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STATISTIKA INDUSTRI 2

TIN 4004

Pertemuan 10
Outline:
Multiple Linear Regression and Correlation Non Linear Regression ANOVA

Referensi:
Montgomery, D.C., Runger, G.C., Applied Statistic and Probability for Engineers, 5th Ed. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2011. Walpole, R.E., Myers, R.H., Myers, S.L., Ye, K., Probability & Statistics for Engineers & Scientists , 9th Ed. Prentice Hall, 2012.

Multiple Linear Regression Uji Hipotesa


Uji Nilai Individu Koefisien Regresi

Area Penolakan: Partial / Marginal Test

Multiple Linear Regression Uji Hipotesa


Contoh Soal:

Kesimpulan: ???

Multiple Linear Regression Uji Hipotesa


Uji Kesesuaian Model (Fitted Model Hypothesis Testing)
The ability of the entire function to predict the true response in the range of the variables considered

Reject 0 interpret at least one regressor variable contributes significantly to the model

Multiple Linear Regression Uji Hipotesa


Uji Kesesuaian Model (Fitted Model Hypothesis Testing)
Menggunakan uji F Area Penolakan: > ( =, =)
/ / = = /( )

Multiple Linear Regression Uji Hipotesa


Uji Kesesuaian Model (Fitted Model Hypothesis Testing)
Format ANOVA

Multiple Linear Regression Confident Interval


CI on Individual Regression Coefficients
Contoh:

Multiple Linear Regression Confident Interval


CI on Mean Response

Contoh:

Multiple Linear Regression Correlation


Coefficient of multiple determination 2

Adjoint 2

Multiple Linear Regression Multicollinearity


strong dependencies among regressor variables
The estimates of the regression coefficients are very imprecise and affects the stability of the regression coefficients. To detect:
Variance inflation factors > 1 Significant F-test of significance of regression, but tests on the individual regression coefficients are not significant

NONLINEAR REGRESSION

Nonlinear Regression
Beberapa Jenis Nonlinear Regression: Polynomial Regression Models
Bersifat curvilinear

Logistic Regression
For non normal distribution data, binary responses

ANOVA

ANOVA konsep dasar


Digunakan untuk menganalisa dan mengintrepertasikan pengamatan/observasi pada multiple populasi
Pengujian rata-rata beberapa populasi (3 atau lebih) Versatile statistical tool (alat statistik serbaguna)

Asumsi pada ANOVA


Tiap populasi berdistribusi normal Standar deviasi tiap populasi sama

Membagi total variasi set data berdasarkan sumber variasinya:


Antar populasi Dalam populasi

What does ANOVA do?


At its simplest (there are extensions) ANOVA tests the following hypotheses:
H0: The means of all the factors / treatments are equal. H1: Not all the means are equal
doesnt say how or which ones differ. Can follow up with multiple comparisons

Note: we usually refer to the sub-populations as treatments when doing ANOVA.

ANOVA jenis
One-way ANOVA
Equal sample size Unequal sample size

Two-way ANOVA
Without Interaction With Interaction

One-way ANOVA Equal Sample Size: data

= = = =

One-way ANOVA Equal Sample Size: format

One-way ANOVA Equal Sample Size: Uji Hipotesa


Contoh Soal

One-way ANOVA Equal Sample Size: Uji Hipotesa


Contoh Soal

KESIMPULAN??? Hardwood concentration berpengaruh pada rata-rata kekuatan kertas

One-way ANOVA Unequal Sample Size: format

Two-way ANOVA w/o interaction vs w/ interaction

(a) No interaction (b) Interact

Two-way ANOVA data

= = = = =

Two-way ANOVA format

Contoh:

Two-way ANOVA Uji Hipotesa

Contoh:

Two-way ANOVA Uji Hipotesa

KESIMPULAN???

Two-way ANOVA Uji Hipotesa

Two-Factor ANOVA data

= = =

Two-Factor ANOVA format

Two-Factor ANOVA format

Two-Factor ANOVA Uji Hipotesa

Two-Factor ANOVA Uji Hipotesa


Contoh

Contoh

Two-Factor ANOVA Uji Hipotesa

Contoh

Two-Factor ANOVA Uji Hipotesa

Contoh

Two-Factor ANOVA Uji Hipotesa

Contoh

Two-Factor ANOVA Uji Hipotesa

Pertemuan 11 & 12 - Persiapan


Materi
Nonparametric Statistic