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PRIVATE CLIENT RESEARCH

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS
FEBRUARY 14, 2014

Stock Recommendations
Name of the Company

Mkt
Cap
(Rs mn)

Latest
Report
Date

Price as
on latest
Report
(Rs)

Latest
price
target*
(Rs)

79

78

Latest
Reco

Price
as on
14-Feb
(Rs)

Upside/
(Downside)
(%)

74

5.8

EPS (Rs)

PE (x)

RoE (%)

P/ABV (x)

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

23.7

22.1

3.1

3.3

11.8

10.4

0.8

0.8

Banking
Allahabad Bank
Andhra Bank

36,875

28-Jan-14

30,721

14-Feb-14

54

50

Axis Bank

455,780

17-Jan-14

1,176

1,370

Bank of Baroda

221,170

07-Feb-14

538

615

HDFC Bank

1,527,099

20-Jan-14

665

ICICI Bank

REDUCE
REDUCE

55

(8.9)

8.5

8.7

6.5

6.3

5.9

6.0

0.7

0.8

1,103

24.2

130.0

147.6

8.5

7.5

17.2

17.2

1.4

1.2

ACCUMULATE

536

14.7

106.0

110.0

5.1

4.9

13.8

13.0

0.9

0.8

730

BUY

642

13.7

35.8

44.8

17.9

14.3

21.7

23.0

3.7

3.1

BUY

BUY

1,139,614

30-Jan-14

1,002

1,311

Indian Bank

39,904

24-Jan-14

109

115

Indian Overseas Bank

35,387

31-Jan-14

43

Jammu & Kashmir Bank

65,087

12-Feb-14

1,352

Punjab National Bank

182,049

03-Feb-14

549

610

ACCUMULATE

537

13.7

94.6

116.5

5.7

4.6

State Bank of India

989,851

14-Nov-13

1,697

1,819

ACCUMULATE

1,475

23.3

174.2

211.3

8.5

7.0

56,426

03-Feb-13

108

117

ACCUMULATE

103

14.1

24.2

29.8

4.2

3.4

1,132,852

23-Jan-14

842

874

ACCUMULATE

771

13.4

35.4

40.5

21.8

144,204

04-Feb-14

91

135

BUY

95

41.6

13.5

14.3

94,501

20-Jan-14

209

276

BUY

199

38.7

25.8

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services 116,730

23-Jan-14

254

265

REDUCE

244

8.6

Shriram Transport Finance Co

30-Jan-14

616

700

ACCUMULATE

557

25.7

Union Bank of India

988

32.6

82.9

95.7

11.9

10.3

13.6

14.0

1.6

1.4

ACCUMULATE

93

23.9

28.7

30.0

3.2

3.1

11.0

10.7

0.5

0.5

44

REDUCE

44

(0.9)

3.7

5.9

12.0

7.5

3.3

5.0

0.7

0.7

1,400

REDUCE

1,342

4.3

237.1

266.1

5.7

5.0

22.0

21.2

1.2

1.0

10.2

11.5

0.8

0.7

11.6

12.8

1.4

1.3

9.4

10.8

0.6

0.5

19.0

20.7

21.2

4.5

4.0

7.1

6.7

14.1

13.5

1.0

0.9

29.8

7.7

6.7

18.6

18.4

1.4

1.2

16.4

19.3

14.9

12.6

19.4

19.7

2.9

2.5

59.6

63.0

9.3

8.8

18.3

16.9

1.6

1.4

NBFCs
HDFC Ltd
IDFC
LIC Housing Finance

124,746

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS

February 14, 2014

Stock Recommendations
Name of the Company

Mkt
Cap
(Rs mn)

Latest
Report
Date

Price as
on latest
Report
(Rs)

Latest
price
target*
(Rs)

Latest
Reco

Price
as on
14-Feb
(Rs)

Upside/
(Downside)
(%)

118
16

EPS (Rs)

PE (x)

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

18.1

18.5

17.3

15.4

0.1

RoE (%)

EV/EBIDTA (x)

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

6.4

6.8

24.2

18.5

4.4

4.0

156.0

0.9

829.3

11.9
8.3

Auto & Auto Ancillary


Apollo Tyres

59,296

13-Feb-14

118

139

Ashok Leyland

41,512

23-Jan-14

17

18

Bajaj Auto Ltd

532,380

20-Jan-14

1,933

2,239

BUY

1,840

21.7

115.8

139.9

15.9

13.1

38.0

36.9

10.6

Eicher Motors Ltd #

130,937

14-Feb-14

4,819

5,123

ACCUMULATE

4,850

5.6

145.9

260.7

33.2

18.6

20.7

29.8

16.1

9.5

13,441

29-Jan-14

123

136

ACCUMULATE

110

23.7

20.0

18.1

5.5

6.1

13.6

11.0

4.3

4.7

Hero MotoCorp Ltd

387,460

31-Jan-14

1,998

2,140

ACCUMULATE

1,937

10.5

105.0

142.7

18.5

13.6

42.6

51.3

9.8

8.5

Maruti Suzuki India Ltd

474,943

29-Jan-14

1,566

1,608

REDUCE

1,643

(2.2)

84.9

100.5

19.4

16.4

13.0

13.7

7.9

6.6

Tata Motors

1,234,051

11-Feb-14

364

423

389

8.8

47.7

53.3

8.2

7.3

33.0

27.7

4.6

3.8

TVS Motors

38,151

30-Jan-14

71

75

80

(6.6)

5.5

6.8

14.6

11.8

19.4

20.7

9.2

7.4

15.7

Escorts Ltd **

BUY
ACCUMULATE

BUY
ACCUMULATE

Capital Goods & Engineering


ABB Ltd *

122,590

07-Nov-13

645

478

SELL

579

(17.4)

11.5

18.4

50.3

31.4

9.1

13.3

22.4

AIA Engineering

53,181

04-Feb-14

530

520

REDUCE

566

(8.1)

31.9

40.4

17.7

14.0

20.9

22.4

11.1

8.6

Alstom T&D India Ltd *

42,721

04-Feb-14

185

163

SELL

179

(8.8)

4.7

6.3

38.0

28.4

12.6

15.5

15.6

14.2

Bajaj Electricals Ltd

22,630

13-Feb-14

234

197

SELL

229

(14.0)

3.8

14.6

60.3

15.7

5.0

18.0

17.0

7.9

Bharat Electronics

77,120

27-Jan-14

981

1,118

BUY

964

16.0

108.9

108.0

8.9

8.9

13.2

11.9

2.5

2.1

BHEL

363,380

06-Feb-14

161

150

SELL

149

1.0

15.2

14.4

9.8

10.3

11.4

10.2

5.7

5.3

Blue Star

12,680

28-Jan-14

147

175

BUY

141

24.1

7.0

11.9

20.2

11.9

12.5

19.5

10.5

7.0

Crompton Greaves

78,019

30-Jan-14

102

102

REDUCE

122

(16.1)

5.4

8.4

22.5

14.5

9.2

13.1

12.3

8.5

121,926

06-Feb-14

439

445

REDUCE

440

1.2

22.2

23.9

19.8

18.4

24.3

24.8

16.2

13.7

1,795

19-Nov-13

48

54

ACCUMULATE

48

12.0

20.6

21.8

2.3

2.2

12.0

11.6

5.0

4.8

Elgi Equipment Ltd

13,904

11-Feb-14

88

90

REDUCE

88

2.3

3.9

4.9

22.6

18.0

13.7

15.2

12.2

10.2

Engineers India Ltd

51,527

153

19.7

7.8

26.4

2.2

Greaves Cotton

13,965

07-Feb-14

62

75

57

31.1

5.6

5.9

10.2

9.7

17.4

16.3

6.4

5.1

Havells India Ltd

92,671

30-Jan-14

769

720

770

(6.5)

35.7

40.6

21.6

19.0

27.6

25.5

11.9

10.5

Kalpataru Power Transmission

11,052

31-Jan-14

75

85

ACCUMULATE

72

18.1

10.9

12.4

6.6

5.8

8.7

9.2

3.9

3.7

Larsen & Toubro

915,812

23-Jan-14

1,005

1,079

ACCUMULATE

993

8.7

51.7

64.0

19.2

15.5

13.4

14.9

14.0

11.7

Siemens India #

175,331

530

(9.4)

4.9

16.3

108.1

32.5

4.3

13.7

41.7

16.1

11

625

12.8

26.1

35.6

24.0

17.6

8.7

12.3

14.6

10.4

35

34.5

4.5

5.5

7.8

6.4

10.8

12.0

5.0

4.5

Cummins India
Diamond Power Infrastructure

NR
BUY
REDUCE

31-Jan-14

536

480

SELL

Suzlon Energy

16,391

01-Nov-13

10

NA

RATING SUSPENDED

Thermax

74,393

22-Jan-14

667

705

7,305

14-Feb-14

34

47

Time Technoplast Ltd


Kotak Securities - Private Client Research

ACCUMULATE
BUY

For Private Circulation

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS

February 14, 2014

Stock Recommendations
Name of the Company

Mkt
Cap
(Rs mn)

Va Tech Wabag Ltd

Latest
Report
Date

Price as
on latest
Report
(Rs)

Latest
price
target*
(Rs)

Latest
Reco

Price
as on
14-Feb
(Rs)

Upside/
(Downside)
(%)

EPS (Rs)
FY14E

PE (x)

FY15E

RoE (%)

EV/EBIDTA (x)

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

5.2

15,900

11-Feb-14

560

610

ACCUMULATE

600

1.7

43.3

51.1

13.9

11.7

15.1

15.7

6.7

3,818

01-Nov-13

364

400

ACCUMULATE

378

5.8

33.0

44.0

11.5

8.6

8.0

10.0

5.8

3.8

39,280

31-Jan-14

107

120

BUY

119

1.0

6.6

7.9

18.0

15.0

12.9

14.3

11.8

10.4

ACC #

189,079

07-Feb-14

1,019

1,150

ACCUMULATE

1,007

14.2

58.3

64.3

17.3

15.7

14.4

14.9

11.9

9.1

Grasim Industries

225,110

03-Feb-14

2,574

3,010

BUY

2,455

22.6

211.3

284.0

11.6

8.6

9.5

11.6

5.0

3.9

India Cements

15,058

12-Feb-14

52

48

49

(2.1)

0.8

3.6

61.3

13.6

0.6

2.7

4.7

3.6

Shree Cement

148,502

28-Jan-14

4,330

4,667

ACCUMULATE

4,262

9.5

179.8

224.6

23.7

19.0

15.1

16.3

10.3

8.3

UltraTech Cement

452,922

21-Jan-14

1,719

1,930

ACCUMULATE

1,653

16.8

71.3

91.9

23.2

18.0

12.2

14.0

12.2

0.6

IL&FS Transportation Network Ltd

20,787

13-Feb-14

108

151

BUY

107

41.1

20.1

23.7

5.3

4.5

10.3

11.2

9.4

8.8

IRB Infrastructure Developers

24,279

03-Feb-14

77

116

BUY

73

58.8

12.7

12.9

5.8

5.7

12.2

11.2

6.4

6.2

J Kumar Infraprojects

5,171

14-Feb-14

186

180

Jaiprakash Associates

85,847

12-Feb-14

40

54

Nagarjuna Construction

6,132

13-Feb-14

26

Punj Lloyd Ltd

9,160

07-Nov-13

28

Simplex Infrastructures

4,123

20-Nov-13

65

239,796

04-Feb-14

Hindustan Unilever

1,210,140

ITC Ltd

2,474,612

Marico Ltd
Pidilite Industries

Voltamp Ltd
Voltas Ltd
Cement

REDUCE

Construction

186

(3.2)

33.7

36.8

5.5

5.1

17.1

16.0

4.7

4.2

BUY

REDUCE

39

38.1

1.1

1.6

35.5

24.4

1.8

2.6

10.3

8.9

28

ACCUMULATE

24

17.2

1.1

2.0

21.7

12.0

1.2

2.0

6.9

6.5

27

REDUCE

28

(2.4)

3.0

3.6

9.2

7.7

3.5

4.0

6.7

6.5

63

REDUCE

83

(24.1)

10.9

12.5

7.6

6.6

4.1

4.6

5.6

5.4

723

726

REDUCE

741

(2.0)

21.3

25.9

34.8

28.6

19.0

20.2

21.5

17.7

28-Jan-14

580

550

REDUCE

560

(1.8)

16.6

18.3

33.8

30.6

110.0

85.2

24.7

21.2

20-Jan-14

325

345

ACCUMULATE

320

7.9

11.2

12.3

28.6

26.0

40.7

39.0

19.5

17.9

139,104

30-Oct-13

212

233

ACCUMULATE

216

7.9

7.8

8.5

27.7

25.4

21.2

18.7

19.3

17.0

138,760

30-Jan-14

285

323

ACCUMULATE

273

18.3

10.1

12.2

27.0

22.4

28.3

28.3

18.4

15.2

5,662

04-Feb-14

95

100

ACCUMULATE

90

10.7

8.8

14.5

10.3

6.2

19.4

26.4

1.8

1.5

HCL Technologies

1,057,129

17-Jan-14

1,390

1,422

REDUCE

1,497

(5.0)

84.9

95.0

17.6

15.8

22.6

19.3

11.6

10.3

Infosys Technologies

2,084,524

13-Jan-14

3,550

3,740

ACCUMULATE

3,644

2.6

188.4

211.6

19.3

17.2

25.8

24.5

14.8

12.7

38,707

17-Jan-14

347

339

348

(2.7)

24.6

30.1

14.2

11.6

19.2

20.0

7.5

6.3

FMCG
Godrej Consumer Products Ltd

Information Technology
Geometric Ltd

Infotech Enterpises

Kotak Securities - Private Client Research

REDUCE

For Private Circulation

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS

February 14, 2014

Stock Recommendations
Name of the Company

Mkt
Cap
(Rs mn)

Latest
Report
Date

Price as
on latest
Report
(Rs)

Latest
price
target*
(Rs)

Latest
Reco

Price
as on
14-Feb
(Rs)

Upside/
(Downside)
(%)

EPS (Rs)

PE (x)

RoE (%)

EV/EBIDTA (x)

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

KPIT Technologies

32,198

24-Jan-14

159

169

ACCUMULATE

168

0.4

13.7

15.0

12.3

11.2

21.8

19.7

7.1

5.9

Mphasis Ltd ***

79,965

09-Dec-13

396

413

REDUCE

383

7.8

41.3

9.3

16.8

5.1

3,945

20-Jan-14

28

33

24

37.8

0.9

4.8

26.6

5.0

2.4

11.8

6.0

4.1

23,888

15-Jan-14

389

410

ACCUMULATE

407

0.7

38.1

45.7

10.7

8.9

19.6

20.3

5.7

4.6

NIIT LTD
NIIT Technologies
Oracle Financial Services Software

258,394

BUY

25-Nov-13

3,099

3,428

ACCUMULATE

3,085

11.1

153.5

158.8

20.1

19.4

16.1

14.4

13.9

17.1

Tata Consultancy Services (TCS)

4,243,447

17-Jan-14

2,350

2,505

ACCUMULATE

2,168

15.5

96.7

113.4

22.4

19.1

51.4

46.2

16.5

14.1

Wipro Technologies

1,379,449

20-Jan-14

553

581

ACCUMULATE

564

3.1

31.3

36.5

18.0

15.4

25.2

24.3

12.1

10.0

Zensar Technologies

16,607

23-Jan-14

386

406

REDUCE

385

5.4

55.3

59.2

7.0

6.5

28.0

23.8

4.1

3.0

10.1

Logistics
Adani Port & Special Economic Zone

294,615

28-Jan-14

146

172

BUY

147

17.0

9.8

11.3

15.0

13.0

24.2

22.2

12.7

Allcargo Global Logistics

14,500

14-Jan-14

135

160

BUY

134

19.4

14.0

15.9

9.6

8.4

10.3

10.6

4.9

4.5

Blue Dart Express

14,500

07-Feb-14

3,300

2,520

SELL

3,148

(19.9)

61.1

63.0

51.5

50.0

40.7

33.7

6.2

4.8

139,737

04-Feb-14

728

790

ACCUMULATE

717

10.2

50.5

56.3

14.2

12.7

14.2

14.2

9.3

8.2

Gateway Distriparks Ltd

14,299

04-Feb-14

127

148

BUY

132

11.8

12.2

14.8

10.9

8.9

15.6

16.8

6.4

5.7

Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd (GPPL)

26,521

20-Dec-13

60

68

63

8.7

3.2

4.1

19.5

15.3

11.2

12.6

12.6

11.0

DB Corp

54,998

17-Jan-14

307

300

303

(1.0)

15.4

17.6

19.7

17.2

25.4

25.2

11.3

9.7

Dish TV India Ltd

48,731

24-Jan-14

50

55

ACCUMULATE

46

20.1

10.0

8.3

Entertainment Network (ENIL)

16,540

12-Feb-14

350

366

ACCUMULATE

347

5.6

17.7

18.3

19.6

18.9

15.4

13.9

10.1

8.8

HT Media

16,771

72

7.8

9.2

9.9

5.4

TV18 Broadcast

35,397

12-Feb-14

22

30

BUY

21

44.9

0.5

1.2

41.4

17.3

2.6

5.7

22.1

11.4

Jagran Prakashan

26,353

31-Jan-14

89

100

ACCUMULATE

88

14.2

6.3

7.4

13.9

11.8

20.3

21.8

7.1

5.9

Sun TV Network

129,705

10-Feb-14

361

403

ACCUMULATE

329

22.4

17.8

20.5

18.5

16.1

23.6

24.6

8.4

Zee Entertainment Ent

255,649

23-Jan-14

284

267

REDUCE

261

2.1

9.2

10.7

28.4

24.4

20.9

21.1

19.7

16.5

Hindalco

206,274

14-Feb-14

100

118

BUY

100

18.1

11.3

12.5

8.8

8.0

8.9

9.0

8.5

6.6

Hindustan Zinc

520,768

20-Jan-14

129

141

ACCUMULATE

123

14.4

16.0

16.6

7.7

7.4

18.1

16.3

3.7

3.0

SAIL

253,201

13-Nov-13

63

51

61

(16.8)

6.7

7.5

9.1

8.2

6.6

7.0

10.5

8.6

Tata Steel Ltd

375,813

12-Feb-14

390

426

371

14.9

36.8

65.1

10.1

5.7

10.5

16.9

5.0

5.0

Container Corporation of India

ACCUMULATE

Media
REDUCE

NR

Metals

Kotak Securities - Private Client Research

SELL
ACCUMULATE

For Private Circulation

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS

February 14, 2014

Stock Recommendations
Name of the Company

Mkt
Cap
(Rs mn)

Latest
Report
Date

Price as
on latest
Report
(Rs)

Latest
price
target*
(Rs)

307

321

Latest
Reco

Price
as on
14-Feb
(Rs)

Upside/
(Downside)
(%)

319

EPS (Rs)

PE (x)

RoE (%)

EV/EBIDTA (x)

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

0.6

14.1

19.9

22.6

16.0

23.4

24.0

9.8

7.8

Mid Cap
Kajaria Ceramics Ltd

24,125

21-Jan-14

ACCUMULATE

614,660

24-Jan-14

325

354

ACCUMULATE

322

9.9

63.6

61.4

5.1

5.2

20.2

15.8

1.5

1.2

145,574

29-Nov-13

300

330

ACCUMULATE

294

12.1

9.6

11.2

30.7

26.3

52.9

61.1

20.5

17.8

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd (GSPL)

31,079

07-Feb-14

61

65

ACCUMULATE

55

17.3

7.7

8.1

7.2

6.9

13.3

12.4

3.7

3.7

Indraprastha Gas (IGL)

35,819

11-Feb-14

264

290

ACCUMULATE

256

13.3

25.7

22.2

10.0

11.5

21.5

16.3

4.7

4.4

Mangalore Refinary & Petrochemicals (MRPL)

70,868

10-Feb-14

44

39

SELL

40

(3.6)

3.0

13.3

8.6

25.0

6.9

Oil India Ltd

274,733

13-Feb-14

461

580

BUY

457

26.9

55.7

59.3

8.2

7.7

15.6

15.0

3.5

3.0

Petronet LNG

86,813

03-Feb-13

110

121

ACCUMULATE

116

4.5

9.0

11.2

12.9

10.4

14.1

15.6

7.9

6.2

1,090,534

30-Jan-14

128

165

BUY

132

24.8

12.4

13.6

10.7

9.7

12.3

12.5

9.4

8.5

175,246

11-Feb-14

75

84

74

13.7

3.6

6.4

20.5

11.5

7.3

11.8

5.8

5.4

30,585

03-Feb-14

203

279

BUY

211

32.1

10.2

10.9

20.7

19.4

8.1

8.1

17.2

15.2

ABG Shipyard Ltd

13,318

22-Nov-13

270

250

SELL

262

(4.5)

2.9

2.2

90.2

118.9

0.8

0.6

10.1

10.2

GE Shipping Company

43,928

NR

289

38.1

7.6

8.2

3.5

Pipavav Defence & Offshore Engg

23,985

13-Dec-13

43

45

REDUCE

35

29.7

0.2

2.0

173.5

17.4

0.7

6.7

11.3

10.8

Shipping Corporation of India

15,077

23-Dec-13

40

46

ACCUMULATE

36

29.2

2.4

14.8

1.8

21.1

10.8

Oil & Gas


Cairn India Ltd
Castrol India Ltd

Power
NTPC
Tata Power Company Ltd

ACCUMULATE

Real Estate
Phoenix Mills Ltd
Shipping

Source: Kotak Securities - Private Client Research


All recommendations are with a 9-12 month perspective from the date of the report/update. Investors are requested to use their discretion while deciding the timing, quantity of investment
as well as the exit.
*
Figures for CY13 & CY14
**
Financials are for FY13 & FY14 - September year end
*** Financials are for FY13 & FY14 - October year end
#
Figures for FY14 & FY15 - September year ending
NR = Not Rated. The investment rating and target price, if any, have been suspended temporarily. Such suspension is in compliance with applicable regulation(s) and/or Kotak Securities policies
in circumstances when Kotak Securities or its affiliates is acting in an advisory capacity in a merger or strategic transaction involving this company and in certain other circumstances.
NM= Not Meaningful
Kotak Securities - Private Client Research

For Private Circulation

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS

February 14, 2014

Fundamental Research Team


Dipen Shah
IT
dipen.shah@kotak.com
+91 22 6621 6301

Saurabh Agrawal
Metals, Mining
agrawal.saurabh@kotak.com
+91 22 6621 6309

Ruchir Khare
Capital Goods, Engineering
ruchir.khare@kotak.com
+91 22 6621 6448

Amit Agarwal
Logistics, Transportation
agarwal.amit@kotak.com
+91 22 6621 6222

Sanjeev Zarbade
Capital Goods, Engineering
sanjeev.zarbade@kotak.com
+91 22 6621 6305

Saday Sinha
Banking, NBFC, Economy
saday.sinha@kotak.com
+91 22 6621 6312

Ritwik Rai
FMCG, Media
ritwik.rai@kotak.com
+91 22 6621 6310

Jayesh Kumar
Economy
kumar.jayesh@kotak.com
+91 22 6652 9172

Teena Virmani
Construction, Cement
teena.virmani@kotak.com
+91 22 6621 6302

Arun Agarwal
Auto & Auto Ancillary
arun.agarwal@kotak.com
+91 22 6621 6143

Sumit Pokharna
Oil and Gas
sumit.pokharna@kotak.com
+91 22 6621 6313

K. Kathirvelu
Production
k.kathirvelu@kotak.com
+91 22 6621 6311

Amol Athawale
amol.athawale@kotak.com
+91 20 6620 3350

Premshankar Ladha
premshankar.ladha@kotak.com
+91 22 6621 6261

Rahul Sharma
sharma.rahul@kotak.com
+91 22 6621 6198

Malay Gandhi
malay.gandhi@kotak.com
+91 22 6621 6350

Technical Research Team


Shrikant Chouhan
shrikant.chouhan@kotak.com
+91 22 6621 6360

Derivatives Research Team


Sahaj Agrawal
sahaj.agrawal@kotak.com
+91 79 6607 2231

Prashanth Lalu
prashanth.lalu@kotak.com
+91 22 6621 6110

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