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CO-Sen LCV for PPP (May 2014)

CO-Sen LCV for PPP (May 2014)

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Public Policy Polling

3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604


Phone: 888 621-6988
Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com
Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com


From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling
Subject: Gardner Negatives Spike, Udall moving closer to 50%
Date: May 12, 2014
A new PPP survey in Colorado finds that Cory Gardner’s negatives have spiked
following an early advertising campaign focusing on his record of voting to provide
subsidies to oil companies.
Key findings from the survey include:
-Gardner’s name recognition has increased from 48% on a PPP poll in mid-March to now
77%. But his negatives are rising a lot faster than his positives- only 35% of voters have a
favorable opinion of him now to 42% with a negative one. Previously voters were pretty
evenly divided on him at 23/25. For a majority of the voters who’ve gotten to know Cory
Gardner for the first time over the last month, the first impression has been a negative
one.
-Mark Udall leads Gardner 47/43 in a head to head match up for this fall’s election.
Previously Udall’s lead was only 42/40, but as the race has gotten more defined in the
last month he’s pushed up much closer to the critical 50% mark.
-By a 56/19 spread voters see Gardner as more likely than Udall to do the bidding of big
oil companies in Washington, and that perception is likely to hurt him even more
between now and the fall. 56% of voters say they’re less likely to vote for a candidate
who voted to provide billions of dollars in tax breaks to oil companies, compared to only
11% who consider that to be a positive.
LCV’s early ad campaign has weakened Gardner as voters have gotten to know him, and
put Udall in a stronger position now than he was when Gardner first made his entry into
the race.
PPP interviewed 526 Colorado voters on May 7
th
and 8th. The margin of error for the poll
is +/-4.3%. This survey was conducted on behalf of the League of Conservation Voters.
May 7-8, 2014
Survey of 526 Colorado voters
May 7-8, 2014
Survey of 526 Colorado voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Colorado Survey Results
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark
Udall’s job performance?
42%
Approve ..........................................................
45%
Disapprove......................................................
13%
Not sure..........................................................
Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Cory Gardner?
35%
Favorable........................................................
42%
Unfavorable ....................................................
23%
Not sure..........................................................
Q3 If the candidates for U.S. Senate this fall were
Democrat Mark Udall and Republican Cory
Gardner, who would you vote for?
47%
Mark Udall.......................................................
43%
Cory Gardner ..................................................
10%
Undecided.......................................................
Q4 If a candidate for office voted to provide billions
of dollars in tax breaks to oil companies, would
that make you more or less likely to vote for
them in an election, or would it not make a
difference?
11%
More likely.......................................................
56%
Less likely .......................................................
30%
Wouldn't make a difference.............................
3%
Not sure..........................................................
Q5 Which candidate for U.S. Senate do you think
would be more likely to do the bidding of big oil
companies: Mark Udall or Cory Gardner?
19%
Mark Udall.......................................................
56%
Cory Gardner ..................................................
25%
Not sure..........................................................
Q6 Which candidate for U.S. Senate do you trust
more to protect the environment: Mark Udall or
Cory Gardner?
46%
Mark Udall.......................................................
38%
Cory Gardner ..................................................
17%
Not sure..........................................................
Q7 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
53%
Woman ...........................................................
47%
Man.................................................................
Q8 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
36%
Democrat ........................................................
31%
Republican......................................................
33%
Independent / Other........................................
Q9 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.
If other, press 3.
14%
Hispanic..........................................................
74%
White ..............................................................
12%
Other...............................................................
Q10 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to
65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.
32%
18 to 45...........................................................
45%
46 to 65...........................................................
23%
Older than 65..................................................
Q11 Media Market
1%
Albuquerque ...................................................
13%
Colorado Springs ............................................
79%
Denver ............................................................
6%
Grand Junction ...............................................
May 7-8, 2014
survey of 526 Colorado voters
May 7-8, 2014
survey of 526 Colorado voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Udall Appr oval
Appr ove
Disappr ove
Not sur e

42% 44% 40%
45% 42% 49%
13% 14% 11%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Gar dner Favor abilit y
Favor able
Unf avor able
Not sur e

35% 27% 44%
42% 45% 39%
23% 27% 17%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Udall/Gar dner
Mar k Udall
Cor y Gar dner
Undecided

47% 51% 43%
43% 39% 48%
10% 10% 9%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Mor e/Less Likely t o
Suppor t Pr o-Tax
Br eaks f or Oil Co' s
Candidat e
Mor e likely
Less likely
Wouldn' t make a
dif f er ence
Not sur e

11% 10% 12%
56% 60% 51%
30% 28% 32%
3% 2% 4%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Mor e Likely t o Do
Big Oil' s Bidding
Mar k Udall
Cor y Gar dner
Not sur e

19% 17% 21%
56% 58% 53%
25% 25% 26%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Most Tr ust ed on
Envir o
Mar k Udall
Cor y Gar dner
Not sur e

46% 49% 42%
38% 32% 44%
17% 19% 14%
May 7-8, 2014
survey of 526 Colorado voters
May 7-8, 2014
survey of 526 Colorado voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican
Independent
/ Ot her
Udall Appr oval
Appr ove
Disappr ove
Not sur e

42% 67% 18% 37%
45% 18% 74% 49%
13% 15% 8% 14%
Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican
Independent
/ Ot her
Gar dner Favor abilit y
Favor able
Unf avor able
Not sur e

35% 10% 59% 41%
42% 69% 18% 35%
23% 21% 23% 24%
Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican
Independent
/ Ot her
Udall/Gar dner
Mar k Udall
Cor y Gar dner
Undecided

47% 76% 17% 43%
43% 11% 78% 45%
10% 13% 5% 11%
Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican
Independent
/ Ot her
Mor e/Less Likely to
Suppor t Pr o-Tax
Br eaks f or Oil Co' s
Candidat e
Mor e likely
Less likely
Wouldn' t make a
dif f er ence
Not sur e

11% 2% 27% 5%
56% 79% 32% 53%
30% 17% 39% 36%
3% 2% 2% 5%
Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican
Independent
/ Ot her
Mor e Likely t o Do
Big Oil' s Bidding
Mar k Udall
Cor y Gar dner
Not sur e

19% 9% 29% 20%
56% 75% 41% 48%
25% 16% 29% 32%
Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican
Independent
/ Ot her
Most Tr ust ed on
Envir o
Mar k Udall
Cor y Gar dner
Not sur e

46% 77% 17% 38%
38% 12% 70% 37%
17% 11% 13% 26%
May 7-8, 2014
survey of 526 Colorado voters
May 7-8, 2014
survey of 526 Colorado voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e Ot her
Udall Appr oval
Appr ove
Disappr ove
Not sur e

42% 41% 44% 33%
45% 54% 42% 54%
13% 5% 14% 13%
Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e Ot her
Gar dner Favor abilit y
Favor able
Unf avor able
Not sur e

35% 35% 35% 36%
42% 47% 43% 33%
23% 19% 22% 31%
Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e Ot her
Udall/Gar dner
Mar k Udall
Cor y Gar dner
Undecided

47% 52% 47% 43%
43% 41% 43% 45%
10% 8% 10% 12%
Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e Ot her
Mor e/Less Likely t o
Suppor t Pr o-Tax
Br eaks f or Oil Co' s
Candidat e
Mor e likely
Less likely
Wouldn' t make a
dif f er ence
Not sur e

11% 18% 10% 11%
56% 58% 57% 45%
30% 23% 30% 39%
3% 1% 3% 5%
Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e Ot her
Mor e Likely t o Do
Big Oil' s Bidding
Mar k Udall
Cor y Gar dner
Not sur e

19% 27% 16% 24%
56% 54% 57% 50%
25% 18% 27% 26%
Base
Race
Hispanic Whit e Ot her
Most Tr ust ed on
Envir o
Mar k Udall
Cor y Gar dner
Not sur e

46% 49% 46% 37%
38% 43% 35% 47%
17% 8% 18% 16%
May 7-8, 2014
survey of 526 Colorado voters
May 7-8, 2014
survey of 526 Colorado voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Base
Age
18 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Udall Appr oval
Appr ove
Disappr ove
Not sur e

42% 36% 47% 40%
45% 53% 40% 45%
13% 11% 12% 16%
Base
Age
18 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Gar dner Favor abilit y
Favor able
Unf avor able
Not sur e

35% 41% 31% 36%
42% 39% 48% 35%
23% 21% 21% 30%
Base
Age
18 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Udall/Gar dner
Mar k Udall
Cor y Gar dner
Undecided

47% 46% 50% 43%
43% 46% 39% 46%
10% 7% 11% 11%
Base
Age
18 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Mor e/Less Likely t o
Suppor t Pr o-Tax
Br eaks f or Oil Co' s
Candidat e
Mor e likely
Less likely
Wouldn' t make a
dif f er ence
Not sur e

11% 13% 10% 10%
56% 45% 63% 57%
30% 38% 26% 28%
3% 4% 1% 5%
Base
Age
18 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Mor e Likely t o Do
Big Oil' s Bidding
Mar k Udall
Cor y Gar dner
Not sur e

19% 24% 13% 23%
56% 51% 62% 51%
25% 26% 25% 26%
Base
Age
18 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Most Tr ust ed on
Envir o
Mar k Udall
Cor y Gar dner
Not sur e

46% 40% 50% 44%
38% 43% 34% 37%
17% 17% 16% 18%
May 7-8, 2014
survey of 526 Colorado voters
May 7-8, 2014
survey of 526 Colorado voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Base
Media Mar ket
Albuquer que
Color ado
Spr ings Denver
Gr and
Junct ion
Udall Appr oval
Appr ove
Disappr ove
Not sur e

42% 42% 33% 45% 24%
45% 34% 52% 43% 61%
13% 25% 15% 12% 15%
Base
Media Mar ket
Albuquer que
Color ado
Spr ings Denver
Gr and
Junct ion
Gar dner Favor abilit y
Favor able
Unf avor able
Not sur e

35% 26% 33% 37% 20%
42% 31% 29% 46% 26%
23% 43% 38% 17% 54%
Base
Media Mar ket
Albuquer que
Color ado
Spr ings Denver
Gr and
Junct ion
Udall/Gar dner
Mar k Udall
Cor y Gar dner
Undecided

47% 59% 41% 50% 26%
43% 34% 45% 41% 62%
10% 7% 13% 9% 12%
Base
Media Mar ket
Albuquer que
Color ado
Spr ings Denver
Gr and
Junct ion
Mor e/Less Likely t o
Suppor t Pr o-Tax
Br eaks f or Oil Co' s
Candidat e
Mor e likely
Less likely
Wouldn' t make a
dif f er ence
Not sur e

11% - 6% 11% 24%
56% 66% 68% 56% 33%
30% 34% 24% 31% 32%
3% - 3% 3% 12%
Base
Media Mar ket
Albuquer que
Color ado
Spr ings Denver
Gr and
Junct ion
Mor e Likely t o Do
Big Oil' s Bidding
Mar k Udall
Cor y Gar dner
Not sur e

19% 26% 24% 17% 27%
56% 66% 44% 59% 36%
25% 7% 32% 24% 37%
Base
Media Mar ket
Albuquer que
Color ado
Spr ings Denver
Gr and
Junct ion
Most Tr ust ed on
Envir o
Mar k Udall
Cor y Gar dner
Not sur e

46% 59% 35% 48% 28%
38% 34% 33% 38% 52%
17% 7% 32% 14% 21%

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