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WBUR Poll: Governor's Race (3/20/14)

WBUR Poll: Governor's Race (3/20/14)

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Published by WBUR
A WBUR/MassINC poll.
A WBUR/MassINC poll.

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Published by: WBUR on Mar 19, 2014
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04/15/2014

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WBUR Massachusetts 2014 General Election Poll Topline Results Survey of 500 Likely Voters Field Dates: March 14-16, 2014 I'm going to read you the names of several people who are active in public affairs. After I read each one please tell me if you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable view of the person. If you have never heard of the person or if you are undecided, please just say so. READ FIRST NAME. How about READ NEXT NAME? REPEAT QUESTION TEXT ONLY IF NECESSARY, PROBE IF RESPONDENT SAYS “DON’T KNOW”. Have you heard of READ NAME and are undecided about (him/her)? Or PAUSE have you never heard of (him/her)? Heard of / Undecided 30% 18% 33% 16% 16% 21% 24% 14% 22% 14% 15% 15% Never heard of 26% 6% 39% 76% 74% 73% 67% 82% 9% 82% 80% 5%

Order rotated Charlie Baker Martha Coakley Steve Grossman Don Berwick Juliette Kayyem Joe Avellone Jeff McCormick Evan Falchuk Ed Markey Brian Herr Frank Addivinola Scott Brown

Favorable 31% 49% 23% 5% 7% 2% 6% 2% 44% 2% 2% 45%

Unfavorable 13% 26% 6% 2% 2% 4% 3% 2% 25% 3% 3% 35%

Refused 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%

In the election for Governor of Massachusetts later this year, would you be more likely to vote in a Democratic primary election, Republican primary election, or neither? Order rotated. Democrat Republican Neither Don’t Know / Refused The next question was asked only of those who said they are more likely to vote in the Democratic primary. N=237. If the candidates in the Democratic primary were READ LIST, for whom would you vote? Order rotated. Joe Avellone Don Berwick Martha Coakley Steve Grossman Juliette Kayyem Some other candidate (not read) Would not vote (not read) Don’t Know / Refused I am now going to read you four questions about the potential candidates in the November 2014 general election for Governor. If the election for Governor of Massachusetts were held today, and if the candidates were Democrat READ NAME, Republican Charlie Baker, independent Evan Falchuk and independent Jeff McCormick, for whom would you vote? Charlie Baker 26% 32% 36% 34% Democrat nominee 41% 24% 17% 19% Jeff McCormick 1% 3% 2% 3% Evan Falchuk 1% 2% 2% 2% Another Candidate 3% 3% 3% 3% Wouldn’t Vote 3% 5% 4% 4% Don’t Know / Refused 24% 31% 36% 35% 1% 4% 45% 14% 2% 2% 6% 26% 46% 25% 19% 9%

Order rotated Martha Coakley Steve Grossman Don Berwick Juliette Kayyem

Now I would like to ask you about the election for U.S. Senate. In the general election, what if the Democratic party’s candidate were Ed Markey? Would you vote for Ed Markey or for the Republican party’s candidate? Ed Markey Republican party’s candidate Don’t Know / Refused 50% 29% 21%

WBUR Poll Conducted by The MassINC Polling Group

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I have a few more short questions for you on other topics. Current plans are for up to three casinos to be located in Massachusetts, one in each of three separate regions of the state. Do you approve or disapprove of locating casinos in Massachusetts? Order rotated. Approve Disapprove Don’t Know / Refused Do you think the use of marijuana should be made legal, or not? Yes it should No it should not Don’t Know / Refused 48% 41% 10% 46% 43% 11%

As you may have heard, former Senator Scott Brown has announced he is planning to run for Senate in New Hampshire. Do you think this is a good idea, or a bad idea? Order rotated. Good idea Bad idea Both / neither / depends (not read) Don’t Know / Refused 40% 31% 13% 17%

Do you think of Scott Brown as more strongly associated with Massachusetts or New Hampshire? Order rotated. Massachusetts New Hampshire Both / neither / depends (not read) Don’t Know / Refused 67% 11% 9% 13%

WBUR Poll Conducted by The MassINC Polling Group

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Demographics Race White / Caucasian All others Don’t Know / Refused 85% 12% 3%

Age 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60+ 12% 26% 33% 29%

Gender Male Female 48% 52%

Party Registration Democrat Republican Independent / Unenrolled 36% 12% 52%

Education High School or less Some college, no degree College graduate (BA/BS) Advanced degree Don’t Know / Refused 18% 29% 31% 21% 2%

About the Poll These results are based on a survey of 500 likely voters in the November 2014 Massachusetts general election. The poll was conducted March 14-16, 2014. Live telephone interviews were conducted via both landline and cell phone using conventional registration based sampling procedures. The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 4.4 percent with a 95 percent level of confidence. The poll was sponsored by WBUR, a National Public Radio station in the Boston area. WBUR Poll Conducted by The MassINC Polling Group 4

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