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Commercial
Partners, Inc.
Commercial Real Estate Services, Worldwide.
® tel +1 609 945 4000
fax +1 609 945 4001
www.naiglobal.com
4 Independence Way
Suite 400
Princeton NJ 08540
Jeffrey M. Finn
President &
Chief Executive Officer
January 2010
No matter where you look, 2009 was a very challenging year for commercial real estate. As the global recession took hold,
local and regional economies stagnated or declined and market fundamentals eroded. Investors remained on the sidelines,
cut off from the capital needed to finance acquisitions, while those with cash waited patiently for signs the market truly
had bottomed. As the recession wore on, most major corporate tenants adopted a wait-and-see position, deferring major
decisions. As expected, vacancy rates climbed and rental rates fell as a result.
As the year progressed, government-led stimulus programs in the Unites States, Europe and elsewhere began to take hold
and by year’s end we began seeing signs that the recession had finally ended. But not before US unemployment topped 10%.
While we don’t expect much new demand in 2010 as companies recover, we are starting to see corporate tenants act by
taking advantage of the tenants’ market to negotiate more favorable lease terms today in exchange for a longer commitment.
We’ve come to call this practice “extend and blend,” and it’s a trend we expect will continue well into 2010. We also expect
investment sales to increase in 2010 as banks and financial institutions clean up their balance sheets and move more
aggressively to dispose of commercial real estate loans and financially distressed real estate assets.
NAI Global is pleased to present its 2010 Global Market Report. Now in its 24th year, the Global Market Report provides
comprehensive market data and overviews on over 200 property markets around the world. This year’s edition is our most
comprehensive report ever, with coverage of all primary markets and most secondary and tertiary markets worldwide. Using
both narrative market reports and statistical charts, we provide you with market highlights, trends, demographic and business
profiles, rental rates, vacancy rates and land prices. The 2010 Global Market Report puts a wealth of market intelligence at
your fingertips in a succinct and consistent market profile format.
Dr. Peter Linneman, NAI Global’s Chief Economist and Principal of Linneman Associates, the leading real estate economics
consulting firm, worked with us again this year to prepare the Global Outlook. Linneman Associates has added its expert
economic analysis and insights to the detailed local market information from NAI professionals worldwide to deliver the
information you need on commercial real estate costs and market conditions around the world. We are proud of our relationship
with Dr. Linneman and are pleased to be able to share his insights with you.
All of the market information in the 2010 Global Market Report is available online at www.naiglobal.com and major markets
are updated periodically throughout the year. For the latest in commercial real estate industry news and trends, Global
Economic Outlook briefings, market updates and much more, visit www.naiglobal.com.
Just as NAI Global provides you with in-depth knowledge and insight on markets around the world, our global managed
network can help you achieve your real estate objectives no matter how large or small, anywhere in the world. Our clients
come to us for our deep local knowledge, which leads to results that are tangible, measurable and visible on their bottom line.
We welcome the opportunity to serve you. If we can assist you with a current or future real estate requirement anywhere in
the world, please contact us at + 1 609 945 4000 or call your local NAI professional.
Sincerely,
Jeffrey M. Finn
President & Chief Executive Officer
Build on the power of our network.TM Over 325 offices worldwide. www.naiglobal.com
1
Table of Contents
GENERAL INFORMATION Mexico (continued) Montana
NAI Global President's Letter ..........................................................1 Matamoros, Tamaulipas ............................................................65 Bozeman ..............................................................................101
Table of Contents...........................................................................2 Mexicali, Baja California ............................................................65 Missoula...............................................................................102
Note from Dr. Peter Linneman ........................................................3 Monterrey, Nuevo Leon .............................................................66 Nebraska
About Your Global Market Report ....................................................3 Querétaro, Querétaro ................................................................66 Lincoln .................................................................................102
GLOBAL OUTLOOK Reynosa...................................................................................67 Omaha .................................................................................103
Global Outlook ...............................................................................4 Saltillo, Coahuila .......................................................................67 Nevada
San Luis Potosi (SLP)................................................................68 Las Vegas.............................................................................103
REGIONAL HIGHLIGHTS Tijuana, Baja California..............................................................68 Reno ....................................................................................104
Northeast Highlights.....................................................................21 Torreon, Coahulia......................................................................69 New Hampshire
Southeast Highlights ....................................................................22 Caracas, Venezuela ......................................................................69 Manchester...........................................................................104
Midwest Highlights.......................................................................23 UNITED STATES Portsmouth ...........................................................................105
Southwest Highlights....................................................................24 Alabama New Jersey
West Highlights............................................................................25 Birmingham ..............................................................................71 Atlantic County......................................................................105
ASIA PACIFIC Huntsville/Decatur County ..........................................................71 Middlesex/Somerset Counties ................................................106
Melbourne, Australia ....................................................................27 Mobile/Baldwin County ..............................................................72 Northern New Jersey.............................................................106
China Arizona Ocean/Monmouth Counties (“Shore Market”)..........................107
Beijing .....................................................................................27 Phoenix ....................................................................................72 Princeton/Mercer County .......................................................107
Chengdu ..................................................................................28 Arkansas Southern New Jersey ............................................................108
Hong Kong ...............................................................................28 Jonesboro.................................................................................73 New Mexico
Shanghai..................................................................................29 Little Rock.................................................................................73 Albuquerque .........................................................................108
Xiamen ....................................................................................29 California Las Cruces ...........................................................................109
Guam..........................................................................................30 Inland Empire (Riverside/San Bernardino) .................................74 New York
India Los Angeles County.................................................................74 Albany ..................................................................................109
Chennai ...................................................................................30 Marin County ..........................................................................75 New York City........................................................................110
Delhi, Gurgaon .........................................................................31 Monterey County.....................................................................75 Long Island ...........................................................................110
Hyderabad, Pradesh..................................................................31 Oakland..................................................................................76 North Carolina
Kolkata.....................................................................................32 Orange County........................................................................76 Asheville ...............................................................................111
Pune, Maharashtra ...................................................................32 Sacramento ...........................................................................77 Charlotte...............................................................................111
Punjab .....................................................................................33 San Diego...............................................................................77 Greensboro/High Point/Winston-Salem ...................................112
Tokyo, Japan ...............................................................................33 San Francisco County..............................................................78 Raleigh/Durham ....................................................................112
Kuala Lumpur Malaysia ................................................................34 San Mateo County...................................................................78 North Dakota
Singapore....................................................................................34 Santa Clara County (Silicon Valley) ...........................................79 Fargo....................................................................................113
Seoul, South Korea ......................................................................35 Santa Cruz County ..................................................................79 Ohio
Taipei, Taiwan ..............................................................................35 Sonoma County.......................................................................80 Akron ...................................................................................113
Ventura County .......................................................................80 Canton .................................................................................114
CANADA Colorado Cincinnati .............................................................................114
Alberta Colorado Springs.....................................................................81 Cleveland..............................................................................115
Calgary ....................................................................................37 Denver....................................................................................81 Columbus .............................................................................115
Edmonton ................................................................................37 Delaware Dayton..................................................................................116
British Columbia Delaware & Cecil County Maryland...........................................82 Oklahoma
Vancouver................................................................................38 District of Columbia Oklahoma City.......................................................................116
Victoria ....................................................................................38 Washington, D.C. ....................................................................82 Tulsa ....................................................................................117
Nova Scotia Florida Oregon
Halifax .....................................................................................39 Fort Lauderdale.......................................................................83 Portland................................................................................117
Ontario Ft. Myers/Naples/Port Charlotte/Bonita Springs .........................83 Pennsylvania
Ottawa.....................................................................................39 Jacksonville ............................................................................84 Allentown..............................................................................118
Toronto ....................................................................................40 Marin & St. Lucie Counties ......................................................84 Berks County ........................................................................118
Montreal ..................................................................................40 Miami.....................................................................................85 Bucks County........................................................................119
Regina, Saskatchewan...............................................................41 Orlando ..................................................................................85 Harrisburg/York/Lebanon .......................................................119
EUROPE MIDDLE EAST AFRICA Palm Beach County .................................................................86 Lancaster .............................................................................120
Vienna, Austria.............................................................................43 Tampa Bay..............................................................................86 Philadelphia ..........................................................................120
The Baltics (Latvia/Estonia/Lithuania) ............................................43 Georgia Pittsburgh .............................................................................121
Sofia, Bulgaria .............................................................................44 Atlanta....................................................................................87 Schuylkill County ...................................................................121
Prague, Czech Republic................................................................44 Hawaii Wilkes-Barre/Scranton/Hazleton .............................................122
Copenhagen, Denmark.................................................................45 Honolulu .................................................................................87 South Carolina
Finland ........................................................................................45 Idaho Columbia ..............................................................................122
Paris, France ...............................................................................46 Boise......................................................................................88 Greenville/Spatanburg/Anderson Counties ..............................123
Frankfurt am Main, Germany ........................................................46 Southeast (Idaho Falls/Pocatello) ..............................................88 South Dakota
Atehens, Greece ..........................................................................47 Illinois Sioux Falls ............................................................................123
Reykjavik, Iceland.........................................................................47 Chicago .................................................................................89 Tennessee
Tel Aviv, Isreal ..............................................................................48 Springfield ..............................................................................89 Chattanooga .........................................................................124
Almaty, Kazakhstan ......................................................................48 Indiana Clarksville .............................................................................124
Kuwait.........................................................................................49 Fort Wayne .............................................................................90 Knoxville ...............................................................................125
Oslo, Norway ...............................................................................49 Indianapolis ............................................................................90 Memphis ..............................................................................125
Doha, Qatar .................................................................................50 Iowa Nashville...............................................................................126
Bucharest, Romania .....................................................................50 Cedar Rapids, Iowa City...........................................................91 Texas
Moscow, Russian Federation ........................................................51 Davenport/Bettendorf, Iowa & Rock Island/Moline, Illinois ..........91 Austin...................................................................................126
St. Petersburg, Russian Federation................................................51 Des Moines.............................................................................92 Beaumont .............................................................................127
Belgrade, Serbia ..........................................................................52 Sioux City ...............................................................................92 Corpus Christi .......................................................................127
Johannesburg South, Africa..........................................................52 Kansas Dallas ...................................................................................128
Madrid, Spain ..............................................................................53 Wichita ...................................................................................93 El Paso .................................................................................128
Stockholm, Sweden......................................................................53 Kentucky Fort Worth.............................................................................129
Geneva, Switzerland.....................................................................54 Lexington................................................................................93 Houston................................................................................129
Zurich, Switzerland.......................................................................54 Louisville ................................................................................94 Rio Grande Valley (McAllen/Mission/Brownsville/Harlingen) ......130
Istanbul, Turkey............................................................................55 Louisiana San Antonio ..........................................................................130
Kiev (Kyiv), Ukraine.......................................................................55 Baton Rouge ...........................................................................94 Texarkana (Bowie County, Texas/Miller County, Arkansas) ........131
London, England United Kingdom..................................................56 Monroe...................................................................................95 Utah
New Orleans ...........................................................................95 Salt Lake City........................................................................131
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
Maine Washington County ...............................................................132
Buenos, Aires Argentina ...............................................................58
Greater Portland/Southern Maine .............................................96 Vermont
Nassau, Bahamas ........................................................................58
Maryland Burlington .............................................................................132
Brazil
Baltimore ................................................................................96 Virginia
Campinas.................................................................................59
Suburban Maryland .................................................................97 Northern Virginia ...................................................................133
Curitiba ....................................................................................59
Massachusetts Washington
Porto Alegre .............................................................................60
Boston....................................................................................97 Seattle/Puget Sound..............................................................133
Rio de Janeiro ..........................................................................60
Western (Greater Springfield) ...................................................98 Spokane ...............................................................................134
Sao Paulo.................................................................................61
Michigan Tri-Cities ...............................................................................134
Santiago, Chile.............................................................................61
Detroit ....................................................................................98 Wisconsin
San Jose, Costa Rica ...................................................................62
Grand Rapids ..........................................................................99 Madison ...............................................................................135
Kingston, Jamaica........................................................................62
Lansing ..................................................................................99 Milwaukee ............................................................................135
Mexico
Minnesota Northeastern Wisconsin (Fox Valley/Green Bay) .......................136
Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua.........................................................63
Minneapolis/St. Paul..............................................................100 Wyoming
Guadalajara..............................................................................63
Missouri Casper..................................................................................136
Guanajuato, Guanajuato ............................................................64
Kansas City...........................................................................100 Jackson Hole ........................................................................137
Mexico City ..............................................................................64
St. Louis ...............................................................................101
Glossary ....................................................................................138
By combining NAI Global’s local market data with our real Rental rates for Class A and Class B office space, retail and
estate economics expertise and proprietary projections, new construction are expressed in gross costs per unit area,
we jointly provide the reader with unmatched insight into indicating the landlord pays all expenses except for Europe,
the state of local, regional, national and international real where rental rates are reported as net. Industrial space rents
estate markets. Linneman Associates and NAI Global are quoted in terms of net rental rates, meaning the tenant
continue to jointly offer customized real estate market pays for most of the operating costs, such as utilities, mainte-
analyses and reports. Enrich your business and investment nance, and repairs and cleaning. On all charts, N/A means the
efforts by utilizing this combination of real estate expertise, information was not applicable or not available at press time.
including the Linneman Associates and NAI market analyses
and real estate decision making tools. For more information, For more information about this report, or to order your own
call your local NAI office. copy for $695, please call 609 945 4000. Additional research
reports and whitepapers are available at www.naiglobal.com.
Dr. Linneman holds both Masters and Doctorate degrees
in economics from the University of Chicago and is the Visit the NAI Global blog for real time commentary on industry
Principal of Linneman Associates. For over 25 years he news and trends at blogs.naiglobal.com
has provided strategic and financial advice to leading
corporations. Dr. Linneman is the author of the leading
real estate finance textbook, Real Estate Finance and
Investments: Risks and Opportunities. His teaching and
research focuses on real estate and investment strategies,
mergers and acquisitions and international markets. He
has published over 60 articles during his career. He is
widely recognized as one of the leading strategic thinkers
in the real estate industry.
Dr. Linneman also serves as the Albert Sussman The 2009 Global Market Report is a copyrighted publication
Professor of Real Estate, Finance, Business and Public of NAI Global, published in December 2009, and should not
Policy at the Wharton School of Business, University of be reproduced without full permission. Additional copies are
Pennsylvania. A member of Wharton’s faculty since 1979, available from NAI Global. Demographic data and indices
he served as the founding chairman of Wharton’s Real were provided by SRC, LLC.
Estate Department and the Director of Wharton’s Zell-Lurie
Real Estate Center for 13 years. He is the founding
co-editor of The Wharton Real Estate Review.
3
2010 Global Market Report www.naiglobal.com
Global Outlook
Commercial real estate markets across the United States
experienced the full impact of the global recession in 2009. National Average Rental Rates
The precipitous decline in transaction volume that began in
2008 continued unabated throughout most of 2009 as rising
unemployment and general uncertainty about the near-term
economic outlook weighed on demand.
Rising vacancy rates and declining rental rates were evident in vir-
tually every market and property type, with weak demand and a
growing supply of sublease space further eroding market
fundamentals. Office space in the central business districts
was especially hard hit; the national average vacancy rate for
downtown Class A office space reached 13.9% in 2009, an
increase of 35% over 2008, and the national average rental
rate fell 21.6% to $37.09/SF/YR. Suburban Class A space fared National Average Rental Rates
only slightly better as the national average vacancy rate rose to
16.9% in 2009, up from 13% in 2008, and the national average
rental rate slipped 4.6% to $25.11/SF/YR.
The retail segment was also hit hard as several notable retailers
and chain restaurant operators filed for bankruptcy and countless
others closed stores to cut costs. The national average vacancy
rate in regional malls reached 7.1% in 2009, up from 5.6% in
2008, and the national average rental rate for mall space fell
10.6% to $32.76/SF/YR. The vacancy rate in power centers, a
favorite of the struggling big-box retailers, soared to 9.8% in 2009,
up from 5.9% in 2008, and the average rental rate fell 6.3% to
$19.46/SF/YR.
National Average Vacancy Rates
The impact of weak consumer demand was also evident in the
industrial sector, where new supply compounded market woes.
The national average vacancy rate for bulk warehouse space
topped 11.1% in 2009, the highest level in five years, but the
national average rental rate dipped only 1.3% to $4.57/SF/YR.
Fortunately, these negative movements followed a very healthy
peak, and tight credit has greatly curtailed new construction
starts. While it is clearly a “tenant’s market” in all commercial
sectors, many markets already have begun to stabilize, and
should begin to improve in mid-2010 as space users act to
take advantage of the most favorable market conditions seen in
years. We expect a healthy balance between supply and demand
at that time. National Average Vacancy Rates
The investment market, stagnant throughout 2009, is also expect-
ed to return in 2010. Billion of dollars have been amassed in pri-
vate equity funds ready to pounce on the impending
wave of distressed assets and REO properties expected to
hit the market in the coming year.
workers, versus the eight-year average of 46%. Not surprisingly, all sectors by major SIC 2
0
code, except the government (+132,000), experienced significant losses from the beginning -2
-4
of the recession in December 2007 through November 2009. On an absolute basis, the -6
1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009
biggest losers were the manufacturing (-2.1 million); trade, transportation, and utilities
(-1.7 million); construction (-1.6 million); and professional and business services (-1.3 million)
sectors. On a percentage basis, construction (-20%) and manufacturing (-15.5%) were the
worst performers. However, job losses continue to slow with a decline of just 11,000 in
November 2009. Professional and business services bottomed in August 2009 and
gained 148,000 (0.9%) over three months through November. This was driven largely by
education and health services, which increased throughout the recession by 858,000
(4.6%) between December 2007 through November 2009.
In November 2009, the unemployment rate stood at 10%, an increase of 510 basis
points since December 2007. Over the same period, the median unemployment dura-
tion has risen by 11.7 weeks, to 20.1 weeks (a nearly 140% rise), with the percent
unemployed more than 27 weeks rising from a low of 17.5% in December 2007 to
Teen workers accounted for about 19% of the 7.2 million jobs lost between January 30
Percent
25
2008 and November 2009. Thank you, Congress, for the minimum wage increase. Job 20
15
losses continue to be extraordinarily male-centric, with 4.75 million of the 7.2 million total 10
5
lost jobs concentrated among males older than 19, and only 1.69 million among women 0
older than 19. This reflects the high concentration of males in manufacturing, construc- 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
tion and finance, while women are disproportionately employed in the less adversely
impacted healthcare and education sectors. As a result, females now hold half of all US
jobs for the first time in US history.
The biggest uncertainty is not the capital markets; it is the Capitol markets. Despite the
serial ineffectiveness of government interventions, investors are slowly coming out of their
tortoise shells. The early signs of recovery are fragile because of the surge in oil prices
back to $70 per barrel. At $70 per barrel, it will take much longer to rebuild consumer con-
fidence, a precursor for a recovery. GDP bottomed in the third quarter, and employment
will lag by about a year.
In early December 2009, yields on 10-year Treasuries were around 3.5%. We believe 10-
year Treasury yields are still some 125 basis points too low. If all were normal, 10-year
Treasury yields would be around 4.75-5%, where they hovered before October 2007.
Recently, LIBOR and 30-day Treasuries have raced to zero. A low LIBOR has become
the life blood for many borrowers with floating rate debt, and a rate spike has the poten-
tial to crush many borrowers. Long-term Treasury Inflated-Protected Securities (TIPS)
returns have narrowed remarkably, even as inflationary threats loom. They experienced
a yield increase to 3.09% in November 2008, and stood at 1.87% in November 2009.
Residential mortgage delinquencies have risen among all products since hitting lows in
late 2005. However, these delinquencies are highly concentrated in recession torn
greater-Ohio (Ohio plus 100 miles beyond the Ohio border) and the boom markets of
south/central Florida, Arizona, Nevada and California. Elsewhere in the US, delinquen-
cies remain at cyclical norms.
Commercial mortgage delinquency rates have risen across the board, most visibly at
U.S. National Home Price Indices
banks and thrifts, and CMBS. CMBS issuance in the US remains nearly comatose, with 300
no new issues in eight out of the first 10 months of the year. The only positive glimmer 260
Index Value
was that the CMBS market managed to eke out a handful of deals in June (US$600 220
180
million) and July 2009 (US$300 million). And the recent DDR issuance is decidedly a
140
positive sign. 100
1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007
The best news for the US economy continues to be that the US. housing market bot- Case-Shiller NAR FHFA
tomed in February 2009. Single family starts hit (a very low) bottom of roughly 355,000
units in January and February, increasing unsteadily to 511,000 in September and
476,000 in October. The inventory of homes held by builders for sale has plummeted to
239,000, as new home production over the past two years has been insufficient to
replace the more than 350,000 units destroyed each year. MLS home prices (which
Percent
the collapse in late 2008 and early 2009. After steadily declining since the end of 2006, -100
REIT FFO multiples showed the first sign of changing course in the third quarter of 2009. -150
-200
In December, the overall REIT FFO multiple rose to approximately 14.1, compared to the -250
-300
long-term average of 12.1. 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
Liquidity premium assumed to be zero.
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) indicates that public real estate pricing has
improved dramatically relative to its long-term risk during the past six months. In
particular, the under-pricing of REITs has gone from 230% in March, to 3% in December.
A comparative risk analysis, which assumes that the ownership of the perpetuity lease Vacancy Rates by Property Type
claim should generate approximately the same expected return as the perpetuity BBB 20
debt claim, suggests that real estate has gone from almost 70% under-priced to 9.5% Percent 15
over-priced. Research indicates that public pricing leads private pricing by roughly 18 10
months. This suggests a rebound in private pricing remains about a year away. 5
0
US Property Sectors 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008
Source: NCREIF Office Retail Apartment Industrial
Office. In the third quarter of 2009, the national office vacancy rate rose to 14.3%, a 70-
basis point increase from last quarter, according to NCREIF. This puts US office vacancy
above the “natural rate” of roughly 10%. Severe job losses have resulted in increasing
shadow or sublease space along with tenant inducements. These availabilities are U.S. Commercial Construction
expected to increase through 2010. The first quarter of 2008 marked the first time the 120
80
been rising since. 60
40
Industrial. NCREIF’s US industrial vacancy rate (primarily for institutional quality properties) 20
continued to increase, from 10% in the second quarter of 2009 to 10.8% in the third 0
1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
quarter. The two data series moved in lock step from 1987 to 2004. Since then, the
NCREIF series has trended downward more sharply, but changed course over the last
three quarters. This initial divergence indicates that the institutional-grade properties in
the NCREIF survey enjoyed greater demand than the overall market, but are now being
Multifamily Construction and Vacancy Trends
affected by the wide-reaching economic downturn.
Thousands of Units
Multifamily. The Census Bureau’s quarterly Housing Vacancy Survey indicates that the US 350 11
Vacancy Percent
300 10
250 9
multifamily vacancy rate rose in the third quarter to 11.1%, from 10.6% in the second 200 8
150 7
quarter of 2009. This series has generally been hovering around 10% since late 2003. 100
50
6
5
For NCREIF’s institutional properties, the national vacancy rate declined by 20 basis 0 4
1990199219941996199820002002200420062008
points, from 7.4% in the second quarter to 7.6% in the third quarter of 2009. This Total in Bldgs w/ 5 or More Units (Thousands) Vacancy
discrepancy in vacancy rates is due to the fact that the NCREIF properties are of higher
Canada
Canadian growth, led by export and commodity sectors (base metals, oil and gas)
performed well through early 2008. However, the financial crisis, the declining US
market and general softening of the global economy slowed the Canadian economy in
late 2008 and forced a sharp downturn in 2009. A rebound in commodity demand
enabled the economy to stabilize in late 2009. The Canadian economy is expected to
fall 2% year-over-year in 2009, recovering in 2010 with real GDP rising by 3%.
The country continues to be subjected to multiple elections and the constraints of a
minority-led government. Unemployment remains above 8%, and is expected to ease
slightly in 2010 as the country emerges from recession. The Canadian dollar has mar-
ginally strengthened against the US dollar in 2009: in March the CAD/USD was $1.26
compared to $1.06 in November.
The ownership of commercial real estate in Canada is concentrated in large pension
funds, REITs and large domestic corporate investors. The best assets remain in rela-
tively strong financial hands with conservative leverage. Pools of capital are looking to
the US, Europe and Asia to satisfy the demand for high quality real estate investment
opportunities.
Land prices softened and cap rates increased in 2009. Overall, 2010 is expected to be
a challenging year, with pockets of strength in western Canada. Transaction volume is
slowly beginning to improve despite a slow economy. The fundamentals of commercial
Europe-Middle East-Africa
While most of Europe remains firmly in the grip of recession, the worst is over and the
recovery is within sight. Within the Euro area, GDP growth is forecast at -3.8% for 2009
(as of mid October 2009), recovering to +1.2% in 2010. Within those figures, France is
expected to show -2.1% in 2009, and +1.3% in 2010. Germany growth rates for 2009
and 2010 are expected to be -4.9% and +1.6%; and for the UK, -4.4% and +1.4%,
respectively. Both Germany and France returned to positive GDP in the third quarter, but
the UK lagged at -0.4%. While the figures in Central and Eastern Europe are bleaker for
2009, they too will see recovery in 2010. Russia for example, will shrink by 7.0% in 2009
and rise 2.5% for 2010. Major Middle Eastern countries are expected to reverse decline
in 2010, with GDP growth for UAE and Saudi Arabia predicted to be 3.3% and 4.1%,
respectively.
Unemployment in the Euro area was 9.6% (as of August 2009) while industrial production
had fallen by 15.4%. Inflation is forecast at 0.4% for 2009. The Euro has strengthened
further against the US dollar (currently 1.50) in the last 12 months, as the European
Repo rate has fallen to 2%, with the UK Base Rate remaining at 0.5%. Consumer
demand across Europe remains weak with zero growth in Central and Eastern Europe.
However, industrial statistics in the 16-country Euro area increased by 0.9% in August,
following 0.2% in July.
Space demand in the EMEA region remains weak in all sectors with office vacancy rates
climbing to their highest levels since 2004. Fortunately, most of the western cities
entered the recession with little office development. But cities like Moscow, Dubai or Kiev,
where construction was booming, are being crushed. Development activity has declined
dramatically, and in all markets, many tenants have put space up for sub-letting.
Asia Pacific
The general feeling across most of Asia is that the worst of the recession is over.
Most Asian countries have experienced a major rebound of stock markets, as well
as some improvement of real estate values, especially on the residential side. The
main indices in Hong Kong, mainland China, South Korea and Singapore have risen
more than 50% since January 1, 2009. The Indian Sensex has climbed 72% and
stands 20% above where it was just before Lehman’s demise. However, there
remains an underlying cautiousness.
Countries like Singapore, Hong Kong and South Korea that have seen quick
turnarounds in their residential property market values since the beginning of 2009 also
see their governments testing new regulations to manage another bubble. Hong Kong
has seen more than a 25% rise in its mid-priced residential sector, and a 40% rise in the
luxury sector since the beginning of the year. Recently, a Hong Kong apartment
was sold for a record price of HK$71,280 per square foot (US$9,197 per square foot),
setting a world record price per square foot. In response, the Hong Kong government
has cut mortgage limits and freed up more government land for residential develop-
ment. Nonetheless, wealthy mainland Chinese buyers continue buying luxury residential
properties all cash, and often on all-expense-paid property viewing tours by Hong Kong
developers.
Downtown Office
Massachusetts Washington, DC New York City-Midtown $60.00 $110.00 14.7%
Class A
New Hampshire Washington, DC $51.00 $70.00 14.0%
New York City-Downtown $48.00 $75.00 10.5%
Boston, Massachusetts $42.50 $52.00 9.5%
Wilmington, Delaware $26.00 $28.00 20.0%
Office
SuburbanOffice
Office Long Island, New York $31.00 $34.00 11.0%
ClassAA
Boston, Massachusetts $30.00 $35.00 16.5%
The downtown Baltimore office market continues to gravitate to the water as Inner Harbor East
Class
Suburban
Suburban, Maryland $28.45 $45.75 15.0%
continues to build out. The new 600,000 SF headquarters for Legg Mason opened in 2009 as the
Northern New Jersey $28.00 $50.50 20.0%
largest office presence to date in that area. What will happen to the former Legg headquarters
Ocean/Monmouth Counties, New Jersey $27.50 $32.00 11.0%
at 100 Light Street remains a question.
With vacancy rates climbing to 9.5% in the Boston CBD and 16.5% in the suburbs, there is no
shortage of supply, allowing tenants with solid financials to take advantage of tenant-favorable Leading Price Retail Markets
conditions.
The Q3 vacancy rate of 11.9 is the highest New York City has seen in four years, but was up
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
only slightly from the previous quarter. Average asking rates are now $52.05/SF, down from
Office
New York City-Midtown $200.00 $1,200.00 7.6%
Downtown
almost $70/SF in late 2008. However, the rate of decline, as well as the supply of sublease
Downtown
Retail
Boston, Massachusetts $70.00 $120.00 15.0%
A
Retail
space weighing on the market, has stabilized. On the investment side, Manhattan sales have
Downtown
Class
Washington, DC $55.00 $80.00 2.5%
been few; however distressed assets are starting to appear in greater number and it is expected
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania $26.37 $36.00 7.6%
that foreign investors and well capitalized investment groups will seek to take advantage of a
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania $26.00 $100.00 11.0%
new pricing structure, spurring the expected turnaround.
The amount of vacant office space in the Washington market has trended up over the Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
past four quarters. With over 2 million SF still scheduled to deliver in 2009, and an additional Centers
ClassCenters
Office
Washington, DC $30.00 $45.00 3.0%
3.8 million scheduled for 2010, an easy prediction is an increase in the Washington, DC, office Suburban Maryland (DC Metro) $25.22 $55.00 7.9%
Retail
Retail
A
Suburban
vacancy rate through 2010. However, a potential tightening of supply may occur within the CBD Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania $25.00 $30.00 7.7%
Service
Service
during the first half of 2010. Long Island, New York $24.00 $30.00 10.8%
Baltimore, Maryland $23.00 $50.00 10.8%
Industrial
Centers
With asking rates hovering just shy of $5 NNN, Baltimore developers have sharpened their Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Centers
pencils after sitting on recently delivered product in a market that was flooded with new
Retail
construction for most of 2008. Southern New Jersey $28.00 $38.00 5.0%
Power
Power
be locally financed.
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
RetailRetail
The vacancy factor in Northern New Jersey’s industrial sector is approaching a 10-year high. Long Island, New York $90.00 $120.00 12.0%
Regional
However, there have been transactions, especially in the second half of the year. Asking rates Washington, DC $62.00 $90.00 12.0%
Regional
have decreased approximately 20% and deals are being made off of those numbers. Landlords Wilmington, Delaware $60.00 $75.00 5.0%
are making shorter term deals more frequently than in the past, and tenants have also been Middlesex/Somerset Counties, NJ $50.00 $60.00 7.0%
reluctant to make long term commitments. Northern New Jersey $50.00 $60.00 3.8%
The vacancy rate in Philadelphia increased almost 4% to total 13% in 2009. Large land parcels
are scarce throughout the Delaware Valley, but Philadelphia features large tracts in the
Philadelphia Navy Yard and smaller parcels located in controlled industrial parks. Leading Price Industrial Markets
Warehouse
Boston’s retail market has also felt the impact of the economic turmoil with lower rental rates Washington, DC $9.50 $16.00 16.0%
Industrial
and significantly higher vacancy in the downtown. Northern New Jersey $6.10 $9.50 12.0%
BulkBulk
The Northern New Jersey retail sector has experienced the most difficult market in the past 20 Suburban Maryland (DC Metro) $5.95 $14.00 12.5%
years. Vacancies in major corridors that would normally be leased right away are remaining Boston, Massachusetts $5.75 $7.00 11.0%
vacant for extended periods of time. The sector is suffering from a lack of activity as opposed to Long Island, New York $5.75 $7.00 9.0%
Manufacturing
vention and tourism business continues to stimulate the economy. New restaurants continue to Suburban Maryland (DC Metro) $6.42 $11.25 8.7%
open and the $550 million dollar Sugar House Casino is under construction along the Delaware Boston, Massachusetts $6.00 $8.00 13.5%
River. There is still strong redevelopment activity of existing retail shops and retail centers within Northern New Jersey $5.75 $6.50 11.0%
the county. Albany, New York $5.55 $7.50 12.0%
Industrial
Flex
Downtown Office
Kentucky Virginia
Mississippi Miami, Florida $38.23 $43.73 14.5%
Class A
Fort Lauderdale, Florida $30.00 $32.00 17.0%
Palm Beach County, Florida $30.00 $37.50 22.7%
Tampa Bay, Florida $28.00 $32.00 15.0%
Office Charlotte, North Carolina $27.25 $32.00 7.5%
The Atlanta office market’s supply has outweighed the demand, pushing the vacancy rate up in
the 19-22% range, creating negative net absorption and declining rental rates. With over 196 Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Suburban Office
million SF of inventory, it is anticipated that the office market will experience more negative net Miami, Florida $33.25 $38.03 22.3%
Class A
absorption and remain flat for 2010. Northern Virginia $31.00 $50.00 20.0%
Palm Beach County, Florida $30.90 $40.00 19.0%
Miami office vacancy rose while rents dropped by more than 10%. Certain submarkets, most
Tampa Bay, Florida $28.00 $32.00 15.0%
notably the CBD & Brickell, are hardest hit as approximately 2 million SF are scheduled to be
Atlanta, Georgia $23.00 $25.34 12.2%
delivered in 2010 and 2011.
Net absorption in Orlando was negative in four of the last five quarters from Q2 2008-Q3 2009.
Vacancies are highest in Class A properties where average rents have declined by 6% over the
past year. Vacant sublease space has increased in all submarkets.
Leading Price Retail Markets
Many companies have been inclined to shed jobs or consolidate their office requirements in
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
order to cut expenses, leading to a decrease in Northern Virginia’s overall demand for office
Miami, Florida $31.86 $43.92 4.7%
Downtown
space. At the close of 2009, 13 buildings were under construction in Northern Virginia for a total
Retail
Charlotte, North Carolina $28.93 $34.00 10.5%
of 3.67 million SF, of which 67% was pre-leased.
Orlando, Florida $28.00 $35.00 10.4%
Concerns about the national economy were reflected in the RaleighDurham office market, Palm Beach County, Florida $25.63 $50.00 20.0%
which pointed to a rise in vacancy as tenants downsized and new sublease space brought Atlanta, Georgia $25.00 $40.00 8.0%
additional pressures. Vacancy hovered close to 19% with negative net demand.
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Industrial Service Centers Northern Virginia $35.00 $50.00 10.8%
Palm Beach County, Florida $26.50 $40.00 18.5%
Retail
Absorption slowed in Atlanta’s 560 million SF industrial market. The amount of new construc-
tion has dropped considerably and although vacancy rates have climbed over the past several Miami, Florida $24.48 $45.17 7.0%
quarters and rental rates decreased slightly, leasing activity remains active. Nashville, Tennessee $20.88 $33.00 7.2%
Mobile/Baldwin Counties, Alabama $18.75 $27.50 10.0%
With over 1.6 million SF coming off the market in two large deals, the amount of large ware-
house space available in Memphis has decreased. Several national companies looking for large
blocks of space could edge lease rates upward next year. Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Power Centers
Raleigh, new retail opportunities will be opened at major interchanges. Fort Lauderdale, Florida $6.00 $7.00 9.0%
Tampa Bay, Florida $5.50 $7.50 20.0%
Orlando, Florida $4.70 $8.00 12.5%
Jacksonville, Florida $4.28 $6.22 12.8%
Downtown Office
Minnesota Wisconsin Chicago, Illinois $42.00 $55.00 16.1%
Class A
Missouri Detroit, Michigan $23.09 $30.00 9.8%
Grand Rapids, Michigan $19.00 $24.00 20.0%
St. Louis, Missouri $18.80 $22.00 13.0%
Office Kansas City, Missouri $18.64 $23.50 24.0%
Chicago’s downtown office market experienced four consecutive quarters of negative net
absorption and rising vacancies during 2009. Class A and Class B buildings are suffering from Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Suburban Office
the highest vacancies, each above 16%. Suburban vacancy rates have been rising steadily since St. Louis, Missouri $25.00 $30.00 11.6%
Class A
2008, eclipsing 22% in 2009. Leasing activity is expected to pick up during 2010 as asking Chicago, Illinois $23.15 $30.00 23.4%
rents continue to slide and landlords offer aggressive concession packages. This should result Detroit, Michigan $22.50 $45.00 17.1%
in stabilizing vacancy rates. Kansas City, Missouri $20.81 $28.50 19.1%
Downtown Cleveland is positioned to capture momentum from several large public-sector Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota $20.70 $31.00 9.8%
projects either planned or under way. The suburban office market was a more difficult
environment, hampered by widespread financial hardship among tenants.
The Detroit office market has developed a churning trend with many users taking advantage
Leading Price Retail Markets
of small spreads in rates between classes. Though rate gaps have narrowed, landlords are
hesitant to offer tenant improvement incentives as financing and cash remain scarce. New Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
demand is evident in the form of renewable energy and film production, yet these industries do Chicago, Illinois $30.00 $220.00 8.2%
Downtown
Retail
not have the critical mass to benefit the entire market. Madison, Wisconsin $20.00 $40.00 7.6%
Milwaukee, Wisconsin $20.00 $30.00 11.0%
Rental rates in the Milwaukee office market are down 20-25% and absorption is heavily
Kansas City, Missouri $17.88 $26.00 7.8%
negative with vacancy climbing to 18.5%. Tenants with lease expirations two to three years out
Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota $16.83 $25.00 5.0%
can realize dramatic savings by renegotiating their leases through blend and extend transactions.
Office vacancy market-wide is 12% in Minneapolis with the highest vacancy in Class B space. Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Tenants are renewing existing leases rather than absorb relocation costs. Landlords are Service Centers St. Louis, Missouri $16.24 $25.00 13.0%
offering discounted rates to tenants renewing 12-18 months in advance to ensure spaces Indianapolis, Indiana $16.00 $17.50 14.0%
Retail
ing, difficulty obtaining credit and economic uncertainty. Lack of new deliveries, combined with Indianapolis, Indiana $22.00 $26.00 10.2%
Retail
an increase in transactional activity, will help the market eventually rebound. St. Louis, Missouri $20.12 $28.00 4.9%
Detroit’s industrial vacancy continues to rise above 20%, primarily due to the hard hit automotive Kansas City, Missouri $17.01 $28.25 7.6%
industry. While there is minimal traditional industrial demand, renewable energy firms are Milwaukee, Wisconsin $17.00 $25.00 10.0%
beginning to look at flex space as an attractive option for solar and wind technologies. Grand Rapids, Michigan $16.00 $23.00 4.0%
Investors remain interested in the Indianapolis industrial market as modern bulk facilities are
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
still being delivered throughout the market. New construction is trending toward smaller
Regional Malls
Rental rates and vacancy rates in Milwaukee have remained relatively stable with landlords Northeastern, Wisconsin (Fox Valley/Green Bay) $35.00 $55.00 10.0%
requiring at or near asking rates while giving concessions on tenant improvements or rent Sioux City, Iowa $35.00 $45.00 7.5%
abatement. Larger transactions are stewing, but may not occur until Q1 2010. Wisconsin lost Lincoln, Nebraska $32.00 $85.00 17.5%
large employers like General Motors and other large employers, like Harley Davidson, have dras-
tically reduced their workforce.
The St. Louis industrial market continues to suffer from an excess of speculative space Leading Price Industrial Markets
resulting in elevated vacancy rates and decreased rental rates. Vacancy rates increased to 9%
in 2009, up almost a full point from the end of 2008. Average rental rates dipped slightly
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Bulk Warehouse
to $4.21/SF.
Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota $5.91 $14.75 10.2%
Industrial
Downtown Office
Austin, Texas $35.96 $26.30 15.1%
Class A
Houston, Texas $34.66 $45.00 7.0%
Office Fort Worth, Texas $26.00 $29.00 6.0%
The Austin market failed to absorb 600,000 SF in the first half of 2009. Luckily almost 300,000 San Antonio, Texas $21.05 $24.00 12.8%
SF of mostly Class A space was absorbed in Q3. Landlords are working hard to keep existing Baton Rouge, Louisiana $20.75 $21.50 9.7%
tenants and make attractive deals through rent concessions.
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
The Dallas/Ft. Worth market leads the nation in employment gains for 2009 and the posi-
Suburban Office
tive numbers are reflected in what appears to be a healthy office market. Overall vacancy in Houston, Texas $27.47 $40.55 16.0%
Class A
Dallas remains flat from a year ago at 17.2%. Market rents have dramatically increased to Austin, Texas $26.29 $19.50 21.4%
an averaging of $20.05 for all classes of office space. Many companies are choosing to do San Antonio, Texas $24.49 $28.00 14.1%
short-term renewals versus making long term decisions. Dallas, Texas $24.30 $45.00 16.0%
New Orleans, Louisiana $21.50 $23.00 9.4%
Houston’s office vacancy rate across all classes was 14.2% in mid-2009 but a low 8.1% in the
CBD. A total of 15 buildings totaling 1.1 million SF delivered in 2009 with 3.8 million SF still
under construction. The CBD saw its share of large lease transactions, with three deals alone
accounting for over 1.4 million SF.
Leading Price Retail Markets
The New Orleans office market has remained relatively stable in terms of occupancy and rental
rates in the CBD and suburbs. No speculative inventory has been added in either market, and Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Houston, Texas $37.71 $50.00 8.0%
Downtown
the adaptive re-use of older Class B and C buildings has actually reduced available supply.
Retail
Austin, Texas $27.50 $41.00 4.0%
The Oklahoma City office market remains strong with overall vacancy at 10%, up from 8.9% a
New Orleans, Louisiana $27.50 $40.00 14.0%
year ago. Rents are very stable with Class A at $22/SF. No new construction is planned except
San Antonio, Texas $24.33 $34.00 17.3%
for Devon Energy’s 750,000 SF corporate headquarters in the CBD, to be completed in 2012.
Fort Worth, Texas $19.47 $38.00 2.0%
increase of 10% of gross inventory over an 18-month period. There is no institutional grade
product currently under construction and rents continue to erode. Austin, Texas $21.00 $32.00 16.0%
Corpus Christi, Texas $19.00 $28.00 14.0%
The vacancy rate in the Dallas industrial market stands at about 12%. There is heavy competi-
San Antonio, Texas $16.14 $31.00 17.1%
tion for every tenant, pushing rental rates down while also increasing move-in incentives.
Absorption rates are in the negative territory for the first time in a while.
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Houston’s industrial market has remained stable with an overall vacancy rate of 6.9% and
Power Centers
market. That, combined with new inventory, produced a vacancy rate of more than 13%. The McAllen/Mission, Texas $80.00 $100.00 4.0%
first softening in rental rates and pricing is evident. San Antonio, Texas $42.50 $60.00 10.4%
Retail
increased 0.8%. Some 21 buildings were delivered totaling just over 300,000 SF. Cap rates
McAllen/Mission, Texas $7.20 $7.801 5.0%
have averaged 7.90%.
Industrial
Downtown Office
Hawaii Utah Santa Clara County (Silicon Valley), California $43.44 $85.20 24.1%
Class A
Idaho Washington San Francisco County, California $36.42 $70.00 14.4%
Montana Wyoming Los Angeles County, California $34.19 $52.54 13.7%
Sacramento, California $34.08 $39.60 9.6%
Jackson Hole, Wyoming $32.50 $35.00 10.0%
San Diego, California $31.50 $36.00 18.0%
Office
The entertainment industry, a primary component of the Los Angeles market, has weathered Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Suburban Office
the economic crisis well, but demand is off in most other sectors. Tenants are giving back excess Santa Clara County (Silicon Valley), California $35.60 $78.96 23.9%
Class A
space and renegotiating leases to reduce their operating costs. Higher vacancy rates, lower San Mateo County, California $35.04 $162.00 18.7%
lease rates and tight credit have almost eliminated new construction. Los Angeles County, California $32.67 $77.40 14.8%
Marin County, California $30.96 $60.00 27.9%
The office vacancy rate in Phoenix is 25% overall, but vacancy at Class A+ product downtown
Ventura County, California $30.00 $35.00 19.6%
and in suburban submarkets has reached a staggering 60%. Relief won’t come anytime soon
with over 2 million SF currently under construction.
Portland office vacancy increased considerably during 2009, but Class A space in the CBD Leading Price Retail Markets
remained tight at around 6%. No new CBD projects will deliver until summer 2010.
Positive net absorption of almost 300,000 SF of office space in San Diego in Q3 provided some
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
welcome positive news in an otherwise very difficult year. Investment activity is well off the 2007
San Francisco County, California $76.33 $750.00 6.7%
Downtown
peak in velocity and volume. Excluding buildings under 15,000 SF, sale prices in 2009 averaged
Retail
Santa Clara County (Silicon Valley), California $48.00 $72.00 7.6%
$140/SF, down from $230/SF in 2008.
Seattle, Washington $42.00 $65.00 8.1%
The San Francisco commercial market remained plagued by rising vacancy, declining rents and San Diego, California $33.33 $60.00 6.6%
occupancy loss with the September 2009 preliminary unemployment rate reaching 10.4%. The Los Angeles County, California $32.61 $45.24 4.6%
market-wide vacancy rate rose to 15.3% at the end of Q3 with nearly 1.7 million SF of nega-
tive absorption year to date. Rental rates dropped $3.75 to $33.01/SF full service. Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
San Mateo office vacancy peaked above 18% in 2009, climbing 680 basis points from 2008. Service Centers San Francisco County, California $45.06 $65.00 3.6%
Santa Clara County (Silicon Valley), California $36.00 $48.00 10.8%
Retail
The average asking rate decreased a dramatic $10.32 in the past year to $31.92/SF full serv-
ice per year. Since 2007, nearly 5.7 million SF of office space has been absorbed from San San Mateo County, California $33.66 $54.00 3.8%
Mateo County's available marketplace. Ventura County, California $25.70 $39.00 9.1%
Los Angeles County, California $25.31 $41.68 6.8%
Industrial
Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Denver’s vacancy rate is nearing 9%. The good news is there are several large transactions
Power Centers
Offsetting Los Angeles’ gains in entertainment are losses in international trade. Total shipments Santa Clara County (Silicon Valley), California $85.00 $125.00 12.0%
through September at the Port of Long Beach decreased 24.6 % from the previous year, and San Francisco County, California $71.37 $150.00 1.5%
Retail
contributed to rising vacancy and weakening rents in the L.A. County industrial sector. Phoenix, Arizona $50.00 $80.00 10.0%
Demand for industrial space in Reno was down for the third consecutive year and the vacancy Albuquerque, New Mexico $42.00 $50.00 22.8%
rate reached an all-time high above 15%. Even with virtually no speculative development Seattle, Washington $39.00 $90.00 4.8%
during 2009, occupancy receded by more than 3% (almost 2 million SF) and effective rents
dropped 15% to 25%, with a concomitant decrease in property values.
Leading Price Industrial Markets
Retail
In December 2009, MGM Mirage’s $8.5 billion CityCenter mixed-use development debuts with Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Bulk Warehouse
18.5 million SF of resort and residential development along the famous Las Vegas Strip. The Ventura County, California $15.00 $10.80 5.9%
Industrial
property is expected to act as a catalyst for increased visitation, which should have rippling Marin County, California $13.80 $15.60 10.0%
effects throughout the local economy. San Mateo County, California $9.48 $18.00 13.5%
San Francisco County, California $9.12 $16.20 5.1%
While economic conditions in Los Angeles County remain weak, one bright spot is discount
San Diego, California $8.34 $12.00 9.4%
retailers such as Big Lots, Dollar Tree, 99 Cents Only and Wal-Mart, continue to expand.
Retail landlords in Phoenix have been aggressive with rental rates and concessions for both Market Effective Avg. High Rent Vacancy
Manufacturing
new and existing tenants. In spite of those efforts, overall vacancy has risen from 10.3% at the Marin County, California $13.80 $15.60 10.0%
Industrial
beginning of 2009 to the current level of 11%. New construction has exacerbated the problem Ventura County, California $12.60 $7.80 6.3%
with 2.8 million SF added over the past year and another 1 million SF is due to delivered by Santa Cruz County, California $10.08 $16.20 5.4%
mid-2010. San Diego, California $9.24 $18.00 10.9%
San Mateo County, California $9.24 $18.00 11.0%
SECTION CONTENTS
Calgary, Alberta, Canada
Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Victoria, British Columbia, Canada
Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada
Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Montréal, Quebec, Canada
Regina, Saskatchewan, Canada
36
Calgary, Alberta, Canada Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
The global economic downturn continued to have a negative Edmonton and Northern Alberta weathered the economic
impact on the city of Calgary due to the influence the oil and storm longer than most markets throughout Canada. Of
gas industry has on our market. On top of that, the over built a provincial total of $240 billion in major projects proposed,
downtown office boom in Calgary has led to vacancy that currently under construction or recently completed, $189
exceeds anything that we have experienced in the past. billion are slated for Northern Alberta. Oil and gas
Downtown office leasing continues to be the major story in projects make up 52.19% of this total. Throughout 2009, the
real estate in Calgary. There is currently over 1.8 million SF investment market has seen a tightening of available credit
of vacant sublease space and 1.3 million SF of head lease and the creation of a vast disconnect between seller’s
vacancy in the downtown core, with another 3.5 million SF of expectations and buyer’s opinions of value.
new space coming to the market in 2010. Companies are Even while the economy appears to be improving, credit and
continuing to reduce space in order to cut costs. If the current lending parameters remain tight from the effect of the
economic conditions continue, there is a potential for these sub-prime correction. Given these conditions, many owners
vacancy numbers to double by 2012. remain in a holding position and investment volumes are
On the positive side, the industrial and retail markets have down.
remained relatively stable because they were not overbuilt. With a total office inventory of 24,155,355 SF, vacancies
Contact The industrial developers adapted quickly to the recession Contact increased to 6.45% in 2009 up from 4.01% in 2008. Office
and as a result, inventory growth was very low in 2009. There rents from the peak in 2008 have been in decline. The
NAI Commercial Calgary NAI Commercial Edmonton
was continued strength in the sale of freestanding buildings 28-story, 618,000 SF Epcor Tower, still under construction,
+1 403 214 2344 +1 780 436 7410
in 2009 as prices saw a slight decrease and interest rates is now 70% committed. Redevelopment of the former
remained low. Professional Building (240,000 SF) continues and the
The investment market had reduced activity due to a shortage province has also announced a $356 million upgrade of the
of top-quality, wel-priced products being offered for sale, Federal Building which has been vacant since 1989.
which was not related to the weak economic conditions. All Edmonton’s retail inventory is reported at 25,438,598 SF
segments of the investment market are starting to show signs with a vacancy rate of 2.96% in 2009, down from 3.11% in
of new life. It is anticipated that positive recovery of this 2008. Despite challenging economic times, this segment
segment will continue over the next 12 to 18 months. remains strong with the expansion of existing players and
Country Data Although the downtown office leasing market is looking Country Data the introduction of new entrants to the market.
bleak, investors still view Calgary as a relatively strong The total inventory of industrial space grew by 6.7% to
Area 9,200,000 investment market. A prime example is the recent purchase Area 9,200,000 88,289,785 SF in 2009. The overall vacancy in 2009 was
of a new $74 million office development, Stampede Station 1.92% compared to 1.30% in 2008. Despite such a low
GDP Growth (%) -2.48% Phase One, by German Investors. GDP Growth (%) -2.48% vacancy rate, industrial activity has been down with the
largest vacancy increases being seen in the multi-bay
GDP 2008 (US$ B) $1,319.14 GDP 2008 (US$ B) $1,319.14
market. Given the economic news throughout 2009, tenants’
expectations were that rents should be significantly reduced.
GDP/Capita (USD) $39,217.29 GDP/Capita (USD) $39,217.29 Throughout the latter half of 2009, asking rents in varying
areas have moderated by about 10% with landlords offering
Inflation Rate (%) 0.15% Inflation Rate (%) 0.15% leasehold inducements in order to compete for lease deals.
Regina At A Glance
Conversion .97 CDN = 1 US$ NET RENT/SF/YR US$ NET RENT/SF/YR
Low High Low High Vacancy
DOWNTOWN OFFICE
New Construction (AAA) CDN $ 35.00 CDN $ 40.00 $ 3.35 $ 3.83 N/A
Class A (Prime) CDN $ 18.00 CDN $ 22.00 $ 1.72 $ 2.11 N/A
Class B (Secondary) CDN $ 12.00 CDN $ 14.00 $ 1.15 $ 1.34 N/A
SUBURBAN OFFICE
New Construction (AAA) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Class A (Prime) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Class B (Secondary) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
INDUSTRIAL
Bulk Warehouse CDN$ 6.00 CDN $ 8.00 $ 0.57 $ 0.77 N/A
Manufacturing N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
High Tech/R&D N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
RETAIL
Downtown CDN $ 20.00 CDN $ 25.00 $ 1.92 $ 2.39 N/A
Neighborhood Service Centers CDN $ 12.00 CDN $ 15.00 $ 1.15 $ 1.44 N/A
Community Power Center N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Regional Malls CDN $ 35.00 CDN $ 50.00 $ 3.35 $ 4.79 N/A
Solus Food Stores N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
DEVELOPMENT LAND Low//Acre High/Acre Low/Acre High/Acre
Office in CBD CDN $ 50.00 CDN $ 75.00 $ 51.55 $ 77.32
Land in Office Parks N/A N/A N/A N/A
Land in Industrial Parks CDN $ 4.00 CDN $ 6.00 $ 4.12 $ 6.19
Office/Industrial Land - Non-park N/A N/A N/A N/A
Retail/Commercial Land CDN $ 12.00 CDN $ 25.00 $ 12.37 $ 25.77
Residential N/A N/A N/A N/A
SECTION CONTENTS
Vienna, Austria
The Baltics (Latvia/Estonia/Lithuania)
Sofia, Bulgaria
Prague, Czech Republic
Copenhagen, Denmark
Finland
Paris - Ile de France (Paris Region), France
Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Athens Greece
Iceland
Tel Aviv, Israel
Almaty, Kazakhstan
Kuwait
Oslo, Norway
Doha City, Qatar
Bucharest, Romania
Moscow, Russian Federation
St. Petersburg, Russian Federation
Belgrade, Serbia
Johannesburg, South Africa
Madrid, Spain
Stockholm, Sweden
Geneva, Switzerland
Zurich, Switzerland
Kiev, Ukraine
Istanbul, Turkey
London, England, United Kingdom
42 42
Vienna, Austria The Baltics (Latvia/Estonia/Lithuania)
Vienna is the capital of Austria and has a population of 1.7 Until recently, the Baltic States have been among the fastest
million. The city has historically been a focus for commerce growing economies in Europe. However, the unbalanced
between East and the West. Growth in the Austrian economy growth from 2005 through 2008, influenced by rapidly
is estimated at -3.4% for 2009 with inflation at 0.5%. The growing domestic demand and availability of advantageous
unemployment rate was 4.4% in July 2009, compared to credit resources, is the primary cause for the current crisis
9% for the EU 27. in the three Baltic countries. The economic activities
The new supply of office space was approximately 240,000 decreased most significantly in trade, manufacturing and
SM in 2008. For 2009 about 220,000 SM are estimated. construction sectors. With the decline of domestic demand,
Demand in the office space rental market has slackened. the consumer price inflation has been gradually decreasing.
Nevertheless, with approximately 280,000 SM of activity, The office market faces a severe slowdown due to lack of
the leasing performance will level off at a respectable value financing and a decrease in demand. Vacancy rates
due to numerous relocations and location consolidations. continue to rise. Vacancy in Class A offices is about 10% on
Annual leasing activity totaled approximately 340,000 average and 10.5% to 27% in Class B offices. Landlords
SM during the record years of 2005-2008. are offering attractive incentives and discounted rentals.
In recent months, increased space demand has come from Compared to 2008, the average rental decrease was 25%
the trade, financial and leisure sectors. Top rents as well as for Class B and 15% for Class A offices.
Contact Contact
the average rent are stable at €24.00, respectively Over the last few years more than 15 shopping centers
NAI Otto Immobilien NAI Baltics
€12.10/SM/month. The vacancy rate remains at 5.7%. opened or were significantly expanded in the Baltic States.
+43 1 512 77 77 +371 6731 2396
Demand for industrial and warehousing facilities has weak- However, the large scale retail developments have been
ened significantly. Rents have softened to around temporarily postponed. The retail space market has changed
€5.00/SM/month. Owner-occupation is still a dominant from a landlords’ market to a tenants’ market, and many
feature of the market. Retail sales in Austria continued to international companies have chosen to enter the Baltic
be strong during the first six months of 2009. Prime rents States retail market under the new preferential conditions.
for unit shops achieve approximately €2,400/SM/year. One major advantage of the three Baltic countries is strategic
Within the framework of Vienna’s main railway stations a lot location at the crossroads between Eastern and Western
of retail space is going to enter the market during Europe, hence new entrant international companies are
the next few years. Investment market demand, as well as seeing the benefits of setting up manufacturing or logistics
Country Data the requirements concerning property quality and yields, Country Data
activities in the Baltic States. Due to current economic
have risen (as much as 1% beyond the top segment). Pricing conditions, rental rates for industrial/warehouse facilities
Area (KM2) 1334.3 continues to be difficult for both sides. The massive Area (KM2) 175015
have shown instability and a major decrease.
purchase price reductions some expected have not materi-
GDP Growth (%) -3.82% alized due to market participants’ wait and see stance. GDP Growth (%) 15.5% Investment volumes were diminished in 2009, mostly due to
limitations on real estate financing imposed by the Scandi-
In recent months, the commercial properties changing navian banks, which play a leading role in the Baltics, as
GDP 2009 (US$ B) $374.42 GDP 2009 (US$ B) $83.70
ownership have been mostly special-use properties like well as the influence of the sub-prime mortgage crisis on the
garages and supermarkets, rather than typical offices. European markets.
GDP/Capita (US$) $45,090.49 Nowadays a trend to less risky real estate investments is GDP/Capita (US$) $11,900
clearly noticeable on the demand side. Experiencing a current downturn, the Baltic real estate
Inflation Rate (%) 0.47% Inflation Rate (%) 2.5% market provides excellent possibilities to attain high returns
and future prospects of capital appreciation when the
Unemployment 5.27% Unemployment 14.7% market stabilizes. The Baltic States will remain an interesting
Rate (%) Rate (%) arena for investors and professional developers due to its
Interest Rate(%) 1.00% Interest Rate(%) 7.5% excellent strategic location between Eastern and Western
Europe.
Population (Millions) 8.304 Population (Millions) 7.0
Land in Office Parks N/A N/A N/A N/A Office in CBD € 3,000.00 € 19,600.00 $ 398.15 $ 2,601.26
Land in Industrial Parks N/A N/A N/A N/A Land in Office Parks € 400.00 € 1,000.00 $ 53.09 $ 132.72
N/A N/A N/A N/A Land in Industrial Parks € 160.00 € 250.00 $ 21.23 $ 33.18
Office/Industrial Land - Non-park
N/A N/A N/A N/A Office/Industrial Land - Non-park € 170.00 € 250.00 $ 22.56 $ 33.18
Retail/Commercial Land
N/A N/A N/A N/A Retail/Commercial Land € 180.00 € 250.00 $ 23.89 $ 33.18
Residential
Residential € 500.00 € 1,000.00 $ 66.36 $ 132.72
2010 Global Market Report I www.naiglobal.com 46
Athens, Greece Reykjavik Iceland
Greece weathered the economic crisis fairly well despite a The economic situation in Iceland has been uncertain
15.8% drop in building permits. The market is looking to the throughout 2009 because of the collapse of 80% of the
new government for a way out from Ministry decisions con- banking system in October 2008. The property market has
cerning matters of semi-sheltered spaces. Property taxation been extremely slow. The number of commercial real estate
is another major issue for 2010. The market awaiting gov- sales is only about 10-20% of the volume recorded in 2007.
ernment provided incentives to boost construction through The economy is export driven with fish and aluminum
cheaper loans, radical changes in urban planning laws and the primary exports, and the domestic tourist business is
efforts towards tying up loose ends that deter foreign in- booming because of the low value of the Icelandic krona.
vestors from investing. Further, the market is eagerly await- The property market in Iceland has been slow or almost
ing resolution of major projects Votanikos, Galatsi and frozen throughout 2009. Most deals that occur involve
Mesogeia malls. smaller units where buyers are using the opportunity to
The office market in Athens is estimated at over 2 million SM buy into a good location now at a lower price than in the
with the vast majority being under 500 SM floor plates. Re- last few years. Many of the Icelandic real estate holding
cent Class A buildings tend to be from 800 SM to 1,000 companies have gone or are going bankrupt, so the owner-
SM. Older buildings have limited or no parking. Current ex- ship of a large part of the leased out real estate base is
isting inventory is estimated between 50,000 SM to 75,000 changing hands, mostly to the new government-owned
Contact SM with less than 25,000 SM under construction. Vacancy Contact banks. It is not yet known if or when these properties will be
NAI Ktimatiki rates are estimated at 7-8% for all classes, mainly due to NAI Reykjavik sold in the market.
+30 210 3628559 corporate consolidations. Demand for over 2,000 SM to + 354 5331122
The fundamentals in the Icelandic economy are the export
8,000 SM is high, however, supply is limited. Yields in- of fish and aluminum, which have been enjoying the very
creased from their low of 6% to reach 7-7.5%. weak Icelandic krona. Also the tourism in Iceland has been
Property prices on prime locations in Thessaloniki high- booming, which again has resulted in increasing demand
streets have dropped by an estimated 5-10%, while in other for hotel rooms. Banks have been more willing to lend into
locations prices have dropped by over 15% in some cases. hotel development projects than any other type of projects.
On Tsimiski Street, ground retail spaces are leased for €100- Many office, retail and residential development projects have
€150/SM and sale prices reach €30,000 to €35,000/SM, been delayed or cancelled, and in the immediate future such
while the same numbers for Mitropoleos Street are €50/SM new projects are not likely to be started. The Icelandic
Country Data and €8,000 to €10,000/SM, respectively. Country Data government has applied for Iceland to become a member of
Retail investments in Thessaloniki seem undeterred by the the EU. Some investors may see that as an opportunity to
Area (KM2) 1334.3 Area (KM2) 1334.3 invest in Iceland.
crisis. Louis Vuitton leased a further 100 SM for its store,
while Inditex signed deals for four city center stores, includ- The value of the Icelandic krona is very low now. Prices of
GDP Growth (%) -0.75% GDP Growth (%) -8.51%
ing an €8.2 million leasing deal for its Pull & Bear brand. properties have come down. Iceland may join the EU within
Eurobank Properties REIC purchased three retail stores to- the next two years and adopting the Euro within five years.
GDP 2009 (US$ B) $338.25 GDP 2009 (US$ B) $11.78
taling 33,000 SM leased to Praktiker Hellas, a subsidiary of
German Praktiker AG. The deal closed at a reported price of
GDP/Capita (US$) $30,304.75 €46 million, which is an estimated 9.5% reduction from a GDP/Capita (US$) $36,873.43
2006 reported value. The yield is at 8.3%.
Inflation Rate (%) 1.13% Inflation Rate (%) 11.67%
Tourism income fell 10.7% and shipping income dropped
Unemployment
38.7% in August 2009 compared to the same period in Unemployment
9.50% 8.62%
Rate (%) 2008, while current account balance remained unchanged Rate (%)
at €425 million. Travel expenditure from non-locals dropped
Interest Rate(%) 1.00% Interest Rate(%) 12.00%
10.7% over August 2008, while locals increased spending
Population (Millions) 11.162 9.7%. Transportation gross receipts (mostly shipping) Population (Millions) 0.319
dropped 38.7%, while income account deficit dropped by
€56 million.
London At A Glance
Conversion: 0.6162 £ = 1 US$ RENT/M2/YR RENT/SF/YR
Low High Low High Vacancy
OFFICE WEST END 6.7%
Mayfair £ 700.00 £ 800.00 $ 105.54 $ 120.61 N/A
Victoria £ 500.00 £ 565.00 $ 75.38 $ 85.18 N/A
OFFICE CITY 8.5%
Core £ 400.00 £ 450.00 $ 60.31 $ 67.84 N/A
Fringe £ 300.00 £ 350.00 $ 45.23 $ 52.77 N/A
Mid-town £ 400.00 £ 450.00 $ 60.31 $ 67.84 N/A
INDUSTRIAL SPACE
South East (excluding Heathrow) £ 85.00 £ 120.00 $ 12.82 $ 18.09 N/A
Heathrow £ 130.00 £ 140.00 $ 19.60 $ 21.11 N/A
RETAIL SPACE (ZONE A)
Brompton Road N/A £ 5,167.00 N/A $ 779.01 N/A
Canary Wharf N/A £ 3,606.00 N/A $ 543.66 N/A
City N/A £ 2,153.00 N/A $ 324.60 N/A
Convent Garden N/A £ 5,920.00 N/A $ 892.54 N/A
Oxford Street N/A £ 5,813.00 N/A $ 876.41 N/A
New Bond Street N/A £ 8,234.00 N/A $ 1,241.41 N/A
Marylebone High Street N/A £ 2,153.00 N/A $ 324.60 N/A
DEVELOPMENT LAND Low/M2 High/M2 Low/SF High/SF
Office in CBD N/A N/A N/A N/A
Land in Office Parks N/A N/A N/A N/A
Land in Industrial Parks N/A N/A N/A N/A
Office/Industrial Land - Non-park N/A N/A N/A N/A
Retail/Commercial Land N/A N/A N/A N/A
Residential N/A N/A N/A N/A
Contact Completed transactions during 2009 included Hino Motors Contact Mexico City and Toluca encompass more than 17 million
(Automotive), Samot (Metal Mecanic) and Teco Westing- SM of industrial land. At the end of 2009, the largest
NAI Mexico NAI Mexico
house (Power Solutions), all of them build-to-suit projects. vacancy among the main industrial submarkets in the
+1 619 690 3029 +1 619 690 3029
Vacancy rates during 2009 decreased from 10.14% to Mexico City metro area was registered in Cuautitlan with
9.8% as a result of the lease of “Pisa Company” and “TLG” 20% of the total industrial inventory. Recent developments
in Castro Del Rio Industrial Park and the delivery of 247,572 include Tlalnepantla, Toluca-Lerma and now Huehuetoca.
SF of build-to-suit projects in Santa Fe Industrial Park. Lease rates and land values have not fallen and are
Guanajuato’s office market is small and most space is expected to remain unchanged during 2010.
composed of low rise, garden office type projects that host The retail sector cooled rapidly during 2009 although
Mexican local firms and global service providers. Lease rates Amway, Wal-Mart, Costco, Home Depot, Best Buy and other
and land values are steady and not projected to rise during big box retailers experienced some growth, even under the
Country Data 2010. Country Data negative economic conditions. However, the rate of expan-
The retail sector consists of large multi-tenant shopping sion for these retailers decreased across the board.
centers located in middle and low income areas such as Area 1,972,550
Investors are now looking for stand-alone sites, strip centers
Area 1,972,550
Plaza El Suez. Lease rates and land value are expected to and anchored retail centers for 2010.
GDP Growth (%) -7.34% remain stable through 2010. GDP Growth (%) -7.34% Office market vacancies were under 10% in 2009 due to
Guanajuato’s unique central location in Mexico and its high demand from the number of companies seeking office
GDP 2008 (US$ B) $866.34 position at the crossroads of the nation’s two largest rail GDP 2008 (US$ B) $866.34 space and limited inventory due to the lack of new buildings
lines and highways position it to become a major trade on the market. New construction projected for late 2009
corridor into North America for many years to come. GDP/Capita (USD) $8,040.24
has been delayed and only those buildings with over 80%
GDP/Capita (USD) $8,040.24
completion are being finalized. Lease rates are running from
$24-$40/SM per month. In general, the Mexico City office
Inflation Rate (%) 5.43% Inflation Rate (%) 5.43%
market remains strong and a constant demand for product
promises a robust market for 2010.
Unemployment 6.06% Unemployment 6.06%
Rate (%) Rate (%) Mexico City will continue to be a first stop for foreign in-
vestors. Its critical mass, domestic market demand and po-
Interest Rate (%) 4.5% Interest Rate (%) 4.5% sition as a place for Latin American regional headquarters
ensure continued growth and a positive forecast for 2010
Population (Millions) 107.75 and beyond. Mexico City will remain a global destination for
Population (Millions) 107.75
both corporate users and investors for many years to come.
Guanajuato At A Glance Mexico City At A Glance
RENT/SF/YR RENT/M2/MO US$ RENT/SF/YR
Low High Effective Avg. Vacancy Low High Low High Vacancy
DOWNTOWN OFFICE DOWNTOWN OFFICE
New Construction (AAA) N/A N/A N/A N/A New Construction (AAA) $ 24.00 $ 40.00 $ 26.76 $ 44.59 10.0%
Class A (Prime) $ 9.60 $ 12.86 $ 11.23 12.0% Class A (Prime) $ 18.00 $ 24.00 $ 20.07 $ 26.76 20.0%
Class B (Secondary) $ 4.40 $ 8.76 $ 6.58 12.0% Class B (Secondary) $ 8.00 $ 15.00 $ 8.92 $ 16.72 35.0%
SUBURBAN OFFICE SUBURBAN OFFICE
New Construction (AAA) N/A N/A N/A N/A New Construction (AAA) $ 20.00 $ 25.00 $ 22.30 $ 27.87 30.0%
Class A (Prime) $ 7.48 $ 14.57 $ 11.02 4.0% Class A (Prime) $ 15.00 $ 20.00 $ 16.72 $ 22.30 35.0%
Class B (Secondary) $ 4.33 $ 8.68 $ 6.50 4.0% Class B (Secondary) $ 10.00 $ 16.00 $ 11.15 $ 17.84 25.0%
INDUSTRIAL INDUSTRIAL
Bulk Warehouse $ 3.48 $ 4.40 $ 3.94 9.8% Bulk Warehouse $ 4.00 $ 6.00 $ 4.46 $ 6.69 16.0%
Manufacturing $ 4.35 $ 4.70 $ 4.52 9.8% Manufacturing $ 4.00 $ 7.00 $ 4.46 $ 7.80 15.0%
High Tech/R&D N/A N/A N/A N/A High Tech/R&D $ 5.00 $ 7.00 $ 5.57 $ 7.80 20.0%
RETAIL RETAIL
Downtown $ 13.50 $ 24.25 $ 18.87 N/A Downtown (High Street Shops) $ 12.00 $ 50.00 $ 13.38 $ 55.74 15.0%
Neighborhood Service Centers $ 15.90 $ 27.50 $ 21.70 N/A Neighborhood Service Centers $ 18.00 $ 26.00 $ 20.07 $ 28.99 20.0%
Community Power Center N/A N/A N/A N/A Community Power Center (Big Box) $ 25.00 $ 40.00 $ 27.87 $ 44.59 12.0%
Regional Malls $ 15.50 $ 33.37 $ 24.43 N/A Regional Malls $ 35.00 $ 40.00 $ 39.02 $ 44.59 20.0%
Solus Food Stores N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
DEVELOPMENT LAND Low/M2 High/M2
DEVELOPMENT LAND Low/ M2 High/M2 Low/SF High/SF
SECTION CONTENTS
Birmingham, AL Boise, ID Manchester, NH Schuylkill County, PA
Huntsville, AL Southeast Idaho (Idaho Falls/Pocatello) Portsmouth, NH Wilkes-Barre, PA
Mobile, AL Chicago, IL Atlantic County, NJ Columbia, SC
Phoenix, AZ Springfield, IL Middlesex/Somerset Counties, NJ Greenville/Spartanburg/
Jonesboro, AR Fort Wayne, IN Northern, NJ Anderson Counties, SC
Little Rock, AR Indianapolis, IN Ocean County, NJ Sioux Falls, SD
Inland Empire, CA Cedar Rapids, Iowa City, IA Princeton, NJ Chattanooga, TN
Los Angeles, CA Davenport, Bettendorf IA Southern, NJ Clarksville, TN
Marin County, CA and Rock Island, Moline, IL Albuquerque, NM Knoxville, TN
Monterey County, CA Des Moines, IA Las Cruces, NM Memphis, TN
Oakland, CA Sioux City IA Albany, NY Nashville, TN
Orange Couny, CA Wichita, KS Long Island, NY Austin, TX
Sacramento, CA Lexington, KY New York, NY Beaumont, TX
San Diego, CA Louisville, KY Asheville, NC Corpus Christi, TX
San Francisco County, CA Batten Rouge, LA Charlotte, NC Dallas, TX
San Mateo County, CA Monroe, LA Greensboro, NC Houston, TX
Santa Clara County, CA New Orleans, LA Raleigh, NC El Paso, TX
Santa Cruz County, CA Greater Portland, ME Fargo, ND Fort Worth, TX
Sonoma County, CA Baltimore, MD Akron, OH Rio Grande Valley, TX
Ventura County, CA Suburban Maryland, MD Canton, OH San Antonio, TX
Colorado Springs, CO Boston, MA Cincinnati, OH Texarkana, TX
Denver, CO Western (Greater Springfield), MA Cleveland, OH Salt Lake City, UT
Delaware & Cecil County, Maryland Detroit, MI Columbus, OH Washington County, UT
Washington D.C. Grand Rapids, MI Dayton, OH Burlington, VT
Fort Lauderdale, FL Lansing, MI Oklahoma City, OK Northern Virginia, VA
Ft. Myers, FL Minneapolis/St. Pau, MN Tulsa, OK Seattle/Puget Sound, WA
Jacksonville, FL Kansas City, MO Portland, OR Spokane, WA
Martin & St. Lucie Counties, FL St. Louis, MO Allentown, PA Tri-Cities WA
Miami, FL Bozeman, MT Berks County, PA Madison, WI
Orlando, FL Missoula, MT Bucks County, PA Milwaukee, WI
Palm Beach, FL Lincoln, NE Harrisburg/York/Lebanaon, PA Northeastern (Fox Valley/Green Bay), WI
Tampa Bay, FL Omaha, NE Lancaster, PA Casper, WY
Atlanta, GA Las Vegas, NV Philadelphia, PA Jackson Hole, WY
Honolulu, HI Reno, NV Pittsburgh, PA
Birmingham, Alabama Huntsville, Decatur County, Alabama
Birmingham is Alabama’s largest metropolitan area and one The Huntsville/Madison County commercial real estate market
of the largest urban regions in the South. This area has a continues to remain stable throughout the first three
diverse workforce of over 900,000 and a thriving economic quarters of 2009. Although the local economy remains in
base, including a mixture of corporate headquarters, biotech- recession, the jobs Huntsville will gain from Base Realign-
related industries, operations centers, distribution facilities ment and Closure (BRAC) consolidation will lift the city out
and automotive manufacturing and related suppliers. of the nationwide recession before the rest of the country.
Most sectors of Birmingham’s commercial market showed The Huntsville/Madison County community once again led
continued signs of contraction in 2009 with rental rates Alabama in both population growth and the new and
and occupancies declining. Negative absorption for the expanding job markets.
multi-tenant markets also continued, though there was The Huntsville/Decatur office market has remained stable in
some absorption in freestanding industrial buildings and the 2009. Absorption of office space has slowed, but continued
service-center sector. There has been little new product defense spending has allowed several companies to build
brought to the market due to the credit freeze, although a new buildings in 2009. The office market should remain
few office developments were under construction based on stable with slower growth for the next two years sustained
previous commitments. by the planned growth due the BRAC realignment. Rental
The Birmingham office market overall, saw a direct rates in the office market have remained consistent at
Contact Contact $17.75-$25/SF for Class A space and $13 -$17/SF
negative absorption of 62,897 SF during Q2 and an
NAI Chase Commercial NAI Chase Commercial for Class B. New construction completed in 2009 has kept
occupancy rate of 91.6%, a slight decrease from 92% at
Realty, Inc. RE Services, Inc. vacancy rates higher at an 11% average. Office vacancy
the end of Q1. The Birmingham office market continues to
+1 888 539 1686 +1 888 539 1686 rates should begin to decrease by year’s end. Much of the
see negative absorption each quarter, however the gap is
narrowing. The CBD showed positive activity in Class A vacant space should be absorbed by the end of 2010.
space adding 10,000 SF to overall occupancy in Q3. The Overall, the 2010 forecast for office remains stable.
midtown market continues to demonstrate strength with an Huntsville’s industrial market is currently seeing vacancy in
overall occupancy of 95%. excess of 9%. The market is reacting by providing additional
Retail has also experienced a slide in occupancy due to the concessions and reduced rent, but vacancy is expected to
economy. Economic conditions have had the most inch higher during the first half of 2010.
Metropolitan Area
effect on the retail sector. Retail development has also Metropolitan Area The retail market has experienced anemic performance due
slowed dramatically. Homewood, Mountain Brook and to the economic downturn. More vacancies are increasing in
Economic Overview Vestavia maintain the highest occupancy for retail with a Economic Overview big block space and niche shopping centers. The Huntsville
2009 year-to-date level of 91%. However, it too has experienced 200 retail market ended 2008 with a 12% vacancy rate. Vacancy
Population 1,105,506 negative absorption of 7,000 SF for the year. Population 402,764 rates have continued to rise in 2009. Construction starts
The Birmingham industrial market experienced a negative came to a near halt during 2009. To combat low absorption
2014 Estimated 2014 Estimated
absorption of 126,262 SF in Q2. The overall occupancy rate Population 441,760 and the decline in retail activity, landlords have begun
Population 1,191,674
was 81.4%, a decrease from 83.2% in Q1. Despite a lowering rental rates and offering more concessions.
Employment Employment
negative absorption of 18,906 SF for the quarter, the 193,101
Huntsville remains the shining star of the state of Alabama
Population 569,945 Population
midtown submarket continues to demonstrate strength with with national recognition and rankings. The Huntsville/Madison
Household the highest occupancy rate in the market of 95.8% and an Household County community has received unprecedented rankings
Average Income $65,470 occupancy rate of 97.1% in Class A space. Average Income $64,222 and recognition for job growth, technology and quality of life.
In 2009, it received its most lofty ranking yet when it was
Median Median
Household Income $48,949 Household Income $55,903
named by Kiplinger as the number one city in the US.
Median Median
Household Income $90,312 Household Income $60,077
Employment
expected to continue to go up as demand remains slow. Employment
Population 2,274,988 San Francisco’s first quarter 2009 retail vacancy rate was Population 374,088
Household
the lowest in the country at 2 percent, remaining unchanged Household
Average Income $100,489 from year end 2008, and far below the national average of Average Income $116,511
7.2 percent. Average asking rates dropped 4.6 percent to
Median $38.14 per square foot. Of the top metropolitan areas Median
Household Income $77,440 throughout the country, San Francisco’s low vacancy rate is Household Income $89,763
Total Population
reflective of our individual market demand in our supply- Total Population
Median Age 40 constrained urban environment. Median Age 40.8
Median Median
Household Income $93,182 Household Income $67,389
Median Median
Household Income $61,930 Household Income $68,140
Median Median
Household Income $58,403 Household Income $47,986
Median Median
Household Income $55,798 Household Income $61,107
Cedar Rapids At A Glance Davenport,Bettendorf, Iowa and Rock Island,Moline, Illinois At A Glance
(Rent/SF/YR) Low High Effective Avg. Vacancy (Rent/SF/YR) Low High Effective Avg. Vacancy
DOWNTOWN OFFICE DOWNTOWN OFFICE
Premium (AAA) N/A N/A N/A N/A New Construction (AAA) N/A N/A N/A N/A
Class A (Prime) $ 10.00 $ 13.00 $ 11.50 N/A Class A (Prime) $ 13.00 $ 18.00 $ 15.25 15.0%
Class B (Secondary) $ 7.00 $ 10.00 $ 8.00 N/A Class B (Secondary) $ 7.00 $ 11.00 $ 9.50 20.0%
SUBURBAN OFFICE SUBURBAN OFFICE
New Construction (AAA) $ 13.00 $ 13.50 $ 13.50 N/A New Construction (AAA) $ 14.50 $ 21.00 $ 16.50 10.0%
Class A (Prime) $ 13.00 $ 16.00 $ 13.50 6.0% Class A (Prime) $ 13.00 $ 16.50 $ 14.75 12.0%
Class B (Secondary) $ 10.00 $ 12.00 $ 11.00 18.0% Class B (Secondary) $ 10.50 $ 13.00 $ 11.25 15.0%
INDUSTRIAL INDUSTRIAL
Bulk Warehouse $ 7.50 $ 6.50 $ 4.50 7.80% Bulk Warehouse $ 1.75 $ 3.50 $ 2.63 15.0%
Manufacturing $ 3.00 $ 10.00 N/A 5.0% Manufacturing $ 2.00 $ 5.00 $ 3.50 5.0%
High Tech/R&D $ 7.00 $ 15.00 $ 9.00 N/A High Tech/R&D $ 6.50 $ 8.50 $ 7.50 10.0%
RETAIL RETAIL
Downtown N/A N/A N/A N/A Downtown $ 8.00 $ 12.00 $ 10.00 10.0%
Neighborhood Service Centers $ 9.00 $ 12.00 $ 10.00 15.0% Neighborhood Service Centers $ 10.00 $ 28.00 $ 15.00 7.0%
Sub Regional Centers $ 10.00 $ 22.00 $ 14.00 10.0% Community Power Center $ 4.00 $ 12.00 $ 6.00 10.0%
Regional Malls $ 12.00 $ 45.00 $ 30.00 2.0% Regional Malls N/A N/A N/A N/A
Median Median
Household Income $52,415 Household Income $47,801
Median Median
Household Income $56,923 Household Income $56,523
Median Median
Household Income $55,768 Household Income $47,771
Median Median
Household Income $56,451 Household Income $55,623
Median Median
Household Income $67,109 Household Income $49,637
Median Median
Household Income $49,569 Household Income $57,738
Employment Wright Patterson Air Force Base continues to be the region’s Employment
Population 459,851 economic engine, with a dozen new construction projects in Population 658,188
the pipeline valued over $300 million. The 1,000,000 SF of
Household facility space under construction over the next three years Household
Average Income $59,972 Average Income $63,547
will bring an additional 1,200 new jobs to the market.
Median Median
Household Income $53,222 Household Income $47,782
Median Median
Household Income $63,251 Household Income $39,962
With a dynamic young labor force, strategic bi-national South Texas has been less affected by the recession than
location, low cost of living and development opportunities, many other areas, but national pressures have moved into
the Rio South Texas region is an ideal location for global San Antonio, the seventh largest city in the US. Still, the Alamo
companies looking to expand or relocate. The convergence City has been identified as one of the top cities (Brookings
of two nations into one region with many choices is the focal Institution) and one of the most recession-resistant (Forbes)
point of a new marketing strategy. in the country.
While commercial real estate activity is down overall in the New construction and investment activity slowed signifi-
Rio Grande Valley as compared to previous years, the market cantly in 2009. The office market added less than 300,000
continues to be one of the strongest in the nation through Q2 SF compared to more than 1.4 million constructed in 2008.
2009 according to the MetroMonitor report by Brookings Only one major warehouse facility with 275,000 SF was
Institution. Despite a slight decline in retail sales, big box completed and retail development was limited to less than
retailers are still entering the market. In 2009 McAllen’s third 1 million SF compared to 3.5 million SF added in 2008.
Best Buy opened and Buffalo Wild Wings is under construction Still, the market maintained some enviable positive momen-
with its second location. CVS entered the Rio Grande Valley tum with the addition of several notable relocations. In the
market in Q1 opening several locations throughout the industrial arena, Toyota Motor Corporation announced that
Valley. Ashley Furniture opened its first McAllen store and production of the Tacoma pick-up truck would be relocated
Contact Contact
Rooms-To-Go and Pappadeaux Seafood Kitchen are both from Freemont, California, to the San Antonio plant starting
NAI Rio Grande Valley under construction in McAllen and Pharr, respectively with NAI REOC Partners, Ltd.
in 2010 creating 850 new jobs. In the satellite community
+1 956 994 8900 Q2 2010 projected openings. Kohl’s, Bed Bath & Beyond, +1 210 524 4000
of Seguin, construction is under way on Caterpillar Inc’s
Forever 21, Shoe Carnival and one additional Walgreens 1 million SF, $170 million engine assembly plant, which is
have entered Brownsville. expected to create more than 1,400 new jobs.
The office market is dominated by healthcare and govern- In the office market, Medtronic, Inc. selected San Antonio
ment agencies with few leases or sales below 5,000 SF. for its new Diabetes Therapy Management and Education
Doctors Hospital at Renaissance has recently opened a Center, which filled the Overlook at the Rim (145,000 SF)
major addition, which includes a new Medical Tower with property. Citing San Antonio’s affordable office costs,
an expanded Emergency Department, a new Pediatric ample workforce and inland location away from the threat of
Intensive Care Unit and Pediatric Oncology Services. 495 damaging hurricanes, Whataburger Restaurants LP relocated
Metropolitan Area Metropolitan Area
Commerce Center became home to its second GSA building to 300 Concord Plaza (141,000 SF) after petroleum refiner
Economic Overview (four-story, 150,000 SF) which opened in Q1 2009. Economic Overview Tesoro Companies expanded into its new 618,000 SF
2009 With the opening of the newest international bridge in 2009 headquarters facility at Ridgewood Park.
Population 2,087,385
Population 1,196,001 January 2010, the industrial market will regain momentum. Looking ahead, IHS Global Insight predicted that San Antonio
The presence of maquiladoras provides considerable 2014 Estimated will be one of the first cities to lead the way out of the
2014 Estimated
Population 1,237,256 advantages to the economic environment along the border Population 2,325,643 recession and regain the pre-recession job levels in 2010.
by increasing trade, generating employment and acquiring Commercial real estate is expected to trail that recovery path
Employment local resources; all important stimuli to the economy in the Employment
904,793
with improvement anticipated in 2011.
Population 690,000 Population
South Texas area.
Household Household
Average Income $43,395 Average Income $61,347
Median Median
Household Income $31,110 Household Income $52,086
Median Median
Household Income $41,098 Household Income $62,526
Household Household
Average Income $59,135 Average Income $71,349
Median Median
Household Income $47,782 Household Income $57,648
Metropolitan Area
National retailers have greatly reduced their plans for new Metropolitan Area Large commercial construction projects this year have been
store openings in the region. There has been some activity single facility projects such as the new headquarters for
Economic Overview Economic Overview
in the retail leasing market limited mostly to local retailers. Gesa Credit Union. While interest in further development
2009 The downtown CBD remains a vibrant shopping district with 2009 has been strong growth has been slow as a result of the
Population 474,627 a slight decrease in retail sales. The industrial market has Population 234,721 challenges faced by contractors at loan origination. There-
stabilized and become fairly active in the second half of fore, much of the development this year has focused on
2014 Estimated 2014 Estimated
520,228
2009. Spokane's industrial vacancy increased slightly from Population 248,878 tenant improvements and the filling of existing commercial
Population
8.51% to 8.82% with rental rates remaining unchanged. properties.
Employment With the lack of any new construction anticipated in the next Employment
2010 predictions are brighter as Cascade Natural Gas and
Population 233,916 year, vacancy rates should decrease with rents increasing Population 89,082
Kennewick General Hospital anticipate breaking ground on
in 2010. Household their new facilities. Other growth, tied to local lending,
Household
Average Income $61,434 The overall economic climate in Spokane remains relatively Average Income $64,124 appears to be positive for developers. With unemployment
stable. There will continue to be some distressed sellers at 6% and home values currently up 8.9% over the past
Median Median
Household Income $47,298
in the market due to the economy, creating buying opportu- Household Income $59,323 three years, 2010 looks strong.
nities for owner users or investors with cash. Time will
Total Population continue to stabilize and improve the overall commercial real Total Population
37 Median Age 33
Median Age estate market.
Household Household
Average Income $60,479 Average Income $71,361
Median Median
Household Income $55,755 Household Income $46,558
Northeastern (Fox Valley/Green Bay), Wisconsin At A Glance Northeastern (Fox Valley/Green Bay), Wisconsin At A Glance
(Rent/SF/YR) Low High Effective Avg. Vacancy (Rent/SF/YR) Low High Effective Avg. Vacancy
DOWNTOWN OFFICE DOWNTOWN OFFICE
New Construction (AAA) N/A N/A N/A N/A New Construction (AAA) $ 18.00 $ 20.00 $ 19.00 5.0%
Class A (Prime) $ 16.00 $ 18.00 $ 17.00 15.0% Class A (Prime) $ 15.00 $ 20.00 $ 17.50 10.0%
Class B (Secondary) $ 12.50 $ 13.50 $ 13.00 20.0% Class B (Secondary) $ 10.00 $ 15.00 $ 12.50 12.0%
SUBURBAN OFFICE SUBURBAN OFFICE
New Construction (AAA) N/A N/A N/A N/A New Construction (AAA) $ 16.00 $ 19.00 $ 18.00 7.0%
Class A (Prime) $ 12.00 $ 16.00 $ 14.00 15.0% Class A (Prime) $ 15.00 $ 18.00 $ 17.00 5.0%
Class B (Secondary) $ 10.00 $ 12.00 $ 11.00 20.0% Class B (Secondary) $ 8.00 $ 14.00 $ 10.00 9.0%
INDUSTRIAL INDUSTRIAL
Bulk Warehouse $ 2.00 $ 2.50 $ 2.30 20.0% Bulk Warehouse $ 3.00 $ 8.00 $ 5.00 4.0%
Manufacturing $ 2.80 $ 5.00 $ 3.90 8.0% Manufacturing $ 4.00 $ 10.00 $ 7.00 4.0%
High Tech/R&D $ 5.00 $ 6.50 $ 5.60 14.0% High Tech/R&D $ 6.00 $ 12.00 $ 9.00 3.0%
RETAIL RETAIL
Downtown $ 8.00 $ 15.00 $ 11.50 15.0% Downtown $ 12.00 $ 16.00 $ 14.00 8.0%
Neighborhood Service Centers $ 12.00 $ 15.00 $ 13.50 15.0% Neighborhood Service Centers $ 10.00 $ 16.00 $ 12.00 6.0%
Community Power Center $ 12.00 $ 19.00 $ 15.00 15.0% Community Power Center $ 12.00 $ 18.00 $ 15.00 12.0%
Regional Malls $ 25.00 $ 55.00 $ 35.00 10.0% Regional Malls $ 6.00 $ 20.00 $ 13.00 8.0%
Household
Average Income $101,106
Median
Household Income $61,653
Total Population
Median Age 37.8