Bottoms: Rounding tops occur as expectations gradually shift from bullish to bearish. Volume then increases as the new trend is established Double Tops and Bottoms A double top occurs when prices rise to a resistance level on significant volume. As with a normal Head-and-Shoulders pattern. An inverse (or upside-down) Head-and-Shoulders pattern often coincides with market bottoms. they usually decline rapidly on increased volume. yet steady shift forms a rounded top. decreases as expectations shift and traders become indecisive. Prices then decline marking the beginning of a new down-trend. . Volume.above the neckline. A double bottom has the same characteristics as a double top except it is upside is down. The gradual.Volume during both rounding tops and rounding bottoms often mirrors the bowl-like shape of prices during a rounding bottom. which was high during the previous trend.

To measure the likely downward reaction. Deduct these distances from the intervening bottom & that will be the downward target of the double top reversal pattern. Bottom B1 & B2 are almost at the same level & trend violated the resistances level formed with the help of top T1 hence. a Double bottom reversal pattern has been formed.Tops T1 & T2 are almost at the same level & trend violated the support line formed with the help of bottom B1 hence. measure the distances between the intervening bottom & the double tops. To measure the likely upward reaction. . Deduct these distances from the intervening top & that will be the upward target of the double bottom reversal pattern. a Double top reversal pattern has been formed. measure the distances between the intervening top & the double bottom.

To measure the likely upward reaction. measure the distances between the intervening top & the triple bottom.Tops T1. B2 & B3 are almost at the same level & trend violated the resistances level formed with the help of top T1 because the T1 is the heights top hence. T2 & T3 are almost at the same level & trend violated the support line formed with the help of bottom B1 because the B1 is the lowest bottom hence. Deduct these distances from the intervening bottom & that will be the downward target of the triple top reversal pattern. . Deduct these distances from the intervening top & that will be the upward target of the triple bottom reversal pattern. Bottom B1. To measure the likely downward reaction. measure the distances between the intervening bottom & the triple tops. a triple bottom reversal pattern has been formed. a triple top reversal pattern has been formed.

but also price philosophy. The public participation phase. which are defined as when the market makes lower lows and lower highs and Corrections. but it then suddenly decreased near the month of June’2009. Up trends are defined as a time when successive rallies in a security price close at levels higher than those achieved in previous rallies. Public participation and Excess. The accumulation phase is one in which the expert traders are actively taking positions which are against the majority of people in the market. which is when the public at large catches on to what the experts know and begin to trade in the same direction and in the Excess phase. which are defined as a move after the market makes a move sharply in one direction where the market recedes in the opposite direction before continuing in its original direction. .Implication of DOW THEORY The Dow Theory is valid even in today’s volatile and technology driven market. it is shown that the share prices of Tata motors were increasing in the year 2009. Accumulation. but then started increasing again. In the graph shown above.Dow Theory is broken down into six basic tenets. The Dow Theory addresses not only technological analysis and price action. Accumulati on Public Excess Upstrea m The first tenet of Dow Theory is that the market has three trends. Downtrends. The second tenet of Dow Theory is that trends have three phases. where rampant speculations occur and the “smart money” starts to exit their positions.

In the case of Tata motors. The market may show moves which are against the primary trend but this do not mean that the trend is over and the market will normally resume its prior trend. the stock price even increased once. which says that trends exist until definitive signals prove that they have ended. meaning that once news is released it is quickly reflected in the price of an asset. the share prices started increasing but they again saw a decline.Upstrem Primary trend Deviati The third tenet of Dow Theory is that the market counts all news. In the case of Tata motors. . when the prices were decreasing during recession. but the market then again followed its prior trend of declining prices. The sales of Tata motors decreased by 4% in June end’ 2009 which can be one more reason for the decline in stock prices of Tata motors. as the market started recovering after December’2008.3bl panelty. The above graph also illustrates the sixth tenet. which may be attributed to the news of breach of JLR contract with Ford Motors which may cause Rs.

In case of Tata motors. Different sets of colored line in above chart prove this fact. and TATA motors also comes down. However. Tenet five is that Trends are confirmed by volume. when the people stopped investing during recession. that means that the performance of related industries should move in one direction for the health of a particular industry. we can see that the movement of stock prices of Tata motors and SENSEX are more or less in the same direction. prices went down and after recession. When the performances diverge. One thing which very clear is TATA motors react very badly whenever there is a negative sentiments comes in market results SENSEX comes down. prices also increased. when people came back to the market.SENSEX AND TATA MOTORS Tenet four of Dow Theory is that the averages must confirm each other. it is warning that change is in the air. .

Resistance Level shows the price above which share price will not move in normal case on the other hand Support level shows the minimum share price which can be touched by share or crossing of this share will not be there in normal market condition Following is the Resistance & Support level of Maruti Suzuki & TATA Motors for the period of 2 months: Resistance Level Rs.490 approx. .1425 Support level RS. Resistance & Support Level This Technical tool helps in telling that what would be the price band of share price in which it move in near future on the basis of past high and low levels made by a particular scrip. As it is seen in the past 4 months TATA share price moved up and it keeps making on new level so perfect resistance level for this share is not easy to predict as performance of this share is very good The above band of resistance and support level shows that the price compare of shares will in to move all scrips of between this range only until unless any wrong reaction came out in economy or when any correction takes place the prices will move in between this band only.1. (1-Jul-09 to 7-Sept- Resistance Level Rs.430 approx.1275 approx. Support Level Rs.

The method of interpreting a moving average is to compare the relationship between a moving average of the security's price with the security's price itself. It is designed to keep you in line with the security's price trend by buying shortly after the . A buy signal is generated when the security's price rises above its moving average and a sell signal is generated when the security's price falls below its moving average. Simple Moving Average (50 periods)-Medium Term A Moving Average is an indicator that shows the average value of a security's price over a period of time. Maruti respectively. In above figure we have compare the share price of Tata Motor and Maruti with moving average of 50 period of Tata Motors.2.

Yellow area in the graph indicates Buy signal and Green area indicates Sell signal. In the near future both the companies show Buy signal as their security prices rises above its moving average. Long Term Simple Moving Average (200 periods) In the above chart Moving Average is an indicator that shows the average value of a security's price over a period of time. In the near future both the companies show buy signal as their security prices rises above its moving average. Yellow area in the graph indicates buy signal and Green area indicates sell signal. It shows that both companies are performing better. This shows that an investor can kept a hold position or can buy for longer period . We have compare the share price of Tata Motor and Maruti with moving average of 200 period of Tata Motors. Maruti respectively by taking share prices of 5 year to take out the Moving average for 200 periods. A buy signal is generated when the security's price rises above its moving average and a sell signal is generated when the security's price falls below its moving average. 3.security's price bottoms and selling shortly after it tops. So keeping a hold position for the companies would be profitable in future. This Tool of 200 Periods tells us about the position of share to buy or sell for a long period say for 9-12 months. so industry as whole is also performing outstanding.

here are three popular ways to use the MACD: crossovers.of time but as we can see in case of Maruti the moving average line is also rising which shows that Buy n hold position for very long period could be unprofitable a minor correction in the share price can bring down the share price line and then moving average line will easily cross the share price line. called the "signal" (or "trigger") line is plotted on top of the MACD to show buy/sell opportunities. 4. overbought/oversold. Crossovers: Yellow area shows that there was situation when sell position occurred in the end of month June till mid of July as MACD curve below EMA or Signal line shows a sell situation otherwise we saw a buy position of TATA Motors most of the time Light Green area shows that investor want to buy and wan to be in hold position. and divergences. The MACD is the difference between a 26-day and 12-day exponential moving average. TATA MOTORS MACD Sell Overboug Overso Buy Above graph shows the MACD of TATA motors for the period of 6 months. . A 9-day exponential moving average(EMA). The trend of buying is seems to be over here or in coming few days and a selling or booking of profit could be seen hence MACD line could fall below EMA in coming time.

Moving Average Crossover 20 Periods S B 50 Periods .MARUTI SUZUKI MACD Overboug Overso Crossover: The above graph shows the MACD of Maruti Suzuki. here Yellow area shows the selling position as MACD line is below EMA line the Light Green area shows the buy position which occur last time in the end of July but now buy position for Maruti is created as EMA or signal line seems to be below MACD line and it will probably continue in near future. For both TATA Motors & Maruti Suzuki Overbought/Oversold: The amount of green lines in above graph on the up side shows the overbought situation by the investor which mean that investor buy more shares at this time and oversold situation occurs when green line is on the downside.

e. A move below the moving average suggests that the bears are in control of the price action and that the asset will likely move lower.A crossover occurs when a faster Moving Average (i. Following is the MAC of TATA Motors & Maruti Suzuki to understand the position of both companies average share movement Above is the MAC graph of TATA Motors for the period of 6 months in which ‘S’ denote the selling situation or position whereas ‘B’ is the point after approx 1 month when we saw a bounce back in share prices hence a buy signal occurs which is because. The increasing trend in the prices after buy signal of shares shows that good amount of profit could be achieved in future if stick with hold position.C helps in telling buying opportunities when the shorter moving average crosses above the longer moving average and selling opportunities when the shorter moving average crosses below the longer moving average. Bu No Sell Position or Always Position of . a longer period Moving Average-50 periods) which is considered a bullish crossover or below which is considered a bearish crossover.A. longer moving average of 50 periods cut shorter moving average from the lower side and shows a holding position of shares in coming future also. Below is the MAC graph of Maruti Suzuki for past 6 months in which we haven’t see any sell position till yet the movement of share price is always on the positive side that is increasing so we can say that buying opportunities is always there in case of Maruti Suzuki. above yellow circle shows that area when price fall below average price and then it move onto lower side. M. a shorter period Moving Average20 periods) crosses either above a slower Moving Average (i.e. A cross above a moving average suggests that the bulls are is in control and that the price may be getting ready to make a move higher and Maruti Share Prices show that trend of moving up prices.

It’s better to buy stocks when it touches the lower band. while in mid of July the stock went below the lower band. this little tool tells us whether the market is quiet or whether the market is LOUD! When the market is quiet.5. BOLLINGER BAND Bollinger bands are used to measure a market’s volatility. Basically. The overbought and oversold stocks are apt to reverse course.e. the bands contract. i. but in regards all other technical factors should be considered while buying. the bands expand. The prices fell too fast and are susceptible to bargain hunting. and when the market is LOUD. May. An oversold stock has gone down too fast. . TATA Motors On the graph it can be seen the overall trend of the market and quick reference for supply and demand as well as support and resistance areas by using a 20 days moving average and 2 standard deviation in calculating the Bollinger Bands. It’s also seen that the volatility increased to new highs after July because the bands started to widen. During the months of April. which means that stock has gone up too fast and when a stock is outside the lower band it is ‘OVERSOLD’. mid July and mid august the stock of TATA motors crossed the upper band which means that during these periods the prices rose very fast. As we can see in the graph is that the at most of the time the graph lies between the middle band and the upper band Maruti which shows an increasing price trend in the market and it’s called Riding the Band. Suzuki When the stock is outside the upper end of the Bollinger band it is considered as ‘OVERBOUGHT’.

therefore it becomes an important factor in determining the price trend as it tells that the prices have not fallen very fast in these six months. Such levels merely indicate that prices are high or low on a relative basis. . because when price is trading near the upper or lower Bollinger band line. During the june month the bands contracted very much which shows low volatility. and it can assist with timing issues in trading. The buy and sell signals are not given when prices reach the upper or lower bands. there is a possibility of trend reversal.Initially the bands show slight slope and lie approximately parallel to each other. but then onwards the bands started to widen which creates high volatility and looking at the future scenario it may be analysed that the stock will see a fall as at the end of august the band was overbought. The stock also shows overbought many times during the six months but it did not show any oversold trend. Knowing whether or not prices are high or low on a relative basis can enhance the interpretation of other indicators. A security can become overbought or oversold for an extended period of time. this means that the price of the stock is oscillating up and down between the bands through a channel.

430 to Rs.90% after downfall. whenever there is a negative sentiment in the market regarding TATA Motors there is a steep fall in the stock price of TATA Motors but we have seen quick recovery in its share prices to regain its primary trend E.CONCLUSION Indian Automobile Industry is in the growth phase and the expected growth rate is 9-10% for FY2009-10 as compared to last year growth rate which was just 0. moreover in two wheeler segment many companies like Mahindra and Mahindra grow even more than expectations. Like TATA has launch NANO the people’s car and now TATA motors is also planning to come out with an electric car as well as hybrid car. . as we seen in last 3-4 months TATA recovers approx.1275 to Rs. The majority of the people in country don’t own a four wheeler and all the major auto companies are trying to increase their sales by several moves.g.1425 and that of TATA Motors will move in the range of Rs. 490 if certain correction made in the market. I have also come to know that share price movement of TATA Motors is just according to the movement of SENSEX.7% and the above facts and figures in our study also support this truth. From the Technical Analysis of both companies i come to know that the share price of Maruti will move in the band of Rs. By analyzing the current trend of Indian Economy and Automobile Industry I can say that being a developing economy there is lot of scope for growth and this industry still have to cross many levels so there is huge opportunities to invest in and this is proving as more and more foreign Companies setting up there ventures in India. The Indian auto market is still untapped.

rbi.in FDI statistic government of India India Central Statistical Organization Economic Times .co.com www.moneycontrol.com www.com www.worldfact.org.BIBLIOGRAPHY www.bseindia.yahoofinance.com www.google.com www.in www.googlefinance.

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