NBC News/Marist Poll: New Hampshire September 2015; Page 1
Screener
REGISTERED VOTERSSeptember 2015July 2015February 2015 Approve434143Disapprove535352Unsure565Total100100100 RESIDENTSSeptember 2015July 2015February 2015 Approve424143Disapprove525250Unsure677Total100100100 REGISTERED INDEPENDENTSSeptember 2015July 2015Republican primary3639Democratic primary3028Wait to vote in the general election in November3330Not planning to vote12Total100100
Do you consider your permanent home address to be in New Hampshire?September 2015: Registered voters: n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1121, MOE +/- 2.9%; July 2015: Registered voters: n=910, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1037, MOE +/- 3.0%; February 2015: Registered voters: n=887, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1013, MOE +/- 3.1%Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?NBC News/Marist Poll September 2015New Hampshire Questionnaire<Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older? HH SELECTION – LANDLINE FRAME ONLYGENDER GUESSSeptember 2015: Registered independents n=413, MOE +/- 4.8%; July 2015: Registered independents n=395, MOE +/- 4.9% Now, thinking about the 2016 presidential primary in New Hampshire are you more likely to vote in the New Hampshire:
NBC News/Marist Poll: New Hampshire September 2015; Page 2
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATESeptember 2015July 2015February 2015Donald Trump2821NAJohn Kasich127NABen Carson1167Jeb Bush81418Carly Fiorina62NARand Paul5414Ted Cruz556Chris Christie5613Scott Walker41215Marco Rubio356Mike Huckabee237Lindsey Graham1<11Bobby Jindal1<1NARick Santorum<1<11Rick Perry<1<11George Pataki<12NAJim Gilmore<1<1NAUndecided81313Total100100100 POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCESeptember 2015Ben Carson16Carly Fiorina12Jeb Bush10Marco Rubio9Ted Cruz9Donald Trump9Chris Christie6John Kasich6Rand Paul5Scott Walker4Mike Huckabee3Rick Perry2Rick Santorum1Bobby Jindal1Lindsey Graham<1Jim Gilmore<1George Pataki<1Undecided7Total100
September 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=413, MOE +/- 4.8%; July 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=401, MOE +/- 4.9% February 2015: Potential Republican Electorate: n=381, MOE +/- 5.0%If the 2016 Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate):September 2015: Potential Republican Electorate with a Candidate Preference: n=348, MOE +/- 5.3%Who is your second choice for the 2016 Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate):
NBC News/Marist Poll: New Hampshire September 2015; Page 3
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATESeptember 2015July 2015Bernie Sanders4934Hillary Clinton3847Jim Webb21Lincoln Chafee12Martin O'Malley15Undecided811Total100100 POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATESeptember 2015July 2015February 2015Bernie Sanders413213Hillary Clinton324269Joe Biden16128Jim Webb112Martin O'Malley13<1Lincoln Chafee<12NAUndecided8107Total100100100POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATESeptember 2015July 2015Favorable6971Unfavorable2723Unsure 47Total100100 REGISTERED VOTERSSeptember 2015July 2015Favorable3637Unfavorable6057Unsure 56Total100100 RESIDENTSSeptember 2015July 2015Favorable3637Unfavorable5856Unsure 67Total100100
September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=356, MOE +/- 5.2%; July 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=329, MOE +/- 5.4%; February 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=309, MOE +/- 5.6% September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=356, MOE +/- 5.2%; Registered voters: n=966, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1121, MOE +/- 2.9%; July 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=329, MOE +/- 5.4%; Registered voters: n=910, MOE +/- 3.2%; Residents: n=1037, MOE +/- 3.0% If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary in New Hampshire were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate):September 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=356, MOE +/- 5.2%; July 2015: Potential Democratic Electorate: n=329, MOE +/- 5.4% If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary in New Hampshire were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate and if Vice President Joe Biden enters the race):Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Hillary Clinton?