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.
,
. , ,

, 39
40.

, , -
.
, ()41. , ,

, , . , . ,

, 2003
17 .42

( 2010 . 2 .,
30 ), ,
48%
, 2010 . , 43.
- , , .
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.: . //
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39
40

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, ,
.

44. ,
, ,
, , ,
, , 45.
, .
, ,
46.
50 (1 = 1,609344 ) 100 .
. -
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, - 2002
47. 2004 .

.
2006 . , . , ,
.
(
2005 .)
( 2006 .).
, ,

,
48. 44
Babakhanov U. Robert Blake: We Understand the Importance of Energy Security for Tajikistan // Asiaplus, 13 February 2010 [www.asiaplus.tj/en/news/48/62064.html], 6 June 2010.
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. . .
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.: Olcott M.B. Op. cit. P. 184.
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.: Davis J.K., Sweeney M.J. Op. cit. P. 53; Olcott M.B. Op. cit. P. 184.
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935 . ,
49.

, , , , ,
. .
,
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. ,
,
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.
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, .

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50. 2005
.
, . , 2005 .
, , , . , ,

.

Asian Allies // Eurasia Insight, 28 April 2006; . USAID Official Outlines Plan to Build Central-South Asian
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.: Nichol J. Op. cit. P. 23.
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6.
.
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.
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, 8.
9, .
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Buzan B., Wver O. Op. cit. P. xvii.
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Buzan B. Op. cit. . 106.
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.: Buzan B., Wver O. Op. cit. . xvi
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,
,
( ) .
, , ,
.
. ,
.
. .
, ,
11.
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, / 13.
, ,
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.
14, () , , .
/ . , ,
,
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( ). , ()
15, -, . , ,
. , Buzan B., Wver O. Op. cit. P. 4.
.: Ibid. . xvi.
13
Ibid. . 48.
14
Ibid. . 29.
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12

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, , , ,
, .
,
16. / . , ;
.

17, / . ,
. .
, , .

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.

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. , 19.
, ,
.
+20. 16

Buzan B. Op. cit. P. 190.

Buzan B., Wver O. Op. cit. . 48.
18
.: Ibid. . 423.
19
.: Ibid. . 423424.
20
Ibid. P. 397.
17

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, , . , -, , , , -,
() .
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Buzan B., Wver O., De Wilde J. Op. cit. P. 46.

.: .. // ,
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23
.: .
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.: . :
? // , 2011, 5, . 12.
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.: ..
. .: , 2005. . 46; Central Asian Security: The New International Context; Tadjbakhsh Sh. Central Asia and Afghanistan: Insulation on the Silk Road, Between Eurasia and the Heart
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, . , ,
, ,
.
, 26.
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, , 27,
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28 ( ,
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.

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.
.: Tadjbakhsh Sh. Op. cit. P. 45.
1999
.
-, ,
(.: . : , . .:
/ . .. , . . .:
. , 2000. . 52).
28
,
. - (.: .. . , 2001. . 3031).
29
, 3 1998 .
26
27

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, , . .
, ,
30, , . ,
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() . , - ; ( , , .); ; () .
(, 11 2001 .), / . ,
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31
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33

, , , 34. - - , , 35.


. , , , .
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,
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, , , . , , , : 33
. [http://www.centrasia.Ru/newsA.php4?st=
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.: Buzan B., Wver O. Op. cit. . 41.
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.: Ibid. P. 41.
36
, ,
, , . (1992)
(2003), 6+2 (1997), (2005),
(2012) .

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(, , ) ; , 6+1
( ), + , , . ,
.

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.: Buzan B., Wver O. Op. cit. . 53.

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,
, .
, ,
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. , / .
.
. ,
.
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2012 ,
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[http://www.iarex.ru/articles/27506.html].

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Muloqot.uz Sinfdosh.uz2.
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 15 3 2012

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.: Khanna P., Khanna A. Hybrid Reality: Thriving in the Emerging Human-Technology Civilization.
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Zakaria F. The Future of Freedom. Illiberal Democracy at Home and Abroad. New York: W.W. Norton &
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- . ,
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Zakaria F. Op. cit. P. 18.
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[http://www.bbc.co.uk/russian/rolling_news/2012/07/120718_rn_washington_voters_facebook.shtml].

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Facebook -,
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. // , 10 2012
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 15 3 2012

; , .

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139

 15 3 2012

, - ,
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? ,

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) (GTAP);
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, (18341910),
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(CGE-)
1
.: Hertel T., Keeney R., Ivanic M., Winters A. Distributional Effects of WTO Agricultural Reforms in
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, , ,
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.: Ibidem.
.: Brockmeier M. A Graphical Exposition of the GTAP Model // GTAP Technical Paper, October 1996,
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2
3

141

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: -

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(GTAP) - . ,
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( ), . . 1.
.: Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP). Department of Agricultural Economics. Purdue University,
2008 [https://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/about/consortium.asp].
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.: Brockmeier M. Op. cit.
4

142

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1

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15 3 2012

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5,17

12,83

8,47

25,53

1,56

3,91

0,01

0,49

4,82

2,32

60,97

1,12

40,52

5,74

7,23

0,02

0,3

4,4

0,29

7,55

0,16

19,34

0,05

1,37

0,05

3,57

40,41

1,38

141,11

19,84

21,43

25,92

651,71

0,17

2,49

7,82

0,2

22,28

4,05

14,68

2,92

0,7

0,01

0,41

2,38

1,43

22,95

0,66

23,23

0,9

3,15

0,65

4,32

0,24

16,7

0,42

19,92

0,17

2,48

0,12

0,54

3,43

0,31

11,55

0,26

21,71

0,02

1,73

0,03

0,81

5,24

0,51

18,21

0,44

23,79

0,14

2,99

0,01

: .

154

, %

15 3 2012

12

0,37

0,82

0,52

15,39

0,69

18,97

7,51

8,57

0,02

0,73

4,29

0,93

18,56

0,55

33,48

0,85

7,05

0,01

0,18

0,61

0,04

2,3

0,08

3,03

0,04

1,1

0,01

0,56

3,97

0,59

10,58

0,15

11,27

45,34

100,66

0,4

0,49

0,09

5,63

0,08

1,05

1,93

0,4

0,34

0,33

3,59

0,25

12,53

2,17

4,95

0,01

0,33

3,07

0,22

7,75

0,71

25,32

0,49

0,48

0,04

0,38

2,58

0,24

10,02

0,21

15,42

0,07

2,18

0,01

0,35

2,51

0,18

11,36

0,13

12,35

0,36

1,28

0,01

: .

15 3 2012

155

, %

13

 15 3 2012

. , .
14

, .

26,4

0,0

0,0

242,1

95,8

119,9

2,7

0,0

0,0

8,8

8,6

20,1

0,9

0,0

0,0

1,7

2,5

5,1

27,7

0,0

0,0

64,8

21,5

114,0

0,4

0,0

0,0

7,7

3,3

4,1

19,0

0,0

0,0

73,4

28,3

120,7

7,8

0,0

0,0

119,7

17,3

144,8

240,3

0,0

0,0

16,6

9,3

266,2

78,1

0,0

0,0

299,1

45,1

332,1

178,0

0,0

0,0

3,7

1,2

173,2

: .

3.

. . 15 .
CGE-.
, ,
, .
, ,
.

156