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CHL001-1016 NS Polling CH Results Provided on October 4

CHL001-1016 NS Polling CH Results Provided on October 4

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Published by: The Chronicle Herald on Oct 04, 2013
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The Chronicle Herald

Nova  Scotia Election Polling
Interviewing:  September  27  -  October  3
TABLE 1:
 
  Gender: BY OBSERVATION
OVERALL %
REGION GENDER HH INCOME AGE EDUCATION
HRM Cape Breton Rest of mainland M F L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+ 18- 34 35- 54 55+ L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.
Male
Female
WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
48 48 47 48 100 0 46 53 53 49 48 46 52 54 45 45
52 52 53 52 0 100 54 47 47 51 52 54 48 46 55 55
777 329 115 333 371 406 266 121 255 194 282 301 97 175 78 410
777 319 120 338 375 402 268 122 253 147 288 342 101 178 77 404
TABLE 2:
 
 In which of the following age categories do you fall? Are you … :
OVERALL %
REGION GENDER HH INCOME AGE EDUCATION
HRM Cape Breton Rest of mainland M F L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+ 18- 34 35- 54 55+ L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.
18 to 24
25 to 34
35 to 44
45 to 54
55 to 64
65 years or over
WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
9 10 6 9 9 9 14 6 5 36 0 0 8 15 14 6
16 20 15 12 17 15 12 19 22 64 0 0 1 11 20 21
16 17 14 15 16 16 10 19 22 0 44 0 3 12 18 19
21 20 20 21 21 20 15 26 26 0 56 0 20 17 11 24
18 16 21 20 19 18 18 17 16 0 0 47 24 19 19 17
20 16 24 23 19 22 30 13 8 0 0 53 44 25 18 13
777 329 115 333 371 406 266 121 255 194 282 301 97 175 78 410
777 319 120 338 375 402 268 122 253 147 288 342 101 178 77 404
1
Corporate Research Associates Inc.,  2013
[CHL001-1016]
The Chronicle Herald
Nova  Scotia Election Polling
Interviewing:  September  27  -  October  3
TABLE 3:
 
  A provincial election will be held on October 8th. For which party do you intend to vote in the upcoming Nova Scotia provincial election?
OVERALL %
REGION GENDER HH INCOME AGE EDUCATION
HRM Cape Breton Rest of mainland M F L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+ 18- 34 35- 54 55+ L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.
Liberal
Progressive Conservative (PC)
/Conservative/Tory
New Democratic Party (NDP)
Green Party
Other
None/Do not plan to vote
Don't know/Undecided
Refused to state
WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
25 25 33 23 27 24 24 24 34 25 27 24 20 29 29 24
8 7 6 10 9 7 7 9 8 8 7 9 9 3 13 9
13 17 15 8 12 14 15 11 13 19 8 14 7 10 13 16
1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 0 0 1 2 1
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0
6 5 4 7 9 4 9 8 4 10 5 4 16 7 6 4
36 34 28 40 34 38 35 36 30 31 41 33 39 39 24 37
10 10 13 9 9 12 8 10 9 4 10 14 9 9 13 9
777 329 115 333 371 406 266 121 255 194 282 301 97 175 78 410
777 319 120 338 375 402 268 122 253 147 288 342 101 178 77 404
2
Corporate Research Associates Inc.,  2013
[CHL001-1016]
The Chronicle Herald
Nova  Scotia Election Polling
Interviewing:  September  27  -  October  3
TABLE 3: DECIDED
 
  A provincial election will be held on October 8th. For which party do you intend to vote in the upcoming Nova Scotia provincial election?
OVERALL %
REGION GENDER HH INCOME AGE EDUCATION
HRM Cape Breton Rest of mainland M F L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+ 18- 34 35- 54 55+ L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.
Liberal
Progressive Conservative (PC)
/Conservative/Tory
New Democratic Party (NDP)
Green Party
Other
WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
53 50 61 53 55 51 50 51 60 46 63 50 55 65 52 48
17 14 11 23 18 16 15 20 15 14 17 20 26 7 23 18
27 34 28 19 25 29 31 25 24 34 18 30 19 23 23 32
2 2 0 3 1 2 3 3 1 5 1 0 0 3 3 2
1 0 0 2 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0
372 165 62 145 182 190 128 56 145 106 121 144 36 78 44 205
371 160 63 148 186 185 128 55 144 79 125 167 38 80 43 201
3
Corporate Research Associates Inc.,  2013
[CHL001-1016]
The Chronicle Herald
Nova  Scotia Election Polling
Interviewing:  September  27  -  October  3
TABLE 5: LEANERS WITH DK/REFUSED
 
 [POSE Q.5 ONLY IF CODE ‘7’ OR CODE ‘8’ IN Q.3] Even though you may not have made up your mind, which party are you leaning towards?
OVERALL %
REGION GENDER HH INCOME AGE EDUCATION
HRM Cape Breton Rest of mainland M F L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+ 18- 34 35- 54 55+ L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.
Liberal
Progressive Conservative (PC)
/Conservative/Tory
New Democratic Party (NDP)
Green Party
Other
None/Do not plan to vote
Don't know/Undecided
Refused to state
WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
21 18 26 21 23 19 19 26 26 30 19 17 23 25 6 21
8 7 5 9 5 10 11 9 8 8 8 7 13 5 17 7
14 21 12 8 13 15 17 11 17 12 16 12 10 13 9 16
1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 4 0
1 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 1
3 3 3 2 3 2 3 3 2 0 4 3 0 5 0 2
35 30 35 40 36 35 34 29 31 38 35 33 41 36 28 35
18 19 19 18 19 18 15 21 16 10 17 24 11 16 36 17
357 146 48 164 157 200 115 55 100 68 146 144 46 85 29 189
360 143 51 166 159 201 118 58 99 52 148 160 48 87 30 188
4
Corporate Research Associates Inc.,  2013
[CHL001-1016]
The Chronicle Herald
Nova  Scotia Election Polling
Interviewing:  September  27  -  October  3
TABLE 5: LEANERS WITH DK REMOVED
 
 [POSE Q.5 ONLY IF CODE ‘7’ OR CODE ‘8’ IN Q.3] Even though you may not have made up your mind, which party are you leaning towards?
OVERALL %
REGION GENDER HH INCOME AGE EDUCATION
HRM Cape Breton Rest of mainland M F L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+ 18- 34 35- 54 55+ L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.
Liberal
Progressive Conservative (PC)
/Conservative/Tory
New Democratic Party (NDP)
Green Party
Other
WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
47 38 61 53 54 42 39 55 51 58 44 44 48 58 16 47
18 16 11 23 12 22 23 18 15 15 19 19 26 12 48 15
32 44 28 20 30 33 35 23 33 24 37 31 21 30 26 36
1 1 0 2 3 0 2 0 0 3 0 1 0 0 10 1
2 1 0 3 0 3 1 3 0 0 0 5 4 0 0 2
156 70 21 66 67 90 55 26 51 35 64 57 23 36 11 86
158 67 24 67 68 90 56 29 50 27 67 64 23 37 11 86
TABLE 3/5: DECIDED AND LEANING
OVERALL %
REGION GENDER HH INCOME AGE EDUCATION
HRM Cape Breton Rest of mainland M F L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+ 18- 34 35- 54 55+ L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.
Liberal
PC
NDP
Green
WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
52 46 61 54 55 49 47 53 58 50 57 49 53 63 45 48
17 15 11 23 17 18 18 20 15 14 18 20 26 9 28 17
29 37 28 20 27 31 33 25 26 32 24 31 20 26 23 33
2 2 0 2 2 2 3 2 1 4 1 0 0 2 4 1
523 234 83 206 247 276 181 81 196 141 184 198 57 114 54 289
523 226 87 210 253 270 182 82 194 105 190 228 60 116 54 284
5
Corporate Research Associates Inc.,  2013
[CHL001-1016]
The Chronicle Herald
Nova  Scotia Election Polling
Interviewing:  September  27  -  October  3
TABLE 3/5: DECIDED AND LEANING
OVERALL %
REGION GENDER HH INCOME AGE EDUCATION
HRM Cape Breton Rest of mainland M F L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+ 18- 34 35- 54 55+ L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.
Liberal
PC
NDP
Green
Other
None/Do not plan to vote
Don't know/Undecided
Refused to state
WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
35 33 44 34 37 33 32 35 44 36 37 32 31 41 31 34
12 11 8 14 11 12 12 13 12 10 12 13 16 6 19 12
19 27 20 12 18 21 22 16 20 23 16 20 12 17 16 23
1 1 0 2 1 1 2 1 1 3 1 0 0 1 3 1
1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1
7 7 6 9 10 5 10 9 5 10 8 6 16 9 6 5
16 13 14 20 15 17 15 13 12 13 18 16 19 17 11 16
8 8 8 9 8 9 7 9 6 3 9 12 5 8 14 8
777 329 115 333 371 406 266 121 255 194 282 301 97 175 78 410
777 319 120 338 375 402 268 122 253 147 288 342 101 178 77 404
6
Corporate Research Associates Inc.,  2013
[CHL001-1016]
The Chronicle Herald
Nova  Scotia Election Polling
Interviewing:  September  27  -  October  3
TABLE 6:
 
  [POSE Q.6 ONLY IF CODES 1-4 IS SELECTED IN Q.3 OR Q.5] And which party would be your second choice to vote for in the upcoming provincial election?
OVERALL %
REGION GENDER HH INCOME AGE EDUCATION
HRM Cape Breton Rest of mainland M F L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+ 18- 34 35- 54 55+ L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.
Liberal
Progressive Conservative (PC)
/Conservative/Tory
New Democratic Party (NDP)
Green Party
Other
None/Do not plan to vote
Don't know/Undecided
Refused to state
WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
26 29 22 25 24 29 27 23 26 27 26 26 19 20 32 29
24 24 24 24 27 21 21 27 26 17 28 25 24 22 15 26
22 17 25 25 24 20 25 19 22 27 19 20 25 27 23 18
5 6 3 4 5 4 6 9 2 8 3 4 2 6 8 4
1 2 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 0 1 2 0 1 2 1
9 8 11 8 7 9 8 4 10 8 11 7 9 10 5 9
13 13 13 13 9 16 12 15 12 13 11 14 20 12 16 11
1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 0 2 1 2 0 1
523 234 83 206 247 276 181 81 196 141 184 198 57 114 54 289
523 226 87 210 253 270 182 82 194 105 190 228 60 116 54 284
7
Corporate Research Associates Inc.,  2013
[CHL001-1016]
The Chronicle Herald
Nova  Scotia Election Polling
Interviewing:  September  27  -  October  3
TABLE 7:
 
 Which one of the provincial party leaders do you personally prefer as the next premier of Nova Scotia? Would it be …:
OVERALL %
REGION GENDER HH INCOME AGE EDUCATION
HRM Cape Breton Rest of mainland M F L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+ 18- 34 35- 54 55+ L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.
Stephen McNeil of the Liberal Party
Darrell Dexter of the New
Democratic Party
Jamie Baillie of the Progressive
Conservative Party
John Percy of the Green Party
Other
None of the above
Don’t know/No answer
WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
36 32 40 37 36 35 34 35 43 38 37 32 29 44 38 33
20 23 24 17 21 20 24 20 19 21 16 24 15 19 19 22
14 15 11 13 14 14 13 16 15 12 14 14 11 9 16 16
3 3 2 3 3 3 5 2 1 6 2 1 5 6 4 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 0 2 4 1 0 0
8 8 6 8 10 6 7 10 6 7 9 8 14 9 6 6
19 19 14 20 16 21 16 15 15 16 21 18 22 12 17 21
777 329 115 333 371 406 266 121 255 194 282 301 97 175 78 410
777 319 120 338 375 402 268 122 253 147 288 342 101 178 77 404
8
Corporate Research Associates Inc.,  2013
[CHL001-1016]
The Chronicle Herald
Nova  Scotia Election Polling
Interviewing:  September  27  -  October  3
TABLE 9:
 
  Will you definitely, probably, probably not, or definitely not be voting in the upcoming provincial election on October 8th?
OVERALL %
REGION GENDER HH INCOME AGE EDUCATION
HRM Cape Breton Rest of mainland M F L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+ 18- 34 35- 54 55+ L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.
Definitely
Probably
Probably not
Definitely not
Refused
WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
67 69 71 65 65 70 63 71 73 56 64 78 55 55 76 74
13 13 10 15 15 12 14 11 11 19 15 9 14 23 7 11
3 3 5 3 3 4 4 4 3 6 4 1 6 3 6 3
15 15 14 15 17 14 18 13 14 18 16 12 24 18 12 12
1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0
777 329 115 333 371 406 266 121 255 194 282 301 97 175 78 410
777 319 120 338 375 402 268 122 253 147 288 342 101 178 77 404
TABLE 15:
 
  What is the highest level of education you have completed?
OVERALL %
REGION GENDER HH INCOME AGE EDUCATION
HRM Cape Breton Rest of mainland M F L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+ 18- 34 35- 54 55+ L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.
Elementary school (Grades 1-8)
Some high school
Graduated high school/vocational
Some community/technical college
Graduate community/technical
college
Some university
Graduated university
Other
Refused
WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
2 2 0 3 3 2 2 2 0 1 2 4 17 0 0 0
10 5 13 15 11 10 18 8 1 4 6 18 83 0 0 0
23 19 25 26 25 20 33 20 13 24 18 26 0 100 0 0
4 5 2 5 4 4 6 5 2 7 2 4 0 0 42 0
20 18 22 21 20 19 19 26 21 17 26 15 0 0 0 37
6 7 5 5 5 7 5 5 7 6 6 5 0 0 58 0
33 43 31 24 29 37 15 35 53 39 37 26 0 0 0 63
1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
1 1 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
777 329 115 333 371 406 266 121 255 194 282 301 97 175 78 410
777 319 120 338 375 402 268 122 253 147 288 342 101 178 77 404
9
Corporate Research Associates Inc.,  2013
[CHL001-1016]
The Chronicle Herald
Nova  Scotia Election Polling
Interviewing:  September  27  -  October  3
TABLE 15:
 
  What is the highest level of education you have completed?
OVERALL %
REGION GENDER HH INCOME AGE EDUCATION
HRM Cape Breton Rest of mainland M F L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+ 18- 34 35- 54 55+ L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.
Elementary school (Grades 1-8)
Some high school
Graduated high school/vocational
Some community/technical college
Graduate community/technical
college
Some university
Graduated university
Other
WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
2 2 0 3 3 2 2 2 0 1 2 4 17 0 0 0
10 5 13 15 11 10 18 8 1 4 7 18 83 0 0 0
23 19 25 26 26 20 34 20 13 24 18 26 0 100 0 0
4 5 2 5 5 4 6 5 2 7 2 4 0 0 42 0
20 18 22 21 21 19 19 26 21 17 27 15 0 0 0 37
6 7 5 5 5 7 5 5 7 6 6 6 0 0 58 0
33 43 32 24 29 37 15 35 53 39 38 26 0 0 0 63
1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
770 325 113 332 368 402 264 121 255 194 278 298 97 175 78 410
770 316 118 336 372 398 266 122 252 147 284 339 101 178 77 404
'Refused' responses removed
10
Corporate Research Associates Inc.,  2013
[CHL001-1016]
The Chronicle Herald
Nova  Scotia Election Polling
Interviewing:  September  27  -  October  3
TABLE 17:
 
 In which of the following broad categories is your total household income before taxes in 2012? Was it …:
OVERALL %
REGION GENDER HH INCOME AGE EDUCATION
HRM Cape Breton Rest of mainland M F L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+ 18- 34 35- 54 55+ L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.
Up to $25,000
At least $25,000, but less than
$50,000
At least $50,000, but less than
$75,000
At lease $75,000, but less than
$100,000
$100,000 or more
Refused
Don't know/No opinion
WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
14 8 22 17 14 13 40 0 0 18 7 18 30 22 14 7
20 17 24 22 18 22 60 0 0 18 17 25 25 29 23 16
16 16 13 17 17 14 0 100 0 15 19 12 12 13 15 18
14 16 16 11 15 13 0 0 43 14 18 10 2 7 17 19
19 27 13 12 22 16 0 0 57 22 25 11 3 11 13 27
13 13 10 15 11 15 0 0 0 4 12 20 17 11 12 13
4 3 3 6 2 6 0 0 0 8 1 4 11 6 6 1
777 329 115 333 371 406 266 121 255 194 282 301 97 175 78 410
777 319 120 338 375 402 268 122 253 147 288 342 101 178 77 404
11
Corporate Research Associates Inc.,  2013
[CHL001-1016]
The Chronicle Herald
Nova  Scotia Election Polling
Interviewing:  September  27  -  October  3
TABLE 17:
 
 In which of the following broad categories is your total household income before taxes in 2012? Was it …:
OVERALL %
REGION GENDER HH INCOME AGE EDUCATION
HRM Cape Breton Rest of mainland M F L.T. $50K $50- <$75K $75K+ 18- 34 35- 54 55+ L.T. H.S. Grad H.S. Some P.S. Grad P.S.
Up to $25,000
At least $25,000, but less than
$50,000
At least $50,000, but less than
$75,000
At lease $75,000, but less than
$100,000
$100,000 or more
WEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
UNWEIGHTED SAMPLE SIZE (#)
17 10 25 21 16 17 40 0 0 20 8 23 42 26 17 8
25 20 28 28 21 28 60 0 0 20 20 33 35 35 28 18
19 18 14 21 20 18 0 100 0 18 22 16 17 16 18 21
17 19 18 14 17 17 0 0 43 16 21 13 3 9 21 22
23 32 15 16 25 20 0 0 57 25 29 14 4 13 16 31
642 278 100 264 322 320 266 121 255 169 244 229 70 145 64 352
643 268 107 268 326 317 268 122 253 129 252 262 73 148 63 347
'Refused' and 'Don't know' responses removed
12
Corporate Research Associates Inc.,  2013
[CHL001-1016]

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