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Decision Trees

Decision Trees

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Published by jamesyu

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Published by: jamesyu on Jul 16, 2007
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03/27/2011

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Terrorists Successful DPRK Sells Bombs 0.4 Terrorists Not Successful Four Bombs Survive 0.5 0.

8 Strike Yongbyon DPRK Does Not Sell Bombs 0.6 0.5

Bombs Do Not Survive 0.2

0.16

Bomb Detonating in US City

0.16

Terrorists Not Successful

0.48

DPRK Has Bombs But Does Not Sell

0.2

Bombs Destroyed

ID

Name Value 0 TreePlan 1 2 3 4 5 6

0

Prob 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Pred

Kind 0D 0D 0T 1D 1T 3T 3T

NS 2 2 0 2 0 0 0

S1 1 3 0 5 0 0 0

S2 2 4 0 6 0 0 0

S3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Row 12 8 17 4 12 2 7

Col 1 5 5 9 9 13 13

Mark TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE

DPRK Sells Bombs 0.6 DPRK Does Not Turn In All Bombs 0.3 DPRK Does Not Sell Bombs 0.4

Accept Counteroffer 1

DPRK Covertly Builds Bombs 0.2 DPRK Turns In All Bombs 0.7

DPRK Does Not Covertly Build Bombs 0.8

Terrorists Successful

0.09
0.5

Bomb Detonating in US City

Terrorists Not Successful

0.09
0.5

Terrorists Not Successful

0.12

DPRK Has Bombs But Does Not Sell

Terrorists Successful

0.04
DPRK Sells Bombs 0.6 Terrorists Not Successful 0.5

Bomb Detonating in US City

0.04
0.5

Terrorists Not Successful

DPRK Does Not Sell Bombs

0.06
0.4

DPRK Has Bombs But Does Not Sell

0.56

DPRK Has No Bombs

ID

Name 0 TreePlan 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Value 0

Prob 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Pred

Kind 0D 0D 0D 1D 1T 2D 2T 3T 3T 5D 5T 9T 9T

NS 2 2 2 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0

S1 1 3 5 7 0 9 0 0 0 11 0 0 0

S2 2 4 6 8 0 10 0 0 0 12 0 0 0

S3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Row 17 8 27 4 12 23 32 2 7 19 27 17 22

Col 1 5 5 9 9 9 9 13 13 13 13 17 17

Mark TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE

Terrorists Successful DPRK Sells Bombs 0.6 Terrorists Not Successful DPRK Does Not Turn In All Bombs 0.5 0.3 DPRK Does Not Sell Bombs 0.4 0.5

Accept Counteroffer

DPRK Covertly Builds Bombs 0.2

US Strikes Yongbyon

DPRK Turns In All Bombs 0.7

DPRK Does Not Covertly Build Bombs 0.8

Terrorists Successful

Terrorists Not Successful

Terrorists Successful DPRK Sells Bombs 0.4 Terrorists Not Successful Four Bombs Survive 0.5 0.8 US Strikes Yongbyon DPRK Does Not Sell Bombs 0.6 0.5

Bombs Do Not Survive 0.2

0.09

Bomb Detonating in US City

0.06

Terrorists Not Successful

0.12

DPRK Has Bombs But Does Not Sell

0.02

Bomb Detonating in US City

0.02

Terrorists Not Successful

0.07

DPRK Has Bombs But Does Not Sell

0.03

DPRK Has No Bombs

0.56

DPRK Has No Bombs

ID

Name Value 0 TreePlan 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Prob 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Pred 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 5 9 9 10 10 12 12

Kind D D D D T D T T T D D T D T T T

NS 2 2 2 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 2 0 0 0

S1 1 3 5 7 0 9 0 0 0 10 12 0 14 0 0 0

S2 2 4 6 8 0 0 0 0 0 11 13 0 15 0 0 0

S3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Row 20 8 32 4 12 27 37 2 7 27 23 32 19 27 17 22

Col 1 5 5 9 9 9 9 13 13 13 17 17 21 21 25 25

Mark TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE

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