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Future without skills and employment Bare branches threat to

Indian society
Social Dimensions
Based global research conducted by Valeric Hudson and Andrea Don Boer by 2022
China will have 41million surplus males between age 18-35 years and India 39
million i.e. in a decade from now India will have 39 million males (age 18-35 years)
who do not have potential female partner. Many of these males will be found in
cities, most will be unemployed. They will congregate socially and otherwise with
other unattached males. Crime statistics all over the world show that unattached
unemployed young males in cities are the most crime prime segment of the
population. When they hangout in small group they develop hard mentality, adopt
risky behavior and frequent aggression. Combine this with use of alcohol, drug, free
pornography on mobile and internet and you have combustible mix.
A huge population of unattached unemployed young men are menace to daily life
and ordinary people, they are political explosion, waiting to happen in the hands of
unscrupulous and ambitious politicians. The Chinese calls these surplus men bare
branches. Indias bare branches would be massive, volatile and violent given the
nature of our political, judicial and administrative context. Valeric Hudson and Don
Boer in their work on surplus men argue that only authoritarian rule (historically
speaking) has corbel army of bare branches. If Hudson and Don Boer are correct
Indias slow and steady drift in the next decade towards lawlessness, intimidation
coercion, and violence is imminent (.See table given below)

Conclusion: There is high direct co-relation between higher surplus male

(due to poor gender ratio) and crime against women. As India produces
more and more Bare Branches (unmarried and unemployed men) the
crime against women will go up substantially.

Source : Census of India 2011 and National Crime record bureau (MHA ) data 2008

India must Act Now

Top Three Actions:Action 1Generate EmploymentIt is time Indias policy makers, large corporate,
MSME ( Micro small and medium enterprise) should work together to create 300
million jobs for the youth in the next decade. In the February 2013 and October
2012 issues of curriculum magazine, a systemic, sustainable solution was
articulated by me (system reproduced from February 13 issue)


Action 2Institutional GovernanceWe as a nation need to create robust

governance mechanisms in key institutions like state level bureaucracy, judiciary,
police and local administration. These institutions must restore their faith in citizens
of India through speed, fairness and effectiveness.
Action 3 Social Reformers as Leaders We need few state and national level
leaders who are dedicated at grass root level towards critical social mindset
changes/ reforms towards female infanticide,untouchability, respect for women,
castism, environment ) .
Academicians, Intellectuals and media have spoken about these issues many more
times over the last two decades but with little impact on institutions, society and
With rapid changes in demographic profile of India, continuous poor governance
mechanism and key institutions complete apathy towards female infanticide,
empowerment of women, untouchability, caste and rural poor are classic triggers
for socially restless unemployed lawless India of tomorrow. We must act before it is
very late.
Women will work out their destiny much better than men can ever do for
them. All the mischief to women has come because men undertook to shape
the destiny of women. Swami Vivekanand