CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Iowa
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

1247 Registered Voters
January 18-21, 2016

±5.2%

1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
No attention so far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential caucus in Iowa?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .52%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential caucus?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%

1

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Iowa Republican Presidential caucus
in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%

5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Iowa Democratic Presidential caucus
in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .46%
Martin O’Malley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2%

6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Very strong – I’ve decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Strong – I probably won’t change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
Somewhat strong – I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Not too strong – I’ll probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
7. What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not very strongly decided

Convince me they can really win . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Convince me they stand with me on the issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Convince me they can be effective in the job . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
I’m never completely decided until Election Day . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
None of these . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

8. How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Enthusiastic about [Candidate Name] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63%
Supporting [Candidate Name] but with some reservations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Considering [Candidate Name] mainly because you dislike the other choices so
far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

9. You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could
consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Chris Christie
Jeb Bush
John Kasich
Ben Carson

Yes, could consider
37%
67%
64%
35%
33%
17%
58%

No, could never consider
63%
33%
36%
65%
67%
83%
42%

10. In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio

Too extreme
47%
19%
7%

About right
47%
70%
54%

Too moderate
5%
11%
39%

3

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
11. Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio

Yes, consistent
66%
71%
51%

No, not consistent
34%
29%
49%

12. Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio

Understands
79%
76%
63%

Doesn’t understand
21%
24%
37%

13. What’s most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Defend my faith and religious values . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Win the General election in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Fight terrorism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Shake up politics-as-usual . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Bring back jobs and the American economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%

14. Do you think Ted Cruz’s birthplace is a serious issue or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Not serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84%

15. Does Donald Trump’s being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or
does it not matter to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Does not matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
16. Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Health care policy
Wall Street reform
Terrorism
Taxes
The economy and
jobs
Gun policy

Hillary Clinton
43%
23%
52%
28%

Bernie Sanders
41%
69%
17%
55%

Both equally
16%
7%
31%
17%

38%
50%

41%
23%

21%
27%

17. From what you’ve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates’ policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Realistic
76%
38%

Idealistic
24%
62%

18. Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Understands
65%
85%

Doesn’t understand
35%
15%

19. As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

What big donors want
57%
9%

What regular people
want
43%
91%

5

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
20. When you vote in the Iowa caucus, you will be most satisfied about having a chance to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Support an historic candidacy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Shake up politics-as-usual . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Get progressive things done . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Give the Democrats a good chance to win in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%

21. Do you think Hillary Clinton has criticized Bernie Sanders unfairly, or has she made fair
points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Her critiques have been unfair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
She has made fair points . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .56%
Have not heard criticism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%

22. Do you think Bernie Sanders has criticized Hillary Clinton unfairly, or has he made fair
points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

His critiques have been unfair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
He has made fair points . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63%
Have not heard criticism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%

23. Have you been told the specific location of your caucus meeting yet, or do you still need to
find that out?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Yes, know where it is . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62%
No, still need to find out . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%

24. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?⇤
Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
25. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*
Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

26. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?*
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%

27. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

28. Are you male or female?
Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%

Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
29. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%

30. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?
White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

31. What is the highest level of education you have completed?
HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

47%
39%
11%
2%

59%
31%
10%
1%

37%
46%
13%
4%

28%
46%
26%
0%

37%
41%
11%
11%

49%
40%
11%
0%

62%
34%
4%
0%

48%
39%
11%
2%










100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,246)

(586)

(659)

(174)

(240)

(532)

(300)

(1,179)

(17)

(9)

(41)

1

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential caucus in Iowa?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Don’t know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

52%
14%
8%
11%
13%
2%

59%
15%
6%
9%
9%
2%

45%
12%
10%
13%
16%
4%

50%
19%
7%
4%
20%
0%

49%
23%
12%
6%
4%
7%

51%
11%
8%
15%
13%
2%

56%
7%
6%
11%
16%
4%

52%
12%
8%
11%
13%
3%
















100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,247)

(587)

(660)

(174)

(240)

(532)

(300)

(1,181)

(17)

(9)

(41)

2

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

3. 2016 Primary Turnout
In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential caucus?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Don’t know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%
34%
18%
15%

29%
40%
20%
11%

36%
29%
17%
18%

32%
35%
18%
14%

26%
28%
15%
31%

34%
35%
19%
12%

37%
36%
20%
7%

32%
35%
19%
14%










100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,247)

(587)

(660)

(174)

(240)

(532)

(300)

(1,181)

(17)

(9)

(41)

3

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

4. First Choice Republican Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Iowa Republican Presidential caucus in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

1%
5%
2%
34%
1%
0%
0%
1%
3%
13%
1%
39%
0%

1%
4%
0%
34%
2%
0%
0%
0%
3%
15%
1%
40%
0%

1%
7%
4%
34%
1%
0%
0%
1%
3%
10%
0%
38%
0%

0%
0%
0%
32%
0%
0%
0%
0%
4%
9%
0%
54%
0%

1%
13%
0%
25%
0%
1%
0%
0%
4%
31%
0%
25%
0%

1%
4%
4%
37%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
10%
1%
37%
0%

1%
4%
0%
35%
4%
0%
0%
2%
3%
6%
1%
43%
0%

1%
5%
2%
34%
1%
0%
0%
1%
3%
13%
1%
39%
0%





































100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(491)

(302)

(189)

(62)

(87)

(211)

(131)

(479)

(0)

(2)

(10)

4

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

5. First Choice Democratic Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Iowa Democratic Presidential caucus in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Martin O’Malley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

46%
5%
47%
1%

43%
5%
51%
1%

47%
4%
44%
4%

14%
0%
74%
12%

50%
1%
47%
2%

46%
5%
48%
1%

61%
9%
28%
1%

45%
4%
50%
1%










100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(490)

(193)

(297)

(71)

(75)

(215)

(128)

(449)

(23)

(5)

(14)

5

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

6. Republican Candidate Support
Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

37%
41%
22%
0%

39%
42%
18%
0%

34%
38%
27%
0%

51%
30%
19%
0%

26%
48%
26%
0%

42%
35%
23%
0%

31%
50%
18%
1%

38%
41%
21%
0%










100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(490)

(302)

(188)

(62)

(87)

(211)

(130)

(478)

(0)

(2)

(10)

6

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

7. Republican Candidate Certainty
What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not very strongly decided

Gender
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
I’m never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

36%

41%

28%

53%

30%

35%

36%

22%

19%

26%

16%

19%

32%

22%

26%

21%

33%

13%

33%

21%

27%

13%
3%

17%
2%

7%
6%


11%
6%

14%
4%

10%
3%

13%
3%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(183)

(124)

100%

(307)

(65)

(122)

(89)

(298)

(30)

(0)

(2)

(7)

7

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

8. Enthusiasm for First Choice
How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

63%
32%
5%

65%
30%
5%

62%
33%
6%

59%
37%
4%

81%
15%
4%

58%
36%
6%

64%
30%
6%

62%
32%
6%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(476)

(192)

(284)

(63)

(74)

(212)

(127)

(443)

(22)

(5)

(6)

8

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

9. Republican Candidate Consideration – Donald Trump
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

37%
63%

41%
59%

32%
68%


24%
76%

45%
55%

48%
52%

38%
62%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(173)

(111)

100%

(284)

(60)

(125)

(71)

(277)

(28)

(0)

(1)

(7)

9

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

10. Republican Candidate Consideration – Ted Cruz
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

67%
33%

74%
26%

54%
46%


87%
13%

64%
36%

55%
45%

67%
33%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(196)

(117)

100%

(313)

(62)

(128)

(81)

(304)

(42)

(0)

(1)

(8)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

11. Republican Candidate Consideration – Marco Rubio
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

64%
36%

63%
37%

66%
34%

89%
11%

71%
29%

64%
36%

50%
50%

64%
36%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(400)

(239)

(160)

(56)

(51)

(180)

(113)

(389)

(0)

(2)

(9)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

12. Republican Candidate Consideration – Chris Christie
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

35%
65%

36%
64%

34%
66%

34%
66%

32%
68%

34%
66%

40%
60%

35%
65%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(452)

(284)

(168)

(62)

(87)

(185)

(119)

(441)

(0)

(2)

(9)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

13. Republican Candidate Consideration – Jeb Bush
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%
67%

31%
69%

36%
64%

40%
60%

38%
62%

29%
71%

33%
67%

33%
67%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(450)

(276)

(175)

(61)

(79)

(191)

(119)

(440)

(0)

(2)

(9)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

14. Republican Candidate Consideration – John Kasich
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

17%
83%

21%
79%

10%
90%

10%
90%

15%
85%

18%
82%

20%
80%

17%
83%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(442)

(269)

(173)

(62)

(74)

(193)

(114)

(431)

(0)

(2)

(9)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

15. Republican Candidate Consideration – Ben Carson
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

58%
42%

68%
32%

42%
58%

56%
44%

66%
34%

54%
46%

62%
38%

59%
41%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(434)

(268)

(167)

(62)

(67)

(191)

(114)

(423)

(0)

(2)

(9)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

16. Republican Candidate Approach – Donald Trump
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

47%
47%
5%

45%
49%
6%

51%
45%
4%

55%
44%
1%

66%
28%
6%

41%
51%
8%

41%
55%
4%

48%
47%
5%

Totals
(Weighted N)







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(484)

(295)

(189)

(62)

(82)

(210)

(130)

(472)

(0)

(2)

(10)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

17. Republican Candidate Approach – Ted Cruz
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

19%
70%
11%

17%
76%
7%

21%
62%
17%

9%
82%
9%

21%
76%
3%

21%
70%
9%

18%
63%
19%

19%
71%
10%

Totals
(Weighted N)







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(481)

(293)

(188)

(62)

(83)

(208)

(129)

(469)

(0)

(2)

(10)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

18. Republican Candidate Approach – Marco Rubio
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

7%
54%
39%

6%
51%
43%

7%
60%
33%

0%
41%
59%

0%
71%
28%

5%
56%
39%

15%
48%
37%

7%
55%
38%

Totals
(Weighted N)







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(485)

(297)

(188)

(62)

(83)

(210)

(130)

(473)

(0)

(2)

(10)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

19. Republican Candidate Consistency – Donald Trump
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

66%
34%

64%
36%

70%
30%

60%
40%

54%
46%

69%
31%

73%
27%

66%
34%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(484)

(295)

(189)

(62)

(87)

(209)

(125)

(472)

(0)

(2)

(10)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

20. Republican Candidate Consistency – Ted Cruz
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

71%
29%

76%
24%

63%
37%

69%
31%

72%
28%

75%
25%

64%
36%

71%
29%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(479)

(294)

(185)

(62)

(87)

(207)

(124)

(468)

(0)

(2)

(10)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

21. Republican Candidate Consistency – Marco Rubio
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

51%
49%

47%
53%

57%
43%

56%
44%

52%
48%

51%
49%

48%
52%

51%
49%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(480)

(294)

(186)

(62)

(87)

(207)

(124)

(468)

(0)

(2)

(10)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

22. Republican Candidate Understanding – Donald Trump
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

79%
21%

80%
20%

76%
24%

75%
25%

63%
37%

82%
18%

86%
14%

79%
21%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(487)

(299)

(188)

(62)

(86)

(210)

(129)

(475)

(0)

(2)

(10)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

23. Republican Candidate Understanding – Ted Cruz
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

76%
24%

77%
23%

73%
27%

63%
37%

88%
12%

76%
24%

73%
27%

76%
24%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(487)

(299)

(188)

(62)

(87)

(209)

(130)

(475)

(0)

(2)

(10)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

24. Republican Candidate Understanding – Marco Rubio
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

63%
37%

65%
35%

60%
40%

75%
25%

70%
30%

62%
38%

54%
46%

63%
37%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(480)

(299)

(182)

(62)

(87)

(202)

(130)

(469)

(0)

(2)

(10)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

25. Republican Vote Reasons
What’s most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

18%
29%
15%
16%

16%
29%
10%
21%

20%
30%
21%
8%

38%
16%
15%
2%

21%
38%
7%
16%

13%
26%
16%
18%

13%
35%
17%
20%

17%
30%
14%
16%










22%

23%

21%

29%

18%

26%

16%

23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(488)

(302)

(186)

(62)

(87)

(209)

(130)

(479)

(0)

(2)

(7)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

26. Ted Cruz Birthplace
Do you think Ted Cruz’s birthplace is a serious issue or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

16%
84%

11%
89%

23%
77%

9%
91%

12%
88%

13%
87%

26%
74%

15%
85%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(490)

(302)

(188)

(62)

(85)

(213)

(131)

(478)

(0)

(2)

(10)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

27. Donald Trump NY Values
Does Donald Trump’s being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or does it not matter to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

3%
11%
85%

4%
15%
81%

2%
6%
92%

15%
16%
69%

1%
7%
92%

2%
13%
85%

1%
10%
89%

3%
12%
85%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(492)

(302)

(190)

(62)

(87)

(213)

(131)

(480)

(0)

(2)

(10)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

28. Democratic Candidate Policies – Health care policy
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

43%
41%
16%

39%
49%
12%

46%
36%
19%

16%
73%
11%

48%
42%
10%

35%
42%
23%

67%
21%
12%

42%
41%
16%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(464)

(178)

(286)

(64)

(75)

(201)

(123)

(438)

(14)

(5)

(7)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

29. Democratic Candidate Policies – Wall Street reform
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

23%
69%
7%

18%
73%
9%

27%
67%
6%

15%
82%
3%

31%
63%
6%

21%
70%
10%

28%
66%
6%

22%
71%
8%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(466)

(180)

(286)

(64)

(75)

(203)

(123)

(441)

(14)

(5)

(7)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

30. Democratic Candidate Policies – Terrorism
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

52%
17%
31%

53%
14%
32%

51%
18%
31%

25%
31%
44%

63%
10%
27%

45%
17%
38%

72%
12%
16%

52%
17%
31%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(471)

(178)

(293)

(71)

(75)

(201)

(123)

(438)

(14)

(5)

(14)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

31. Democratic Candidate Policies – Taxes
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

28%
55%
17%

28%
57%
15%

27%
53%
20%

8%
90%
2%

43%
46%
11%

21%
58%
21%

40%
36%
24%

26%
56%
18%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(464)

(178)

(286)

(64)

(75)

(201)

(123)

(439)

(14)

(5)

(7)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

32. Democratic Candidate Policies – The economy and jobs
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

38%
41%
21%

37%
50%
13%

38%
36%
27%

6%
82%
12%

45%
40%
15%

34%
35%
31%

57%
31%
12%

35%
42%
23%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(473)

(187)

(286)

(64)

(75)

(210)

(123)

(438)

(23)

(5)

(7)

32

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

33. Democratic Candidate Policies – Gun policy
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

50%
23%
27%

51%
22%
27%

49%
23%
28%

22%
36%
42%

47%
24%
29%

48%
21%
31%

68%
17%
15%

48%
23%
29%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(464)

(178)

(286)

(64)

(75)

(201)

(123)

(438)

(14)

(5)

(7)

33

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

34. Democratic Candidate Proposals – Hillary Clinton
From what you’ve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates’ policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

76%
24%

74%
26%

78%
22%

71%
29%

79%
21%

70%
30%

89%
11%

75%
25%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(485)

(191)

(294)

(71)

(75)

(213)

(125)

(443)

(23)

(5)

(14)

34

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

35. Democratic Candidate Proposals – Bernie Sanders
From what you’ve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates’ policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

38%
62%

49%
51%

32%
68%

50%
50%

40%
60%

36%
64%

36%
64%

40%
60%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(473)

(181)

(292)

(71)

(75)

(205)

(121)

(440)

(14)

(5)

(14)

35

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

36. Democratic Candidate Understanding – Hillary Clinton
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

65%
35%

59%
41%

69%
31%

35%
65%

64%
36%

68%
32%

80%
20%

66%
34%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(470)

(182)

(288)

(71)

(75)

(201)

(122)

(438)

(14)

(5)

(14)

36

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

37. Democratic Candidate Understanding – Bernie Sanders
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

85%
15%

94%
6%

79%
21%

86%
14%

92%
8%

88%
12%

74%
26%

86%
14%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(473)

(181)

(292)

(71)

(75)

(201)

(125)

(441)

(14)

(5)

(14)

37

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

38. Democratic Candidate Attention – Hillary Clinton
As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

57%
43%

61%
39%

54%
46%

85%
15%

62%
38%

57%
43%

37%
63%

56%
44%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(483)

(189)

(294)

(71)

(73)

(214)

(124)

(441)

(23)

(5)

(14)

38

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

39. Democratic Candidate Attention – Bernie Sanders
As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

9%
91%

7%
93%

10%
90%

10%
90%

20%
80%

7%
93%

4%
96%

6%
94%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(469)

(178)

(290)

(71)

(73)

(204)

(120)

(436)

(14)

(5)

(14)

39

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

40. Democratic Vote Reasons
When you vote in the Iowa caucus, you will be most satisfied about having a chance to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

7%
12%
27%

13%
13%
29%

3%
11%
26%

23%
1%
47%

9%
11%
42%

3%
18%
14%

3%
7%
28%

7%
12%
25%







54%

46%

60%

29%

37%

64%

62%

55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(489)

(192)

(297)

(71)

(75)

(215)

(127)

(447)

(23)

(5)

(14)

40

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

41. Hillary Clinton Critiques to Sanders
Do you think Hillary Clinton has criticized Bernie Sanders unfairly, or has she made fair points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Her critiques have been unfair
She has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

28%
56%
16%

37%
53%
10%

22%
58%
20%

40%
35%
25%

24%
53%
23%

33%
52%
15%

16%
75%
9%

28%
54%
17%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(489)

(192)

(297)

(71)

(75)

(215)

(127)

(448)

(23)

(5)

(14)

41

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

42. Bernie Sanders Critiques to Clinton
Do you think Bernie Sanders has criticized Hillary Clinton unfairly, or has he made fair points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
His critiques have been unfair
He has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

16%
63%
21%

12%
76%
13%

19%
56%
26%

5%
74%
21%

11%
52%
37%

15%
64%
21%

26%
64%
10%

15%
64%
21%







100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(489)

(192)

(297)

(71)

(75)

(215)

(127)

(448)

(23)

(5)

(14)

42

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

43. Caucus Location
Have you been told the specific location of your caucus meeting yet, or do you still need to find that out?
Asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes, know where it is
No, still need to find out
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

62%
38%

68%
32%

56%
44%

65%
35%

61%
39%

58%
42%

67%
33%

63%
37%




100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(982)

(495)

(487)

(133)

(163)

(428)

(258)

(929)

(23)

(7)

(24)

43

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

492 Likely Republican Caucus Voters
January 18-21, 2016

±7.2%

1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

72%
25%
3%
0%

84%
13%
4%
0%

73%
26%
1%
0%




81%
16%
3%
0%

63%
34%
3%
0%

72%
24%
3%
0%

77%
22%
1%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(168)

(202)

100%

(491)

(251)

(233)

(255)

(197)

(40)

Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

72%
25%
3%
0%

84%
16%
0%
0%

54%
39%
7%
0%

67%
25%
8%
0%

63%
35%
2%
0%

74%
22%
3%
0%

78%
22%
0%
1%

73%
24%
3%
0%

79%
20%
1%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(491)

(302)

(189)

(62)

(87)

(212)

(131)

(380)

(94)

1

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

2. First Choice Republican Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Iowa Republican Presidential caucus in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

1%
5%
2%
34%
1%
0%
0%
1%
3%
13%
1%
39%
0%

0%
2%
0%
51%
1%
0%
0%
0%
5%
6%
1%
33%
0%

1%
6%
4%
28%
2%
0%
1%
0%
2%
15%
1%
40%
0%













1%
4%
0%
38%
2%
0%
0%
0%
5%
8%
1%
40%
0%

1%
6%
4%
29%
1%
0%
0%
1%
2%
16%
1%
38%
0%

1%
8%
3%
38%
1%
0%
0%
0%
4%
14%
0%
30%
0%

1%
2%
0%
30%
3%
0%
0%
1%
2%
12%
1%
47%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(168)

(202)

100%

(491)

(251)

(232)

(254)

(197)

Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference

Tea Party

(41)
Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

1%
5%
2%
34%
1%
0%
0%
1%
3%
13%
1%
39%
0%

1%
4%
0%
34%
2%
0%
0%
0%
3%
15%
1%
40%
0%

1%
7%
4%
34%
1%
0%
0%
1%
3%
10%
0%
38%
0%

0%
0%
0%
32%
0%
0%
0%
0%
4%
9%
0%
54%
0%

1%
13%
0%
25%
0%
1%
0%
0%
4%
31%
0%
25%
0%

1%
4%
4%
37%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
10%
1%
37%
0%

1%
4%
0%
35%
4%
0%
0%
2%
3%
6%
1%
43%
0%

1%
5%
1%
35%
2%
0%
0%
1%
2%
15%
0%
37%
0%

0%
7%
0%
32%
0%
0%
0%
1%
6%
3%
2%
47%
0%

continued on the next page . . .

2

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

continued from previous page
Age group

Gender

Totals
(Weighted N)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(491)

(302)

(189)

(62)

(87)

(211)

(131)

(380)

(93)

3

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

3. Republican Candidate Support
Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

37%
41%
22%
0%

45%
38%
17%
0%

30%
45%
24%
0%




39%
46%
15%
0%

35%
36%
28%
0%

38%
39%
23%
0%

35%
43%
21%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(168)

(202)

100%

(490)

(251)

(231)

(253)

(197)

(41)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

37%
41%
22%
0%

39%
42%
18%
0%

34%
38%
27%
0%

51%
30%
19%
0%

26%
48%
26%
0%

42%
35%
23%
0%

31%
50%
18%
1%

38%
41%
21%
0%

35%
44%
20%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(490)

(302)

(188)

(62)

(87)

(211)

(130)

(379)

(93)

4

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

4. Republican Candidate Certainty
What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not very strongly decided

Ideology
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
I’m never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

36%

32%

34%

39%

32%

32%

42%

22%

29%

16%

20%

24%

21%

18%

26%

22%

33%

24%

28%

26%

27%

13%
3%

12%
5%

17%
1%


12%
5%

14%
2%

18%
2%

6%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(92)

(141)

100%

(307)

(154)

(150)

(156)

(128)

(20)

Gender
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
I’m never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

36%

41%

28%

53%

30%

35%

43%

15%

22%

19%

26%

16%

19%

32%

19%

35%

26%

21%

33%

13%

33%

21%

23%

31%

13%
3%

17%
2%

7%
6%


11%
6%

14%
4%

10%
3%

13%
3%

14%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(183)

(124)

100%

(307)

(65)

(122)

(89)

(233)

(60)

(30)

5

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

5. Republican Candidate Consideration – Donald Trump
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

37%
63%

38%
62%

41%
59%


44%
56%

29%
71%

37%
63%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(103)

(116)

100%

(284)

(146)

(131)

(166)

(100)

(15)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

37%
63%

41%
59%

32%
68%


24%
76%

45%
55%

48%
52%

36%
64%


100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(173)

(111)

100%

(284)

(60)

(125)

(71)

(230)

(28)

(44)

6

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

6. Republican Candidate Consideration – Ted Cruz
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

67%
33%

82%
18%

65%
35%


82%
18%

53%
47%

80%
20%

56%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(82)

(138)

100%

(313)

(149)

(158)

(153)

(130)

(34)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

67%
33%

74%
26%

54%
46%


87%
13%

64%
36%

55%
45%

64%
36%

77%
23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(196)

(117)

100%

(313)

(62)

(128)

(81)

(237)

(61)

(42)

7

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

7. Republican Candidate Consideration – Marco Rubio
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

64%
36%

60%
40%

73%
27%


61%
39%

69%
31%

67%
33%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(150)

(159)

100%

(400)

(221)

(174)

(200)

(164)

(33)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

64%
36%

63%
37%

66%
34%

89%
11%

71%
29%

64%
36%

50%
50%

69%
31%

50%
50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(400)

(239)

(160)

(56)

(51)

(180)

(113)

(299)

(85)

8

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

8. Republican Candidate Consideration – Chris Christie
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

35%
65%

30%
70%

40%
60%


26%
74%

45%
55%

31%
69%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(162)

(177)

100%

(452)

(240)

(204)

(224)

(188)

(36)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

35%
65%

36%
64%

34%
66%

34%
66%

32%
68%

34%
66%

40%
60%

40%
60%

19%
81%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(452)

(284)

(168)

(62)

(87)

(185)

(119)

(355)

(85)

9

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

9. Republican Candidate Consideration – Jeb Bush
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

33%
67%

26%
74%

36%
64%


24%
76%

42%
58%

42%
58%

24%
76%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(163)

(176)

100%

(450)

(237)

(206)

(229)

(182)

(35)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

33%
67%

31%
69%

36%
64%

40%
60%

38%
62%

29%
71%

33%
67%

38%
62%

9%
91%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(450)

(276)

(175)

(61)

(79)

(191)

(119)

(347)

(86)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

10. Republican Candidate Consideration – John Kasich
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

17%
83%

15%
85%

18%
82%


13%
87%

20%
80%

17%
83%

16%
84%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(156)

(177)

100%

(442)

(236)

(200)

(221)

(183)

(35)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

17%
83%

21%
79%

10%
90%

10%
90%

15%
85%

18%
82%

20%
80%

18%
82%

13%
87%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(442)

(269)

(173)

(62)

(74)

(193)

(114)

(341)

(84)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

11. Republican Candidate Consideration – Ben Carson
You’ve told us you’re supporting [Candidate Name] – are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

58%
42%

79%
21%

47%
53%


73%
27%

41%
59%

65%
35%

53%
47%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(156)

(174)

100%

(434)

(233)

(194)

(215)

(181)

(33)

Gender
Yes, could consider
No, could never consider
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

58%
42%

68%
32%

42%
58%

56%
44%

66%
34%

54%
46%

62%
38%

55%
45%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(434)

(268)

(167)

(62)

(67)

(191)

(114)

(335)

(83)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

12. Republican Candidate Approach – Donald Trump
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

47%
47%
5%

47%
44%
10%

47%
49%
5%

39%
53%
8%

55%
42%
3%

49%
46%
5%

47%
47%
6%

Totals
(Weighted N)



100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(165)

(198)

100%

(484)

(244)

(232)

(252)

(193)

(41)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

47%
47%
5%

45%
49%
6%

51%
45%
4%

55%
44%
1%

66%
28%
6%

41%
51%
8%

41%
55%
4%

52%
44%
5%

25%
66%
9%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(484)

(295)

(189)

(62)

(82)

(210)

(130)

(376)

(90)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

13. Republican Candidate Approach – Ted Cruz
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

19%
70%
11%

9%
84%
7%

22%
68%
10%

10%
80%
10%

26%
63%
12%

14%
79%
7%

24%
64%
12%

Totals
(Weighted N)



100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(163)

(197)

100%

(481)

(242)

(232)

(249)

(193)

(40)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

19%
70%
11%

17%
76%
7%

21%
62%
17%

9%
82%
9%

21%
76%
3%

21%
70%
9%

18%
63%
19%

18%
71%
11%

16%
74%
10%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(481)

(293)

(188)

(62)

(83)

(208)

(129)

(374)

(89)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

14. Republican Candidate Approach – Marco Rubio
In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidate’s approach would probably be...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

7%
54%
39%

9%
43%
49%

5%
61%
34%

5%
44%
51%

8%
65%
27%

8%
54%
39%

4%
61%
36%

Totals
(Weighted N)



100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(168)

(198)

100%

(485)

(245)

(232)

(252)

(193)

(40)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Too extreme
About right
Too moderate

7%
54%
39%

6%
51%
43%

7%
60%
33%

0%
41%
59%

0%
71%
28%

5%
56%
39%

15%
48%
37%

5%
57%
38%

10%
44%
46%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(485)

(297)

(188)

(62)

(83)

(210)

(130)

(377)

(90)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

15. Republican Candidate Consistency – Donald Trump
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

66%
34%

62%
38%

66%
34%


71%
29%

62%
38%

62%
38%

70%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(167)

(200)

100%

(484)

(247)

(229)

(251)

(192)

(39)

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

66%
34%

64%
36%

70%
30%

60%
40%

54%
46%

69%
31%

73%
27%

64%
36%

70%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(484)

(295)

(189)

(62)

(87)

(209)

(125)

(375)

(92)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

16. Republican Candidate Consistency – Ted Cruz
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

71%
29%

85%
15%

66%
34%


76%
24%

65%
35%

74%
26%

69%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(166)

(199)

100%

(479)

(246)

(226)

(248)

(191)

(38)

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

71%
29%

76%
24%

63%
37%

69%
31%

72%
28%

75%
25%

64%
36%

72%
28%

72%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(479)

(294)

(185)

(62)

(87)

(207)

(124)

(372)

(91)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

17. Republican Candidate Consistency – Marco Rubio
Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

51%
49%

40%
60%

61%
39%


41%
59%

62%
38%

45%
55%

60%
40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(167)

(199)

100%

(480)

(245)

(227)

(249)

(191)

(38)

Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

51%
49%

47%
53%

57%
43%

56%
44%

52%
48%

51%
49%

48%
52%

57%
43%

31%
69%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(480)

(294)

(186)

(62)

(87)

(207)

(124)

(373)

(91)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

18. Republican Candidate Understanding – Donald Trump
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

79%
21%

75%
25%

84%
16%


84%
16%

74%
26%

78%
22%

80%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(165)

(201)

100%

(487)

(247)

(232)

(251)

(196)

(41)

Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

79%
21%

80%
20%

76%
24%

75%
25%

63%
37%

82%
18%

86%
14%

80%
20%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(487)

(299)

(188)

(62)

(86)

(210)

(129)

(376)

(93)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

19. Republican Candidate Understanding – Ted Cruz
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

76%
24%

81%
19%

75%
25%


81%
19%

71%
29%

80%
20%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(165)

(202)

100%

(487)

(248)

(231)

(250)

(197)

(40)

Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

76%
24%

77%
23%

73%
27%

63%
37%

88%
12%

76%
24%

73%
27%

76%
24%

78%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(487)

(299)

(188)

(62)

(87)

(209)

(130)

(375)

(94)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

20. Republican Candidate Understanding – Marco Rubio
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

63%
37%

61%
39%

67%
33%


62%
38%

64%
36%

63%
37%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(165)

(196)

100%

(480)

(247)

(225)

(244)

(197)

(40)

Gender
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

63%
37%

65%
35%

60%
40%

75%
25%

70%
30%

62%
38%

54%
46%

69%
31%

47%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(480)

(299)

(182)

(62)

(87)

(202)

(130)

(369)

(93)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

21. Republican Vote Reasons
What’s most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

18%
29%
15%
16%

25%
24%
11%
26%

15%
34%
15%
11%




15%
28%
12%
21%

21%
30%
17%
11%

27%
24%
11%
18%

7%
36%
20%
12%

22%

15%

25%

23%

22%

20%

25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(166)

(202)

100%

(488)

(247)

(232)

(252)

(196)

(40)

Gender
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

18%
29%
15%
16%

16%
29%
10%
21%

20%
30%
21%
8%

38%
16%
15%
2%

21%
38%
7%
16%

13%
26%
16%
18%

13%
35%
17%
20%

18%
34%
13%
11%

20%
14%
13%
36%

22%

23%

21%

29%

18%

26%

16%

24%

17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(488)

(302)

(186)

(62)

(87)

(209)

(130)

(379)

(92)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

22. Ted Cruz Birthplace
Do you think Ted Cruz’s birthplace is a serious issue or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

16%
84%

7%
93%

16%
84%


11%
89%

20%
80%

11%
89%

18%
82%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(168)

(200)

100%

(490)

(251)

(231)

(255)

(195)

(41)

Gender
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

16%
84%

11%
89%

23%
77%

9%
91%

12%
88%

13%
87%

26%
74%

17%
83%

11%
89%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(490)

(302)

(188)

(62)

(85)

(213)

(131)

(378)

(94)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

23. Donald Trump NY Values
Does Donald Trump’s being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or does it not matter to you?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

3%
11%
85%

6%
20%
74%

2%
9%
89%



5%
15%
80%

2%
7%
91%

5%
13%
82%

1%
10%
89%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(168)

(202)

100%

(492)

(251)

(233)

(255)

(197)

(41)

Gender
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

3%
11%
85%

4%
15%
81%

2%
6%
92%

15%
16%
69%

1%
7%
92%

2%
13%
85%

1%
10%
89%

4%
10%
85%

0%
17%
83%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(492)

(302)

(190)

(62)

(87)

(213)

(131)

(380)

(94)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Republican Voters

24. Caucus Location
Have you been told the specific location of your caucus meeting yet, or do you still need to find that out?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes, know where it is
No, still need to find out
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

56%
44%

63%
37%

52%
48%


56%
44%

56%
44%

54%
46%

58%
42%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(168)

(202)

100%

(492)

(251)

(233)

(255)

(197)

(41)

Gender
Yes, know where it is
No, still need to find out
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

56%
44%

61%
39%

49%
51%

62%
38%

52%
48%

56%
44%

56%
44%

58%
42%

50%
50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(492)

(302)

(190)

(62)

(87)

(213)

(131)

(380)

(94)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

490 Likely Democratic Caucus Voters
January 18-21, 2016

±8.9%

1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Ideology
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

64%
33%
3%
0%

79%
21%
0%
0%

67%
33%
0%
0%

64%
34%
1%
0%

73%
27%
1%
0%

58%
36%
6%
0%

46%
44%
11%
0%

53%
35%
12%
0%

68%
31%
1%
0%

73%
27%
1%
0%

63%
32%
5%
0%

70%
30%
0%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(490)

(84)

(154)

(143)

(193)

(297)

(71)

(75)

(215)

(128)

(387)

(72)

1

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

2. First Choice Democratic Candidate
Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Iowa Democratic Presidential caucus in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Martin O’Malley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

46%
5%
47%
2%

33%
1%
64%
1%

47%
5%
47%
1%

55%
6%
36%
2%

43%
5%
51%
1%

47%
4%
44%
4%

14%
0%
74%
12%

50%
1%
47%
2%

46%
5%
48%
1%

61%
9%
28%
1%

52%
4%
40%
3%

24%
7%
67%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(490)

(84)

(154)

(144)

(193)

(297)

(71)

(75)

(215)

(128)

(387)

(72)

2

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

3. Enthusiasm for First Choice
How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

63%
32%
5%

81%
15%
4%

67%
27%
6%

58%
34%
8%

65%
30%
5%

62%
33%
6%

59%
37%
4%

81%
15%
4%

58%
36%
6%

64%
30%
6%

67%
28%
5%

35%
58%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(476)

(83)

(152)

(140)

(192)

(284)

(63)

(74)

(212)

(127)

(375)

(71)

3

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

4. Democratic Candidate Policies – Health care policy
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

43%
41%
16%

23%
58%
19%

43%
43%
14%

54%
29%
17%

39%
49%
12%

46%
36%
19%

16%
73%
11%

48%
42%
10%

35%
42%
23%

67%
21%
12%

51%
34%
15%

20%
61%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(464)

(82)

(147)

(134)

(178)

(286)

(64)

(75)

(201)

(123)

(362)

(72)

4

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

5. Democratic Candidate Policies – Wall Street reform
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

23%
69%
7%

14%
82%
4%

24%
69%
6%

21%
71%
8%

18%
73%
9%

27%
67%
6%

15%
82%
3%

31%
63%
6%

21%
70%
10%

28%
66%
6%

28%
65%
6%

7%
78%
15%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(466)

(82)

(149)

(134)

(180)

(286)

(64)

(75)

(203)

(123)

(363)

(72)

5

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

6. Democratic Candidate Policies – Terrorism
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

52%
17%
31%

48%
26%
26%

61%
6%
33%

54%
15%
31%

53%
14%
32%

51%
18%
31%

25%
31%
44%

63%
10%
27%

45%
17%
38%

72%
12%
16%

60%
12%
28%

26%
42%
32%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(471)

(82)

(147)

(134)

(178)

(293)

(71)

(75)

(201)

(123)

(368)

(72)

6

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

7. Democratic Candidate Policies – Taxes
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

28%
55%
17%

24%
66%
10%

27%
58%
15%

28%
44%
27%

28%
57%
15%

27%
53%
20%

8%
90%
2%

43%
46%
11%

21%
58%
21%

40%
36%
24%

33%
48%
18%

4%
74%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(464)

(82)

(147)

(134)

(178)

(286)

(64)

(75)

(201)

(123)

(362)

(72)

7

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

8. Democratic Candidate Policies – The economy and jobs
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

38%
41%
21%

26%
57%
17%

35%
36%
28%

47%
37%
16%

37%
50%
13%

38%
36%
27%

6%
82%
12%

45%
40%
15%

34%
35%
31%

57%
31%
12%

46%
33%
21%

10%
66%
24%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(473)

(82)

(147)

(142)

(187)

(286)

(64)

(75)

(210)

(123)

(370)

(72)

8

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

9. Democratic Candidate Policies – Gun policy
Regardless of who you’re supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

50%
23%
27%

35%
39%
27%

50%
9%
41%

54%
21%
25%

51%
22%
27%

49%
23%
28%

22%
36%
42%

47%
24%
29%

48%
21%
31%

68%
17%
15%

56%
21%
22%

30%
34%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(464)

(82)

(147)

(134)

(178)

(286)

(64)

(75)

(201)

(123)

(362)

(72)

9

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

10. Democratic Candidate Proposals – Hillary Clinton
From what you’ve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates’ policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

76%
24%

74%
26%

73%
27%

80%
20%

74%
26%

78%
22%

71%
29%

79%
21%

70%
30%

89%
11%

80%
20%

59%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(485)

(81)

(154)

(142)

(191)

(294)

(71)

(75)

(213)

(125)

(382)

(72)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

11. Democratic Candidate Proposals – Bernie Sanders
From what you’ve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates’ policy proposals...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

38%
62%

50%
50%

31%
69%

47%
53%

49%
51%

32%
68%

50%
50%

40%
60%

36%
64%

36%
64%

33%
67%

46%
54%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(473)

(83)

(150)

(133)

(181)

(292)

(71)

(75)

(205)

(121)

(370)

(72)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

12. Democratic Candidate Understanding – Hillary Clinton
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

65%
35%

49%
51%

71%
29%

72%
28%

59%
41%

69%
31%

35%
65%

64%
36%

68%
32%

80%
20%

72%
28%

49%
51%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(470)

(82)

(151)

(134)

(182)

(288)

(71)

(75)

(201)

(122)

(367)

(72)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

13. Democratic Candidate Understanding – Bernie Sanders
Regardless of who you’re supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates ’gets it’ – that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Understands
Doesn’t understand
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

85%
15%

95%
5%

87%
13%

75%
25%

94%
6%

79%
21%

86%
14%

92%
8%

88%
12%

74%
26%

81%
19%

98%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(473)

(82)

(154)

(134)

(181)

(292)

(71)

(75)

(201)

(125)

(370)

(72)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

14. Democratic Candidate Attention – Hillary Clinton
As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

57%
43%

71%
29%

54%
46%

41%
59%

61%
39%

54%
46%

85%
15%

62%
38%

57%
43%

37%
63%

51%
49%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(483)

(79)

(154)

(142)

(189)

(294)

(71)

(73)

(214)

(124)

(379)

(72)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

15. Democratic Candidate Attention – Bernie Sanders
As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

9%
91%

7%
93%

4%
96%

5%
95%

7%
93%

10%
90%

10%
90%

20%
80%

7%
93%

4%
96%

10%
90%

4%
96%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(469)

(80)

(150)

(133)

(178)

(290)

(71)

(73)

(204)

(120)

(365)

(72)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

16. Democratic Vote Reasons
When you vote in the Iowa caucus, you will be most satisfied about having a chance to...
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Support an historic candidacy
Shake up politics-as-usual
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

7%
12%
27%

11%
7%
50%

11%
15%
23%

4%
14%
17%

13%
13%
29%

3%
11%
26%

23%
1%
47%

9%
11%
42%

3%
18%
14%

3%
7%
28%

4%
10%
29%

6%
19%
22%

54%

33%

51%

65%

46%

60%

29%

37%

64%

62%

57%

54%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(489)

(83)

(154)

(144)

(192)

(297)

(71)

(75)

(215)

(127)

(386)

(72)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

17. Hillary Clinton Critiques to Sanders
Do you think Hillary Clinton has criticized Bernie Sanders unfairly, or has she made fair points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Her critiques have been unfair
She has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

28%
56%
16%

45%
42%
14%

35%
51%
15%

18%
62%
20%

37%
53%
10%

22%
58%
20%

40%
35%
25%

24%
53%
23%

33%
52%
15%

16%
75%
9%

23%
61%
16%

39%
45%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(489)

(84)

(154)

(143)

(192)

(297)

(71)

(75)

(215)

(127)

(386)

(72)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

18. Bernie Sanders Critiques to Clinton
Do you think Bernie Sanders has criticized Hillary Clinton unfairly, or has he made fair points?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
His critiques have been unfair
He has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

16%
63%
21%

6%
75%
19%

12%
72%
15%

24%
59%
17%

12%
76%
13%

19%
56%
26%

5%
74%
21%

11%
52%
37%

15%
64%
21%

26%
64%
10%

19%
59%
22%

8%
74%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(489)

(84)

(154)

(143)

(192)

(297)

(71)

(75)

(215)

(127)

(386)

(72)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa Likely Democratic Voters

19. Caucus Location
Have you been told the specific location of your caucus meeting yet, or do you still need to find that out?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Yes, know where it is
No, still need to find out
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

68%
32%

80%
20%

73%
27%

70%
30%

79%
21%

61%
39%

67%
33%

72%
28%

61%
39%

78%
22%

65%
35%

78%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(490)

(84)

(154)

(144)

(193)

(297)

(71)

(75)

(215)

(128)

(387)

(72)

19