HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 1
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Interviews: 1,000 Adults, including 350 respondents with a cell phone only and
28 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.

Date: October 15-18, 2015

48 Male
52 Female
Study #15462
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.

The margin of error for 1,000 interviews among Adults is ±3.10%
The margin of error for 400 interviews among Republican Primary Voters is ±4.90%
The margin of error for 400 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ±4.90%

Unless otherwise noted by a “+”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.

Q2a

For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are?
(IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST)
18-24 ......................................................
25-29 ......................................................
30-34 ......................................................
35-39 ......................................................
40-44 ......................................................
45-49 ......................................................
50-54 ......................................................
55-59 ......................................................
60-64 ......................................................
65-69 ......................................................
70-74 ......................................................
75 and over ............................................
Not sure/refused ...................................

Q2b

To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic
or Spanish-speaking background?
Yes, Hispanic ...........................................
No, not Hispanic .......................................
Not sure/refused .....................................

Q2c

11
7
12
8
9
6
9
9
11
8
4
5
1

11
88
1

And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else?
White ..........................................................
Black ..........................................................
Asian ..........................................................
Other ..........................................................
Hispanic (VOL) .........................................
Not sure/refused .......................................

74
12
2
3
8
1

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015
Q3

Study #15462 -- page 2
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (STATE)]?
Registered ...................................
Not registered ..............................
Not sure .....................................

Q4

85
14
1

All in all, do you think that things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel that
things are off on the wrong track? 1
High

Headed in the right direction ...
Off on the wrong track .............
Mixed (VOL) ..........................
Not sure ................................

10/15
25
64
7
4

Low
10/1720/08+
12
78
7
3

9/15
30
62
5
3

7/15
28
65
4
3

6/15
31
61
4
4

4/15
28
62
6
4

3/15
32
60
5
3

1/15
31
59
5
5

12/14
27
64
6
3

11/14
25
65
6
4

10/3011/1/14+
27
63
6
4

10/812/14+
25
65
6
4

9/14+
23
67
6
4

8/14
22
71
5
2

6/14
25
63
7
5

4/14
27
63
6
4

3/14
26
65
5
4

1/14
28
63
5
4

12/13
29
64
5
2

10/2528/13
22
70
4
4

10/79/13
14
78
4
4

9/13
30
62
5
3

7/13
29
61
6
4

6/13
32
59
6
3

4/13
31
61
5
3

2/13
32
59
6
3

1/13
35
57
4
4

12/12
41
53
3
3

10/12+
41
53
4
2

9/2630/12+
40
53
5
2

9/1216/12+
39
55
4
2

8/12+
32
61
4
3

7/12+
32
60
5
3

6/12
31
61
5
3

5/12
33
58
5
4

4/12
33
59
6
2

3/12
33
58
5
4

1/12
30
61
5
4

12/11
22
69
6
3

11/11
19
73
5
3

10/11
17
74
5
4

8/11
19
73
5
3

7/11
25
67
5
3

6/11
29
62
6
3

5/11
36
50
10
4

4/11
28
63
6
3

1/11
35
56
5
4

12/10
28
63
6
3

11/10
32
58
6
4

10/2830/10+
31
60
5
4

10/1418/10+
32
59
6
3

9/10
32
59
5
4

8/2630/10
30
61
6
3

8/59/10
32
58
6
4

6/10
29
62
5
4

5/611/10
34
56
6
4

3/10
33
59
5
3

1/23 25/10
32
58
7
3

1/1014/10
34
54
10
2

12/09
33
55
10
2

10/09
36
52
9
3

9/09
39
48
10
3

7/09
39
49
9
3

6/09
42
46
9
3

4/09
43
43
10
4

2/09
41
44
9
6

1/09
26
59
9
6

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

9/01
72
11
11
6

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015
Q5

Study #15462 -- page 3
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

10/15
Approve ....... 46
Disapprove .. 49
Not sure .....
5

9/15
47
47
6

7/15
45
50
5

6/15
48
48
4

4/15
48
47
5

3/15
46
50
4

1/15
46
48
6

12/14
45
50
5

11/14
44
50
6

High
4/09
61
30
9

Low
9/14+
40
54
6

10/3011/1/14+
42
52
6

10/812/14+
42
52
6

9/14+
40
54
6

8/14
40
54
6

6/14
41
53
6

4/14
44
50
6

3/14
41
54
5

1/14
43
51
6

12/13
43
54
3

10/2528/13
42
51
7

10/7-9/13
47
48
5

9/13
45
50
5

8/13
44
48
8

7/13
45
50
5

6/13
48
47
5

4/13
47
48
5

2/13
50
45
5

1/13
52
44
4

12/12
53
43
4

10/12+
49
48
3

9/2630/12+
49
48
3

9/1216/12+
50
48
2

8/12+
48
49
3

7/12+
49
48
3

6/12
47
48
5

5/12
48
46
6

4/12
49
46
5

3/12
50
45
5

1/12
48
46
6

12/11
46
48
6

11/11
44
51
5

10/11
44
51
5

8/11
44
51
5

7/11
47
48
5

6/11
49
46
5

5/11
52
41
7

4/11
49
45
6

2/11
48
46
6

1/11
53
41
6

12/10
45
48
7

11/10
47
47
6

10/2830/10+
45
50
5

10/1418/10+
47
49
4

9/10
46
49
5

8/2630/10
45
49
6

8/59/10
47
48
5

6/10
45
48
7

5/2023/10
48
45
7

5/611/10
50
44
6

3/10
48
47
5

1/2325/10
50
44
6

1/1014/10
48
43
9

12/09
47
46
7

10/09
51
42
7

9/09
51
41
8

8/09
51
40
9

7/09
53
40
7

6/09
56
34
10

4/09
61
30
9

2/09
60
26
14

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015
Q6

Study #15462 -- page 4
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to
rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very
negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (AFTER THE FIRST TEN ITEMS, READ:) And,
just a few more. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA)

Barack Obama1
October 2015 ...............................
September 2015 ...........................
July 2015 ......................................
June 2015 ....................................
April 2015 .....................................
March 2015 ..................................
January 2015 ...............................
December 2014............................
November 2014............................
Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+ ...............
October 8-12, 2014+ ....................
September 2014+.........................
August 2014 .................................
June 2014 ....................................
April 2014 .....................................
March 2014 ..................................
January 2014 ...............................
December 2013............................
October 25-28, 2013 ....................
October 7-9, 2013 ........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................
April 2013 .....................................
January 2013 ...............................
December 2012............................
October 2012+ .............................
September 26-30, 2012+ .............
August 2012+ ...............................
July 2012+ ....................................
June 2012 ....................................
January 2012 ...............................
August 2011 .................................
April 2011 .....................................
January 2011 ...............................
December 2010............................
November 2010............................
October 28-30, 2010+ ..................
June 2010 ....................................
May 20-23, 2010 ..........................
March 2010 ..................................
January 23-25, 2010 ....................
December 2009............................
October 2009 ...............................
February 2009 ..............................
January 2009 ...............................
Barack Obama
High
February 2009 .....................................
Presidential Term Low
August 2014 ........................................
All-time Obama Low
October 28-30, 2006+ .........................

Neutral

Somewhat
Negative

Very
Negative

Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure

17
18
20
20
21
20
21
21
21
20
22
20
18
21
20
20
19
20
17
21
19
17
21
16
15
15
17
16
19
22
20
22
23
23
21
18
20
19
19
23
21
20
21
23

12
14
13
13
13
12
13
10
11
12
11
11
13
13
15
15
13
11
13
11
13
10
11
9
8
6
8
8
14
10
12
14
15
14
12
12
13
15
11
14
13
11
12
17

13
11
14
14
13
14
12
13
11
13
12
13
14
14
13
14
14
13
13
11
12
15
11
14
12
11
13
11
11
14
14
13
14
14
13
15
15
14
14
14
15
12
9
8

31
29
29
27
27
29
29
31
32
32
34
33
33
31
28
30
30
33
32
30
28
27
26
24
31
31
30
32
27
25
30
23
18
24
26
27
25
24
24
20
22
21
10
6

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3

47

21

12

9

10

1

22

18

13

14

33

-

14

17

18

5

6

40

Very
Positive

Somewhat
Positive

27
28
24
25
26
24
24
24
24
23
21
22
22
20
24
21
23
22
24
26
28
30
31
37
34
37
31
33
29
28
24
28
29
25
28
29
27
28
31
29
29
36
47
43

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 5
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q6 (cont'd)

Jeb Bush
October 2015 ...............................
September 2015 ...........................
July 2015 ......................................
June 2015 ....................................
April 2015 .....................................
March 2015 ..................................
January 2015 ...............................
November 2014 ............................
September 2014+.........................
April 2014 .....................................
May 30-June 2, 2013....................

Neutral

Somewhat
Negative

Very
Negative

Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure

19
20
23
21
18
19
14
20
17
17
17

31
31
26
29
32
34
36
27
32
32
33

21
19
22
16
19
20
16
18
18
18
11

19
20
18
20
17
14
16
15
12
14
12

5
6
8
8
9
9
13
14
16
15
18

19
14
15
21
19
21
20
24
21
23
23
23
26
29
32
34
34
33
26
29
26
25
26
32
27
27
23
17
18
20
17
22
24
18
16
21
19
24
16
16
27

20
25
22
23
23
23
25
19
22
21
25
21
25
20
24
22
24
22
29
27
28
27
27
27
29
26
24
25
28
22
20
23
23
24
23
22
19
21
21
19
22

12
13
14
15
14
19
17
16
16
18
19
20
17
18
14
19
14
22
23
21
18
22
15
18
14
20
15
16
14
14
15
11
11
15
17
17
19
14
20
15
13

13
13
15
11
10
13
14
15
15
14
11
12
12
13
14
12
16
12
12
11
11
13
15
11
15
14
17
18
17
19
21
14
11
16
15
12
13
11
13
18
12

35
34
33
29
32
23
23
25
26
23
21
22
19
18
15
13
12
10
9
11
16
12
16
11
14
12
20
23
22
25
27
29
30
26
28
26
28
29
27
31
24

1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3
1
2

32

27

18

11

11

1

16

19

15

18

31

1

Very
Positive

Somewhat
Positive

5
4
3
6
5
4
5
6
5
4
9

1

Hillary Clinton
October 2015 ...............................
September 2015 ...........................
July 2015 ......................................
June 2015 ....................................
April 2015 .....................................
March 2015 ..................................
January 2015 ...............................
November 2014 ............................
September 2014+.........................
June 2014 ....................................
April 2014 .....................................
March 2014 ..................................
September 2013 ...........................
May 30-June 2, 2013....................
April 2013 .....................................
January 2013 ...............................
December 2012 ............................
November 2011 ............................
May 2011 .....................................
April 2011 .....................................
December 2010 ............................
January 10-14, 2010 ...................
July 2009 ......................................
February 2009 ..............................
January 2009 ...............................
December 2008 ............................
September 2008+.........................
August 2008+ ...............................
June 2008+ ..................................
April 2008+ ...................................
March 24-25, 2008+ .....................
March 7-10, 2008+ .......................
January 2008 ...............................
June 2007 ....................................
March 2007 ..................................
December 2006 ............................
April 2006 .....................................
December 2004 ............................
July 2003 ......................................
March 2001 ..................................
January 2001 ...............................
High
February 2009 ..............................
Low
March 2001 ..................................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q6 (cont'd)
Neutral

Somewhat
Negative

Very
Negative

Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure

17
17
16
17
17
12
11
11

17
16
16
40
38
28
25
28

14
14
13
18
14
24
23
25

39
44
43
11
15
25
32
24

1
2
5
7
7
6
9

9
5
7
8
7
6
7
12
10

22
19
16
14
14
15
16
16
14

23
24
24
24
21
21
20
18
20

14
14
12
12
10
11
11
8
9

11
9
12
11
9
10
9
8
8

21
29
29
31
39
37
37
38
39

Carly Fiorina
October 2015 ...............................
September 2015 ..........................
June 2015 ....................................

7
8
4

19
19
11

22
22
14

10
10
7

12
10
6

30
31
58

Ben Carson
October 2015 ...............................
September 2015 ..........................
November 2014 ...........................

16
13
10

22
16
7

18
23
18

11
11
4

13
10
3

20
27
58

Joe Biden
October 2015 ...............................
September 2015 ..........................
June 2015 ....................................
November 2014 ...........................
June 2014 ....................................
July 2013 .....................................
January 2013 ...............................
December 2012 ...........................
October 2012+ .............................
September 26-30, 2012+ .............
August 2012+ ..............................
July 2012+ ...................................
May 2012 .....................................
December 2010 ...........................
August 26-30, 2010 .....................
January 10-14, 2010 ....................
July 2009 .....................................
January 2009 ...............................
December 2008 ...........................
October 17-20, 2008+ ..................
October 4-5, 2008+......................
September 19-22, 2008+ .............
September 6-8, 2008+ .................
September 2007 ..........................
December 2006 ...........................
June 2004+ ..................................

19
15
16
13
11
17
20
21
21
18
15
15
15
10
13
15
13
20
20
28
21
17
18
4
3
5

23
25
24
22
21
21
21
18
19
19
21
20
20
24
21
23
25
27
25
23
22
20
22
13
14
11

24
25
24
22
25
21
17
18
15
19
20
23
21
25
21
25
20
22
25
19
24
25
23
26
23
25

17
14
16
17
15
15
16
15
13
14
14
14
16
15
15
15
17
12
12
12
12
13
13
11
10
6

14
14
15
21
21
20
21
23
29
24
26
23
21
18
20
14
19
9
11
14
15
16
12
11
6
4

3
7
5
5
7
6
5
5
3
6
4
5
7
8
9
8
6
10
7
4
6
9
12
35
44
49

Very
Positive

Somewhat
Positive

Donald Trump
October 2015 ...............................
September 2015 ..........................
July 2015 .....................................
February 2011 .............................
May 2004+ ...................................
December 1999 ...........................
October 1999 ...............................
July 1990 .....................................

13
8
10
9
9
4
3
3

Marco Rubio
October 2015 ...............................
July 2015 .....................................
June 2015 ....................................
April 2015 ....................................
November 2014 ...........................
September 2014+ ........................
July 2013 .....................................
April 2013 ....................................
February 2013 .............................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 7
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q6 (cont'd)
Neutral

Somewhat
Negative

Very
Negative

Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure

22
17
14
8

19
23
20
22

11
9
10
6

16
13
9
7

16
23
37
49

7
7
5
5
9
7
4

14
12
12
11
10
7
6

23
24
24
18
16
13
13

12
12
13
8
8
8
4

22
19
19
18
22
20
8

22
26
27
40
35
44
65

8
14
23
23
19
6

16
16
16
14
14
11

28
23
16
18
18
19

14
15
12
13
11
8

12
19
25
20
21
10

22
13
8
12
17
46

28
27
29
27
31
39
39
34
32
29
25
23
20
16
18
20
20
24
25
27
27
20
17
18
32

21
29
27
28
23
21
18
23
25
26
27
26
25
24
21
22
22
23
23
21
23
22
19
21
24

18
18
22
20
17
16
15
18
21
21
16
21
16
17
18
15
11
14
13
16
16
16
13
15
11

16
15
12
14
14
16
15
13
11
13
14
12
19
17
18
18
13
11
14
14
12
14
13
15
12

16
11
9
10
12
8
12
10
11
10
17
17
20
25
24
25
32
27
25
21
21
27
36
31
21

1
1
1
3
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
-

33

31

15

9

7

5

17

17

13

14

38

1

Very
Positive

Somewhat
Positive

Bernie Sanders
October 2015 ...............................
September 2015 ..........................
July 2015 .....................................
June 2015 ....................................

16
15
10
8

Ted Cruz
October 2015 ...............................
July 2015 .....................................
April 2015 ....................................
November 2014 ...........................
October 25-28, 2013 ....................
October 7-9, 2013 ........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................
Paul Ryan
October 2015 ...............................
December 2012 ...........................
October 2012+ .............................
September 26-30, 2012+ .............
August 2012+ ..............................
June 2011 ....................................
1

Bill Clinton
October 2015* .............................
March 2015...................................
September 2014+ .........................
March 2014...................................
September 2013 ...........................
December 2012 ............................
September 2012+ .........................
August 2012+ ...............................
August 2011 .................................
September 2010 ...........................
January 2009 ................................
December 2008 ...........................
August 2008+ ...............................
June 2008+ ...................................
April 2008+ ...................................
March 24-25, 2008+ .....................
March 7-10, 2008+ .......................
January 2008 ................................
November 2007 ............................
March 2007...................................
April 2006 .....................................
June 2004+ ...................................
January 2002 ................................
June 2001 .....................................
January 2001 ................................
High
January 1993 ................................
Low
March 2001 ...................................
1

The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 8
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q6 (cont'd)
Neutral

Somewhat
Negative

Very
Negative

Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure

5
10
14
7
10
7
8
9
6
9

24
25
22
24
22
25
22
20
19
19

18
11
13
10
11
7
8
9
8
5

15
17
14
13
11
12
11
9
6
1

36
35
33
45
44
46
48
50
58
64

10
10
12
14
12
15
16
14
14
16
11
11
9
7
4

32
24
22
20
20
23
23
22
22
23
20
16
19
12
12

20
17
20
18
17
18
14
16
9
9
7
6
8
7
4

18
23
21
25
25
19
15
16
12
6
10
12
9
8
2

18
23
21
20
21
22
29
28
37
39
44
52
50
64
77

Very
Positive

Somewhat
Positive

Mitch McConnell
October 2015* .............................
January 2015 ...............................
November 2014 ...........................
April 2014 ....................................
January 2013 ...............................
January 2012 ...............................
November 11-15, 2010 ................
September 2010 ..........................
October 2009 ..............................
January 2007 ...............................

2
2
4
1
2
3
3
3
3
2

John Boehner
October 2015* .............................
January 2015 ...............................
November 2014 ...........................
October 25-28, 2013 ....................
October 7-9, 2013 ........................
January 2013 ...............................
December 2012 ............................
January 2012 ...............................
February 2011 .............................
January 2011 ...............................
November 11-15, 2010 ................
October 14-18, 2010+ ..................
September 2010 ..........................
October 2009 ...............................
January 2007 ...............................

2
3
4
3
5
3
3
4
6
7
8
3
5
2
1

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 9
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q6 (cont'd)
George W. Bush1
October 2015** ............................
March 2015 ...................................
September 2014+ .........................
July 2013 ......................................
April 2013 .....................................
June 2012 .....................................
August 2011 .................................
May 2011 ......................................
October 28-30, 2010+ ...................
August 26-30, 2010+ ....................
June 2010 .....................................
January 2010 ................................
April 2009 .....................................
January 2009 ................................
December 2008 ............................
October 17-20, 2008+ ...................
October 4-5, 2008+.......................
September 19-22, 2008+ ..............
September 6-8, 2008+ ..................
August 2008+ ...............................
July 2008+ ....................................
June 2008+ ...................................
April 2008+ ...................................
March 24-25, 2008+ .....................
March 7-10, 2008+ .......................
January 2008 ................................
June 2007 .....................................
January 2007 ................................
June 2006 .....................................
January 2006 ................................
July 2005 ......................................
January 2005 ................................
June 2004+ ...................................
January 2004 ................................
July 2003 ......................................
January 2003 ................................
June 2002 .....................................
January 2002 ................................
June 2001 .....................................
January 2001 ................................
High
December 2001 ............................
Low
April 2009 .....................................
1

Neutral

Somewhat
Negative

Very
Negative

Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure

22
23
23
25
21
23
20
24
20
22
22
20
17
18
20
18
18
17
18
19
18
19
19
17
18
18
20
18
21
17
20
19
15
17
21
20
27
26
23
25

20
25
24
22
21
18
20
22
16
22
21
18
15
11
10
11
12
11
12
11
10
10
13
12
10
10
11
12
9
12
10
9
8
8
9
12
11
10
16
18

17
16
16
14
16
19
20
16
17
15
19
17
16
17
16
15
13
13
14
15
16
16
14
13
12
17
15
17
15
13
15
15
14
13
14
16
10
7
15
13

28
23
22
25
28
26
24
24
34
32
31
34
41
41
43
45
45
46
41
40
42
44
42
41
43
40
42
35
37
33
28
25
30
24
17
16
9
4
15
17

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2

54

26

9

6

5

-

9

17

15

16

41

2

Very
Positive

Somewhat
Positive

13
12
14
13
14
13
15
13
12
8
7
10
9
13
11
11
12
13
15
15
14
11
12
16
16
14
12
17
18
24
27
32
33
38
38
36
43
53
30
25

The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.
** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 10
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q6 (cont'd)
Neutral

Somewhat
Negative

Very
Negative

Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure

13
15
13
18
15
15
16
15
14
15
18
19
18
19
19
17
16
17
18
18
16
10
11
10
10

22
20
18
22
22
16
15
17
19
19
16
16
16
17
15
19
21
21
20
23
21
18
12
20
17

13
12
12
10
12
11
11
14
11
12
9
11
11
12
9
10
14
11
12
9
8
8
7
6
6

33
35
32
27
32
37
39
36
35
32
33
33
33
34
28
26
27
22
18
15
15
17
16
12
10

13
12
18
15
11
12
11
11
14
16
16
13
15
13
17
19
15
24
21
25
31
43
50
49
52

5
2
3

16
14
16

18
16
22

48
52
41

11
14
16

Very
Positive

Somewhat
Positive

Nancy Pelosi
October 2015** ............................
November 2014 ...........................
October 8-12, 2014+ ....................
January 2013 ...............................
January 2012 ...............................
November 11-15, 2010 ................
October 28-30, 2010+ ..................
September 2010 ..........................
August 5-9, 2010 ..........................
January 10-14, 2010 ..................
October 2009 ...............................
September 2009 ..........................
July 2009......................................
June 2009 ....................................
February 2009 ..............................
January 2009 ...............................
October 4-5, 2008+ ......................
January 2008 ...............................
April 2007 ....................................
January 2007 ...............................
December 2006 ...........................
October 2006+ .............................
September 2006+ ........................
December 2005 ...........................
February 2005 ..............................

6
6
7
8
8
9
8
7
7
6
8
8
7
5
12
9
7
5
11
10
9
4
4
3
5

Vladimir Putin
October 2015** ............................
August 2014 .................................
March 2014 ..................................

2
2
2

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE)
TOTAL
TOTAL
D/S
POSITIVE
NEGATIVE
Bill Clinton ..............................................
49
32
17
Ben Carson ............................................
38
24
14
Joe Biden ...............................................
42
31
11
Bernie Sanders ......................................
38
27
11
Marco Rubio ...........................................
31
25
6
Carly Fiorina ...........................................
26
22
4
Barack Obama .......................................
44
44
Paul Ryan ..............................................
24
26
-2
Hillary Clinton .........................................
39
48
-9
George W. Bush.....................................
35
45
-10
Ted Cruz ................................................
21
34
-13
Jeb Bush ................................................
24
40
-16
Donald Trump ........................................
30
53
-23
John Boehner .........................................
12
38
-26
Mitch McConnell.....................................
7
33
-26
Nancy Pelosi ..........................................
19
46
-27
Vladimir Putin .........................................
7
66
-59

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015
Q7

Study #15462 -- page 11
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Do you think it would be better for the country to have (ROTATE) a Democrat or a Republican as the next
president?

Democrat ......................................
Republican ...................................
Makes No Difference (VOL) ........
Neither/Some other party (VOL) ..
Not sure ........................................

10/15+
41
40
9
5
5

9/15+
38
38
7
8
9

7/15+
37
39
9
7
8

6/15+
39
36
7
7
10

4/15+
40
39
7
5
9

12/14+
38
40
9
6
7

2/88
36
39
14
n/a
11

5/87
37
31
20
n/a
12

3/87
41
36
9
n/a
14

1/87
35
32
21
n/a
12

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Moving on…
Q8
Now, if there were a presidential primary election in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary,
the Republican primary, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2016?

Vote in Democratic Primary ..................................
Vote in Republican Primary ..................................
Wait until the general election ..............................
Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) ..........................
Not sure ...............................................................

10/15+
31
31
34
1
3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

9/15+
31
28
38
3

7/15+
30
30
39
1

6/15+
30
28
38
1
3

4/15+
32
29
35
1
3

3/15+
30
25
40
2
3

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015
Q9

Study #15462 -- page 12
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Next, I’m going to mention a number of people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in
2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for
the Democratic nomination president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE
LIST)
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES

Yes, Could See
Self Supporting

No, Could Not See
Self Supporting

Don’t Know
Name

Not
Sure

Hillary Clinton
October 2015^^ ...................
September 2015^^ ..............
June 2015^^ ........................
March 2015^^ .....................

81
76
92
86

17
21
8
13

-

2
3
1

Joe Biden
October 2015^^ ...................
September 2015^^ ..............
June 2015^^ ........................
March 2015^^ .....................

71
73
65
54

25
22
33
40

2
2
1
3

2
3
1
2

Bernie Sanders
October 2015^^ ...................
September 2015^^ ..............
June 2015^^ ........................
March 2015^^ .....................

64
62
40
21

25
24
32
21

8
10
23
54

3
4
5
4

Martin O’Malley
October 2015^^ ...................
September 2015^^ ..............
June 2015^^ ........................
March 2015^^ .....................

13
10
12
11

49
39
28
20

33
49
58
67

5
2
2
2

Jim Webb
October 2015^^ ...................
September 2015^^ ..............
June 2015^^ ........................
March 2015^^ .....................

8
7
15
15

54
36
31
24

36
55
52
57

2
2
2
4

Lincoln Chafee
October 2015^^ ...................
September 2015^^ ..............
June 2015^^ ........................

4
6
6

55
37
30

38
56
62

3
1
2

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015
Q10

Study #15462 -- page 13
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

And, thinking about people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2016. If the next
Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you
favor? (READ LIST. RANDOMIZE. IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY
ONE ANSWER.) (IF BIDEN, THEN ASK:) And, if Joe Biden decides not to seek the Democratic nomination for
president in 2016, which candidate would you favor? (READ :1-6)
FIRST CHOICE (WITH JOE BIDEN)
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

Hillary Clinton ...........................................
Bernie Sanders .........................................
Joe Biden..................................................
Jim Webb..................................................
Martin O’Malley.........................................
Lincoln Chafee..........................................
Other (VOL) ...........................................
None (VOL) ...........................................
Not sure .................................................

10/15^^
49
29
15
2
1
2
2

9/15^^
42
35
17
1
1
4

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who
say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

(IF BIDEN, THEN ASK:) And, if Joe Biden decides not to seek the Democratic nomination for president in
2016, which candidate would you favor? (READ :1-5)
RECALCULATED FIRST CHOICE (WITHOUT JOE BIDEN)
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
RESULTS SHOWN AMONG ALL VOTERS WHO SAY THEY WOULD VOTE IN DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY

Hillary Clinton ............................................
Bernie Sanders .........................................
Jim Webb ..................................................
Martin O’Malley .........................................
Lincoln Chafee ..........................................
Other (VOL) ...........................................
None (VOL) ............................................
Not sure .................................................

10/15^^
58
33
2
1
3
3

9/15^^
53
38
1
1
1
2
4

7/15^^
59
25
3
3
1
1
4
4

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the
Democratic Primary

6/15^^
75
15
4
2
1
2
1

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015
Q11a

Study #15462 -- page 14
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

In selecting a presidential nominee for the Democratic Party, which of the following is most important to you?
(ROTATE)

A candidate with the best chance to defeat the Republican candidate .................
A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues ......................................
A candidate who has the right personal style and strong leadership qualities ......
None/other (VOL)................................................................................................
Not sure ..............................................................................................................

10/15^^
20
52
27
1
-

7/15^^
12
53
34
1
-

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic
Primary

(Q11b ASKED ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO CHOSE “PERSONAL STYLE AND LEADERSHIP” IN Q11A)
Q11b
Now, if you had to choose, which would be the next most important to you in selecting a presidential
nominee for the Democratic Party? (ROTATE)

A candidate with the best chance to defeat the Republican candidate ..................
A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues .......................................
Neither/other (VOL) .............................................................................................
Not sure ...............................................................................................................
Best chance to defeat Republican/Closest to views/None/Not Sure (Q11a) .........

10/15^^
8
19
73

7/15^^
7
25
1
1
66

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

Q11A/B COMBINED
A candidate with the best chance to defeat the Republican candidate ..................
A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues .......................................
None/other (VOL).................................................................................................
Not sure ...............................................................................................................

10/15^^
28
71
1
-

7/15^^
20
79
1
-

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 15
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

(Q12 AND Q13 ROTATED)
Q12
Would you describe Hillary Clinton as (ROTATE) liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR
"CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) And would you say Hillary Clinton is very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat
(liberal/conservative)?

Very liberal ...................................................
Somewhat liberal ..........................................
Moderate ......................................................
Somewhat conservative ...............................
Very conservative .........................................
Not sure......................................................

6/15^^
9
22
58
5
3
3

10/15^^
14
27
47
6
3
3

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say
they would vote in the Democratic Primary

Q13

Would you describe Bernie Sanders as (ROTATE) liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR
"CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) And would you say Hillary Clinton is very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat
(liberal/conservative)?^^
Very liberal ....................................................
Somewhat liberal...........................................
Moderate .......................................................
Somewhat conservative ................................
Very conservative..........................................
Not sure ......................................................
Don’t know name (Q6) ................................

44
16
15
5
2
6
12

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered
voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

Q14

Would you like to see Joe Biden run for the Democratic nomination, would you prefer that he NOT run for
the nomination, or do you not really have an opinion one way or the other?^^
Would like to see Joe Biden run ..................
Would prefer that Joe Biden not run ............
Do not have an opinion ................................
Not sure .....................................................

30
38
31
1

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered
voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

March 2007
Would you like to see Al Gore run for the
Democratic nomination, would you prefer that he
NOT run for the nomination, or do you not really
have an opinion one way or the other?
Would like to see Al Gore run ...................
Would prefer that Al Gore not run .............
Do not have an opinion .............................
Not sure ..................................................

40
39
20
1

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015
Q15

Study #15462 -- page 16
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Next, I’m going to mention a number of people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in
2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for
the Republican nomination president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (AFTER THE
FIRST TEN ITEMS, READ:) And, just a few more. (RANDOMIZE LIST)
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES

Ben Carson
October 2015^ ......................
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
April 2015^............................
March 2015^ .........................
Marco Rubio
October 2015^ ......................
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
April 2015^............................
March 2015^ .........................
Donald Trump
October 2015^ ......................
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
March 2015^ .........................
Carly Fiorina
October 2015^ ......................
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
April 2015^............................
March 2015^ .........................
Jeb Bush
October 2015^ ......................
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
April 2015^............................
March 2015^ .........................
Ted Cruz
October 2015^ ......................
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
April 2015^............................
March 2015^ .........................
Mike Huckabee
October 2015^ ......................
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
April 2015^............................
March 2015^ .........................

Yes, Could See
Self Supporting

No, Could Not See
Self Supporting

Don’t Know
Name

Not
Sure

74
69
49
50
39
41

20
23
27
21
22
18

3
6
21
27
36
38

3
2
3
2
3
3

65
63
62
74
74
56

26
27
29
15
15
26

5
9
7
8
9
14

4
1
2
3
2
4

59
47
47
32
23

36
52
49
66
74

1
1

4
1
4
2
2

56
61
33
31
17
18

30
28
31
29
25
25

9
10
34
38
52
54

5
1
2
2
6
3

51
55
57
75
70
49

44
43
40
22
27
42

1
1
1
2
1
4

4
1
2
1
2
5

48
45
52
51
57
40

41
44
38
31
28
38

5
8
7
14
12
18

6
3
3
4
3
4

45
47
52
65
52
52

50
46
43
32
39
40

2
5
3
1
5
3

3
2
2
2
4
5

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 17
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES

Chris Christie
October 2015^ ......................
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
April 2015^............................
March 2015^ .........................
Rand Paul
October 2015^ ......................
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
April 2015^............................
March 2015^ .........................
Bobby Jindal
October 2015^ ......................
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
March 2015^ .........................
Rick Santorum
October 2015^ ......................
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
March 2015^ .........................
John Kasich
October 2015^ ......................
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
Lindsey Graham
October 2015^ ......................
September 2015^ .................
July 2015^ ............................
June 2015^ ...........................
March 2015^ .........................

Yes, Could See
Self Supporting

No, Could Not See
Self Supporting

Don’t Know
Name

Not
Sure

34
42
37
36
38
32

60
51
55
55
50
57

4
6
5
6
9
7

2
1
3
3
3
4

33
35
44
49
59
49

59
58
48
45
32
40

4
5
5
5
6
8

4
2
3
1
3
3

28
27
34
36
36

46
49
38
28
25

21
23
26
34
36

5
1
2
2
3

28
33
37
49
40

60
56
46
40
40

7
10
11
10
16

5
1
6
1
4

26
34
30
25

45
44
31
30

23
20
36
42

6
2
3
3

12
16
14
27
20

64
67
67
49
51

18
16
16
19
24

6
1
3
5
5

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015
Q16/a

Study #15462 -- page 18
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

And, if a Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates
would you favor (RANDOMIZE) Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Mike
Huckabee, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, Donald Trump, or Carly Fiorina, or would you vote for one of the other
candidates? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) (IF
CHOICE, THEN ASK:) And, which of the following candidates would be your second choice (RANDOMIZE
REMAINING LIST FROM :1-10) or would your second choice be one of the other candidates? (IF
PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED CANDIDATE FOR FIRST OR SECOND CHOICE IN Q16, THEN ASK:) Which
one of the following candidates would you favor -- (RANDOMIZE) Lindsey Graham, Rick Santorum, George
Pataki, Bobby Jindal, or Jim Gilmore?
FIRST CHOICE
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

Donald Trump ..............
Ben Carson ..................
Marco Rubio.................
Ted Cruz ......................
Jeb Bush ......................
Carly Fiorina.................
Mike Huckabee ............
John Kasich .................
Rand Paul ....................
Chris Christie ...............
Lindsey Graham...........
Rick Santorum .............
George Pataki ..............
Bobby Jindal ................
Jim Gilmore ..................
Scott Walker.................
Rick Perry ....................
Other (VOL) ..............
None (VOL) ...............
Not sure ....................

10/15^
25
22
13
9
8
7
3
3
2
1
NA
NA
1
1
5

9/15^
21
20
11
5
7
11
2
6
3
3
1
1
NA
NA
1
2
6

7/15^
19
10
5
9
14
6
3
6
3
1
1
15
3
1
4

6/15^
1
11
14
4
22
2
9
1
7
4
1
NA
17
5
1
1

4/15^
NA
7
18
11
23
1
5
NA
11
5
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
14
2
3

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say
they would vote in the Republican Primary

SECOND CHOICE
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

Ben Carson ..................
Donald Trump ..............
Marco Rubio.................
Carly Fiorina.................
Jeb Bush ......................
Ted Cruz ......................
John Kasich .................
Rand Paul ....................
Mike Huckabee ............
Chris Christie ...............
Rick Santorum .............
Lindsey Graham...........
Bobby Jindal ................
George Pataki ..............
Jim Gilmore ..................
Scott Walker.................
Rick Perry ....................
Other (VOL) ..............
None (VOL) ...............
Not sure ....................

10/15^
22
14
13
10
8
8
4
4
4
3
1
NA
NA
1
2

9/15^
15
10
15
17
11
6
2
3
5
3
1
NA
NA
1
2

7/15^
11
11
11
2
16
8
1
5
5
6
1
3
9
4
1
1

6/15^
8
3
20
1
18
7
9
9
6
NA
7
5
3

4/15^
4
NA
23
2
14
7
NA
9
10
9
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
13
5
1

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say
they would vote in the Republican Primary

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 19
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

COMBINED CHOICE
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

Ben Carson ..................
Donald Trump ..............
Marco Rubio.................
Carly Fiorina.................
Jeb Bush ......................
Ted Cruz ......................
Mike Huckabee ............
John Kasich .................
Rand Paul ....................
Chris Christie ...............
Bobby Jindal ................
Rick Santorum .............
Lindsey Graham...........
George Pataki ..............
Jim Gilmore ..................
Scott Walker.................
Rick Perry ....................
Other (VOL) ..............
None (VOL) ...............
Not sure ....................

10/15^
44
39
26
18
17
17
7
7
6
3
1
1
NA
NA
1
2
7

9/15^
35
31
26
28
19
11
8
8
6
5
1
3
NA
NA
3
7

7/15^
21
30
16
2
30
17
11
4
11
9
4
2
24
7
2
5

6/15^
19
4
34
3
40
11
18
1
16
10
1
NA
24
10
1
4

4/15^
11
NA
41
3
37
18
15
NA
20
14
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
27
7
4

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say
they would vote in the Republican Primary

Q17

Now, when it comes to the next Speaker of the House who will replace John Boehner, do you generally want
someone who (ROTATE) is more likely to seek compromise and work to get more done or is more likely to
stand up for principles even if this means that less gets done.^
Seek compromises .............................................
Stand up for principles .......................................
Not sure............................................................

40
56
4

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters
who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

Q18

If Paul Ryan is elected to be the next Speaker of the House to replace John Boehner, would you
generally feel (ROTATE) comfortable and positive about this or skeptical and uncertain about this? ^
Comfortable and positive ...................................
Skeptical and uncertain ......................................
Mixed (VOL) .......................................................
Not sure............................................................

63
28
1
8

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters
who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 20
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, thinking about the 2016 election for President…
(Q19-24 RANDOMIZED AMONG REG VOTER)
Q19
(And,) if the election for president were held today, and Ben Carson were the Republican candidate and
Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?

Ben Carson .........................................
Hillary Clinton ......................................
Depends (VOL) ................................
Neither/other (VOL) ..........................
Not sure ............................................

10/15+
45
47
5
3

9/15+
46
45
6
3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q20

(And,) if the election for president were held today, and Marco Rubio were the Republican candidate and
Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?

Marco Rubio .........................................
Hillary Clinton .......................................
Depends (VOL) .................................
Neither/other (VOL) ...........................
Not sure ............................................

10/15+
45
46
5
4

6/15+
40
48
8
4

4/15+
43
49
5
3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q21

(And,) if the election for president were held today, and Ted Cruz were the Republican candidate and Hillary
Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? +
Ted Cruz .......................................................
Hillary Clinton ................................................
Depends (VOL) ..........................................
Neither/other (VOL) ....................................
Not sure ......................................................

41
49
6
4

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q22

(And,) if the election for president were held today, and Ben Carson were the Republican candidate and
Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? +
Ben Carson ...................................................
Bernie Sanders .............................................
Depends (VOL) ..........................................
Neither/other (VOL) ....................................
Not sure ......................................................

43
44
6
7

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q23

(And,) if the election for president were held today, and Marco Rubio were the Republican candidate and
Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? +
Marco Rubio ..................................................
Bernie Sanders .............................................
Depends (VOL) ..........................................
Neither/other (VOL) ....................................
Not sure ......................................................

41
45
1
6
7

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q24

(And,) if the election for president were held today, and Ted Cruz were the Republican candidate and Bernie
Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?+
Ted Cruz .......................................................
Bernie Sanders .............................................
Depends (VOL) ..........................................
Neither/other (VOL) ....................................
Not sure ......................................................

38
50
6
6

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 21
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Moving on…
Q25
Now, which of the following best describes how you would feel if (READ ITEM) were elected president –
(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP) optimistic and confident that (he/she) would do a good job,
satisfied and hopeful that (he/she) would do a good job, uncertain and wondering whether (he/she) would do
a good job, or pessimistic and worried that (he/she) would do a bad job?

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY
‘OPTIMISTIC AND CONFIDENT’ OR ‘SATISFIED AND HOPEFUL’

Joe Biden
October 015+ ............................................
Hillary Clinton
October 2015+ ..........................................
June 2015+ ...............................................
August 2011+............................................
March 2008+ .............................................
1
April 2006+ ..............................................
Bernie Sanders
October 2015+ ..........................................
Ben Carson
October 2015+ ..........................................
Marco Rubio
October 2015+ ..........................................
Jeb Bush
October 2015+ ..........................................
June 2015+ ...............................................
Donald Trump
October 2015+ ..........................................
Carly Fiorina
October 2015+ ..........................................
Ted Cruz
October 2015+ ..........................................

Optimistic
And
Confident

Satisfied
And
Hopeful

Uncertain
And
Wondering

Pessimistic
And
Worried

Not
Sure

22

24

23

29

2

24
20
24
28
22

19
29
30
24
23

13
15
21
19
22

43
35
24
28
32

1
1
1
1
1

20

23

22

28

7

24

18

24

26

8

17

22

27

25

9

13
10

23
27

30
31

32
30

2
2

17

15

17

50

1

13

18

30

25

14

14

15

27

34

10

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
1
In April 2006, the question read “Which of the following best describes your feeling about how Hillary Clinton would do as
president…”

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015
Q26

Study #15462 -- page 22
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, NOT thinking about any specific candidates, I'm going to list several types of people who might run for
president. For each one, please tell me whether that type of candidate is someone you would (a) be
enthusiastic about, (b) be comfortable with, (c) have some reservations about, or (d) be very uncomfortable
with.
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC OR COMFORTABLE

A woman
October 2015+ ...............................
April 2015 .......................................
April 2011 .......................................
September 2008+...........................
January 2008 .................................
December 2006..............................
A person who is not a politician
and has no previous elected
experience in government
October 2015+ ...............................
April 2015 .......................................
A Muslim
October 2015+ ...............................
A socialist
October 2015+ ...............................

(A)
Enthusiastic

(B)
Comfortable

(C)
Have Some
Reservations

(D)
Very
Uncomfortable

Not
Sure

28
30
23
21
25
21

54
55
62
64
51
59

10
9
10
9
15
8

4
5
3
3
7
8

4
1
2
3
2
4

11
9

23
21

35
34

29
35

2
1

5

27

23

42

3

6

21

25

45

3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q27

Do you think American capitalism is working...(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP) very well,
somewhat well, not too well, or not at all well?

Very well ....................................................
Somewhat well...........................................
Not too well ................................................
Not at all well .............................................
Not sure ...................................................
1

10/15
12
48
24
13
3

Data from a May 2013 Public Religion Research Institute
Economic Values Survey

5/131
9
45
26
16
4

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 23
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

(ROTATE Q28 – Q29 AMONG REG VOTERS)
And, thinking some more about (just one/another) candidate…
Q28
How would you rate Hillary Clinton on the following qualities, using a five-point scale, on which a "5" means
a very good rating, a "1" means a very poor rating, and a "3" means a mixed rating? (IF "NOT SURE,"
RECORD AS "DK.")
TABLE RANKED BY %4-5 (GOOD RATING) AMONG ALL VOTERS

Very Good
Rating
5
4
Being knowledgeable and experienced enough to
handle the presidency
All Voters
October 2015+ ....................................................................
April 2015+ .........................................................................
June 2014+ .........................................................................
March 2008+ .......................................................................
November 2007+ ................................................................
Democratic primary voters
October 2015^^...................................................................
April 2015^^ ........................................................................
June 2014^^........................................................................
March 2008^^ .....................................................................
November 2007^^ ..............................................................
June 2007^^.......................................................................
Sharing your positions on the issues
All Voters
October 2015+ ....................................................................
April 2015+ .........................................................................
June 2014+ .........................................................................
March 2008+ .......................................................................
November 2007+ ................................................................
Democratic primary voters
October 2015^^...................................................................
April 2015^^ ........................................................................
June 2014^^........................................................................
March 2008^^ .....................................................................
November 2007^^ ..............................................................
June 2007^^.......................................................................
Being easygoing and likable
All Voters
October 2015+ ....................................................................
April 2015+ .........................................................................
June 2014+ .........................................................................
March 2008+ .......................................................................
November 2007+ ................................................................
Democratic primary voters
October 2015^^...................................................................
April 2015^^ ........................................................................
June 2014^^........................................................................
March 2008^^ .....................................................................
November 2007^^ ..............................................................
Bringing real change to the direction of the country
All Voters
October 2015+ ....................................................................
April 2015+ .........................................................................
Democratic primary voters
October 2015^^...................................................................
April 2015^^ ........................................................................
June 2007^^........................................................................

3

Very Poor
Rating
2
1

Cannot
Rate

39
35
35
32
31

17
16
20
18
21

17
16
16
17
17

8
10
7
13
11

19
22
22
18
20

1
2
-

74
66
72
50
51
48

14
20
16
23
25
23

5
7
6
15
16
16

2
1
6
4
7

4
7
3
4
4
5

1
2
2
1

18
17
20
16
16

20
18
18
18
20

20
24
23
22
19

10
9
10
12
12

31
31
26
29
32

1
1
2
3
1

36
37
47
29
31
25

35
32
29
27
30
29

19
22
17
25
25
29

4
4
2
7
8
8

6
4
5
9
6
7

1
3
2

17
23
23
18
15

16
18
17
12
17

24
21
29
30
25

14
13
10
16
13

29
24
21
23
29

1
1
1
1

32
41
45
27
26

27
27
22
18
23

28
21
23
31
30

8
9
6
13
11

5
1
4
9
9

1
2
1

14
17

18
18

24
22

12
10

31
32

1
2

28
32
33

30
35
28

26
25
22

7
3
8

8
4
8

1
1

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
^^ Results shown reflect responses among Democratic Primary Voters (definitions of Democratic Primary Voters vary prior to 2014)

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 24
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

TABLE RANKED BY %4-5 (GOOD RATING) AMONG ALL VOTERS

Very Good
Rating
4
5
Being honest and straightforward
All Voters
October 2015+ ....................................................................
April 2015+ .........................................................................
June 2014+ .........................................................................
March 2008+ .......................................................................
November 2007+ ................................................................
Democratic primary voters
October 2015^^...................................................................
April 2015^^ ........................................................................
June 2014^^........................................................................
March 2008^^ .....................................................................
November 2007^^ ..............................................................

3

Very Poor
Rating
2
1

Cannot
Rate

13
12
19
18
17

13
13
19
15
16

23
23
21
21
22

10
7
11
15
12

40
43
29
28
33

1
2
1
3
-

25
27
44
29
30

28
25
31
23
23

30
34
15
26
29

6
3
4
9
10

10
11
6
10
8

1
3
-

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
^^ Results shown reflect responses among Democratic Primary Voters (definitions of Democratic Primary Voters vary prior to 2014)

And, thinking some more about (just one/another) candidate…
Q29
How would you rate Bernie Sanders on the following qualities, using a five-point scale, on which a "5"
means a very good rating, a "1" means a very poor rating, and a "3" means a mixed rating? (IF "NOT
SURE," RECORD AS "DK.")
TABLE RANKED BY %4-5 (GOOD RATING) AMONG ALL VOTERS

Very Good
Rating
5
4
Being honest and straightforward
All Voters
October 2015+ ....................................................................
Democratic primary voters
October 2015^^ ..................................................................
Being easygoing and likable
All Voters
October 2015+ ....................................................................
Democratic primary voters
October 2015^^ ..................................................................
Being knowledgeable and experienced enough to
handle the presidency
All Voters
October 2015+ ....................................................................
Democratic primary voters
October 2015^^ ..................................................................
Bringing real change to the direction of the country
All Voters
October 2015+ ....................................................................
Democratic primary voters
October 2015^^ ..................................................................
Sharing your positions on the issues
All Voters
October 2015+ ....................................................................
Democratic primary voters
October 2015^^ ..................................................................

3

Very Poor
Rating
2
1

Cannot
Rate

Don’t Know
Name (Q6)

29

19

20

6

8

5

13

53

19

11

2

2

1

12

20

18

28

7

10

4

13

35

23

24

2

2

2

12

15

21

24

9

14

4

13

27

29

23

4

3

2

12

18

15

24

8

18

4

13

38

20

21

3

4

2

12

16

16

22

9

20

4

13

30

25

23

4

4

2

12

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 25
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Thinking about something else…
Q30
Based on what you have seen, read, or heard from Hillary Clinton regarding the terrorist attack a few years
ago on a U.S. diplomatic outpost in Benghazi, Libya, are you basically satisfied or not satisfied with her
response? If you do not know enough about this issue to have an opinion, please just say so and we'll move
on.
Satisfied............................................
27
Not satisfied......................................
44
Don’t know enough ...........................
28
Not sure ..........................................
1

Q31

Republicans in Congress are holding an investigation into the death of four Americans in an attack a few
years ago on a U.S. diplomatic outpost in Benghazi, Libya. From what you have seen, read, or heard, would
this investigation be better described as being (ROTATE) fair and impartial or unfair and too partisan? If you
do not know enough about this issue to have an opinion, please just say so and we'll move on.
Fair and impartial ..............................
Unfair and too partisan ......................
Don’t know enough............................
Not sure...........................................

Q32

29
36
35
-

Now, thinking about what you have seen, read, or heard about Hillary Clinton’s use of a private email server
during her time as Secretary of State, would you say it is or it is not an important factor in your deciding
whether to vote for her as president. If you do not know enough about this issue to have an opinion, please
just say so and we'll move on. (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK) Do you feel that way strongly or not so strongly?
TOTAL IS IMPORTANT
Is important – Strongly ..................................
Is important – Not so strongly .......................
TOTAL IS NOT IMPORTANT
Is not important – Not so strongly .................
Is not important – Strongly ............................
Don’t know enough .......................................
Not sure .....................................................

47
40
7
44
12
32
8
1

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 26
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Now, switching topics…
(Q33 AND Q34 ROTATED)
Q33
Whether or not you agree with this party’s position, when it comes to its approach on [RANDOMIZE INSERT
ITEM] would you describe the Democratic Party’s position as generally being in the broad mainstream, or
is its position outside the mainstream?
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY IN THE MAINSTREAM

Gay marriage
October 2015 ....................................
Abortion
October 2015 ....................................
Climate change
October 2015 ....................................
Immigration
October 2015 ....................................
Fiscal issues, such as taxing and
spending
October 2015 ....................................
Guns
October 2015 ....................................

Q34

In the
Mainstream

Outside the
Mainstream

(VOL)
In Between/
Depends

Not
Sure

63

27

1

9

54

34

2

10

54

32

1

13

46

43

2

9

42

48

1

9

38

52

1

9

Whether or not you agree with this party’s position, when it comes to its approach on [RANDOMIZE INSERT
ITEM] would you describe the Republican Party’s position as generally being in the broad mainstream, or
is its position outside the mainstream?
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY IN THE MAINSTREAM

Guns
October 2015 ....................................
Fiscal issues, such as taxing and
spending
October 2015 ....................................
Immigration
October 2015 ....................................
Abortion
October 2015 ....................................
Climate change
October 2015 ....................................
Gay marriage
October 2015 ....................................

In the
Mainstream

Outside the
Mainstream

(VOL)
In Between/
Depends

Not
Sure

51

38

1

10

47

44

2

7

43

47

1

9

33

55

2

10

30

54

1

15

29

59

2

10

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 27
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

And, thinking about something else…
Q35
Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling the situation in Syria?

Approve .................
Disapprove ............
Not sure ...............
Q36

9/13
28
57
15

10/15
34
54
12

8/13
35
44
21

Which of the following comes closer to your point of view about the threat the situation in Syria presents to
the U.S. (ROTATE)
It is NOT a threat to the United States .....................
It is not a threat to the United States now but
likely will be soon .....................................................
It is an immediate threat to the United States ..........
Not sure .................................................................

Q37

16
56
23
5

Do you think Russia poses an immediate military threat to the United States, a long-term military threat, or
no real military threat to the United States?
3/05
8
34
53
5

10/15*
14
60
23
3

Immediate military threat ..........
Long-term military threat ...........
No real military threat................
Not sure ..................................

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

And, turning to a different issue…
Q38
In general, do you feel that the laws covering the sale of firearms should be made more strict, less strict, or
kept as they are now?

More strict ..........
Less strict ...........
Kept as now .......
No opinion ........

1

10/15
55
9
34
2

4/13
55
9
34
2

2/13
61
4
34
1

1/13
56
7
35
2

1/111
52
10
37
1

10/10
44
12
42
2

10/09
44
12
43
1

10/08
49
8
41
2

10/07
51
8
39
2

10/06
56
9
33
2

10/05
57
7
35
1

10/04
54
11
34
1

1/04
60
6
34
*

10/03
55
9
36
*

10/02
51
11
36
2

10/01
53
8
38
1

5/00
62
5
31
2

4/00
61
7
30
2

12/99
60
10
29
1

8/99
66
6
27
1

6/99
62
6
31
1

5/99
65
5
28
2

4/99
66
7
25
2

2/99
60
9
29
2

4/95
62
12
24
2

12/93
67
7
25
1

3/93
70
4
24
2

3/91
68
5
25
2

9/90
78
2
17
3

Trend data before January 2011 comes from surveys by Gallup.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015
Q39

Study #15462 -- page 28
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

How worried are you that (READ ITEM)--very worried, fairly worried, only slightly worried, or not really
worried at all?
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY VERY OR FAIRLY WORRIED

You or someone you love will be
the victim of gun violence
October 2015 ..................................
You or someone you love will be
the victim of a terrorist attack
October 2015 ..................................
September 2001 .............................

Very
Worried

Fairly
Worried

Only Slightly
Worried

Not Really
Worried at all

Not
Sure

17

15

31

37

-

9
16

16
12

35
31

40
40

1

Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.
QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November
2012 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) For whom did you vote––Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, or
someone else? +
Voted for Barack Obama ...............................
Voted for Mitt Romney ...................................
Voted for someone else .................................
Not sure .........................................................
No, Did Not Vote ............................................
Not sure .......................................................

44
32
10
1
12
1

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

QF2

Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do?
(RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work?
Currently Employed
Professional, manager ............................
White-collar worker .................................
Blue-collar worker ...................................
Farmer, rancher ......................................
Not Currently Employed
Student ....................................................
Stay at home mom/dad ...........................
Retired ....................................................
Unemployed, looking for work .................
Other .......................................................
Not sure ................................................

QF3

25
19
18
4
7
23
3
1

What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.)
Grade school ...........................................................
Some high school ....................................................
High school graduate ...............................................
Some college, no degree .........................................
Vocational training/School ......................................
2-year college degree ..............................................
4-year college/bachelor's degree .............................
Some postgraduate work, no degree .......................
2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree .........
Doctoral/law degree .................................................
Not sure/refused ....................................................

3
24
16
2
11
25
3
11
4
1

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015
QF4

Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something
else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican)
or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG
DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the
Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF
"NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.")
Strong Democrat .............................
Not very strong Democrat ...............
Independent/lean Democrat ............
Strictly Independent.........................
Independent/lean Republican ..........
Not very strong Republican .............
Strong Republican ...........................
Other (VOL) ...................................
Not sure.........................................

QF5

Study #15462 -- page 29
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

19
10
11
14
14
9
16
5
2

Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or
conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very
(liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)?
Very liberal .........................................................
Somewhat liberal ...............................................
Moderate ............................................................
Somewhat conservative .....................................
Very conservative ..............................................
Not sure ...........................................................

10
14
40
19
15
2

(READ QF5a-f ONLY IF Q9:2 - REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS)
And, On a scale from one to ten where ten represents a description that is perfect for you and one a description that
is totally wrong for you, how well do each of the following describe you? You can, of course, use any number
between one and ten. __ __ (RECORD EXACT NUMBER 1-10, USE 99 FOR DK/REF)
To what extent do you regard yourself as...(RANDOMIZE)
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY %8-10 AMONG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
4-7
1-3
Refused
Mean
8-10
A supporter of the traditional
definition of marriage as being
between one man and one woman
October 2015^....................................
70
16
14
8.0
A supporter of the Right-to-Life
movement
October 2015^....................................

62

26

9

3

7.8

Someone who enjoys listening to
conservative talk radio
October 2015^....................................

39

34

25

2

6.0

A supporter of the Tea Party
Movement
October 2015^....................................

33

44

20

3

5.9

A Libertarian
October 2015^....................................

11

36

46

7

3.9

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
October 2015

Study #15462 -- page 30
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR
"NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member?
Labor union member ........................................
Union household ..............................................
Non-union household .......................................
Not sure ..........................................................

QF7

12
8
80
-

If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year,
would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand
dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and
forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand
dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand
dollars, or would the total be more than that?
Less than $10,000 ...............................................
Between $10,000 and $20,000............................
Between $20,000 and $30,000............................
Between $30,000 and $40,000............................
Between $40,000 and $50,000............................
Between $50,000 and $75,000............................
Between $75,000 and $100,000..........................
More than $100,000 ............................................
Not sure/refused .................................................

QF8

3
7
10
10
9
17
13
25
6

Do you, or does anyone in your household, own a gun of any kind?

Yes, gun in household .......
No, no gun in household....
Not sure ...........................

10/15
41
54
5

2/13
42
54
4

1/13
41
55
3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

1/11
39
58
2

10/08+
44
53
3

9/08+
45
53
2

9/04+
44
53
3

3/04
42
56
2

1/04
42
56
2

12/03
40
57
3

10/99
44
54
3