# Succes Run Theorem

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Rc = reliability at some time “x” C = percent confidence ( 90% => C = 0.9 ) n = sample size Note : FPH = -100 ln (R)

Sample size calculation when reliability is given
Confidence Level "Cx100" Reliability "Rc" Sample Size -1+ln(1-C/100)/ln(Rc/100) 96 95 62

Reliability estimate when sample size is given
Confidence Level "Cx100" Reliability "Rc" Sample Size n (given) 89 0.72955 6

% % % % .

5   (2 1 C .Sample Size with Binomial (some failures expected) Sample size calculation (Binomial) www.com Confidence Level "Cx100" Reliability "Rx100" Number of Failures r Defects Per Hundred (DPH) (FPH = -100 ln (R)) Sample Size n n 0.world-class-quality. 2 ( r  1)) n .5   (2 1 C . 2( r 1)) 1 R Reliability estimate when sample size is given Confidence Level "Cx100" Sample Size n Number of Failures r Reliability (x100) Defects Per Hundred (DPH) (FPH = -100 ln (R)) R 1 0 .

9 25 % % .90 99 1 1 389 % % 80 25 3 77.

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5 1.Sample size calculation (Weibayes) Rc = reliability at some time “x” C = percent confidence ( 90% => C = 0.9 ) n = sample size Note : FPH = -100 ln (R) Shape Parameter b Confidence Level "Cx100" Reliability "Rc" Reliability to be demonstrated at time t Test Length (T) Bogie Ratio k (T/t) Sample Size n 2 90 90 1 1.5 10 % % hrs/km/cycles hrs/km/cycles (same units) .