IMF - World Economic Outlook (WEO)

by Eduardo Petazze

IMF - Regional Economic Reports

Middle East and Central Asia region pdf, 20 pages
The Mideast: Achieving Fast and Fair Growth
Asia and Pacific pdf, 89 pages
Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe pdf, 63 pages
Western Hemisphere pdf, 83 pages
Subdued Growth in Latin America for 2014

Sub-Saharan Africa region pdf, 116 pages

World Economic Outlook Reports

April 2014
Links:
Chapter 1: Recent Developments and Prospects pdf, 48 pages
Chapter 2: Country and Regional Perspectives pdf, 31 pages
Also see: IMF Survey : Recovery Strengthening, but Requires Stronger Policy Effort
Chapter 3: Perspectives on Global Real Interest Rates pdf, 32 pages
Key Points pdf, 3 pages
Also see: Interest Rates to Increase But Modestly as Global Economy Normalizes
Chapter 4: On the Receiving End? External Conditions, Emerging Market Growth Before, During, and After the Global Financial
Crisis pdf, 40 pages
Key Points pdf, 4 pages
STATISTICAL APPENDIX
Assumptions - pdf, 53 pages
Tables A pdf, 28 pages
Tables B pdf, 43 pages
Also see: Global Economy Turning Corner of Great Recession, But Obstacles Ahead

Gross domestic product, constant prices (in billions of U.S. dollars)

IMF, WEO April 2014
Argentina
Australia
Austria
Belgium
Bolivia
Brazil
Canada
Chile
China
Colombia
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Hong Kong
Hungary
India
Indonesia
Ireland
Israel
Italy
Japan
Korea
Mexico
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Paraguay
Peru
Philippines
Poland
Portugal
Russia
Singapore
South Africa
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
Taiwan
Thailand
Turkey
United Kingdom
United States
Uruguay
World

GDP, Constant (2009) USD billions

2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
363.4
370.3
386.0
388.0
391.8
1,046.3
1,083.9
1,110.2
1,139.3
1,170.1
402.6
406.1
407.6
414.5
421.7
494.1
493.4
494.6
500.7
506.8
19.1
20.1
21.5
22.6
23.7
1,792.2
1,810.7
1,852.0
1,885.8
1,935.8
1,452.9
1,477.8
1,507.4
1,542.1
1,578.6
192.3
202.8
211.4
219.1
227.9
6,024.5
6,485.5
6,983.0
7,509.4
8,056.4
259.3
270.2
281.7
294.4
307.5
318.2
317.1
318.4
323.2
328.6
255.1
252.5
249.0
249.9
252.7
2,725.9
2,726.3
2,733.7
2,761.8
2,804.1
3,551.0
3,582.9
3,602.1
3,663.7
3,720.8
284.2
264.4
254.2
255.7
263.2
239.5
243.2
250.3
259.7
269.7
130.0
127.8
129.3
131.8
134.1
1,605.4
1,681.4
1,754.6
1,849.6
1,967.1
609.2
647.4
684.8
721.5
763.4
228.5
228.8
228.1
231.9
237.6
227.4
235.0
242.8
250.7
259.3
2,162.8
2,111.6
2,072.4
2,085.4
2,109.4
5,245.5
5,321.4
5,403.3
5,476.3
5,529.1
919.4
938.2
964.3
1,000.0
1,038.0
977.5
1,015.8
1,026.6
1,057.2
1,094.1
818.3
808.0
801.5
808.2
821.2
124.2
127.4
130.4
134.7
138.7
385.2
396.0
398.9
406.1
413.6
18.8
18.6
21.0
22.0
23.0
147.5
156.8
164.7
173.8
183.9
187.9
200.8
215.1
229.0
243.9
468.4
477.5
484.9
499.9
516.4
236.3
228.7
225.6
228.2
231.5
1,332.6
1,377.9
1,395.6
1,414.1
1,447.0
231.9
236.3
246.0
254.9
264.1
305.0
312.5
318.4
325.9
334.5
1,455.9
1,432.0
1,414.5
1,426.8
1,440.5
445.1
449.2
456.1
468.7
480.9
533.9
539.5
550.1
561.9
574.4
435.7
442.2
451.5
465.7
483.8
284.5
303.0
311.7
319.5
331.5
729.5
745.3
777.3
794.9
819.3
2,279.4
2,285.2
2,325.3
2,392.2
2,451.1
15,052.4 15,470.7 15,761.3 16,197.6 16,675.9
35.1
36.5
38.0
39.1
40.2
62,913.9 64,467.5 65,955.0 67,921.1 70,104.6

2011
8.87%
2.58%
2.83%
1.77%
5.17%
2.73%
2.53%
5.73%
9.30%
6.65%
1.07%
2.82%
2.03%
3.40%
-7.10%
4.79%
1.57%
6.64%
6.49%
2.17%
4.57%
0.45%
-0.45%
3.68%
3.96%
0.94%
1.87%
1.06%
4.34%
6.86%
3.64%
4.52%
-1.25%
4.30%
6.00%
3.60%
0.05%
2.93%
1.79%
4.19%
0.08%
8.77%
1.12%
1.85%
6.53%
2.99%

Real GDP growth rate

2012
2013
2014
1.90%
4.25%
0.50%
3.59%
2.43%
2.62%
0.87%
0.35%
1.69%
-0.14%
0.25%
1.22%
5.18%
6.80%
5.10%
1.03%
2.28%
1.82%
1.71%
2.01%
2.30%
5.45%
4.23%
3.63%
7.65%
7.67%
7.54%
4.21%
4.26%
4.49%
-0.36%
0.43%
1.48%
-1.01% -1.38%
0.35%
0.01%
0.27%
1.03%
0.90%
0.54%
1.71%
-6.98% -3.86%
0.60%
1.55%
2.94%
3.75%
-1.66%
1.11%
1.98%
4.74%
4.35%
5.42%
6.26%
5.78%
5.36%
0.16% -0.34%
1.70%
3.35%
3.33%
3.24%
-2.37% -1.85%
0.63%
1.45%
1.54%
1.35%
2.04%
2.77%
3.71%
3.91%
1.06%
2.99%
-1.25% -0.81%
0.83%
2.58%
2.36%
3.25%
2.79%
0.76%
1.79%
-1.24% 13.00%
4.80%
6.28%
5.02%
5.52%
6.81%
7.16%
6.47%
1.94%
1.55%
3.09%
-3.23% -1.35%
1.17%
3.40%
1.28%
1.33%
1.90%
4.07%
3.63%
2.47%
1.89%
2.34%
-1.64% -1.22%
0.87%
0.93%
1.53%
2.77%
1.05%
1.96%
2.14%
1.48%
2.11%
3.14%
6.49%
2.87%
2.50%
2.17%
4.29%
2.27%
0.25%
1.76%
2.88%
2.78%
1.88%
2.77%
3.94%
4.20%
2.79%
2.47%
2.31%
2.98%

2015
1.00%
2.70%
1.75%
1.21%
5.00%
2.65%
2.37%
4.05%
7.28%
4.47%
1.67%
1.11%
1.53%
1.56%
2.92%
3.84%
1.74%
6.35%
5.80%
2.47%
3.42%
1.15%
0.96%
3.80%
3.49%
1.62%
3.01%
1.85%
4.50%
5.81%
6.50%
3.30%
1.45%
2.32%
3.63%
2.66%
0.96%
2.60%
2.22%
3.89%
3.78%
3.06%
2.46%
2.95%
3.00%
3.21%

Gross domestic product based on purchasing-power-parity (PPP), constant prices (in billions of Intenational dollars)
IMF, WEO April 2014
Algeria
Argentina
Australia
Austria
Bangladesh
Belgium
Bolivia
Brazil
Cabo Verde
Cambodia
Cameroon
Canada
Chile
China
Colombia
Czech Republic
Denmark
Egypt
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Hong Kong
Hungary
India
Indonesia
Iran
Iraq
Ireland
Israel
Italy
Japan
Kazakhstan
Korea
Kuwait
Malaysia
Mexico
Netherlands
New Zealand
Nigeria
Norway
Pakistan
Paraguay
Peru
Philippines
Poland
Portugal
Romania
Russia
Saudi Arabia
Singapore
South Africa
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
Taiwan
Tanzania
Thailand
Turkey
Ukraine
United Arab Emirates
United Kingdom
United States
Uruguay
Venezuela
Vietnam
World

GDP, based on PPP, (2009) billion dollars

2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
252.5
260.8
267.9
279.5
291.1
687.1
700.1
729.9
733.5
740.9
883.8
915.6
937.8
962.4
988.4
335.0
337.9
339.1
344.8
350.8
271.7
288.4
305.0
323.3
344.3
396.2
395.7
396.7
401.5
406.4
49.4
52.0
55.5
58.4
61.3
2,200.1 2,222.8 2,273.5 2,315.0 2,376.4
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.1
2.2
32.4
34.8
37.2
39.9
42.9
45.7
47.8
50.0
52.4
55.0
1,380.0 1,403.6 1,431.8 1,464.7 1,499.3
285.8
301.3
314.1
325.5
338.7
10,842.3 11,672.1 12,567.4 13,514.8 14,499.2
455.5
474.7
495.0
517.2
540.3
273.5
270.7
268.4
273.4
278.9
198.7
198.0
198.8
201.8
205.1
497.7
508.7
519.4
531.1
552.8
186.6
184.7
182.2
182.8
184.8
2,131.1 2,131.4 2,137.2 2,159.2 2,192.2
2,989.7 3,016.5 3,032.7 3,084.6 3,132.7
278.7
259.2
249.2
250.7
258.0
342.8
348.1
358.3
371.7
386.0
187.0
183.9
186.0
189.7
193.0
4,351.4 4,557.5 4,755.8 5,013.5 5,332.0
1,079.1 1,146.6 1,212.9 1,277.9 1,352.1
955.9
902.1
887.1
900.4
921.6
209.8
231.4
241.1
255.3
272.5
177.5
177.8
177.2
180.2
184.7
240.4
248.5
256.8
265.1
274.1
1,770.0 1,728.1 1,696.1 1,706.7 1,726.3
4,279.6 4,341.5 4,408.4 4,467.9 4,511.0
208.2
218.6
231.6
244.8
259.8
1,491.0 1,521.5 1,563.7 1,621.7 1,683.3
135.3
143.7
144.9
148.6
153.0
446.0
471.1
493.2
518.9
544.8
1,646.1 1,710.5 1,728.7 1,780.3 1,842.4
671.0
662.6
657.2
662.7
673.4
122.0
125.2
128.1
132.3
136.3
397.0
423.2
449.7
481.8
515.6
253.7
260.7
262.7
267.4
272.4
498.9
520.6
539.5
556.2
576.8
39.0
38.5
43.5
45.6
47.6
289.3
307.5
323.0
340.8
360.6
374.1
399.6
428.2
455.9
485.6
740.9
755.2
766.9
790.6
816.7
240.6
232.8
229.7
232.4
235.7
256.7
258.5
267.5
273.5
280.3
2,289.9 2,367.8 2,398.2 2,430.0 2,486.5
800.5
847.1
879.2
915.2
953.7
308.5
314.3
327.1
339.0
351.3
536.1
549.3
559.7
572.8
588.0
1,343.6 1,321.5 1,305.4 1,316.7 1,329.3
363.3
366.7
372.3
382.6
392.6
338.3
341.9
348.6
356.1
364.0
841.6
854.1
872.0
899.4
934.5
65.1
69.6
74.5
79.8
85.4
577.0
614.4
632.1
647.9
672.3
1,033.9 1,056.3 1,101.7 1,126.6 1,161.1
315.4
315.8
316.0
316.0
316.0
233.4
243.6
255.2
266.3
277.5
2,198.9 2,204.4 2,243.1 2,307.7 2,364.5
15,052.4 15,470.8 15,761.3 16,197.6 16,676.0
49.1
51.1
53.2
54.7
56.3
358.8
378.9
382.7
380.8
377.0
304.2
320.2
337.6
356.5
376.8
77,025.1 79,394.1 81,717.8 84,590.9 87,811.8

Real GDP growth rate (PPP weighting)

2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2.83%
3.30%
2.70% 4.34% 4.14%
8.87%
1.90%
4.25% 0.50% 1.00%
2.58%
3.59%
2.43% 2.62% 2.70%
2.83%
0.87%
0.35% 1.69% 1.75%
6.46%
6.13%
5.76% 6.01% 6.50%
1.77%
-0.14%
0.25% 1.22% 1.21%
5.17%
5.18%
6.80% 5.10% 5.00%
2.73%
1.03%
2.28% 1.82% 2.65%
3.97%
1.00%
0.49% 3.01% 3.49%
7.08%
7.29%
7.02% 7.24% 7.32%
4.10%
4.58%
4.65% 4.77% 5.06%
2.53%
1.71%
2.01% 2.30% 2.37%
5.73%
5.45%
4.23% 3.63% 4.05%
9.30%
7.65%
7.67% 7.54% 7.28%
6.65%
4.21%
4.26% 4.49% 4.47%
1.82%
-1.02% -0.87% 1.89% 2.02%
1.07%
-0.36%
0.43% 1.48% 1.67%
1.78%
2.21%
2.10% 2.26% 4.09%
2.82%
-1.01% -1.38% 0.35% 1.11%
2.03%
0.01%
0.27% 1.03% 1.53%
3.40%
0.90%
0.54% 1.71% 1.56%
-7.10%
-6.98% -3.86% 0.60% 2.92%
4.79%
1.55%
2.94% 3.75% 3.84%
1.57%
-1.66%
1.11% 1.98% 1.74%
6.64%
4.74%
4.35% 5.42% 6.35%
6.49%
6.26%
5.78% 5.36% 5.80%
2.66%
-5.63% -1.67% 1.50% 2.35%
10.21% 10.29%
4.21% 5.88% 6.73%
2.17%
0.16% -0.34% 1.70% 2.47%
4.57%
3.35%
3.33% 3.24% 3.42%
0.45%
-2.37% -1.85% 0.63% 1.15%
-0.45%
1.45%
1.54% 1.35% 0.96%
7.50%
5.00%
5.95% 5.67% 6.15%
3.68%
2.04%
2.77% 3.71% 3.80%
6.30%
6.20%
0.82% 2.56% 2.96%
5.13%
5.64%
4.69% 5.20% 5.00%
3.96%
3.91%
1.06% 2.99% 3.49%
0.94%
-1.25% -0.81% 0.83% 1.62%
1.87%
2.58%
2.36% 3.25% 3.01%
7.36%
6.58%
6.26% 7.13% 7.02%
1.06%
2.79%
0.76% 1.79% 1.85%
3.66%
4.36%
3.62% 3.10% 3.70%
4.34%
-1.24% 13.00% 4.80% 4.50%
6.86%
6.28%
5.02% 5.52% 5.81%
3.64%
6.81%
7.16% 6.47% 6.50%
4.52%
1.94%
1.55% 3.09% 3.30%
-1.25%
-3.23% -1.35% 1.17% 1.45%
2.16%
0.69%
3.48% 2.24% 2.49%
4.30%
3.40%
1.28% 1.33% 2.32%
8.57%
5.81%
3.80% 4.09% 4.21%
6.00%
1.90%
4.07% 3.63% 3.63%
3.60%
2.47%
1.89% 2.34% 2.66%
0.05%
-1.64% -1.22% 0.87% 0.96%
2.93%
0.93%
1.53% 2.77% 2.60%
1.79%
1.05%
1.96% 2.14% 2.22%
4.19%
1.48%
2.11% 3.14% 3.89%
6.45%
6.93%
6.96% 7.20% 7.00%
0.08%
6.49%
2.87% 2.50% 3.78%
8.77%
2.17%
4.29% 2.27% 3.06%
5.19%
0.15%
0.05% 0.00% 0.00%
3.88%
4.37%
4.76% 4.36% 4.19%
1.12%
0.25%
1.76% 2.88% 2.46%
1.85%
2.78%
1.88% 2.77% 2.95%
6.53%
3.94%
4.20% 2.79% 3.00%
4.18%
5.63%
1.00% -0.50% -1.00%
6.24%
5.25%
5.42% 5.60% 5.70%
3.81%
3.08%
2.93% 3.52% 3.81%

January 2014 Update

Links: Is the Tide Rising? - pdf, 3 pages
The following is a summary
Annual
Q4 over Q4
World Trade Volumes, Industrial Production and Mfg PMI
World Economic Outlook Projections
Difference
(Percent change unless noted otherwise)
Projections Oct13 WEO Est. Projections
3-mo moving avg,
Mfg PMI
Industrial World Trade
annualized
%
change
(+=50,
3mma)
Production
Volumes
Year over Year
2012 2013 2014 2015 2014 2015 2013 2014 2015
World Output
3.1
3.0
3.7
3.9
0.1
0.0
3.3
3.6
3.8
2011M11
-0.13
1.04
3.97
Advanced Economies
1.4
1.3
2.2
2.3
0.2 -0.2
2.0
2.1
2.3
2011M12
-0.21
0.73
1.69
United States
2.8
1.9
2.8
3.0
0.2 -0.4
2.5
2.8
3.0
2012M1
0.17
2.44
1.89
Euro Area
-0.7 -0.4
1.0
1.4
0.1
0.1
0.5
1.2
1.5
2012M2
0.66
5.82
3.52
Germany
0.9
0.5
1.6
1.4
0.2
0.1
1.6
1.3
1.4
2012M3
0.88
6.06
1.93
France
0.0
0.2
0.9
1.5
0.0
0.0
0.6
1.2
1.6
2012M4
0.74
4.52
-1.12
Italy
-2.5 -1.8
0.6
1.1 -0.1
0.1 -0.8
1.0
1.2
2012M5
0.32
1.24
0.26
Spain
-1.6 -1.2
0.6
0.8
0.4
0.3 -0.2
0.7
0.9
2012M6
-0.30
0.32
1.97
Japan
1.4
1.7
1.7
1.0
0.4 -0.2
3.1
0.9
0.6
2012M7
-1.08
1.03
5.37
United Kingdom
0.3
1.7
2.4
2.2
0.6
0.2
2.3
2.7
1.8
2012M8
-1.41
1.38
0.38
Canada
1.7
1.7
2.2
2.4
0.1 -0.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
2012M9
-1.41
1.14
-1.08
Other Advanced Economies
1.9
2.2
3.0
3.2 -0.1 -0.1
2.7
2.9
3.4
2012M10
-1.15
-0.15
-1.50
Emerging Market and Developing Economies
4.9
4.7
5.1
5.4
0.0
0.1
4.8
5.4
5.6
2012M11
-1.02
0.39
3.27
Central and Eastern Europe
1.4
2.5
2.8
3.1
0.1 -0.2
2.9
3.7
2.8
2012M12
-0.98
1.61
3.14
Commonwealth of Independent States
3.4
2.1
2.6
3.1 -0.8 -0.7
2.2
1.4
3.1
2013M1
-0.40
3.21
4.07
Russia
3.4
1.5
2.0
2.5 -1.0 -1.0
1.9
1.5
3.2
2013M2
0.27
3.55
1.51
Excluding Russia
3.3
3.5
4.0
4.3 -0.1 -0.1
...
...
...
2013M3
0.57
3.59
3.56
Developing Asia
6.4
6.5
6.7
6.8
0.2
0.2
6.4
6.8
7.0
2013M4
0.18
3.37
1.26
China
7.7
7.7
7.5
7.3
0.3
0.2
7.8
7.6
7.3
2013M5
-0.28
2.73
2.45
India
3.2
4.4
5.4
6.4
0.2
0.1
4.6
5.5
7.0
2013M6
-0.16
1.83
1.17
ASEAN-5
6.2
5.0
5.1
5.6 -0.3
0.0
4.0
5.6
5.6
2013M7
0.44
1.60
2.27
Latin America and the Caribbean
3.0
2.6
3.0
3.3 -0.1 -0.2
1.6
3.4
2.8
2013M8
1.35
2.81
2.23
Brazil
1.0
2.3
2.3
2.8 -0.2 -0.4
1.9
2.6
3.0
2013M9
2.12
4.53
4.90
Mexico
3.7
1.2
3.0
3.5
0.0
0.0
0.4
4.2
3.3
2013M10
2.75
4.63
6.12
Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan
4.1
2.4
3.3
4.8 -0.3
0.7
...
...
...
2013M11
3.17
4.13
#N/A
Sub-Saharan Africa
4.8
5.1
6.1
5.8
0.1
0.1
...
...
...
Global GDP Growth
South Africa
2.5
1.8
2.8
3.3 -0.1
0.0
1.9
3.2
3.3 %; Q/Q, annualized
Advanced
EMI
World
Memorandum
2011Q1
3.289
0.427
7.078
World Growth Based on Market Exchange Rates
2.5
2.4
3.1
3.4
0.1 -0.1
2.8
3.0
3.2
2011Q2
2.991
1.327
5.195
World Trade Volume (goods and services)
2.7
2.7
4.5
5.2 -0.5 -0.3
2011Q3
4.054
2.424
6.213
Imports (goods and services)
2011Q4
2.992
1.777
4.600
Advanced Economies
1.0
1.4
3.4
4.1 -0.7 -0.5
2012Q1
3.563
2.361
5.102
Emerging Market and Developing Economies
5.7
5.3
5.9
6.5
0.0 -0.2
2012Q2
1.873
0.025
4.238
2012Q3
2.945
0.956
5.489
Commodity Prices (U.S. dollars)
Oil
1.0 -0.9 -0.3 -5.2
2.8
0.8
2.7 -2.7 -5.3
2012Q4
2.218
-0.135
5.231
Nonfuel
-10.0 -1.5 -6.1 -2.4 -2.0 -0.3 -3.8 -4.6 -1.8
2013Q1
2.277
1.044
3.801
2013Q2
4.038
2.494
5.946
Consumer Prices
Advanced Economies
2.0
1.4
1.7
1.8 -0.1
0.0
1.3
1.9
1.7
2013Q3
3.599
2.437
5.033
Emerging Market and Developing Economies
6.0
6.1
5.6
5.3
0.0
0.1
5.7
5.1
4.8
2013Q4
3.172
2.139
4.449
London Interbank Offered Rate (percent)
2014Q1
3.682
2.146
5.525
On U.S. Dollar Deposits (6 month)
0.7
0.4
0.4
0.6 -0.2 -0.3
2014Q2
3.231
1.800
4.950
On Euro Deposits (3 month)
0.6
0.2
0.3
0.5 -0.2 -0.4
2014Q3
4.042
2.318
6.111
On Japanese Yen Deposits (6 month)
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.0 -0.2
2014Q4
3.621
2.343
5.155

Also see: IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) October 2013