CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL

The Republican Race at the Start of 2016

January 7-10, 2016
Q1.-Q14. Previously released
Q15. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so
far?

A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Don't know/No answer

*** REGISTERED VOTERS ***

Total
Rep
Dem
Ind
%
%
%
%
44
52
44
39
35
32
36
37
15
13
14
17
5
3
6
7
*
*
1
*

Dec15a
%
45
36
13
6
1

Q16. Thinking about the 2016 presidential election, overall, would you say you are very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too
enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about voting?
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
Don't know/No answer

33
32
19
15
1

42
31
14
12
1

31
34
21
13
1

28
33
21
18
1

32
35
22
11
1

Prim. This year, are you more likely to vote in a Republican presidential primary or caucus, or a Democratic presidential primary or
caucus or aren't you likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all?
Republican primary
Democratic primary
Not likely to vote
Never vote (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

37
37
17
*
9

85
4
8
3

5
86
6
4

28
23
32
*
17

38
36
15
*
11

Q17. Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President in 2016?

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Mike Huckabee
Chris Christie
Carly Fiorina
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Rick Santorum
None of them (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

%
36
19
12
6
6
4
3
3
2
1
*
1
7

Dec15a
%
35
16
9
3
13
3
3
1
3
4
*
2
7

Q18. Is your mind made up or is it still too early to say for sure?

Mind made up
Too early
Don't know/No answer

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CHOICE

%
35
64
1

Dec15a
%
34
64
2

Q19. Who would be your second choice for the Republican nomination for president?
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Ben Carson
Donald Trump
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
Mike Huckabee
Carly Fiorina
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Rick Santorum
Jim Gilmore
Someone Else
(Vol.)
None of them
(Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

20
14
11
11
9
6
4
3
3
3
1
1
*
4
10

19
13
13
12
10
6
4
4
3
6
*
--2
7

Q20. Regardless of who you support, who do you expect to finally win the Republican nomination for President in 2016?

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
John Kasich
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
Rand Paul
Someone Else
(Vol.)
None of them
(Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

53
17
5
5
1
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
16

Dec15a
51
10
9
5
7
1
1
*
*
*
*
1
15

Q21. If Donald Trump became the 2016 Republican nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but
with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him?

Enthusiastically support
Support with reservations
Support only because nominee
No support
Don't know/No answer

40
31
9
18
2

Oct15d
29
35
10
24
1

Q22. If Ted Cruz became the 2016 Republican nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with
reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him?

Enthusiastically support
Support with reservations
Support only because nominee
No support
Don't know/No answer

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

%
37
25
18
16
5

Oct15d
%
26
30
17
19
8

Q23. If Marco Rubio became the 2016 Republican nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but
with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him?
Enthusiastically support
Support with reservations
Support only because nominee
No support
Don't know/No answer

32
31
18
12
7

30
32
16
15
7

Q24. Q29 Released separately

Q29. How would you describe the 2016 presidential election campaign so far -- is it interesting to you, or would you say it is dull?

Interesting
Dull
Neither (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

** TOTAL RESPONDENTS **
Total
Rep. Primary Voters
%
%
70
79
24
17
4
2
2
2

Q30. Released separately.

Q31. Do you think Donald Trump has the right kind of temperament and personality to be a good president, or not?

Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

%
50
45
5

Q32. Do you think Donald Trump shares your values, or not?

Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

59
35
6

Q33. How confident are you in Donald Trumps ability to be an effective commander-in-chief of the nation's military -- are you very
confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

%
34
35
13
17
1

Q34. Do you think Ted Cruz has the right kind of temperament and personality to be a good president, or not?
Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

68
22
10

Q35. Do you think Ted Cruz shares your values, or not?

No
Don't know/No answer

63
24
13

Q36. How confident are you in Ted Cruzs ability to be an effective commander-in-chief of the nation's military -- are you very
confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer

30
37
15
11
7

Q37. Do you think Marco Rubio has the right kind of temperament and personality to be a good president, or not?
Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

64
25
11

Q38. Do you think Marco Rubio shares your values, or not?

Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

59
27
14

Q39. How confident are you in Marco Rubios ability to be an effective commander-in-chief of the nation's military -- are you very
confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer

20
43
16
13
7

Q40. Q47 Released separately.

Q48. Do you feel Americas culture and values are generally changing in a way you agree with, changing in a way you disagree with,
or not changing much either way?

Changing in a way you agree with

Changing in a way you disagree with
Not changing much either way
Don't know/No answer

** TOTAL RESPONDENTS **
Total
Rep. Primary Voters
%
%
17
8
54
73
25
17
5
3

Q49. From what youve heard or read, do you approve or disapprove of the health care law that was enacted in 2010?
(If Approve, ask:) Do you strongly approve or somewhat approve?
(If Disapprove, ask:) Do you somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove?

Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Don't know/No answer

** TOTAL RESPONDENTS **
Total
Rep. Primary Voters
%
%
19
2
22
8
14
15
38
73
8
1

Dec15a
%
20
20
15
37
8

Q50. Which comes closest to your view about the 2010 health care law?

Working well and kept in place

Good things, but changes needed
Needs to be repealed entirely
Don't know/No answer

9
53
35
3

1
34
65
*

Jun15b
9
55
31
6

Q51. Q54. Released previously.

Q55. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are living in the U.S.? 1. They should be allowed to stay in the
U.S and eventually apply for citizenship, 2. They should be allowed to stay in the U.S. legally, but not be allowed to apply for
citizenship or 3. They should be required to leave the U.S.

Stay & apply

Stay but not apply
Required to leave
Don't know/No answer

53
13
29
5

32
15
48
5

Sep15a1
58
10
27
5

Q56. Would you favor or oppose building a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border to try to stop illegal immigration?
Favor
Oppose
Don't know/No answer

45
49
5

75
21
4

Tea Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party movement, or not?

Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

17
67
16

33
51
15

5
83
11

15
66
19

Weighted

Total Respondents

Unweighted
1,276

Total Registered Voters

Total Republican Primary Voters
Total Democratic Primary Voters

1,094
442
389

1,033
380
384

Dec15c
%
19
63
19