Professional Documents
Culture Documents
760, 2009
Corporate Decisions
Back to NPV
f
financing strategies that create positive NPV for the firm, in most
cases, mean negative NPV for investor
Efficient Markets
Market Efficiency
Example
Suppose new value-relevant information about the firm
becomes available to a few or is private
these informed traders can trade on this information and gain
positive NPV as prices move only slowly in correct direction
only as info becomes available to more investors or informed
investors trade enough will price move to new NPV = 0 level
f
Market Efficiency
if I see a price increase today and know, based upon past history,
it is more often followed by another increase than by a drop, so I
buy the security and capture the gain of the next price increase
however, others will see this pattern and make the same trades
this will bid up the price of the stock today to a level where the
expected change next period is just the required return
either see it by looking carefully at the past prices or watching me
trade
but it requires that you know how to understand and make use
of the value-relevant public information to trade profitably
SAIS 380.760 Lecture 7 Slide # 8
Sources of Funds
Internal Funds
External Funds
covered by
Net Equity Issues
Net Issuance of Debt
90%
10%
86%
14%
78%
22%
69%
31%
73%
27%
92%
8%
88%
12%
81%
19%
118%
-18%
94%
6%
74%
26%
-5%
33%
-5%
13%
-5%
17%
-72%
98%
Equity Capital
the amount per share raised is broken into par value and
capital surplus (or additional paid-in capital)
Payoff to Equity
Equity gets paid, once the firm has met its fixed
claims (usually debt)
f
Payoff to Equity
Equity
Equityhas
haszero
zero
payoff
payoffififasset
asset
value
valuecannot
cannotmeet
meet
fixed
fixedclaims
claims
45o
Equity
Equitypayoff
payoff
increases
increasesone
onefor
forone
one
with
withasset
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above
aboveDD
Value of Assets
SAIS 380.760 Lecture 7 Slide # 11
master-limited partnerships
Preferred Stock
other features
Issuing Securities
angel investors
rich individuals who invest in small start ups for ownership share
LLP funds that provide capital to small firms for an ownership share
they provide the capital slowly over time to maintain incentives
encouraging entrepreneurs to work hard for success
institutional investors
corporate investors
this is how they know the interest and the right price at which
to proceed
auctions
cash offers
f
rights offer
f
In a rights offer, the firm offers 1 right per share to existing SHs
one right plus $5 gets allows you to purchase a new share of stock
if all rights are exercised the share price will also end up being
$7.5 per share but the $2.5 windfall of under pricing now goes to
the existing shareholders
if an existing SH does not want to exercise his right, he can sell it to
for $2.5, exactly the existing SHs loss in value per share
SAIS 380.760 Lecture 7 Slide # 18
Debt
10
Payoff to Debt
Payoff to Debt
D
The
Thebest
bestdebt
debtcan
canget
getas
as
aapayoff
is
its
full
face
payoff is its full face
value
value(plus
(plusinterest)
interest)for
for
asset
values
asset valuesabove
aboveDD
45o
Value of Assets
SAIS 380.760 Lecture 7 Slide # 21
Forms of Debt
maturity
f
repayment provisions
f
11
Seniority
Forms of Debt
Security or Collateral
f
Forms of Debt
z
Default risk
f
agencies like S&P and Moodys provide credit ratings for a fee
AAA,AA,A or BBB (S&P) or AAA, Aa, A or Baa (Moodys)
12
Features of Debt
z
bank loans are typically floating rate and have rate linked to LIBOR
or the prime rate (a local bank benchmark rate)
inflation indexed bonds pay a real interest rate plus realized inflation
13
Term Structure
in reality there are interest rates for cash flows at every maturity
r1, r2, .., rN
strip bonds or strips are bonds that make a single cash payment
from the YTM on these strips we can determine the spot rates
the spot rates, along with the expectations theory of the term
structure, allow us to determine what we expect future short
term interest rates to be
SAIS 380.760 Lecture 7 Slide # 27
for any two spot interest rates today, rk and rn (k<n), arbitrage
defines the expected (n-k) maturity spot interest rate in k periods
(1 + rn)n = (1 + rk)k x (1 + kfn)(n-k)
where kfn = expectation of the n-k period rate, k periods in the future
Example
Suppose you have $1,000 to invest for 2 years.
invest $1,000 for 2 years in a 2 year bond with YTM = 5.00%
FV = $1,000 x (1 + .05)2 = $1102.5
invest $1,000 for 1 year in a 1 year bond with YTM = 4.00% and
then reinvest next year in another 1 year bond at the expected
YTM for a 1 year bond, 1 year from now of 1f2
FV = $1,000 x (1 + .04) x (1 + 1f2) = $1,040 x (1 + 1f2)
14
Debt Duration
t PV(C t )
V0
t =1
Duration =
Example of Duration
10
(149.03/1.08) (149.03/1.082) (149.03/1.083) (149.03/1.0810)
137.99
127.77
118.30
69.02
15
P0 = $1,000/1.055 = $783.53
change of $783.53 / $747.26 1 = 4.85%
MD = - Duration / (1 + i)
bond price change is then approximately = MD x chg in interest rate
for zero coupon, MD = -5 /1.05 = -4.76 => price chg -4.76 x (-1%)
for mortgage, MD = -4.87 / 1.07 = -4.55 => price chg -4.55 x (-1%)
SAIS 380.760 Lecture 7 Slide # 31
Convertible Securities
a warrant
f
gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to purchase
a set number of shares at a set price before a set date
convertible bond
f
a bond that gives its owner the option to exchange the bond
for a pre-determined number of shares
if stock price goes up, they convert and share in the profits; if
not, they remain a bondholder
this is simply a bond and a warrant packaged together
since an option has value, the convertible debt will have a lower
interest rate than straight debt
SAIS 380.760 Lecture 7 Slide # 32
16
Payoff to Convertible
bondholder
1 for 2
1 for 1
Convertible
Convertiblebond
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offlike
likenormal
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$10/sharethe
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Value of Assets
Price/share of original equity
SAIS 380.760 Lecture 7 Slide # 33
Summary
Financing of investment
z
Securities
f
features of debt
17