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No. of Variables
No. of Observations
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4
20
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20 10 0.91
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104.51 266.9
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Equation Parameters
R Square 0.9894 98.94% of the change in can be explained by the change in the 3 Independent Variables
Adjusted R Square 0.9874 Adjusted for Sample Size bias 2.55384 Durbin-Watson Statistic Critical D-W Values: Lower (Dl)=1.00; Upper (Du)=1.68
Standard Error 2.5609 to +/- on result of Regression Equation Therefore Negative Autocorrelation maybe present at 95% Confidence
F - Statistic 498.8907 Therefore analysis IS Significant 3.12735 Critical F-Statistic at 95% Confidence (Significance holds to 100.0% Level of Confidence)
Auto
Multiple Regression Equation Independent Analysis Correlation
Tests for Multicolinearity between Independent Variables
Indep1
Indep2
Indep3
= 0.86*Indep1 + 0.12*Indep2 + -0.02*Indep3 + -0.36 (+/- 2.56)
Exponential
Trend R-Squared Matrix
Polynomial
Polynomial
100
2nd Ord
3rd Ord
90
Linear
80 Independent Variable Choose Method
70 Indep1 33% 33% 11% 20% Linear 33% Leave Blank
Predicted
Indep2 31% 22% ### 10% Linear #NUM! 3rd Ord Poly
60
Indep3 18% 3% 2% 1% Linear 18% 2nd Ord Poly
50 Err:502 Exponential
40 Err:502 Linear
Err:502
30 Err:502
20 Err:502
10 Err:502
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Err:502
Number of Periods to Forecast 10
Actual
Forecast Output
-0.36 0.86 0.12 -0.02
Time
Period Indep1 Indep2 Indep3 Dependent
1 103.63 60.14 45.08 94.20
2 52.06 10.93 7.14 46.26
3 43.12 18.97 40.19 33.67
4 70.95 47.55 40.57 69.79
5 67.98 30.07 42.06 58.00
6 28.23 17.13 85.04 22.91
7 89.26 59.46 97.38 79.94
8 31.88 -0.88 54.63 24.33
9 9.15 -27.06 20.33 5.72
10 56.30 44.46 77.93 53.25
11 51.74 21.47 12.79 44.33
12 51.41 19.79 14.35 46.00
13 33.98 -2.75 95.47 24.49
14 43.20 2.04 58.81 38.83
15 25.22 -16.86 4.07 19.80
16 28.18 12.33 7.43 21.17
17 28.72 -17.54 19.94 22.00
18 27.74 -11.43 20.19 23.00
19 40.47 36.39 70.21 39.83
20 67.30 49.12 49.64 64.21
21 29.20 2.88 24.99
22 27.45 1.47 23.32
23 25.71 0.06 21.65
24 23.96 -1.35 19.98
25 22.22 -2.75 18.31
26 20.47 -4.16 16.64
27 18.72 -5.57 14.97
28 16.98 -6.98 13.30
29 15.23 -8.39 11.63
30 13.49 -9.80 9.97
31 11.74 -11.21 8.30
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