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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Florida
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

1877 Registered Voters


March 9-11, 2016

3%

1. How would you rate the condition of the economy in Florida today?
Very good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Fairly good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%
Fairly bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Very bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Florida?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .52%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
I already voted early in-person or by mail (absentee) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Florida Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%


John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2%

5. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%


Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

6. If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, who would most likely be your
second choice?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%


John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
None of them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

7. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Florida Democratic Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .62%


Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida
8. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65%


Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

9. Do you think trade with other countries creates or takes away U.S. jobs?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Creates U.S. jobs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%


Takes away U.S. jobs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%
Doesnt have much effect on U.S. jobs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%

10. When it comes to voting in Republican primaries, which of these best describes you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ive usually been interested, no matter who was running . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .68%


Im more interested this year, because [First Choice Candidate Name] is running
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%

11. If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump

Prepared
62%
62%
43%
51%

Not prepared
25%
21%
45%
34%

Not sure
12%
17%
12%
15%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida
12. Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to
Ted Cruz?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Ted Cruz

Is authentic
Listens to big
campaign donors
Can be too extreme
at times
Has clear positions
on issues
Will look out for
people like you
Sometimes
over-promises what
he can do

Describes
97%

Does not describe


3%

17%

83%

21%

79%

99%

1%

95%

5%

26%

74%

13. Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to
John Kasich?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for John Kasich
Question not listed due to small sample size.

14. Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to
Marco Rubio?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Marco Rubio

Is authentic
Listens to big
campaign donors
Can be too extreme
at times
Has clear positions
on issues
Will look out for
people like you
Sometimes
over-promises what
he can do

Describes
93%

Does not describe


7%

40%

60%

25%

75%

92%

8%

89%

11%

40%

60%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida
15. Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to
Donald Trump?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Donald Trump

Is authentic
Listens to big
campaign donors
Can be too extreme
at times
Has clear positions
on issues
Will look out for
people like you
Sometimes
over-promises what
he can do

Describes
97%

Does not describe


3%

10%

90%

61%

39%

84%

16%

92%

8%

42%

58%

16. The next Republican President needs to...?


Asked of Republican primary voters

Stand up to Democrats more effectively . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62%


Negotiate with Democrats more effectively . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%

17. Which of these has impacted your vote choice recently? Check all that apply.
Asked of Republican primary voters

How candidates performed at debates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%


How candidates reacted to news events . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Seeing what happened on Super Tuesday and earlier contests . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Seeing where Republican leaders stand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
None of the above . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%

18. If you had to choose, would you prefer a President who...?


Asked of Republican primary voters

Gets hands-on with the details of most issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64%


Sets big goals and then delegates the details to others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida
19. If Donald Trump wins additional primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters not supporting Donald Trump

Do all they can to stop him from getting nominated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%


Get behind him and try to win in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .45%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%

20. If Ted Cruz wins additional primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters not supporting Ted Cruz

Do all they can to stop him from getting nominated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%


Get behind him and try to win in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .45%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%

21. Regardless of your vote in the Presidential primary, do you approve or disapprove of how
Marco Rubio is handling his job as Senator?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Strongly approve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16%


Somewhat approve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Somewhat disapprove . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Strongly disapprove . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

22. How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Very well
67%
46%

Fairly well
30%
41%

Not very well yet


3%
13%

23. If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Prepared
87%
55%

Not prepared
8%
28%

Not sure
5%
17%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida
24. Do you feel Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

25. Do you feel Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy?


Asked of Democratic primary voters

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

26. Should the next president...?


Asked of Democratic primary voters

Generally continue Barack Obamas policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%


Change to more progressive policies than Barack Obama . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
Change to less progressive policies than Barack Obama . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

27. Do you think each of these candidates spends their time talking mostly about the future or
mostly about the past?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

The Future
55%
54%

The Past
14%
18%

About even
31%
28%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida
28. Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to
Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Hillary Clinton

Is authentic
Listens to big
campaign donors
Has clear positions
on issues
Can get their policies
enacted
Will look out for
people like you
Sometimes makes
unfair attacks on
others

Describes
90%

Does not describe


10%

49%

51%

97%

3%

93%

7%

94%

6%

27%

73%

29. Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to
Bernie Sanders?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Bernie Sanders

Is authentic
Listens to big
campaign donors
Has clear positions
on issues
Can get their policies
enacted
Will look out for
people like you
Sometimes makes
unfair attacks on
others

Describes
99%

Does not describe


1%

14%

86%

97%

3%

77%

23%

97%

3%

15%

85%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida
30. As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

What big donors want


39%
16%

What regular people


want
61%
84%

31. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

32. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?


Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

33. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?


Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida
34. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?
Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

35. Are you male or female?


Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%

36. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%

37. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?


White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

38. What is the highest level of education you have completed?


HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida
1. Economy in State
How would you rate the condition of the economy in Florida today?
Gender
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

7%
51%
28%
8%
6%

7%
50%
30%
8%
5%

7%
52%
26%
9%
6%

5%
52%
24%
6%
13%

8%
49%
28%
10%
6%

7%
51%
29%
9%
4%

9%
52%
27%
7%
4%

6%
52%
30%
6%
5%

11%
51%
19%
11%
9%

9%
41%
28%
18%
4%

6%
63%
20%
5%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,876)

(887)

(989)

(250)

(327)

(723)

(576)

(1,303)

(247)

(243)

(83)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Florida?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Already voted early or absentee
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

52%
6%
3%
1%
3%
33%
2%

53%
6%
2%
1%
3%
33%
1%

51%
6%
4%
1%
3%
32%
2%

47%
11%
5%
2%
3%
31%
1%

53%
10%
6%
2%
5%
22%
3%

57%
6%
3%
1%
3%
30%
1%

47%
2%
2%
1%
3%
44%
1%

48%
5%
3%
1%
4%
37%
1%

57%
8%
2%
2%
5%
26%
1%

62%
9%
5%
1%
0%
19%
4%

57%
5%
10%
2%
1%
26%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,875)

(886)

(990)

(250)

(328)

(721)

(577)

(1,302)

(247)

(243)

(83)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

3. 2016 Primary Turnout


In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

39%
53%
5%
4%

36%
57%
5%
2%

42%
49%
5%
5%

54%
40%
4%
1%

37%
51%
6%
6%

37%
54%
5%
4%

36%
58%
4%
3%

30%
62%
5%
3%

76%
12%
8%
4%

45%
45%
2%
8%

42%
52%
4%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,877)

(887)

(990)

(250)

(328)

(723)

(577)

(1,304)

(247)

(243)

(83)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

4. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Florida Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference

24%
9%
21%
44%
2%

24%
10%
18%
45%
3%

24%
8%
23%
43%
2%

25%
9%
21%
42%
2%

24%
8%
21%
45%
3%

23%
9%
19%
47%
2%

25%
8%
19%
45%
3%

19%
11%
28%
42%
0%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(422)

(118)

(360)

(299)

(645)

100%

(405)

100%

(827)

(50)

(22)

(134)

(27)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

5. Republican Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

56%
28%
14%
2%

60%
28%
11%
1%

52%
28%
17%
2%

63%
16%
17%
5%

59%
27%
13%
2%

54%
33%
13%
1%

54%
28%
16%
1%

63%
24%
11%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(261)

(83)

(241)

(158)

(380)

100%

(254)

100%

(515)

(33)

(9)

(107)

(19)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

6. Second Choice Republican Candidate


If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, who would most likely be your second choice?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
None of them

29%
21%
19%
13%
18%

31%
23%
18%
14%
14%

28%
18%
20%
12%
22%

24%
17%
28%
13%
18%

28%
20%
17%
15%
20%

34%
21%
17%
12%
16%

28%
20%
20%
15%
17%

37%
16%
20%
8%
19%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(411)

(115)

(347)

(292)

(629)

100%

(394)

100%

(805)

(50)

(18)

(132)

(26)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

7. First Choice Democratic Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Florida Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

62%
34%
4%

58%
37%
5%

65%
31%
4%

32%
62%
6%

52%
41%
7%

65%
32%
4%

74%
22%
4%

59%
38%
3%

71%
20%
9%

66%
30%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(756)

(310)

(445)

(70)

(138)

(341)

(207)

(454)

(151)

(110)

(40)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

8. Democratic Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

65%
21%
11%
2%

69%
18%
10%
3%

62%
24%
12%
2%

60%
29%
9%
2%

67%
16%
14%
3%

73%
16%
9%
2%

66%
19%
11%
4%

60%
19%
19%
2%

72%
25%
3%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(191)

(287)

100%

(478)

(101)

(224)

(107)

(256)

(101)

(92)

(45)

(29)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

9. Effect of Trade on U.S. Jobs


Do you think trade with other countries creates or takes away U.S. jobs?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Creates U.S. jobs
Takes away U.S. jobs
Doesnt have much effect on U.S. jobs
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

21%
53%
10%
16%

27%
52%
10%
10%

15%
54%
10%
21%

58%
27%
5%
9%

23%
48%
8%
20%

19%
56%
11%
14%

16%
57%
10%
17%

19%
52%
12%
17%

28%
60%
3%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(406)

(423)

(51)

(120)

(359)

(299)

(645)

100%

(829)

(22)

(134)

(28)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

10. Interest in This Republican Primary


When it comes to voting in Republican primaries, which of these best describes you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ive usually been interested, no matter
who was running
Im more interested this year, because
[First Choice Candidate Name] is
running
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

68%

70%

67%

62%

67%

72%

71%

59%

32%

30%

33%

38%

33%

28%

29%

41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(413)

(115)

(348)

(292)

(628)

100%

(393)

100%

(806)

(50)

(18)

(134)

(26)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

11. Republican Candidate Ready Ted Cruz


If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

62%
25%
12%

71%
21%
8%

54%
29%
16%

42%
43%
16%

63%
21%
16%

59%
28%
13%

69%
21%
10%

61%
26%
13%

72%
21%
7%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(400)

(420)

(51)

(120)

(356)

(294)

(639)

100%

(820)

(22)

(132)

(27)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

12. Republican Candidate Ready John Kasich


If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

62%
21%
17%

68%
22%
10%

56%
21%
23%

60%
25%
15%

59%
25%
16%

67%
16%
17%

63%
22%
15%

61%
18%
22%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(414)

(120)

(355)

(293)

(637)

100%

(403)

100%

(817)

(50)

(22)

(131)

(27)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

13. Republican Candidate Ready Marco Rubio


If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

43%
45%
12%

39%
51%
10%

46%
39%
15%

49%
36%
15%

54%
36%
10%

37%
52%
12%

44%
41%
15%

42%
44%
14%

54%
40%
7%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(405)

(420)

(51)

(120)

(356)

(299)

(645)

100%

(825)

(22)

(131)

(27)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

14. Republican Candidate Ready Donald Trump


If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

51%
34%
15%

57%
30%
13%

46%
38%
16%

30%
65%
5%

50%
39%
11%

52%
34%
14%

54%
28%
19%

52%
34%
14%

49%
35%
16%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(405)

(423)

(51)

(120)

(358)

(299)

(645)

100%

(828)

(22)

(133)

(28)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

15. Ted Cruz Traits Is authentic


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Ted Cruz?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Ted Cruz

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

97%
3%

98%
2%

97%
3%

99%
1%

100%
0%

97%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(95)

(101)

100%

(195)

(87)

(66)

(162)

(13)

(30)

(5)

(23)

(6)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

16. Ted Cruz Traits Listens to big campaign donors


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Ted Cruz?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Ted Cruz

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

17%
83%

12%
88%

21%
79%

10%
90%

22%
78%

17%
83%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(95)

(102)

100%

(197)

(87)

(67)

(163)

(13)

(30)

(5)

(23)

(6)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

17. Ted Cruz Traits Can be too extreme at times


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Ted Cruz?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Ted Cruz

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

21%
79%

21%
79%

21%
79%

24%
76%

12%
88%

16%
84%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(95)

(96)

100%

(192)

(87)

(62)

(158)

(13)

(29)

(5)

(23)

(6)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

18. Ted Cruz Traits Has clear positions on issues


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Ted Cruz?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Ted Cruz

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

99%
1%

100%
0%

97%
3%

99%
1%

100%
0%

98%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(95)

(102)

100%

(197)

(87)

(67)

(163)

(13)

(30)

(5)

(24)

(6)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

19. Ted Cruz Traits Will look out for people like you
Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Ted Cruz?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Ted Cruz

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

95%
5%

96%
4%

95%
5%

91%
9%

99%
1%

95%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(95)

(102)

100%

(196)

(87)

(67)

(163)

(13)

(30)

(5)

(23)

(6)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

20. Ted Cruz Traits Sometimes over-promises what he can do


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Ted Cruz?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Ted Cruz

Gender

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

26%
74%

15%
85%

37%
63%

29%
71%

14%
86%

27%
73%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(95)

(95)

100%

(190)

(86)

(62)

(156)

Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

(13)

(30)

(5)

(23)

(6)

21-26 John Kasich Traits


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to John Kasich?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for John Kasich
Question not listed due to small sample size.

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

27. Marco Rubio Traits Is authentic


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Marco Rubio?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Marco Rubio

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

93%
7%

88%
12%

97%
3%

90%
10%

96%
4%

90%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(74)

(92)

100%

(167)

(74)

(53)

(121)

(15)

(25)

(2)

(37)

(7)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

28. Marco Rubio Traits Listens to big campaign donors


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Marco Rubio?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Marco Rubio

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

40%
60%

49%
51%

31%
69%

40%
60%

39%
61%

42%
58%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(74)

(90)

100%

(164)

(72)

(53)

(119)

(15)

(25)

(2)

(36)

(7)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

29. Marco Rubio Traits Can be too extreme at times


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Marco Rubio?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Marco Rubio

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

25%
75%

13%
87%

35%
65%

26%
74%

21%
79%

23%
77%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(74)

(90)

100%

(164)

(73)

(52)

(119)

(15)

(25)

(2)

(36)

(7)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

30. Marco Rubio Traits Has clear positions on issues


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Marco Rubio?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Marco Rubio

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

92%
8%

91%
9%

93%
7%

92%
8%

88%
12%

90%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(74)

(92)

100%

(166)

(74)

(53)

(121)

(15)

(25)

(2)

(36)

(7)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

31. Marco Rubio Traits Will look out for people like you
Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Marco Rubio?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Marco Rubio

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

89%
11%

87%
13%

90%
10%

87%
13%

88%
12%

89%
11%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(74)

(95)

100%

(169)

(74)

(56)

(123)

(15)

(25)

(2)

(37)

(7)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

32. Marco Rubio Traits Sometimes over-promises what he can do


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Marco Rubio?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Marco Rubio

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

40%
60%

31%
69%

47%
53%

49%
51%

28%
72%

36%
64%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(74)

(91)

100%

(165)

(73)

(53)

(120)

(15)

(25)

(2)

(36)

(7)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

33. Donald Trump Traits Is authentic


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Donald Trump?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Donald Trump

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

97%
3%

98%
2%

96%
4%

97%
3%

98%
2%

97%
3%

98%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(179)

(158)

(134)

(284)

100%

(177)

100%

(356)

(15)

(50)

(9)

(52)

(12)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

34. Donald Trump Traits Listens to big campaign donors


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Donald Trump?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Donald Trump

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

10%
90%

9%
91%

11%
89%

7%
93%

5%
95%

9%
91%

20%
80%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(179)

(157)

(135)

(283)

100%

(177)

100%

(356)

(15)

(50)

(7)

(54)

(12)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

35. Donald Trump Traits Can be too extreme at times


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Donald Trump?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Donald Trump

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

61%
39%

62%
38%

60%
40%

64%
36%

59%
41%

61%
39%

73%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(180)

(157)

(136)

(284)

100%

(178)

100%

(358)

(15)

(50)

(7)

(54)

(12)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

36. Donald Trump Traits Has clear positions on issues


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Donald Trump?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Donald Trump

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

84%
16%

79%
21%

88%
12%

84%
16%

85%
15%

83%
17%

91%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(181)

(159)

(134)

(283)

100%

(177)

100%

(358)

(15)

(50)

(7)

(56)

(12)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

37. Donald Trump Traits Will look out for people like you
Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Donald Trump?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Donald Trump

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

92%
8%

90%
10%

95%
5%

95%
5%

88%
12%

94%
6%

84%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(177)

(157)

(134)

(285)

100%

(179)

100%

(356)

(15)

(50)

(7)

(52)

(12)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

38. Donald Trump Traits Sometimes over-promises what he can do


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Donald Trump?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Donald Trump

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

42%
58%

42%
58%

42%
58%

41%
59%

46%
54%

41%
59%

50%
50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(177)

(158)

(134)

(286)

100%

(180)

100%

(357)

(15)

(50)

(7)

(52)

(12)

32

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

39. Republican Candidate Actions


The next Republican President needs to...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Stand up to Democrats more
effectively
Negotiate with Democrats more
effectively
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

62%

64%

60%

35%

61%

65%

63%

65%

55%

38%

36%

40%

65%

39%

35%

37%

35%

45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(406)

(422)

(51)

(120)

(359)

(299)

(646)

100%

(828)

(22)

(133)

(28)

33

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

40. Republican Vote Choice Impact


Which of these has impacted your vote choice recently? Check all that apply.
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
How candidates performed at debates
How candidates reacted to news
events
Seeing what happened on Super
Tuesday and earlier contests
Seeing where Republican leaders
stand
None of the above
Totals

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

40%

39%

42%

55%

37%

34%

47%

41%

40%

28%

33%

23%

41%

29%

26%

28%

28%

27%

15%

13%

16%

37%

16%

13%

13%

13%

25%

50%
26%

52%
26%

49%
26%

62%
9%

44%
31%

49%
27%

53%
25%

52%
27%

38%
20%

(830)

(406)

(424)

(51)

(120)

(360)

(299)

(647)

(22)

(134)

(28)

34

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

41. Republican Hands-On or Delegate


If you had to choose, would you prefer a President who...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Gets hands-on with the details of
most issues
Sets big goals and then delegates the
details to others
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

64%

58%

71%

75%

68%

64%

62%

63%

71%

36%

42%

29%

25%

32%

36%

38%

37%

29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(405)

(419)

(51)

(120)

(357)

(296)

(642)

100%

(824)

(21)

(133)

(28)

35

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

42. Republican Response to Trump


If Donald Trump wins additional primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters not supporting Donald Trump

Gender
Do all they can to stop him from
getting nominated
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

39%

30%

47%

38%

37%

30%

39%

39%

45%
16%

49%
21%

41%
12%

46%
15%

50%
13%

46%
24%

43%
18%

49%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(238)

(70)

(197)

(159)

(359)

100%

(224)

100%

(462)

(36)

(13)

(74)

(16)

36

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

43. Republican Response to Cruz


If Ted Cruz wins additional primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters not supporting Ted Cruz

Gender
Do all they can to stop him from
getting nominated
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

27%

24%

30%

37%

23%

25%

28%

21%

45%
28%

49%
27%

42%
28%

37%
26%

44%
33%

50%
25%

44%
28%

55%
24%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(319)

(89)

(272)

(228)

(480)

100%

(308)

100%

(627)

(38)

(17)

(108)

(22)

37

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

44. Rubio Approval


Regardless of your vote in the Presidential primary, do you approve or disapprove of how Marco Rubio is handling his job as Senator?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

16%
31%
22%
24%
7%

15%
32%
22%
27%
4%

17%
30%
22%
20%
12%

6%
56%
5%
27%
6%

30%
25%
20%
19%
6%

12%
31%
25%
24%
9%

17%
29%
22%
25%
8%

14%
33%
23%
23%
7%

31%
23%
19%
16%
11%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(405)

(423)

(51)

(119)

(360)

(298)

(645)

100%

(828)

(22)

(134)

(28)

38

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

45. Democratic Candidate Perception Hillary Clinton


How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

67%
30%
3%

74%
24%
2%

62%
35%
3%

63%
34%
3%

57%
37%
6%

69%
29%
2%

72%
27%
1%

67%
30%
3%

68%
30%
2%

71%
26%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(741)

(308)

(433)

(67)

(135)

(333)

(205)

(452)

(146)

(104)

(39)

39

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

46. Democratic Candidate Perception Bernie Sanders


How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

46%
41%
13%

57%
32%
11%

38%
48%
14%

70%
27%
3%

47%
39%
14%

44%
43%
13%

40%
45%
15%

52%
37%
10%

31%
52%
17%

42%
42%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(721)

(295)

(425)

(62)

(134)

(331)

(194)

(448)

(137)

(97)

(39)

40

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

47. Democratic Candidate Ready Hillary Clinton


If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

87%
8%
5%

87%
9%
4%

86%
7%
6%

72%
18%
11%

80%
10%
10%

90%
7%
3%

91%
5%
3%

86%
9%
5%

92%
3%
5%

88%
7%
5%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(737)

(307)

(430)

(67)

(136)

(335)

(200)

(443)

(147)

(110)

(38)

41

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

48. Democratic Candidate Ready Bernie Sanders


If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

55%
28%
17%

60%
23%
16%

51%
31%
18%

82%
5%
12%

61%
27%
12%

53%
30%
17%

45%
31%
24%

56%
28%
16%

44%
32%
24%

65%
22%
13%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(712)

(299)

(414)

(61)

(135)

(323)

(193)

(439)

(137)

(98)

(38)

42

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

49. Bernie Sanders Traits


Do you feel Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

72%
9%
19%

78%
10%
12%

67%
9%
24%

79%
11%
10%

68%
13%
19%

67%
10%
23%

78%
6%
16%

78%
8%
14%

54%
14%
32%

67%
8%
24%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(746)

(305)

(441)

(68)

(137)

(338)

(204)

(451)

(147)

(108)

(40)

43

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

50. Hillary Clinton Traits


Do you feel Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

63%
23%
14%

62%
22%
16%

64%
23%
13%

36%
45%
19%

51%
32%
17%

64%
21%
15%

78%
13%
9%

60%
25%
15%

74%
12%
14%

66%
21%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(751)

(310)

(441)

(70)

(134)

(341)

(206)

(454)

(149)

(108)

(40)

44

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

51. Next President Policies


Should the next president...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

46%
48%
6%

44%
50%
6%

48%
47%
6%

37%
61%
2%

40%
54%
5%

46%
46%
9%

54%
43%
3%

37%
57%
6%

73%
19%
8%

49%
45%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(753)

(310)

(443)

(70)

(137)

(340)

(206)

(453)

(150)

(110)

(40)

45

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

52. Democrats Talking about the Past Hillary Clinton


Do you think each of these candidates spends their time talking mostly about the future or mostly about the past?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
The Future
The Past
About even
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

55%
14%
31%

58%
17%
25%

53%
12%
35%

43%
22%
35%

53%
22%
25%

55%
12%
33%

60%
10%
30%

53%
16%
31%

69%
7%
24%

46%
17%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(750)

(310)

(440)

(67)

(137)

(340)

(206)

(452)

(147)

(110)

(40)

46

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

53. Democrats Talking about the Past Bernie Sanders


Do you think each of these candidates spends their time talking mostly about the future or mostly about the past?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
The Future
The Past
About even
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

54%
18%
28%

65%
17%
18%

46%
18%
36%

65%
4%
31%

55%
16%
28%

54%
17%
28%

49%
24%
27%

59%
15%
26%

38%
30%
32%

52%
9%
40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(725)

(305)

(420)

(62)

(137)

(330)

(196)

(445)

(142)

(100)

(38)

47

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

54. Hillary Clinton Traits Is authentic


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Hillary Clinton

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

90%
10%

89%
11%

91%
9%

84%
16%

88%
12%

95%
5%

89%
11%

93%
7%

93%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(176)

(276)

100%

(453)

(69)

(215)

(146)

(262)

(99)

(73)

(22)

(18)

48

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

55. Hillary Clinton Traits Listens to big campaign donors


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Hillary Clinton

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

49%
51%

52%
48%

47%
53%

53%
47%

52%
48%

41%
59%

49%
51%

40%
60%

62%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(173)

(267)

100%

(440)

(69)

(211)

(142)

(259)

(98)

(65)

(18)

(18)

49

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

56. Hillary Clinton Traits Has clear positions on issues


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Hillary Clinton

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

97%
3%

97%
3%

97%
3%

95%
5%

97%
3%

99%
1%

96%
4%

97%
3%

99%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(177)

(269)

100%

(446)

(70)

(213)

(146)

(265)

(98)

(65)

(18)

(18)

50

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

57. Hillary Clinton Traits Can get their policies enacted


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Hillary Clinton

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

93%
7%

91%
9%

94%
6%

93%
7%

93%
7%

94%
6%

94%
6%

92%
8%

91%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(177)

(267)

100%

(444)

(70)

(212)

(143)

(261)

(99)

(65)

(19)

(19)

51

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

58. Hillary Clinton Traits Will look out for people like you
Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Hillary Clinton

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

94%
6%

93%
7%

95%
5%

91%
9%

95%
5%

98%
2%

92%
8%

97%
3%

98%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(180)

(269)

100%

(449)

(70)

(214)

(146)

(264)

(102)

(65)

(18)

(18)

52

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

59. Hillary Clinton Traits Sometimes makes unfair attacks on others


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Hillary Clinton

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

27%
73%

34%
66%

23%
77%

38%
62%

26%
74%

18%
82%

25%
75%

28%
72%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(173)

(269)

100%

(443)

(70)

(212)

(142)

(260)

(99)

(65)

(19)

(19)

53

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

60. Bernie Sanders Traits Is authentic


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Bernie Sanders?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Bernie Sanders

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

99%
1%

97%
3%

100%
0%

96%
4%

100%
0%

98%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(135)

(57)

(104)

100%

(116)

100%

(251)

(43)

(46)

(173)

(26)

(32)

(20)

54

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

61. Bernie Sanders Traits Listens to big campaign donors


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Bernie Sanders?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Bernie Sanders

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

14%
86%

8%
92%

19%
81%

34%
66%

9%
91%

11%
89%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(133)

(57)

(104)

100%

(115)

100%

(248)

(42)

(45)

(171)

(26)

(32)

(20)

55

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

62. Bernie Sanders Traits Has clear positions on issues


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Bernie Sanders?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Bernie Sanders

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

97%
3%

97%
3%

97%
3%

97%
3%

96%
4%

95%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(138)

(57)

(107)

100%

(112)

100%

(250)

(43)

(43)

(171)

(27)

(32)

(20)

56

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

63. Bernie Sanders Traits Can get their policies enacted


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Bernie Sanders?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Bernie Sanders

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

77%
23%

70%
30%

83%
17%

76%
24%

77%
23%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(132)

(57)

(102)

100%

(115)

100%

(247)

(43)

(46)

(170)

(26)

(32)

(19)

57

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

64. Bernie Sanders Traits Will look out for people like you
Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Bernie Sanders?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Bernie Sanders

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

97%
3%

96%
4%

97%
3%

94%
6%

98%
2%

99%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(135)

(57)

(104)

100%

(116)

100%

(251)

(43)

(46)

(173)

(26)

(32)

(20)

58

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

65. Bernie Sanders Traits Sometimes makes unfair attacks on others


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Bernie Sanders?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Bernie Sanders

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

15%
85%

9%
91%

19%
81%

27%
73%

8%
92%

13%
87%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(133)

(57)

(104)

100%

(116)

100%

(249)

(43)

(45)

(171)

(26)

(32)

(20)

59

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

66. Democratic Candidate Attention Hillary Clinton


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

39%
61%

43%
57%

36%
64%

67%
33%

50%
50%

37%
63%

25%
75%

43%
57%

21%
79%

42%
58%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(744)

(306)

(439)

(67)

(135)

(338)

(204)

(451)

(144)

(110)

(40)

60

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida

67. Democratic Candidate Attention Bernie Sanders


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

16%
84%

10%
90%

20%
80%

15%
85%

24%
76%

16%
84%

10%
90%

13%
87%

19%
81%

24%
76%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(735)

(306)

(429)

(64)

(134)

(333)

(204)

(451)

(144)

(100)

(40)

61

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

873 Likely Republican Primary Voters


March 9-11, 2016

4.8%

1. Economy in State
How would you rate the condition of the economy in Florida today?
Ideology
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

4%
49%
34%
8%
5%

3%
47%
36%
9%
6%

5%
46%
36%
8%
5%

2%
59%
30%
7%
2%

4%
42%
38%
10%
6%

3%
55%
31%
6%
4%

3%
46%
35%
9%
7%

4%
52%
34%
6%
4%

3%
52%
33%
6%
5%

4%
32%
44%
15%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(873)

(254)

(343)

(238)

(397)

(476)

(343)

(494)

(680)

(141)

Gender
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

4%
49%
34%
8%
5%

3%
49%
37%
7%
4%

4%
49%
32%
10%
6%

3%
69%
20%
0%
8%

4%
44%
38%
9%
6%

4%
46%
35%
10%
5%

3%
51%
35%
7%
4%

3%
53%
32%
7%
5%

2%
45%
37%
11%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(873)

(427)

(446)

(54)

(126)

(379)

(315)

(591)

(168)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

2. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Florida Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference

24%
9%
21%
44%
2%

42%
5%
16%
35%
2%

23%
5%
26%
45%
1%

9%
17%
18%
51%
5%

35%
6%
14%
43%
1%

15%
11%
26%
45%
3%

31%
7%
19%
40%
3%

19%
10%
21%
47%
2%

25%
8%
19%
45%
3%

19%
11%
28%
42%
0%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(870)

(253)

(343)

(237)

(397)

(474)

(341)

(493)

(679)

(141)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
No preference

24%
9%
21%
44%
2%

24%
10%
18%
45%
3%

24%
8%
23%
43%
2%

26%
14%
30%
30%
0%

25%
9%
21%
42%
2%

24%
8%
21%
45%
3%

23%
9%
19%
47%
2%

23%
7%
26%
42%
3%

25%
15%
7%
51%
2%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(870)

(426)

(444)

(53)

(124)

(378)

(315)

(589)

(168)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

3. Republican Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

56%
28%
14%
2%

65%
27%
8%
0%

51%
32%
17%
0%

52%
26%
17%
5%

62%
26%
12%
0%

51%
30%
16%
3%

56%
29%
14%
2%

56%
28%
15%
2%

54%
28%
16%
1%

63%
24%
11%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(541)

(155)

(223)

(139)

(254)

(287)

(204)

(310)

(400)

(112)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

56%
28%
14%
2%

60%
28%
11%
1%

52%
28%
17%
2%

63%
16%
17%
5%

59%
27%
13%
2%

54%
33%
13%
1%

56%
30%
12%
2%

57%
27%
16%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(267)

(274)

100%

(541)

(87)

(253)

(166)

(367)

(102)

(35)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

4. Second Choice Republican Candidate


If [First Choice Candidate Name] doesnt get the nomination, who would most likely be your second choice?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
None of them

29%
21%
19%
13%
18%

31%
11%
25%
19%
14%

34%
20%
17%
13%
16%

19%
33%
14%
6%
28%

32%
14%
22%
19%
13%

26%
26%
17%
8%
23%

26%
18%
25%
14%
17%

32%
23%
16%
12%
17%

28%
20%
20%
15%
17%

37%
16%
20%
8%
19%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(847)

(248)

(341)

(224)

(390)

(457)

(330)

(480)

(661)

(139)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
None of them

29%
21%
19%
13%
18%

31%
23%
18%
14%
14%

28%
18%
20%
12%
22%

23%
26%
22%
3%
26%

24%
17%
28%
13%
18%

28%
20%
17%
15%
20%

34%
21%
17%
12%
16%

30%
24%
19%
11%
16%

27%
15%
15%
17%
26%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(847)

(414)

(432)

(53)

(121)

(365)

(308)

(571)

(164)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

5. Effect of Trade on U.S. Jobs


Do you think trade with other countries creates or takes away U.S. jobs?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Creates U.S. jobs
Takes away U.S. jobs
Doesnt have much effect on U.S. jobs
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

21%
53%
10%
16%

18%
58%
10%
14%

21%
54%
6%
19%

23%
46%
15%
16%

19%
60%
8%
12%

22%
47%
12%
19%

18%
55%
12%
15%

23%
52%
9%
15%

19%
52%
12%
17%

28%
60%
3%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(871)

(254)

(341)

(238)

(396)

(475)

(342)

(493)

(679)

(141)

Gender
Creates U.S. jobs
Takes away U.S. jobs
Doesnt have much effect on U.S. jobs
Not sure

Evangelical

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

21%
53%
10%
16%

27%
52%
10%
10%

15%
54%
10%
21%

58%
27%
5%
9%

23%
48%
8%
20%

19%
56%
11%
14%

16%
57%
10%
17%

21%
54%
10%
15%

14%
53%
10%
23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(871)

(427)

(445)

(54)

(126)

(377)

(315)

(590)

(168)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

6. Interest in This Republican Primary


When it comes to voting in Republican primaries, which of these best describes you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ive usually been interested, no matter
who was running
Im more interested this year, because
[First Choice Candidate Name] is
running
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

68%

77%

70%

60%

74%

63%

67%

70%

71%

59%

32%

23%

30%

40%

26%

37%

33%

30%

29%

41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(847)

(247)

(341)

(226)

(391)

(456)

(329)

(482)

(661)

(141)

Gender
Ive usually been interested, no matter
who was running
Im more interested this year, because
[First Choice Candidate Name] is
running

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

68%

70%

67%

71%

62%

67%

72%

75%

53%

32%

30%

33%

29%

38%

33%

28%

25%

47%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(847)

(413)

(434)

(53)

(121)

(366)

(308)

(573)

(164)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

7. Republican Candidate Ready Ted Cruz


If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

62%
25%
12%

79%
14%
7%

67%
20%
13%

39%
45%
16%

81%
13%
6%

47%
36%
18%

57%
26%
17%

67%
24%
9%

61%
26%
13%

72%
21%
7%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(863)

(253)

(343)

(229)

(395)

(468)

(341)

(486)

(672)

(139)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

62%
25%
12%

71%
21%
8%

54%
29%
16%

42%
43%
16%

63%
21%
16%

59%
28%
13%

69%
21%
10%

63%
23%
14%

57%
34%
10%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(863)

(421)

(442)

(53)

(126)

(375)

(309)

(582)

(168)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

8. Republican Candidate Ready John Kasich


If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

62%
21%
17%

62%
19%
19%

64%
22%
14%

62%
23%
15%

65%
20%
15%

59%
23%
19%

55%
22%
23%

69%
19%
12%

63%
22%
15%

61%
18%
22%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(859)

(247)

(341)

(234)

(392)

(467)

(334)

(489)

(670)

(138)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

62%
21%
17%

68%
22%
10%

56%
21%
23%

53%
23%
24%

60%
25%
15%

59%
25%
16%

67%
16%
17%

64%
19%
17%

58%
28%
14%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(859)

(424)

(435)

(52)

(126)

(374)

(308)

(580)

(166)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

9. Republican Candidate Ready Marco Rubio


If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

43%
45%
12%

50%
41%
9%

45%
42%
13%

29%
55%
16%

44%
45%
10%

41%
44%
15%

42%
43%
15%

42%
46%
11%

42%
44%
14%

54%
40%
7%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(868)

(253)

(343)

(234)

(395)

(473)

(341)

(491)

(678)

(138)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

43%
45%
12%

39%
51%
10%

46%
39%
15%

49%
36%
15%

55%
35%
10%

37%
52%
12%

44%
41%
15%

49%
38%
13%

22%
63%
15%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(868)

(426)

(442)

(53)

(126)

(374)

(315)

(587)

(168)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

10. Republican Candidate Ready Donald Trump


If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

51%
34%
15%

51%
35%
15%

53%
34%
12%

50%
33%
18%

57%
29%
14%

46%
39%
15%

46%
40%
15%

55%
30%
15%

52%
33%
14%

49%
35%
16%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(871)

(254)

(342)

(237)

(397)

(473)

(342)

(493)

(679)

(140)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

51%
34%
15%

57%
30%
13%

46%
38%
16%

30%
65%
5%

50%
39%
11%

52%
34%
14%

54%
28%
19%

51%
36%
14%

55%
31%
14%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(871)

(425)

(445)

(54)

(126)

(377)

(315)

(590)

(168)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

11. Ted Cruz Traits Is authentic


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Ted Cruz?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Ted Cruz

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

97%
3%

100%
0%

97%
3%

99%
1%

93%
7%

99%
1%

94%
6%

97%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(103)

(78)

100%

(206)

(137)

(68)

(106)

(93)

(170)

(20)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Total

Age group

(24)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

97%
3%

98%
2%

97%
3%

99%
1%

100%
0%

98%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(100)

(106)

100%

(206)

(91)

(70)

(131)

(13)

(31)

(42)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

12. Ted Cruz Traits Listens to big campaign donors


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Ted Cruz?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Ted Cruz

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

17%
83%

14%
86%

21%
79%

9%
91%

33%
67%

19%
81%

15%
85%

17%
83%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(103)

(80)

100%

(207)

(138)

(69)

(106)

(93)

(171)

(20)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Age group

(24)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

17%
83%

12%
88%

21%
79%

10%
90%

22%
78%

17%
83%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(100)

(107)

100%

(207)

(91)

(71)

(133)

(14)

(31)

(42)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

13. Ted Cruz Traits Can be too extreme at times


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Ted Cruz?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Ted Cruz

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

21%
79%

9%
91%

37%
63%

18%
82%

27%
73%

7%
93%

35%
65%

16%
84%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(103)

(75)

100%

(202)

(132)

(69)

(106)

(88)

(166)

(20)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Total

Age group

(24)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

21%
79%

21%
79%

21%
79%

24%
76%

12%
88%

20%
80%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(100)

(101)

100%

(202)

(91)

(65)

(127)

(14)

(31)

(42)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

14. Ted Cruz Traits Has clear positions on issues


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Ted Cruz?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Ted Cruz

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

99%
1%

100%
0%

97%
3%

100%
0%

96%
4%

100%
0%

97%
3%

98%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(103)

(79)

100%

(207)

(138)

(69)

(106)

(94)

(171)

(20)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Age group

(25)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

99%
1%

100%
0%

97%
3%

99%
1%

100%
0%

98%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(100)

(107)

100%

(207)

(92)

(71)

(133)

(13)

(31)

(42)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

15. Ted Cruz Traits Will look out for people like you
Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Ted Cruz?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Ted Cruz

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

95%
5%

98%
2%

94%
6%

97%
3%

93%
7%

95%
5%

95%
5%

95%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(103)

(79)

100%

(206)

(138)

(69)

(106)

(93)

(171)

(20)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Age group

(24)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

95%
5%

96%
4%

95%
5%

91%
9%

99%
1%

98%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(100)

(107)

100%

(206)

(91)

(71)

(132)

(13)

(31)

(42)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

16. Ted Cruz Traits Sometimes over-promises what he can do


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Ted Cruz?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Ted Cruz

Ideology

Evangelical

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

26%
74%

24%
76%

30%
70%

20%
80%

37%
63%

26%
74%

28%
72%

27%
73%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(102)

(74)

100%

(200)

(131)

(68)

(106)

(87)

(164)

Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

(20)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

(24)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

26%
74%

15%
85%

37%
63%

29%
71%

14%
86%

23%
77%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(100)

(100)

100%

(200)

(90)

(65)

(126)

(13)

(31)

(42)

17-22 John Kasich Traits


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to John Kasich?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for John Kasich
Question not listed due to small sample size.

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

23. Marco Rubio Traits Is authentic


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Marco Rubio?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Marco Rubio

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

93%
7%

90%
10%

92%
8%

93%
7%

98%
2%

89%
11%

90%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(55)

(121)

(63)

(101)

(127)

100%
(175)

(41)

(85)

(43)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Total

Age group

(39)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

93%
7%

88%
12%

97%
3%

90%
10%

96%
4%

92%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(78)

(97)

100%

(175)

(78)

(56)

(148)

(16)

(26)

(11)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

24. Marco Rubio Traits Listens to big campaign donors


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Marco Rubio?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Marco Rubio

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

40%
60%

39%
61%

36%
64%

41%
59%

27%
73%

42%
58%

42%
58%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(53)

(120)

(62)

(100)

(125)

100%
(173)

(40)

(83)

(43)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Age group

(38)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

40%
60%

49%
51%

31%
69%

40%
60%

39%
61%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(78)

(94)

100%

(173)

(75)

(56)

(146)

(15)

(26)

(11)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

25. Marco Rubio Traits Can be too extreme at times


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Marco Rubio?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Marco Rubio

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

25%
75%

23%
77%

13%
87%

30%
70%

46%
54%

7%
93%

23%
77%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(53)

(120)

(61)

(101)

(125)

100%
(173)

(39)

(84)

(43)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Total

Age group

(38)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

25%
75%

13%
87%

35%
65%

26%
74%

21%
79%

24%
76%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(78)

(94)

100%

(173)

(77)

(55)

(146)

(15)

(26)

(11)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

26. Marco Rubio Traits Has clear positions on issues


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Marco Rubio?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Marco Rubio

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

92%
8%

97%
3%

96%
4%

91%
9%

91%
9%

93%
7%

90%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(55)

(120)

(63)

(101)

(127)

100%
(175)

(41)

(84)

(43)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Age group

(38)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

92%
8%

91%
9%

93%
7%

92%
8%

88%
12%

94%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(78)

(96)

100%

(175)

(78)

(56)

(148)

(15)

(26)

(11)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

27. Marco Rubio Traits Will look out for people like you
Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Marco Rubio?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Marco Rubio

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

89%
11%

95%
5%

95%
5%

86%
14%

85%
15%

92%
8%

89%
11%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(55)

(124)

(63)

(104)

(130)

100%
(178)

(41)

(88)

(43)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Age group

(39)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

89%
11%

87%
13%

90%
10%

87%
13%

88%
12%

91%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(78)

(100)

100%

(178)

(78)

(59)

(151)

(16)

(26)

(11)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

28. Marco Rubio Traits Sometimes over-promises what he can do


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Marco Rubio?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Marco Rubio

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

40%
60%

41%
59%

42%
58%

39%
61%

44%
56%

33%
67%

36%
64%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(54)

(120)

(62)

(101)

(126)

100%
(174)

(40)

(84)

(43)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Age group

(38)

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

40%
60%

31%
69%

47%
53%

49%
51%

28%
72%

38%
62%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(78)

(95)

100%

(174)

(77)

(56)

(147)

(15)

(26)

(11)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

29. Donald Trump Traits Is authentic


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Donald Trump?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Donald Trump

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

97%
3%

98%
2%

97%
3%

97%
3%

98%
2%

96%
4%

96%
4%

99%
1%

97%
3%

98%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(375)

(87)

(150)

(118)

(170)

(205)

(131)

(229)

(298)

(54)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

97%
3%

98%
2%

96%
4%

96%
4%

97%
3%

98%
2%

98%
2%

95%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(187)

(188)

100%

(375)

(52)

(166)

(141)

(242)

(85)

(16)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

30. Donald Trump Traits Listens to big campaign donors


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Donald Trump?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Donald Trump

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

10%
90%

12%
88%

6%
94%

11%
89%

5%
95%

14%
86%

12%
88%

9%
91%

9%
91%

20%
80%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(375)

(85)

(153)

(118)

(168)

(207)

(132)

(229)

(298)

(57)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

10%
90%

9%
91%

11%
89%

26%
74%

7%
93%

5%
95%

10%
90%

7%
93%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(186)

(189)

100%

(375)

(52)

(165)

(142)

(242)

(85)

(16)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

31. Donald Trump Traits Can be too extreme at times


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Donald Trump?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Donald Trump

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

61%
39%

51%
49%

59%
41%

67%
33%

50%
50%

70%
30%

58%
42%

62%
38%

61%
39%

73%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(376)

(85)

(154)

(118)

(168)

(209)

(132)

(229)

(299)

(57)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

61%
39%

62%
38%

60%
40%

53%
47%

64%
36%

59%
41%

61%
39%

59%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(187)

(189)

100%

(376)

(52)

(165)

(143)

(243)

(85)

(16)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

32. Donald Trump Traits Has clear positions on issues


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Donald Trump?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Donald Trump

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

84%
16%

87%
13%

83%
17%

80%
20%

84%
16%

83%
17%

88%
12%

80%
20%

83%
17%

91%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(377)

(85)

(153)

(120)

(168)

(209)

(133)

(229)

(298)

(59)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

84%
16%

79%
21%

88%
12%

80%
20%

84%
16%

85%
15%

89%
11%

73%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(186)

(191)

100%

(377)

(52)

(168)

(141)

(245)

(84)

(16)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

33. Donald Trump Traits Will look out for people like you
Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Donald Trump?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Donald Trump

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

92%
8%

91%
9%

94%
6%

95%
5%

94%
6%

91%
9%

93%
7%

91%
9%

94%
6%

84%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(374)

(87)

(151)

(118)

(167)

(207)

(129)

(230)

(300)

(54)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

92%
8%

90%
10%

95%
5%

95%
5%

95%
5%

88%
12%

93%
7%

94%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(188)

(186)

100%

(374)

(52)

(165)

(141)

(244)

(85)

(16)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

34. Donald Trump Traits Sometimes over-promises what he can do


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Donald Trump?
Asked of Republican primary goers voting for Donald Trump

Ideology
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

42%
58%

37%
63%

38%
62%

48%
52%

42%
58%

43%
57%

42%
58%

44%
56%

41%
59%

50%
50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(375)

(87)

(152)

(118)

(168)

(208)

(130)

(230)

(301)

(54)

Gender
Describes
Does not describe

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

42%
58%

42%
58%

42%
58%

42%
58%

41%
59%

46%
54%

40%
60%

37%
63%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(190)

(186)

100%

(375)

(52)

(166)

(141)

(245)

(85)

(16)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

35. Republican Candidate Actions


The next Republican President needs to...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Stand up to Democrats more
effectively
Negotiate with Democrats more
effectively
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

62%

79%

66%

43%

79%

48%

62%

62%

65%

55%

38%

21%

34%

57%

21%

52%

38%

38%

35%

45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(871)

(253)

(343)

(237)

(397)

(473)

(342)

(493)

(679)

(140)

Gender
Stand up to Democrats more
effectively
Negotiate with Democrats more
effectively

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

62%

64%

60%

35%

61%

65%

63%

61%

70%

38%

36%

40%

65%

39%

35%

37%

39%

30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(871)

(427)

(444)

(54)

(126)

(377)

(314)

(590)

(168)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

36. Republican Vote Choice Impact


Which of these has impacted your vote choice recently? Check all that apply.
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
How candidates performed at debates
How candidates reacted to news
events
Seeing what happened on Super
Tuesday and earlier contests
Seeing where Republican leaders
stand
None of the above
Totals

Tea Party

Totals

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

40%

42%

41%

36%

41%

39%

41%

39%

41%

40%

28%

27%

30%

27%

31%

26%

27%

29%

28%

27%

15%

14%

15%

15%

16%

14%

14%

15%

13%

25%

50%
26%

52%
29%

51%
23%

51%
26%

55%
22%

47%
29%

53%
26%

48%
25%

52%
27%

38%
20%

(873)

(254)

(343)

(238)

(397)

(476)

(343)

(494)

(680)

(141)

Gender
How candidates performed at debates
How candidates reacted to news
events
Seeing what happened on Super
Tuesday and earlier contests
Seeing where Republican leaders
stand
None of the above

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

40%

39%

42%

55%

37%

34%

47%

40%

38%

28%

33%

23%

41%

29%

26%

28%

30%

26%

15%

13%

16%

37%

16%

13%

13%

15%

12%

50%
26%

52%
26%

49%
26%

62%
9%

44%
31%

49%
27%

53%
25%

50%
27%

57%
23%

(873)

(427)

(446)

(54)

(126)

(379)

(315)

(591)

(168)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

37. Republican Hands-On or Delegate


If you had to choose, would you prefer a President who...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Gets hands-on with the details of
most issues
Sets big goals and then delegates the
details to others
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

64%

67%

65%

60%

62%

67%

75%

58%

63%

71%

36%

33%

35%

40%

38%

33%

25%

42%

37%

29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(866)

(254)

(339)

(236)

(394)

(472)

(341)

(489)

(675)

(140)

Gender
Gets hands-on with the details of
most issues
Sets big goals and then delegates the
details to others

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

64%

58%

71%

75%

68%

64%

62%

66%

67%

36%

42%

29%

25%

32%

36%

38%

34%

33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(866)

(426)

(441)

(54)

(126)

(376)

(311)

(587)

(168)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

38. Republican Response to Trump


If Donald Trump wins additional primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters not supporting Donald Trump

Ideology
Do all they can to stop him from
getting nominated
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

39%

30%

39%

49%

28%

48%

45%

31%

39%

39%

45%
16%

56%
14%

48%
13%

30%
21%

57%
15%

34%
18%

40%
15%

51%
18%

43%
18%

49%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(486)

(165)

(185)

(117)

(225)

(260)

(207)

(260)

(377)

(78)

Gender
Do all they can to stop him from
getting nominated
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

39%

30%

47%

38%

37%

30%

39%

33%

45%
16%

49%
21%

41%
12%

46%
15%

50%
13%

46%
24%

45%
16%

51%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(236)

(250)

100%

(486)

(73)

(207)

(168)

(341)

(82)

(38)

32

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

39. Republican Response to Cruz


If Ted Cruz wins additional primaries this month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters not supporting Ted Cruz

Ideology
Do all they can to stop him from
getting nominated
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

27%

19%

23%

38%

19%

32%

27%

26%

28%

21%

45%
28%

58%
23%

47%
29%

35%
27%

51%
30%

42%
26%

42%
32%

49%
25%

44%
28%

55%
24%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(660)

(149)

(262)

(215)

(258)

(402)

(236)

(396)

(505)

(114)

Gender
Do all they can to stop him from
getting nominated
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

27%

24%

30%

37%

23%

25%

24%

37%

45%
28%

49%
27%

42%
28%

37%
26%

44%
33%

50%
25%

49%
26%

30%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(324)

(336)

100%

(660)

(94)

(286)

(240)

(454)

(126)

(40)

33

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Republican Voters

40. Rubio Approval


Regardless of your vote in the Presidential primary, do you approve or disapprove of how Marco Rubio is handling his job as Senator?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

White

Hispanic

16%
31%
22%
24%
7%

20%
33%
26%
18%
3%

16%
36%
20%
21%
8%

12%
19%
23%
35%
11%

15%
35%
23%
23%
5%

17%
27%
21%
24%
10%

16%
34%
23%
18%
9%

16%
28%
22%
27%
6%

14%
33%
23%
23%
7%

31%
23%
19%
16%
11%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(871)

(254)

(342)

(237)

(397)

(473)

(341)

(493)

(678)

(141)

Gender
Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Not sure

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

16%
31%
22%
24%
7%

15%
32%
22%
27%
4%

17%
30%
22%
20%
12%

6%
56%
5%
27%
6%

30%
25%
20%
19%
6%

12%
31%
25%
24%
9%

17%
29%
22%
25%
8%

20%
32%
20%
20%
8%

5%
25%
31%
34%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(871)

(426)

(445)

(53)

(126)

(378)

(314)

(590)

(168)

34

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

796 Likely Democratic Primary Voters


March 9-11, 2016

4.5%

1. Economy in State
How would you rate the condition of the economy in Florida today?
Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

13%
53%
23%
7%
4%

13%
52%
24%
8%
3%

8%
58%
22%
7%
5%

16%
57%
22%
3%
2%

12%
56%
24%
4%
4%

11%
54%
18%
11%
6%

16%
39%
25%
19%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(796)

(264)

(160)

(270)

(478)

(159)

(116)

Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

13%
53%
23%
7%
4%

12%
57%
21%
7%
3%

13%
51%
24%
7%
4%

10%
45%
24%
10%
12%

7%
53%
21%
14%
4%

12%
55%
24%
6%
2%

18%
54%
22%
3%
3%

14%
54%
21%
7%
3%

3%
49%
31%
8%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(796)

(326)

(470)

(73)

(145)

(359)

(219)

(676)

(92)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

2. First Choice Democratic Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Florida Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

62%
34%
4%

56%
44%
0%

62%
34%
3%

67%
27%
6%

59%
38%
3%

71%
20%
9%

66%
30%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(795)

(263)

(160)

(270)

(477)

(159)

(116)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

62%
34%
4%

58%
37%
5%

65%
31%
4%

32%
62%
6%

52%
41%
7%

65%
32%
4%

74%
22%
4%

67%
30%
3%

37%
58%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(795)

(326)

(468)

(73)

(145)

(359)

(217)

(675)

(92)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

3. Democratic Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

65%
21%
11%
2%

79%
15%
4%
1%

55%
33%
11%
1%

58%
23%
16%
3%

66%
19%
11%
4%

60%
19%
19%
2%

72%
25%
3%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(503)

(139)

(87)

(202)

(269)

(106)

(97)

Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

65%
21%
11%
2%

69%
18%
10%
3%

62%
24%
12%
2%

60%
29%
9%
2%

67%
16%
14%
3%

73%
16%
9%
2%

67%
21%
11%
1%

56%
22%
11%
11%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(201)

(301)

100%

(503)

(107)

(236)

(112)

(424)

(66)

(48)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

4. Democratic Candidate Perception Hillary Clinton


How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

67%
30%
3%

78%
21%
1%

66%
29%
6%

63%
35%
1%

67%
30%
3%

68%
30%
2%

71%
26%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(780)

(259)

(156)

(270)

(476)

(153)

(110)

Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

67%
30%
3%

74%
24%
2%

62%
35%
3%

63%
34%
3%

57%
37%
6%

69%
29%
2%

72%
27%
1%

69%
29%
3%

64%
33%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(780)

(324)

(456)

(71)

(142)

(350)

(216)

(663)

(91)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

5. Democratic Candidate Perception Bernie Sanders


How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

46%
41%
13%

66%
26%
9%

46%
43%
11%

33%
52%
15%

52%
37%
10%

31%
52%
17%

42%
42%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(758)

(250)

(155)

(262)

(471)

(144)

(102)

Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

46%
41%
13%

57%
32%
11%

38%
48%
14%

70%
27%
3%

47%
39%
14%

44%
43%
13%

40%
45%
15%

45%
41%
14%

51%
43%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(758)

(311)

(447)

(65)

(141)

(348)

(204)

(643)

(90)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

6. Democratic Candidate Ready Hillary Clinton


If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology

Race

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

87%
8%
5%

91%
6%
3%

88%
5%
7%

88%
8%
5%

86%
9%
5%

92%
3%
5%

88%
7%
5%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(775)

(262)

(157)

(261)

(465)

(154)

(115)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

87%
8%
5%

87%
9%
4%

86%
7%
6%

72%
18%
11%

80%
10%
10%

90%
7%
3%

91%
5%
3%

89%
6%
5%

74%
19%
7%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(775)

(323)

(452)

(70)

(143)

(352)

(211)

(661)

(89)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

7. Democratic Candidate Ready Bernie Sanders


If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology

Race

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

55%
28%
17%

69%
19%
11%

52%
31%
17%

46%
34%
19%

56%
28%
16%

44%
32%
24%

65%
22%
13%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(749)

(246)

(155)

(255)

(462)

(144)

(103)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

55%
28%
17%

60%
23%
16%

51%
31%
18%

82%
5%
12%

61%
27%
12%

53%
30%
17%

45%
31%
24%

53%
29%
18%

66%
22%
12%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(749)

(314)

(435)

(64)

(142)

(340)

(203)

(635)

(89)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

8. Bernie Sanders Traits


Do you feel Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

72%
9%
19%

78%
7%
15%

80%
6%
14%

65%
11%
24%

78%
8%
14%

54%
14%
32%

67%
8%
24%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(785)

(261)

(160)

(270)

(475)

(155)

(113)

Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

72%
9%
19%

78%
10%
12%

67%
9%
24%

79%
11%
10%

68%
13%
19%

67%
10%
23%

78%
6%
16%

70%
9%
21%

80%
9%
11%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(785)

(321)

(464)

(71)

(144)

(355)

(215)

(667)

(92)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

9. Hillary Clinton Traits


Do you feel Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

63%
23%
14%

64%
24%
11%

61%
22%
17%

62%
20%
18%

60%
25%
15%

74%
12%
14%

66%
21%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(790)

(265)

(158)

(270)

(477)

(157)

(114)

Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

63%
23%
14%

62%
22%
16%

64%
23%
13%

36%
45%
19%

51%
32%
17%

64%
21%
15%

78%
13%
9%

69%
18%
13%

29%
51%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(790)

(326)

(464)

(73)

(141)

(359)

(217)

(672)

(92)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

10. Next President Policies


Should the next president...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

46%
48%
6%

36%
62%
1%

39%
57%
5%

55%
37%
8%

37%
57%
6%

73%
19%
8%

49%
45%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(792)

(264)

(160)

(270)

(476)

(157)

(116)

Continue Obama policies


More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

46%
48%
6%

44%
50%
6%

48%
47%
6%

37%
61%
2%

40%
54%
5%

46%
46%
9%

54%
43%
3%

49%
46%
5%

27%
60%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(792)

(326)

(466)

(73)

(144)

(358)

(217)

(675)

(92)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

11. Democrats Talking about the Past Hillary Clinton


Do you think each of these candidates spends their time talking mostly about the future or mostly about the past?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

55%
14%
31%

52%
16%
32%

50%
14%
35%

61%
12%
27%

53%
16%
31%

69%
7%
24%

46%
17%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(789)

(264)

(159)

(270)

(475)

(155)

(116)

The Future
The Past
About even
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
The Future
The Past
About even
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

55%
14%
31%

58%
17%
25%

53%
12%
35%

43%
22%
35%

53%
22%
25%

55%
12%
33%

60%
10%
30%

60%
11%
29%

30%
34%
37%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(789)

(326)

(462)

(71)

(144)

(357)

(217)

(671)

(92)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

12. Democrats Talking about the Past Bernie Sanders


Do you think each of these candidates spends their time talking mostly about the future or mostly about the past?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

54%
18%
28%

60%
15%
26%

57%
15%
28%

52%
21%
28%

59%
15%
26%

38%
30%
32%

52%
9%
40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(763)

(255)

(151)

(262)

(468)

(150)

(105)

The Future
The Past
About even
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
The Future
The Past
About even
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

54%
18%
28%

65%
17%
18%

46%
18%
36%

65%
4%
31%

55%
16%
28%

54%
17%
28%

49%
24%
27%

53%
19%
27%

60%
10%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(763)

(321)

(441)

(65)

(144)

(347)

(207)

(647)

(91)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

13. Hillary Clinton Traits Is authentic


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

90%
10%

93%
7%

91%
9%

85%
15%

89%
11%

93%
7%

93%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(476)

(146)

(99)

(172)

(275)

(104)

(77)

Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

90%
10%

89%
11%

91%
9%

84%
16%

88%
12%

95%
5%

91%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(185)

(291)

100%

(476)

(73)

(227)

(154)

(439)

(23)

(34)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

14. Hillary Clinton Traits Listens to big campaign donors


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

49%
51%

45%
55%

53%
47%

49%
51%

49%
51%

40%
60%

62%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(463)

(141)

(99)

(168)

(272)

(103)

(69)

Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

49%
51%

52%
48%

47%
53%

53%
47%

52%
48%

41%
59%

49%
51%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(181)

(281)

100%

(463)

(72)

(222)

(149)

(426)

(19)

(34)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

15. Hillary Clinton Traits Has clear positions on issues


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

97%
3%

97%
3%

96%
4%

98%
2%

96%
4%

97%
3%

99%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(470)

(140)

(100)

(171)

(278)

(104)

(69)

Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

97%
3%

97%
3%

97%
3%

95%
5%

97%
3%

99%
1%

98%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(186)

(283)

100%

(470)

(74)

(224)

(154)

(432)

(18)

(35)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

16. Hillary Clinton Traits Can get their policies enacted


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

93%
7%

95%
5%

91%
9%

93%
7%

94%
6%

92%
8%

91%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(467)

(140)

(98)

(169)

(274)

(104)

(69)

Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

93%
7%

91%
9%

94%
6%

93%
7%

93%
7%

94%
6%

94%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(186)

(281)

100%

(467)

(74)

(223)

(151)

(430)

(20)

(34)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

17. Hillary Clinton Traits Will look out for people like you
Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

94%
6%

97%
3%

94%
6%

94%
6%

92%
8%

97%
3%

98%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(472)

(142)

(100)

(171)

(278)

(107)

(69)

Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

94%
6%

93%
7%

95%
5%

91%
9%

95%
5%

98%
2%

96%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(189)

(283)

100%

(472)

(74)

(225)

(154)

(435)

(19)

(34)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

18. Hillary Clinton Traits Sometimes makes unfair attacks on others


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

27%
73%

21%
79%

30%
70%

30%
70%

25%
75%

28%
72%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(466)

(141)

(99)

(170)

(273)

(104)

(69)

Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

27%
73%

34%
66%

23%
77%

38%
62%

26%
74%

18%
82%

26%
74%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(182)

(283)

100%

(466)

(74)

(223)

(149)

(427)

(20)

(35)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

19. Bernie Sanders Traits Is authentic


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Bernie Sanders?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

99%
1%

100%
0%

100%
0%

96%
4%

98%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(264)

(114)

(54)

(70)

(182)

Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

(27)

Age group

(33)
Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

99%
1%

97%
3%

100%
0%

96%
4%

100%
0%

99%
1%

99%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(142)

(60)

(110)

100%

(122)

100%

(264)

(198)

(53)

(46)

(48)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

20. Bernie Sanders Traits Listens to big campaign donors


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Bernie Sanders?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

14%
86%

6%
94%

15%
85%

14%
86%

11%
89%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(261)

(114)

(52)

(69)

(179)

Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

(27)

Age group

(33)
Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

14%
86%

8%
92%

19%
81%

34%
66%

9%
91%

16%
84%

11%
89%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(140)

(60)

(109)

100%

(121)

100%

(261)

(196)

(53)

(44)

(47)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

21. Bernie Sanders Traits Has clear positions on issues


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Bernie Sanders?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

97%
3%

100%
0%

96%
4%

97%
3%

95%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(263)

(112)

(52)

(73)

(180)

Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

(28)

Age group

(33)
Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

97%
3%

97%
3%

97%
3%

97%
3%

96%
4%

97%
3%

96%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(145)

(60)

(112)

100%

(118)

100%

(263)

(198)

(52)

(46)

(45)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

22. Bernie Sanders Traits Can get their policies enacted


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Bernie Sanders?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

77%
23%

77%
23%

73%
27%

80%
20%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(260)

(113)

(51)

(70)

(179)

Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

(27)

Age group

(33)
Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

77%
23%

70%
30%

83%
17%

76%
24%

77%
23%

77%
23%

75%
25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(139)

(60)

(107)

100%

(121)

100%

(260)

(195)

(52)

(45)

(48)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

23. Bernie Sanders Traits Will look out for people like you
Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Bernie Sanders?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

97%
3%

98%
2%

93%
7%

98%
2%

99%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(264)

(114)

(54)

(70)

(182)

Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

(27)

Age group

(33)
Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

97%
3%

96%
4%

97%
3%

94%
6%

98%
2%

99%
1%

88%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(142)

(60)

(110)

100%

(122)

100%

(264)

(198)

(53)

(46)

(48)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

24. Bernie Sanders Traits Sometimes makes unfair attacks on others


Candidates often have plusses and minuses. Which of these traits do you feel apply to Bernie Sanders?
Asked of Democratic primary goers voting for Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

15%
85%

7%
93%

12%
88%

21%
79%

13%
87%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(262)

(114)

(53)

(69)

(180)

Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

(27)

Age group

(33)
Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

15%
85%

9%
91%

19%
81%

27%
73%

8%
92%

18%
82%

5%
95%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(140)

(60)

(109)

100%

(122)

100%

(262)

(196)

(53)

(46)

(47)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

25. Democratic Candidate Attention Hillary Clinton


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

39%
61%

42%
58%

42%
58%

35%
65%

43%
57%

21%
79%

42%
58%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(783)

(260)

(159)

(269)

(474)

(152)

(115)

What big donors want


What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

39%
61%

43%
57%

36%
64%

67%
33%

50%
50%

37%
63%

25%
75%

34%
66%

70%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(783)

(321)

(461)

(71)

(142)

(356)

(214)

(666)

(91)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Florida Likely Democratic Voters

26. Democratic Candidate Attention Bernie Sanders


As President, do you feel each candidate would ultimately do...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Black

Hispanic

16%
84%

9%
91%

10%
90%

18%
82%

13%
87%

19%
81%

24%
76%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(773)

(257)

(160)

(262)

(475)

(152)

(105)

What big donors want


What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Gender
What big donors want
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

16%
84%

10%
90%

20%
80%

15%
85%

24%
76%

16%
84%

10%
90%

16%
84%

13%
87%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(773)

(322)

(451)

(67)

(141)

(350)

(215)

(656)

(92)

26