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Martenson - Shifting Baselines v2

Martenson - Shifting Baselines v2

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Published by richardck61
Martenson Shifting Baselines v2
Martenson Shifting Baselines v2

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Published by: richardck61 on Apr 21, 2013
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04/22/2013

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A Grand Experiment

A Big Picture Look At Where We Really Are Today

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

My Life As A Scientist...

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Our Beliefs Shape Our World
Your beliefs become your thoughts Your thoughts become your words Your words become your actions Your actions become your habits Your habits become your values Your values become your destiny
Mahatma Gandhi

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Two Ways People Change

Insight Pain

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

The Really Big Picture

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

The Three “E”s

Economy

Environment

Energy

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

What is Money?

Money is a claim on real goods and services (i.e. ‘wealth’)
Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Debt is a claim on money.

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

In Balance... $ Money $

Real Wealth

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Out of Balance...

All Money is Loaned into Existence

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

The One Chart That Explains It All

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

. .
How Economists See the World

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Exponential Growth

The Power of Exponential Growth
12 10 8 6
Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

4 2 0
-7000 -6000 -5000 -4000 -3000 -2000 -1000 0 1000 2000 2100

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Yankee Stadium

If we began at 12:00, when would Yankee Stadium be filled? 12:50
At what time would it still be 97% empty?
Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

12:45

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Our Stadium

12 10 8

Population

Billions
Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

6 4 2 0
-7000 6000 –-5000 5000 – 4000 – 3000 -2000 –2000 -1000 –1000 -7000–-6000 -4000 -3000

7

3

1000 2000 20002100 00 1000

Years

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Production

1800

Oil

1900 2000

http://www.newscientist.com/data/images/ns/cms /mg20026786.000/mg20026786.000-1_1701.jpg

Forest Loss

Water Use
Species Extinction
Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Fisheries Exploited
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Exponential Systems Speed Up…

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

The Three “E”s

Economy

Environment

Energy

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

The Three E’s = Complex Systems

Features Of Complex Systems
 They are inherently unpredictable  They owe their order and complexity to ...energy

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Energy

Specifically, Oil

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

A Full Doubling of Spending...

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

...Kept The World Running In Place

What Sorts Of Explanations Do We Have For That?

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

The Easy Days Are Over

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

A Gigantic Shift....

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Environment

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Copper Nugget
Copper Ore – 10%

Copper Mining - Bingham Canyon Mine, Utah

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

No Fresh Continents To Find...

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

About Those Complex Systems...

The Implications Are Huge
 The past will be a poor guide of the future  Risks are now badly understood and priced  Growth as we knew it is over
Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

 Huge shifts in the economy towards the basics
 The opportunities are enormous

Copyright © 2004-2008 – Chris Martenson

PeakProsperity.com

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