You are on page 1of 2

To: From: Date: Re:

Interested Parties Bob Wickers December 9, 2013 Iowa and South Carolina Polls 2016 Republican Caucus/Primary for President

TWG fielded two statewide surveys December 4-7, 2013. One survey was among 402 likely voters in Iowa and the other among 400 likely voters in South Carolina. Respondents were selected using random digit dialing from sample and were qualified by being registered and considered likely to vote in the 2016 Republican Caucus (IA)/Primary (SC) election for President. Live telephone interviews were conducted and both landline and mobile telephones were included in each of the studies sample. Margin of error: +/- 4.5% for both IA and SC.

GOVERNOR MIKE HUCKABEE IS THE MOST POPULAR POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE FOR PRESIDENT IN IOWA AND SOUTH CAROLINA. IOWA Total
(100%)

Base GOP*
(30%)

SOUTH CAROLINA Base Total GOP


(100%) (36%)

Favorable/Unfavorable Mike Huckabee 75%/12% Rand Paul 65/13 Rick Santorum 59/13 Marco Rubio 58/9 Ted Cruz 55/9 Chris Christie 49/25

88%/5% 72/10 75/8 72/7 64/0 36/41

72%/11% 60/15 53/16 58/8 55/7 46/28

83%/6% 77/3 69/8 75/8 69/1 39/38

GOVERNOR HUCKABEE LEADS THE POTENTIAL 2016 REPUBLICAN FIELD FOR PRESIDENT IN IOWA AND SOUTH CAROLINA. IOWA Total
(100%)

Base GOP
(30%)

SOUTH CAROLINA Base Total GOP


(100%) (36%)

Mike Huckabee Chris Christie Ted Cruz Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Rick Perry Not sure/Refused

21% 14 14 11 9 9 5 17

24% 3 24 11 7 12 4 15

24% 15 12 11 12 6 5 15

30% 6 16 8 13 8 9 11

*Base GOP = Republican and express a High Interest in election and are ideologically Very Conservative and Pro-Life

2016 GOP Presidential Poll Iowa and South Carolina IN THE RACE FOR PRESIDENT, REPUBLICANS IN IOWA AND SOUTH CAROLINA STRONGLY FAVOR A GOVERNOR WITH CHIEF EXECUTIVE EXPERIENCE OVER A U.S. SENATOR OR MEMBER OF CONGRESS. Thinking ahead to the 2016 race for President, if the Republican Primary election for President were held today between (READ LIST AND ROTATE) a Governor, a Congressman or a United States Senator for whom would you vote? Iowa Governor Congressman U.S. Senator Not sure/Refused 47% 3 9 40 South Carolina 54% 4 19 32

(ROTATE SOME/OTHER) When it comes to electing a Republican candidate for President SOME people say its important we elect a governor, someone outside of Washington with chief executive experience who has successfully led his or her state. OTHER people say its more important we elect a member of Congress or the United States Senate, a person with experience at the federal level who understands how to get things done in Washington, D.C. Knowing this and nothing else, which opinion comes closest to your own? Iowa Elect governor with chief executive experience 72% Elect member of Congress or U.S. Senate 9 Not sure/Refused 19 South Carolina

64% 12 25

Conclusion: Should Governor Mike Huckabee become a candidate for President in 2016 he is well-positioned to win two of the most important early contests: the Iowa Republican Caucus and the South Carolina Republican primary. In both states, Mike Huckabee currently enjoys the highest favorability of any of the potential GOP presidential candidates; and his personal popularity is reflected in the ballot test, where he holds significant leads over all other potential candidates. Furthermore, likely voters in these states overwhelmingly favor electing a governor with chief executive experience someone outside of Washington who successfully led his state over a member of the U.S. Senate or Congress. As a former Governor of Arkansas for over a decade, Mike Huckabee embodies the type of candidate Iowa and South Carolina Republican voters are looking for in 2016 2