You are on page 1of 38

(ISFED)

2013 27

2013

2013

(USAID), (EU) - (NDI) .

, , EU-, NDI-, USAID-
.


I.

............................................................................................................................................. 4

II. ................................................................................................................................................................. 5
III. .......................................................................................................................................................... 8
IV. ......................................................................................................................................................... 9
1. ................................................................................................ 9
2. ..................................................................................... 10
3. .................................................................................................................. 11
4. ............................................................ 11
V. ................................................................................................................................................................ 12
VI. ....................................................................................................................................................... 13
1. .................................................................................................................................. 13
2. .................................................................................................................... 15
VII. ................................................................ 16
VIII. ......................................................................................................................................... 17
IX. .......................................................................................................................................................... 17
1. .................................................................................................................................................................. 17
2. .................................................................................................................. 18
3. ................................................................................................................................................... 19
4. - ................................................................................................................................................................. 20
5. ............................................................................................................................................ 21
6. ...................................................................................................................................................................... 21
7. ..................... 21
X. /
............................................................................................................................................................................. 22
XI. ............................................................................................................................................................................ 24
1. ................................................................................................................................................... 24
2. .................................................................................................................................. 25
3. ......................................................................................................................................................... 27
4. PVT ............................................................................................................................................. 27
5. .............................................................................................................. 31
XII. ............................................................................................................................................. 378

I.


( ) 2013 27
. - ,
2013 ,
.
, 2012 ,
1 .
:

73


,
. ,
,
, , ,
.
910 .
800 (PVT)

110 .
78 , 73 , 20
20

. :

, , .

73

2012

,
. 2013 49
,
.
2

2013 5

20 .

, ;
.

II.

,
.
.
, ,
,
, ,
. ,
,

, ,
. , , ,
, .
,, ,

.
, ,,
.
, ;
, , .
,
.
, ,

. ,,

.

,
,

.

. , ,


, .
,
, .
, , ,
.
2012 ,
.
.
2012

, -
. 92
-.
2012

. ,
97 000- . 2012 , ,
. ,

- ,

,
.

17 .
, . ,,
, ,, 10,
,, 7 .
, , .
,
.
,, - 14 .
.
7 , 3
, 2 ,
2 .
, ,
.

. ,
,

; ,
.

19

, 3 . ,
,
.

.

. .
, 2013 1 23
,

801 .
,

. ,, ,
, ,,
. , ,
- .
.
.
, :
(112 ), (13 ),
(12 ),
(12 ) .
, ,
(18 ) 13 .
,
46.9%3. 48.2%, 46.4%.
2012 ,
60.9%.

+/- 0.9% , 95%- .

,
93 .

/, , ,
, .
216 .
, , ,
.

. ,

.
, ,
, .

III.

2013 ,
,
.
2012
. 2012

,
, , ,
.

23 3 :
,
5.

2012 , ,

, , ,
,
.
.
;
5

- (NDI) ,

, , 39%-,

, , .
,
;
.
, ,
.
,
.

IV.


.
2013 7 #15/3
7 . , ,
,
.

. , ,
, ,
. , , ,
. ,
, ,

.


, , , ,
,

18%-,

, , 7%-. Greenberg
Quinlan

Rosner-

43%

,
22%

8%

.
:
http://www.cacianalyst.org/publications/field-reports/item/12833-polls-reveal-georgian-dream-candidate-in-lead-ahead-ofpresidential-election.html
http://frontnews.ge/en/news/9971-Greenberg-Quinlan-Rosner-Research-43-of-Georgianrespondents-would-vote-for-Margvelashvili-22-Bakradze-and-8-Burjanadze

. ,
. ,
, .6
, 7
, , .
, ,

,
:
;
;
;
.

:

2.

:
1. .
2014 .

:
1. ,
.. ;
6

, 49- ,

/
.

10

2.
, ;
3. 7.

3.

:
1. . , ,
,
, ,
;
2. ;
3. 5
- , ,
. 2 .
, - ;
4. .

:
1. , ,
,
;
3. , ,
( ,
.) ;
4. 4 ;
5. .

4.

:
1. ;
2. ;
3.
;
7

3 %-.

11

4.

:
1. ;
2. , , ,
.

V.
2013 3 537 851 .
2012 ,

97 000- . 2012 , ,

,
- ,

,
.
.

. , ,

. , 97
000 9000- .
, ,
. ,
, , , , ,
, . ,
, , , ,
, , . ,

.
,
, ,
, . , ,
, , ,
.

12


. , 48 460- ,
. ,

. , , .
, 1747
197- .
,
, , ,
. , ,

VI.
2013 1 , , , ,,

, .

1.

.
,, ,

,
.
,

.
.
,
,

.

.

13

. , 302
,8 8% .9


, , ,
.
29- -11 ,
: [...] ,
. ,
, ,

,,

,, . 70-

-2 , , , ,
, , , ;
, 29- ,
.10
,,

11

,,
, , .
2013

2012

24

-2 -2 ,

/. , , , ,
3 ,
.12
,
, -8 25-

. : http://cesko.ge/ge/page/tanabari-saarchevno-garemo-shezguduli-shesadzleblobebis-mqone-

amomrchevlebistvis2.
9

. : http://www.cesko.ge/uploads/other/18/18235.pdf.

10

. ,,

http://www.isfed.ge/main/422/geo/.
11

. 2012 24 N42/2012

.
12

. 2013 16 N45/2013.

14

13,
.14 , ,
/ .

2.

,,

, , ,
.

.

.
9 , , #15,
#20, #22, #46, #59, #60, #62, #61
15

,,

. ,,
, , , ,
.
:

.16
,, ,
.
,
.

13

,, -8 25- :

, ,
, .
14

,,

: http://www.isfed.ge/main/459/geo/;
15

. ,,

: http://www.isfed.ge/main/407/geo/.
16

. ,, -5

: http://www.isfed.ge/main/472/geo/

15

VII.


,
,


. .

. , ,

, 17.
,
, .
, , ,
.
, 2013 30
, 18,
, ,
,
, .
, : ,
,
, , ,
.

17

, .
18

()

( , .6);
9- (
, .11);
(
, .10); ;
;

16

VIII.
2012 ,
.

.
7
,
, .
, 2
.
2012

, -
. 92
-.

IX.
1.

2013 27
.
2013 1 .

73

,
.
19, , ,
, , .
, , , , ,
:
, , ,
;

19


,
: http://www.gndem.org/declaration-of-global-principles;

.

17

/
,
;
;
, -, ,

.

. ,
, 73
2 .

2.

,,
, , :

.
-, ,

/
.
,,
,

17

,
. ,, ,

,,

10, ,, 7 .
,,
:
,,

, ,
,

18

3.

, ,
.

2013 22 () .

.

()

() .
.
,
,
.

. , , , ,

.
,,-9
, , ,, 9-
, ,,-9, -
, , .
,, , ,
, ,
.


2013 11 ,
, , - 2013
.
,
, ,
, .

, .

19

, ,

, .
, , ,

.
, ,

.
4.

,,
- :

;
, ,
, .
,, - 14 .
.
,, ,
, ,,
. , ,

. , ,
. ,
,
,
, .20
,,

20

.
,,

http://www.isfed.ge/main/407/geo/

20

5.

7 : 3
, 2 , 2
.
,
21, 22
23.

6.

,
, ,
.

. 2012
, ,, ,
. ,
,
.
,, ,
,, - , ,
.
. , , - ,
.

7.

21

.
22

, ,

,, ; ,,
, .
23

" " , , ,

" " , , ,
.

21

2012 1

2013 23 57 ,
32 .

,

,
(, )
, , ,

.
,
, ,
. , 2013 1 20
, 19 , 3
.

2 .

. ,
,

.
,

.

,

X. /


/
. ,
,
.
, , 2013 1
,

23

22

801 .
:
1.

412 .

, , , .
.
2.

, ,

159 . -
, .
, ,
.
3.

131

,
.
4.

, 35

, , , : ,
, ,
, ,
.
5.

27

: ,
, ,
.
6.

21 , , ,

, , ,
-
.
7.

, , 11

, ,

23

XI.
1.

2013 27 1200 ,
, . ,
910 73 . 910 800
. ,
110 ,
.
73- , 78- , 20- 20 .

, , , ,
, .
22 :

24

1000- 57 ;
49 ;
73 4 ;
78 4 ;
20 ;
20 .

2.

(PVT)

800 .

73 .
PVT :

: ,
, , ;

,
;

/ , ;

, 4924
.
.
22 14 (PVT)
. 5 :
1.

24

45 . 4 : ,

, .

25

2.

3.

SMS ;

4.

5.

. , ,
, 99,7%- .
2 : PVT/SMS .

.
.

, 20
.

,
, .
25
(www.electionsportal.ge),
.
PVT/SMS
5 , ,
.
-, .
5 :
1.

27.10.13, 11:00 - /;

2.

27.10.13, 14:00 - /12 ;

3.

27.10.13, 19:00 - /17 ;

4.

27.10.13, 22:30 - / ;

5.

28.10.12, 09:30 - /.

25

, ,

26

3.
,
. .
, ,
(112 ), (13
), (12 ),
(12 )
. , , ,
(18 ) 13
.
, 216 .
39 ,
177 93
.
. ,
,
,, : 2013
16 . 2012
21 . ,
200 , (300
)

: 965
, 2012 986.
,
46.9%26. 48.2%, 46.4%.
2012 ,
60.9%-.

81.1%- 78.3%-. 2012
93.8%-, - 90.2%-.

4.

PVT


,
2012 .
26

+/- 0.9% , 95%- .

27

(100%)
.
,

2012

2%-

.
8
95.7%, 2012 91%.

(1.3%)


.
,,

,
99.8%-.


,

. , , ,
,
.
, 98.0%-

. 2.0%


.

99.1%-

, 2012
96.5%- .

28

96.4%- .
2012 .
97.4%-
.


98.5%- ,
2012 -
96.1% .
99.8%-
. 2012
98.0%-.
1.9%-
. 86.7 %-, ,
.


,,
,
46.9% (+/- 0.9% , 95% ).
48.2%, 46.4%.
2012
, 60.9%-.
12:00 16.8% (+/-0.6%
). , 2012

-25.5%.

12:00
12

15.2%, 2012 12
24% .
( ) 12 17.5%- , 2012
12 26%- .
17:00 38.2% (+/-1.1% ).
, 2012 17:00 52.1%.

29

(PVT)
,
(PVT) .
100%-.
(PVT) .
+/-0.7% (95 %- ):
2013

30

6 .

:

5.

216 27 .
39 ,
;
177 93 . 11
, 82 . .
,
, .
, 112 ,
, , , ,
, ,
. ,
18 . , ,
, 13
. , 13
. 12
.
, 2012 2013
/
, ,
.
27

:
http://www.electionsportal.ge/geo/map?map=6&category=0&dist=0&org1=1

31


. 12 ,
. : #25, #2 #20,
#23, #47, #31 #45, #13, #26, #99,
#14 #21 .


11 .
7 , 4
,
.
, ,

.
:
/ /, ,
, : #47
#29 ; #59 #65 ; #80
#2 .

32

,
,
; ,
#15 #19 #79 #2
.
, ,
#13 #28 #30
#26 .
#8 #26
;
, , , /
#15 #19 , #60
#4 , #79 #66 .
:

:
82 . 44
, 12 , 22 , 4
.

33

:
,
,
, #22 #42 #79
#2 .
, , #62
#22 .
, , ,
#3 #58 ,
#13 #28 , #19 #2 , #22
#4 #56 , #28 #22 , #30
#26 , #47 #11 , #59 #120 ,
#65 #10 , #79 #5 #21 .
/ #22 #37 #50
, #30 #20 .
#3 #22 ;
#8 #26 .
# 37 #2, #4, #5, #21 #32
.
/ /, ,
, ,
#2 #4, #11, #66 #78 ; #3
#4, #15, #34, #38, #39, #60, #68, #74 ; #6 #4, #5, #12, #32, #45, #51, #69,
#70, #77, #88 #101 ; #11 #11 #23 ; #17
#8 ; #18 #10 ; #20 #7, #8 #13

34

; # 21 #2, #12, #18, #38, #45, #52 #55 ; #22


#16, #38, #53, #73 #80 ; #23 #1, #22 #48
; #24 #22, #30, #34, #46 #47 ; #27 #7, #9 #15
; #28 #13, #15, #24, #26, #32 #37 ; #32 #1,
#51, #63 #80 ; #37 ##22, #29 #33 ; #38
#1 ; #39 #4 ; #40 #9, #11, #28, #32,
#37, #45, #46, #48, #51, #52 #57 ; #43 #8 ; # 47
#29 ; #49 #24 ; #59 #65
; #64 #3, #8, #36, #37 #42 ; #80 #2 ;
#81 #25, #26, #30, #35, #38, #46, #53 #63 ; #84 #18
.
#20 #72 .
; , ,
,
#4 #3 #19 ; #20 #36, #46 #83 ;
#22 #33 ; #23 #4, #9 #44 ;
#35 #11 #34 ; #58 #25 #39 ;
#62 #17 ; #81 #8, #28, #52 #60
.

#32 #57, #60, #97 #101 ;


#40 #1, #6, #12, #31, #42, #45, #56 #61 ; #59 #51
.
#12 #4, #8, #13, #15, #18, #21, #34
#45 ; #21 #30 ; #27 #23
; #37 #10 .
, , , /
,
; ,
, #14 #3 #7 ;
#24 #43 ; #48 #13 ; #52
#11 ; #53 #14 ; #65 #28
; #79 #66 .
, 4 , ,
. , ,
, ,
.

35


, 3 .
,
.
:



,
.
174
, 116 . ,
, 113 , . 94
, 16 18
. 14 , 1
.

9 .
,
.

36

#6
.


, .
.
, .
,
. ,

XII.
: ,
.
, ,
. ,
,
,
.
,
, ,
.
, ,
,
.
, ,
, , , ,
.
: ,
. ,
, ,
,
.

37

.
,

.

.
: ,

. ,
, ,
.

38

You might also like