SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.948413871
R Square
0.899488871
Adjusted R Square
0.882737016
Standard Error
0.65
Observations
8
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Temp

SS
MS
1 22.980816 22.98082
6 2.5679337 0.427989
7 25.54875

F
Significance F
53.6949 0.0003301

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
15.83785741 0.8017734 19.75353 1.1E-06 13.875989 17.799726 13.87599 17.79973
-0.12792171 0.0174573 -7.327679 0.00033 -0.170638 -0.0852052 -0.17064 -0.08521

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

PROBABILITY OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted FuelCons
Residuals
Standard Residuals
1 12.2560494 0.1439506 0.237668
2 12.2560494 -0.556049 -0.918059
3 11.68040168 0.7195983 1.188084
4 10.84891053 -0.048911 -0.080753
5 9.966250699 -0.566251 -0.934902
6 8.443982291 1.0560177 1.743526
7 8.405605776 -0.405606 -0.669671
8 7.842750231
-0.34275 -0.565894

Percentile FuelCons
6.25
7.5
18.75
8
31.25
9.4
43.75
9.5
56.25
10.8
68.75
11.7
81.25
12.4
93.75
12.4

Regression Analysis

ANOVA table
Source
Regression
Residual
Total


Adjusted r²
r
Std. Error
n
k
Dep. Var.

0.899
0.883
-0.948
0.654
8
1
FuelCons

SS
22.9808
2.5679
25.5488

df
1
6
7

Regression output
variables
coefficients
Intercept
15.8379
Temp
-0.1279

std. error
0.8018
0.0175

MS
22.9808
0.4280

F
53.69

p-value
.0003

confidence interval
t (df=6) p-value 95% lower 95% upper
19.754 1.09E-06
13.8760
17.7997
-7.328
.0003
-0.1706
-0.0852

14 -0.1301 upper 11.97 8.68 10.136 .05 -0.84 Residual 0.40 10.4274 Leverage 0.26 11.41 -0.3119 95% Prediction Interval lower 9.50 8.56 0.40 9.85 9.72 -0.41 7.50 Durbin-Watson = Predicted 12.80 9.34 3.02 Predicted values for: FuelCons 95% Confidence Interval Temp 40 Predicted 10.44 8.26 12.06 -0.Observation 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 FuelCons 12.7210 lower 10.00 7.0146 upper 12.70 12.40 11.57 1.

0% 20 10 0 0 20 40 60 Sample Percentile 80 100 .0 Temp 60.Temp Residual Plot Residuals 2 1 0 -1 0.0 20.0 Temp Line Fit Plot 20.0 40.0 0.0 60.0 Predicted FuelCons Temp Normal Probability Plot FuelCons FuelCons Upper 95.0 40.0 FuelCons 0.0 20.0 10.0 80.0 80.

443982 1.801773 19.6804 0.69488 0.4 40.12792 0.56625 -0.84891 -0.84275 -0.567934 0.56589 PROBABILITY OUTPUT Percentile FuelCons 6.25 12.83786 0.237668 2 12.056018 1.75 9.SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.0% Upper 95.79973 13.32768 Residuals 2 1 0 -1 0.08075 5 9.966251 -0.017457 -7.25 10.00033 -0.75353 -0.79973 0.0 Temp .91806 3 11.427989 7 25.9349 6 8.882737 Standard Error 0.719598 1.5 56.405606 -0.143951 0.8 68.25605 0.98082 53.04891 -0.7 81.899489 Adjusted R Square 0.25 9.5 18.4 43.54875 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat 15.17064 -0.00033 6 2.40561 -0.948414 R Square 0.87599 17.17064 -0.0% 1.34275 -0.87599 17.09E-06 13.75 8 31.4 93.75 12.55605 -0.654209 Observations 8 Temp Residual Plot ANOVA df Regression Residual Total Intercept Temp SS MS F Significance F 1 22.66967 8 7.188084 4 10.98082 22.0 20.25605 -0.08521 RESIDUAL OUTPUT Observation Predicted FuelCons Residuals Standard Residuals 1 12.08521 -0.25 7.743526 7 8.75 11.0 P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.

0 0.0 Normal Probability Plot Temp 80.0 8 6 4 2 0 0 20 40 60 Sample Percentile 80 100 .0 FuelCons 0.0 Predicted FuelCons 80.0 60.0 40.0 60.Temp Line Fit Plot FuelCons 20.0 Residual Plot 10.0 14 12 10 FuelCons 40.0 Temp 20.

Var.5679 25.8760 17.5488 df 1 6 7 Regression output variables coefficients Intercept 15.72 -0.0003 -0.41 7.05 -0. 0.50 Durbin-Watson = Predicted 12.97 8.68 10.8018 0.09E-06 13.1706 -0.26 12.0003 confidence interval t (df=6) p-value 95% lower 95% upper 19.136 .7997 -7. Error n k Dep.00 7.06 -0.69 p-value .41 -0.3119 95% Prediction Interval lower 9.4280 F 53.26 11.654 8 1 FuelCons SS 22.948 0.9808 2.57 1.44 8.0146 upper 12.40 10.56 0.899 0.0175 FuelCons 12.8379 Temp -0.754 1.883 -0.328 .1279 Observation 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 std.1301 upper 11.84 MS 22. error 0.85 9.9808 0.70 12.80 9.0852 Residual 0.02 Predicted values for: FuelCons 95% Confidence Interval Temp 40 Predicted 10.14 -0.Regression Analysis ANOVA table Source Regression Residual Total r² Adjusted r² r Std.40 11.34 3.40 9.4274 Leverage 0.50 8.7210 lower 10.

.

0 20.0 62.8 45.0 8.7 32.0 10.0 10.4 57.0 4.0 12.5 Fuel Consumption in MMcf FuelCons 14.0 11.5 58.8 9.5 12.0 12.x in degree F y in millions of cubic feet of natural gas Temp FuelCons 28.0 0.0 0.0 Temperature in degrees F .9 9.0 6.1 8.0 2.4 39.4 28.0 10.5 7.

0 Temperature in degrees F 60.0 .0 40.0 70.FuelCons FuelCons 30.0 50.

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