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Monmouth University Bridgegate Poll 011314

Monmouth University Bridgegate Poll 011314

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Published by USA TODAY
New Jersey is divided over last week’s revelations that Christie administration staff seemingly ordered the closure of George Washington Bridge toll lanes in Fort Lee. The latest Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press Poll finds that public opinion of Chris Christie has taken a slight hit from the scandal but is still largely positive.
New Jersey is divided over last week’s revelations that Christie administration staff seemingly ordered the closure of George Washington Bridge toll lanes in Fort Lee. The latest Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press Poll finds that public opinion of Chris Christie has taken a slight hit from the scandal but is still largely positive.

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Published by: USA TODAY on Jan 13, 2014
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Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-263-5858 (office) 732-979-6769 (cell) pdmurray@monmouth.edu  
Released: Monday, January 13, 2014
 

 

  Please attribute this information to:

Monmouth University/ Asbury Park Press Poll
 

For more information: Monmouth University Polling Institute West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling

         

NEW JERSEY RIVETED TO BRIDGEGATE
 

Christie job rating drops, but remains high
 

 

New Jersey is divided over last week’s revelations that Christie administration staff seemingly ordered the closure of George Washington Bridge toll lanes in Fort Lee. The latest Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press Poll finds that public opinion of Chris Christie has taken a slight hit from the scandal but is still largely positive.
 

The Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press Poll was conducted by telephone with 541 New Jersey adults from January 10 to 12, 2014. This sample has a margin of error of + 4.2 percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute and originally published by the Asbury Park Press and its sister publications (Courier-Post, Courier News, Daily Journal, Daily Record, and Home News Tribune.)

DATA TABLES

 
The questions referred to in this release are as follows:
(* Some columns may not add to 100% due to rounding.)

  1. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor? 
TOTAL Approve Disapprove (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little None

59% 32% 8%

58% 35% 7%

64% 21% 15%

38% 52% 11%

62% 30% 8%

89% 7% 4%

62% 28% 10%

57% 36% 7%

57% 38% 6%

63% 26% 12%

62% 27% 11%

 

 

Monmouth University Polling Institute 1/13/14

 

TREND: All adults Approve Disapprove (VOL) Don’t know Unwtd N

Jan. 2014

Dec. 2013

Sept. 2013

April 2013

Feb. 2013

Dec. 2012

Sept. 2012

July 2012

April 2012

Feb. 2012

Oct. 2011

Aug. 2011

May 2011

Feb. 2011

Sept. 2010

July 2010

April 2010

Feb. 2010

59% 65% 32% 25% 8% 10%
541 802

61% 24% 15%
783

63% 26% 11%
806

70% 17% 14%
803

67% 21% 12%
816

53% 35% 11%
805

52% 36% 12%
803

51% 35% 14%
804

52% 38% 10%
803

54% 38% 9%
817

48% 42% 9%
802

47% 49% 5%
807

47% 40% 12%
801

45% 38% 17%
801

44% 44% 12%
801

41% 44% 15%
804

33% 15% 52%
803

 
TREND: Registered voters Approve Disapprove (VOL) Don’t know Unwtd N

 
Jan. 2014

 
Dec. 2013

 
Sept. 2013

 
April 2013

 
Feb. 2013

 
Dec. 2012

 
Sept. 2012

 
July 2012

 
April 2012

 
Feb. 2012

 
Oct. 2011

 
Aug. 2011

 
May 2011

 
Feb. 2011

 
Sept. 2010

 
July 2010

 
April 2010

 
Feb. 2010

58% 65% 63% 35% 27% 24% 7% 8% 13%
470 698 674

65% 26% 10%
694

70% 16% 13%
697

69% 22% 9%
726

55% 53% 50% 55% 55% 50% 46% 49% 44% 45% 42% 31% 36% 35% 38% 37% 37% 41% 49% 41% 40% 43% 44% 15% 10% 12% 12% 9% 8% 8% 5% 9% 16% 12% 13% 53%
715 678 692 709 693 730 725 718 726 747 719 716

 
2.
 
Approve Disapprove (VOL) Don’t know

Do you approve or disapprove of the job the state legislature is doing?
TOTAL

 
AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little None

 
47% 35% 18%

REGISTERED VOTER Yes No

PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep

GENDER Male Female

47% 35% 18%
Jan. 2014 Dec. 2013

50% 32% 18%
Sept. 2013

54% 32% 14%
April 2013

42% 41% 17%
Feb. 2013 Dec. 2012

44% 31% 25%
Sept. 2012

47% 40% 13%
July 2012

47% 30% 22%
April 2012 Feb. 2012

49% 37% 14%
Oct. 2011

41% 38% 21%
Aug. 2011

54% 21% 25%

 

TREND: Registered Voters Approve Disapprove (VOL) Don’t know Unwtd N

 

47% 35% 18%
470 May 2011

44% 38% 19%
698

38% 36% 27%
674

41% 42% 17%
694

40% 35% 25%
697

43% 34% 22%
726

32% 43% 25%
715

34% 45% 21%
678

37% 41% 23%
692

34% 42% 24%
709

33% 45% 22%
693

35% 48% 17%
730 Feb. 2007

 
TREND: Registered Voters Continued Approve Disapprove (VOL) Don’t know Unwtd N Feb. 2011 July 2010 April 2010 Feb. 2010 July 2009 Feb. 2009 Sept. 2008 July 2008 April 2008 March 2008 Oct. 2007

32% 48% 20%
725

29% 45% 26%
718

25% 49% 26%
747

19% 57% 24%
719

24% 49% 27%
716

31% 48% 22%
792

23% 55% 22%
721

29% 50% 21%
709

27% 47% 26%
889

28% 55% 17%
720

25% 53% 22%
719

32% 43% 25%
688

34% 42% 23%
681

 

     

Monmouth University Polling Institute 1/13/14

 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
TOTAL Approve Disapprove (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little None

46% 47% 6%

44% 50% 6%

58% 36% 7%

76% 20% 4%

39% 52% 9%

13% 83% 4%

42% 53% 5%

51% 42% 7%

46% 47% 7%

44% 50% 6%

51% 43% 5%

 
TREND: Registered voters Approve Disapprove (VOL) Don’t know Unwtd N

 
Jan. 2014

 
Dec. 2013

 
Sept. 2013

 
April 2013

 
Feb. 2013

 
Dec. 2012

 
April 2012

 
Feb. 2012

 
Oct. 2011

 
Aug. 2011

 
May 2011

 
Sept. 2010

 
July 2010

 
April 2010

 
Feb. 2010

 
Oct. 2009

 
July 2009

44% 50% 6%
470

47% 47% 6%
698

50% 41% 8%
674

55% 42% 2%
694

60% 33% 7%
697

58% 35% 6%
726

54% 41% 5%
692

51% 42% 6%
709

47% 46% 7%
693

52% 39% 9%
730

60% 36% 4%
725

47% 44% 9%
726

51% 42% 6%
747

54% 41% 5%
719

53% 54% 59% 38% 33% 29% 9% 14% 12%
716 785 792

 
4. Is your general impression of Chris Christie favorable or unfavorable, or do you have no opinion of him?
TOTAL Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
 

REGISTERED VOTER Yes No

PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep

GENDER Male Female

AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little None

44% 28% 28%

46% 31% 23%

33% 13% 54%
TREND: Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Unwtd N

24% 45% 31%

44% 25% 31%
January 2014

80% 8% 12%
February 2013

44% 26% 30%
September 2012

44% 29% 27%

45% 37% 18%

46% 20% 33%

36% 13% 51%

 

44% 28% 28%
541

70% 19% 11%
803

52% 34% 15%
805

 
TREND: Registered voters only: Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Unwtd N

 
January 2014

 
February 2013

 
September 2012

46% 31% 23%
470

71% 18% 10%
697

54% 34% 13%
715

  5. Do you think Chris Christie is more concerned with governing the state of New Jersey or more concerned about his own political future? [CHOICES WERE ROTATED]
TOTAL Governing the state of NJ His own political future (VOL) Both equally (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little None

42% 47% 6% 5%
TREND:

41% 47% 7% 5%

44% 46% 5% 5%

24% 62% 8% 6%
January 2014

40% 51% 5% 4%

74% 19% 5% 2%

42% 48% 7% 4%

41% 47% 6% 6%
February 2012

37% 52% 7% 4%

46% 40% 8% 6%

50% 42% 2% 5%

 
Governing the state of NJ His own political future (VOL) Both equally (VOL) Don’t know Unwtd N

September December 2013 2012

42% 47% 6% 5%
541

44% 38% 12% 6%
783

61% 30% 5% 4%
816

39% 48% 6% 7%
803

  6. Do you think Chris Christie does or does not have the right temperament to be president?
TOTAL Does Does not (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little None

44% 49% 6%

44% 50% 7%

47% 48% 5%

27% 68% 6%

42% 52% 5%

79% 14% 8%

45% 51% 4%

44% 48% 9%

42% 52% 7%

47% 46% 7%

47% 48% 5%

 

 
 

Monmouth University Polling Institute 1/13/14

     
TREND: Does Does not (VOL) Don’t know Unwtd N

January 2014

September 2013

44% 49% 6%
541

56% 34% 10%
783

  7. Thinking about Chris Christie’s style and not his policies, does the way he speaks to or about people who disagree with him bother you personally or not bother you? [If “BOTHER”: Is that a lot or just a little?]
TOTAL Bother a lot Bother a little Not bother (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little None

18% 17% 63% 2%

20% 20% 59% 1%

6% 5% 84% 4%
TREND:

26% 27% 44% 2%

19% 10% 69% 1%
January 2014

4% 15% 81% 0%

15% 18% 65% 2%

20% 17% 62% 1%

27% 17% 56% 1%

10% 17% 70% 2%

3% 19% 74% 4%

 
Bother a lot Bother a little Not bother (VOL) Don’t know Unwtd N

September 2012

18% 17% 63% 2%
541

23% 11% 63% 3%
805

  8. In general, would you describe Chris Christie as a bully or not?
TOTAL A bully Not a bully (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female

 
AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little None

32% 65% 4%

35% 63% 3%

16% 75% 9%

46% 51% 3%

31% 64% 5%

12% 86% 3%

28% 68% 4%

35% 62% 3%

42% 56% 2%

24% 71% 6%

12% 83% 4%

 

9. Thinking nationally, does Chris Christie help or hurt New Jersey’s image around the country, or does he make no difference to the state’s image?
TOTAL Help Hurt No difference (VOL) Don’t know
 

REGISTERED VOTER Yes No

PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep

GENDER Male Female

AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little None

36% 21% 40% 3%

33% 24% 40% 2%

47% 10% 39% 5%
TREND:

22% 30% 46% 2%

36% 23% 38% 2%

57% 7% 32% 5%

39% 20% 40% 1%
July 2012

33% 22% 40% 4%

37% 29% 34% 1%

32% 17% 45% 7%

40% 7% 51% 3%

January 2014

Help Hurt No difference (VOL) Don’t know Unwtd N

36% 21% 40% 3%
541

41% 29% 25% 5%
803

  10. How much have you read or heard about issues surrounding George Washington Bridge toll lane closures in Fort Lee last September – a lot, a little, or nothing at all?
TOTAL A lot A little Nothing at all REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female

53% 30% 17%

58% 29% 13%

28% 34% 37%

53% 30% 17%

54% 33% 13%

54% 29% 18%

53% 28% 19%

53% 32% 15%

 

     

Monmouth University Polling Institute 1/13/14

 
[THE FOLLOWING QUESTIONS WERE ASKED ONLY OF PEOPLE WHO HAVE HEARD ABOUT THE LANE CLOSURES IN FORT LEE: n=474, moe=+/-4.5%]   11. Does what you have heard about this issue bother you personally or not bother you? [If “BOTHER”: Is that a lot or just a little?]
TOTAL Bother a lot Bother a little Not bother (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little

33% 18% 48% 1%

35% 17% 46% 1%

16% 21% 61% 2%

44% 15% 39% 2%

32% 15% 52% 1%

17% 28% 53% 2%

33% 17% 48% 1%

33% 18% 48% 1%

44% 16% 40% 1%

13% 21% 63% 3%

 

12. Overall, do you think these closures were done as political retaliation or as part of a traffic study?
TOTAL Political retaliation Traffic study (VOL) Both (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little

64% 13% 2% 21%

67% 13% 1% 19%

43% 20% 4% 34%

71% 14% 1% 14%

62% 14% 2% 22%

60% 12% 1% 27%

74% 10% 2% 14%

55% 16% 2% 26%

72% 9% 1% 18%

51% 22% 3% 25%

 

13. Do you think the governor learned that his staff was involved in ordering the lane closures only after the staff emails became public this week or did he know about their involvement before the news broke?
TOTAL After emails became public Before the news broke (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little

33% 52% 15%

33% 53% 15%

39% 47% 13%

18% 71% 11%

30% 54% 16%

68% 17% 15%

34% 56% 10%

32% 49% 19%

34% 55% 11%

32% 47% 21%

 

14. Christie fired two advisers who were involved. Do you think these were the only staff members involved in the decision to close the toll lanes or were others involved?
TOTAL Were the only ones involved Others were involved (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little

5% 80% 15%

5% 80% 15%

7% 81% 12%

5% 82% 12%

5% 84% 10%

5% 67% 28%

5% 82% 13%

5% 78% 17%

6% 79% 14%

3% 80% 17%

 

15. Do you think the governor himself was or was not personally involved in the decision to close the toll lanes?
TOTAL Was involved Was not involved (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little

34% 52% 14%

37% 50% 13%

19% 63% 18%

53% 33% 14%

30% 55% 15%

11% 78% 11%

33% 54% 13%

36% 50% 14%

37% 51% 12%

30% 54% 16%

 

16. Do you think this kind of action is politics as usual in the Christie administration or do you think that this was unusual?
TOTAL Politics as usual Unusual (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little

39% 55% 7%

42% 51% 7%

17% 81% 2%

50% 41% 9%

39% 55% 5%

20% 74% 6%

42% 54% 4%

36% 55% 10%

43% 52% 5%

32% 59% 10%

 

     

Monmouth University Polling Institute 1/13/14

 
[The following question was asked only of people who said this was politics as usual: n=198, moe=+/-7.0%]

17. Do you think this behavior is unique to the Christie administration or is it pretty common behavior in politics?
TOTAL Unique to Christie admin Pretty common behavior (VOL) Don’t know

23% 75% 3%

  18. Has Governor Christie taken appropriate steps to deal with this issue, or not?
TOTAL Has taken Has not taken (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female

 
AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little

62% 28% 10%

63% 29% 8%

60% 21% 20%

51% 40% 9%

61% 29% 10%

84% 8% 7%

62% 29% 8%

62% 27% 11%

62% 33% 6%

63% 20% 16%

 

19. Based on what you have read or heard so far, do you believe Chris Christie has been completely honest about what he knows about the incident, or not?
TOTAL Been completely honest Not been completely honest (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little

40% 51% 9%

39% 52% 9%

49% 46% 5%

23% 67% 10%

37% 55% 8%

76% 19% 5%

38% 52% 10%

42% 50% 8%

38% 55% 8%

44% 45% 11%

 

20. Do you believe or not believe Governor Christie when he says he wants a full investigation of this issue?
TOTAL Believe Not believe (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little

62% 34% 4%

61% 35% 3%

68% 26% 6%

43% 51% 6%

64% 33% 3%

90% 9% 1%

61% 36% 3%

63% 32% 5%

58% 39% 2%

69% 25% 6%

 

21. Has this incident affected how much you trust Chris Christie, or not? [If “YES”: Do you now trust him more or trust him less?]
TOTAL Yes, now trust more Yes, now trust less No, not affected trust (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little

1% 30% 67% 2%

1% 30% 67% 2%

1% 28% 66% 4%

1% 45% 52% 2%

2% 25% 71% 1%

0% 16% 84% 0%

2% 29% 68% 1%

1% 31% 66% 2%

1% 34% 64% 1%

2% 22% 72% 3%

 

22. Do you think this will hurt Governor Christie’s chances of running for president in 2016, or not?
TOTAL Will hurt Will not hurt (VOL) Had no plans to run (VOL) Don’t know REGISTERED VOTER Yes No PARTY ID Dem Ind Rep GENDER Male Female AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little

51% 43% 1% 5%

50% 43% 1% 6%

56% 41% 3% 0%

59% 36% 1% 4%

51% 41% 2% 5%

37% 56% 0% 7%

54% 39% 2% 6%

48% 47% 1% 5%

53% 41% 2% 5%

47% 47% 1% 5%

 

     

Monmouth University Polling Institute 1/13/14

 
[The following question was asked only of those who said they VOTED FOR CHRISTIE IN 2013: n=218, moe=+/-6.6%]

23.

Based on what you know now, would you still have voted for Christie, voted for someone else, or not voted at all?
REGISTERED VOTER Dem Still voted for Christie Voted for someone else Not voted at all (VOL) Don’t know PARTY ID Ind

 
Rep

8 8% 7% 3% 2%

75% 17% 3% 4%

87% 7% 5% 1%

97% 1% 0% 2%

        The Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press Poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute from January 10 to 12, 2014 with a statewide random sample of 541 adult residents, including 406 contacted via live interview on a landline telephone and 135 via live interview on a cell phone. Monmouth is responsible for all aspects of the survey questionnaire design, data weighting and analysis. For results based on the total sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points. Sampling error increases as the sample size decreases, so statements based on various population subgroups, such as separate figures reported by gender or party identification, are subject to more error than are statements based on the total sample. In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls.  
36% Dem 43% Ind 21% Rep POLL DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted) 49% Male 28% 18-34 51% Female 39% 35-54 33% 55+ Registered Voter Sample (weighted) 46% Male 23% 18-34 39% 35-54 54% Female 38% 55+ 64% White 12% Black 15% Hispanic 9% Asian/Other 68% White 11% Black 13% Hispanic 7% Asian/Other

 
38% Dem 40% Ind 22% Rep

 

 
TOTAL Unweighted N moe
 

 
MARGIN OF ERROR
REGISTERED VOTER Yes No 470 71 4.5% 11.6% PARTY ID Dem 207 6.8% Ind 228 6.5% Rep 92 10.2% Male 262 6.1%

 

 
GENDER Female 279 5.9% AWARE OF LANE CLOSURES Lot Little None 319 155 67 5.5% 7.9% 12.0%

541 4.2%

It is the Monmouth University Polling Institute’s policy to conduct surveys of all adult New Jersey residents, including voters and non-voters, on issues that affect the state. Specific voter surveys are conducted when appropriate during election cycles.  

 
###

  Source: Monmouth University Polling Institute for complete press release 

 

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